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2025-02-07

Best Dating App Opening Lines

Let’s face it: starting a conversation on a dating app can feel terrifying. You see someone you’re interested in, you type out a message, and then… you delete it. “Is this too boring?” “Will they even respond?” “What if I sound awkward?”

We’ve all been there. That first message can make or break your chances of connecting with someone amazing. But here’s the good news: you don’t have to overthink it. With the right opening line, you can spark a conversation that feels natural, fun, and meaningful.

At MixerDates, we believe that every great connection starts with a great conversation. That’s why we’ve put together this guide to help you craft the best dating app opening lines—ones that stand out, show your personality, and lead to real connections. Ready to ditch the “hey” and start making an impact? Let’s dive in!

[:contents]


Why Your First Message Matters

Before we get into the best opening lines, let’s talk about why your first message is so important.

1. First Impressions Count

Your opening line is your chance to make a great first impression. It’s the gateway to a conversation that could lead to something special. A thoughtful, creative message shows that you’re genuinely interested—not just swiping mindlessly.

2. It Sets the Tone

Your first message sets the tone for the entire conversation. A boring or generic opener might lead to a dull chat, while a fun or intriguing one can spark excitement and curiosity.

3. It Shows Effort

Let’s be real: everyone loves feeling special. When you put effort into your opening line, it shows that you care enough to stand out. And on MixerDates, where we value authenticity and positivity, that effort goes a long way.


The Best Dating App Opening Lines (And Why They Work)

Now, let’s get to the good stuff—the best dating app opening lines that actually work. These are divided into categories to suit different personalities and situations.

1. The Playful Opener

2. The Compliment Opener
  • Why It Works: Compliments make people feel good, especially when they’re specific and genuine.

3. The Question Opener

4. The Shared Interest Opener

5. The Bold Opener
  • Why It Works: Confidence is attractive, and this type of opener shows you’re not afraid to be bold.

6. The Quirky Opener
  • Example: “Quick: pineapple on pizza—yes or no? This could determine our compatibility.”
  • Why It Works: Quirky openers are memorable and show off your unique personality.


Tips for Crafting Your Own Opening Lines

While the examples above are great starting points, the best opening lines are the ones that feel authentic to you. Here are some tips to help you craft your own:

1. Personalize It

Reference something from their profile—a photo, a hobby, or a shared interest. It shows you’re paying attention and not just copying and pasting.

2. Keep It Light and Fun

Avoid heavy or overly serious topics right off the bat. Keep the tone light and playful to make the conversation enjoyable.

3. Be Yourself

Don’t try to be someone you’re not. If you’re naturally funny, lean into that. If you’re more thoughtful, go for a sincere compliment or question.

4. Avoid Clichés

“Hey” or “What’s up?” might be easy, but they’re also forgettable. Put in a little effort to stand out.

5. End with a Question

This gives the other person an easy way to respond and keeps the conversation flowing.


Why MixerDates is the Perfect Place to Practice Your Opening Lines

At MixerDates, we’re all about creating a positive, inclusive space where you can feel comfortable being yourself. Here’s why our platform is the best place to put these opening lines into practice:

1. A Welcoming Community

We welcome everyone, no matter who you are or who you love. Our platform is designed to be a safe space where you can connect with like-minded people.

2. Profiles That Spark Conversations

Our users create detailed profiles that make it easy to find shared interests and craft personalized opening lines.

3. A Focus on Authenticity

We encourage our community to be genuine and kind, so you can feel confident starting conversations without fear of judgment or rejection.

4. Success Stories

Don’t just take our word for ithere’s what one of our users had to say:

I met my partner on MixerDates, and it all started with a simple message about our shared love for travel. The conversation flowed naturally, and the rest is history. I’m so grateful for this platform!”


Key Elements to Finding a Mutual Connection

While a great opening line can spark a conversation, building a real connection takes more than just a clever message. Here are the key elements to look for when seeking a meaningful connection:

1. Shared Values and Goals

A strong connection starts with alignment on the things that matter most. Do you share similar values, life goals, or visions for the future?

2. Emotional Availability

Look for someone who is willing to share their thoughts, feelings, and vulnerabilities—and who encourages you to do the same.

3. Mutual Effort

Healthy relationships are a two-way street. Both people should be putting in effort to communicate, plan dates, and support each other.

4. Respect for Individuality

A true connection allows both people to be themselves without judgment. Look for someone who celebrates your uniqueness and encourages you to pursue your passions.

5. Open and Honest Communication

Communication is the foundation of any strong relationship. A mutual connection thrives on honesty, transparency, and the ability to resolve conflicts in a healthy way.


At MixerDates, we’re here to help you find these key elements in a partner. Our platform is designed to connect you with people who share your values and are looking for the same things you are. Starting a conversation on a dating app doesn’t have to be stressful. With the right opening line, you can spark a connection that feels natural, fun, and meaningful. And at MixerDates, we’re here to help you every step of the way.

So, what are you waiting for? Craft that perfect opening line, join MixerDates, and start connecting with people who value authenticity and positivity. Your perfect match is out there—and they’re just one message away.

How to Flirt on a First Date Without Feeling Awkward

First dates can be exciting and nerve-wracking all at once. You’re meeting someone new, learning about their interests, and trying to figure out if there’s chemistry between you. And then there’s flirting, that delicate dance of showing someone you’re interested without being too forward or awkward.

Flirting doesn’t have to be a high-pressure situation. In fact, it can be the most fun part of getting to know someone. Whether you're meeting someone on MixerDates or any other platform, the most important thing is to be genuine, stay calm, and let the connection develop naturally.

If you’ve ever found yourself wondering how to flirt on a first date without feeling uncomfortable, you’re not alone. Everyone has their awkward moments, but the more you understand the art of flirting, the easier it becomes. In this article, we’ll break down how to flirt in a way that feels natural, exciting, and authentic to who you are. So, let's dive in and learn how to make the most of your first date experience—without overthinking it.


Confidence: The Foundation of Flirting

When it comes to flirting, confidence is key. But what does it really mean to be confident on a first date? Confidence doesn’t mean you need to be perfect, or even outgoing—it simply means being comfortable in your own skin and showing up as your authentic self.

Have you ever noticed how people are drawn to those who radiate self-assurance? It’s not about bragging or dominating the conversationit’s about presenting yourself with ease. If you feel good about yourself, it will naturally show. A great smile, good posture, and eye contact can go a long way in making a good first impression.

For instance, think about the last time someone walked into a room and immediately caught your attention—not because they were the most attractive person in the room, but because of their energy. They were confident, they were present, and they made you feel at ease. That’s the kind of confidence you want to project on your date.

When you're confident, you're not worried about saying the perfect thing. Instead, you focus on enjoying the moment, making the other person feel comfortable, and letting the connection happen naturally. That’s the magic of confidence—it allows you to be present, fun, and, most importantly, yourself.

The Power of Subtlety

Let’s face it—no one wants to feel like they’re being “worked” or put through a game. That’s why subtlety is such a powerful tool when it comes to flirting. It's all about showing interest without being over-the-top or too obvious.

Flirting doesn’t always mean complimenting someone non-stop or using cheesy pickup lines. In fact, the most successful flirting is the kind that happens behind the scenes—subtle, playful, and lighthearted. Think about the little moments, like a teasing comment about how they always order the same thing at a restaurant or the way you laugh at a silly joke they make.

The key is to find a balance. A simple smile or a playful comment can convey interest without being too much. For example, if your date tells you they love hiking but they tend to get lost easily, you could say something like, “So, you’re telling me you need a personal guide? I could get behind that!” It’s lighthearted, humorous, and most importantly, it keeps the conversation fun without putting too much pressure on the situation.

By keeping it subtle, you allow your date to feel at ease. It takes the pressure off them to be perfect and allows both of you to enjoy the interaction more naturally. Flirting doesn’t need to be a performance—it’s about creating an environment where both of you can feel comfortable and authentic.


Active Listening: A Key to Connection

Now, let’s talk about something incredibly important in the flirting game: active listening. When we’re on a date, we often get caught up in thinking about what to say next, how we’re coming across, or if we’re being interesting enough. But the best way to make an impression? Truly listening to your date.

Active listening means you’re fully engaged in the conversation, giving your date your full attention and responding thoughtfully. It’s about showing that you care about what they’re saying and that you’re genuinely interested in getting to know them better. When you listen actively, you’re also giving them space to open up, and that can create an immediate connection.

For example, if your date mentions they recently traveled to Japan, instead of simply saying, “That’s cool!” you could follow up with something like, “What was the most memorable experience you had there?” This shows that you’re not just hearing their words but are genuinely curious and invested in their experiences. It’s a great way to build rapport and let them know you’re not just there to impress them—you’re there to connect.

Body Language: Saying More Than Words Can

While your words are important, body language often speaks louder than anything you can say. Whether you realize it or not, your body is constantly communicating how you feel. How you sit, stand, and move tells your date whether you’re relaxed, engaged, or distracted.

Small gestures can go a long way in flirting. A light touch on the arm, a subtle lean in when they’re speaking, or maintaining good eye contact—all these body language cues help signal your interest. And the great thing is, when done naturally, these cues can be just as effective as words.

For example, if you’re sitting at a café on your date and you lean in slightly when they’re sharing a funny story, you’re not just showing that you’re interested—you’re inviting them into your space. It’s an invitation to connect further. And when they respond by leaning in too, that’s when the magic happens—the unspoken connection that tells you both that there’s potential for more.

Flirting through body language doesn’t mean making grand gestures or being overly touchy. It’s about being present and showing that you’re engaged with your date in a subtle, but meaningful way.


Have Fun: Don’t Take It Too Seriously

It’s easy to get caught up in overthinking how to flirt or trying to figure out if your date is into you. But here’s a secret—when you let go of the pressure and allow yourself to have fun, everything flows much more naturally. Flirting on a first date doesn’t need to feel like a test or an assignment. It’s supposed to be a fun, lighthearted experience that sets the stage for more great dates ahead.

When was the last time you had a genuinely fun date? Was it when you were trying too hard to impress, or when you were both laughing, chatting, and enjoying each other's company? Flirting becomes effortless when you're present, enjoying the moment, and letting the connection grow naturally.

Sometimes, it's the small momentslike sharing a laugh or swapping embarrassing stories—that make a first date truly special. When you focus on having fun, you create an environment where both of you can relax, flirt, and let the chemistry grow. That’s the secret to a great date.

Flirting with the Right Match: How MixerDates Makes It Easier

One of the best things about using a platform like MixerDates is that it takes the guesswork out of the equation. By connecting with someone who already shares your interests and values, you’ve got a head start on making a real connection. No more swiping through countless profiles hoping for a sparkon MixerDates, you already know there’s something in common.

When you’re already on the same page with your date, flirting comes more easily. There’s less of that awkward, “Are we even on the same wavelength?” feeling, and more of the fun, “Wow, we really click!” vibe. Whether you’re talking about favorite hobbies, movies, or life goals, the conversation flows naturally, making the flirting feel effortless.

If you're looking for a place to meet like-minded people and build genuine connections, MixerDates is the perfect platform. It's a great place to find someone who appreciates you for who you are and who you can naturally flirt with, without the stress.

Ready to Take the Leap?

Flirting on a first date is all about confidence, connection, and fun. When you let go of the pressure and focus on enjoying the experience, the chemistry will naturally follow. Remember, the best way to flirt is by being yourself—let your personality shine through, listen with intention, and embrace the moment.

And if you’re ready to meet someone new, who’s just as interested in making a connection as you are, MixerDates is the perfect place to start. So go ahead, take the leap, and see where it leads. Who knows? Your next great connection might be just a click away.

Sign up for MixerDates today and start your journey to exciting first dates and meaningful connections!

2025-02-02

Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy of humanity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart

ChatGPT

Reasoned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluating planetary prospects

OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candidate.

Identifying potential candidates

I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.

Assessing potential candidates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advanced civilizations.

Assessing habitable zones

I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revisiting exoplanet options

I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.

Refining odds

I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.

Clarifying speculative nature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.

Mapping out speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessing likelihoods

I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.

Piecing together speculative odds

I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and adding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.

Piecing together

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.

Assessing civilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.

Below is a very speculative chart thatbased on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let alone advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIST-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIST-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIST-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?

Earth’s Example:

On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candidates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIST-1 System (e, f, g):

These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.

LHS 1140 b:

This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.

A Final Note

All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!




あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use

ChatGPT

Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation's value

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its criticism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate predictive model.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for predicting extraterrestrial civilizations.

The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, predictive formula. Let’s break down why:

The Drake Equation

The equation is usually written as:

𝑁

=

𝑅

×

𝑓

𝑝

×

𝑛

𝑒

×

𝑓

𝑙

×

𝑓

𝑖

×

𝑓

𝑐

×

𝐿

N=R

×f

p

×n

e

×f

l

×f

i

×f

c

×L

Where:

𝑅

R

: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

n

e

: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.

𝐿

L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.

Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Some factors, like

𝑅

R

(star formation rate) and

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.

Highly Speculative Factors:

The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

,

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

,

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

, and

𝐿

L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of Possible Values:

Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for

𝑁

N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.

Heuristic, Not Predictive:

The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In the sense of being a strict mathematical model with well-defined inputs and predictable outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.

In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.




あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reasoned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-human intelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.

Piecing together possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.

Reflecting on potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the predictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallel evolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.

Evaluating life exploration

I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.

Adapting the equ Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 21:12

Chatgptが答えた異星人の存在可能性とのそのロジック

Please consider the histroy of humanity from biological perpsecitve and current known fact in nearby universe, which expo-planet (from the Sol system perspective) is most likely to have civlizaed society? Please add percentage next to it in the chart

ChatGPT

Reasoned about exoplanet civilization likelihoodを28 秒行う

Evaluating planetary prospects

OK, I’m looking at the likelihood of a civilized society on an exoplanet within our Solar System. I’ll consider biological history and current space knowledge, aiming to identify the most promising candidate.

Identifying potential candidates

I'm considering exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1e, which might suggest they are within or observed from our Solar System.

Assessing potential candidates

I’m evaluating Proxima Centauri b, Barnard's Star, LHS 1140, and TRAPPIST-1, focusing on their habitable zones and available data. The Drake equation might help estimate their civilized society likelihoods.

Identifying promising exoplanets

I’m noting key exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, which have Earth-like characteristics and are in habitable zones. This narrows down the potential candidates for advanced civilizations.

Assessing habitable zones

I'm gathering info on planets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1, considering factors like magnetic fields, atmospheres, and proximity to G-type stars for their potential to support advanced civilizations.

Evaluating exoplanet prospects

I'm noting that Proxima Centauri b, despite being close and around a red dwarf star, might support life if it has a magnetic field and atmosphere. This makes me think about its potential.

Charting probabilities

I'm estimating civilization probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e, using speculative percentages based on the Drake equation and the lack of evidence for intelligent life.

Charting speculative odds

I'm crafting a chart with exoplanet names and civilization likelihood percentages, grounded in the long timeline of life's evolution, despite the speculative nature of these figures.

Identifying exoplanet contenders

I’m evaluating exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, TRAPPIST-1 e, and Kepler-186f, considering their star types and distances, to gauge their potential for supporting advanced civilizations from our solar system's viewpoint.

Weighing proximity and observation

I'm leaning towards Proxima Centauri b due to its closeness and observational potential, despite concerns about its flare star dynamics. TRAPPIST-1 e, f, or g are also worth considering.

Revisiting exoplanet options

I'm focusing on exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b, Ross 128 b, LHS 1140 b, TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, and K2-18b, aiming to chart their likelihood of hosting a civilized society based on current knowledge.

Assessing exoplanet potentials

I'm gathering speculative probabilities for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, using the Drake equation and current understanding, to better estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society.

Refining speculative probabilities

I’m refining speculative probabilities for exoplanets, including Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e/f/g, to estimate their chances of hosting a civilized society, considering Earth's long biological history.

Refining odds

I'm considering the astronomical timeline for intelligent life on Earth, leading me to assign even lower speculative odds for exoplanets like Proxima Centauri b and TRAPPIST-1 e.

Clarifying speculative nature

I’m crafting a simplified chart with arbitrary percentages, clearly noting the speculative nature and lack of scientific data, while considering the target audience's basic understanding of the topic.

Mapping out speculative odds

I’m charting arbitrary percentages for exoplanets, clarifying their speculative nature, and ensuring the data is accessible for young audiences with minimal scientific detail.

Crafting a chart

I’m creating a markdown table with speculative percentages for the likelihood of civilized life on exoplanets, emphasizing their purely theoretical nature and considering the understanding level of an 8-year-old.

Integrating speculative analysis

I’m mapping out a markdown chart with speculative percentages for the likelihood of a civilized society on exoplanets, mindful of the complexity and simplifying for an 8-year-old's understanding.

Assessing likelihoods

I’m piecing together markdown for exoplanets, noting Proxima Centauri b's reduced civilized life chance due to the red dwarf's activity. This inclusion highlights the speculative nature of the analysis.

Piecing together speculative odds

I’m detailing a markdown chart for audience-friendly exoplanet likelihoods, considering environmental challenges and adding a disclaimer about the speculative nature and lack of evidence.

Piecing together

I’m leaning towards Proxima Centauri b for its proximity and silent star, but I’ll add a speculative chart ranking nearby exoplanets, noting their advanced civilizations' hypothetical likelihood.

Assessing civilization probabilities

I'm emphasizing the slow emergence of intelligent life on Earth, which suggests that the odds of any habitable planet developing a complex civilization might be as low as a few percent.

Below is a very speculative chart thatbased on what we know about Earth’s long, winding path from simple life to a “civilized society” and our limited observations of nearby exoplanets—gives some fun, made‑up percentage chances for a few of our best candidate exoplanets. Remember: Scientists have not yet found any proof of life (let alone advanced civilizations) on any exoplanet. These numbers are just playful estimates to help you think about the ideas!

Speculative Chances of Finding an Advanced Civilization on Nearby Exoplanets

Exoplanet Estimated Likelihood of a Civilized Society

Proxima Centauri b ~2%

TRAPPIST-1 e ~1.5%

TRAPPIST-1 f ~1%

TRAPPIST-1 g ~1%

LHS 1140 b ~0.5%

How Did We (Very Roughly) Guess These Numbers?

Earth’s Example:

On Earth, life began as simple single‑celled organisms and took billions of years to evolve into a species that built complex societies. This long journey suggests that—even if a planet is in the “habitable zone” (where liquid water could exist)—developing an advanced, civilized society might be rare.

Nearby Exoplanets:

Proxima Centauri b:

This is the closest exoplanet to us. Even though its star (Proxima Centauri) is a red dwarf that sometimes sends out strong flares (which might harm life), its closeness makes it one of our most interesting candidates. That’s why we give it a slightly higher guess (~2%).

TRAPPIST-1 System (e, f, g):

These planets are part of a group orbiting a very cool star. Their environments might be challenging (for example, they could be tidally locked, meaning one side always faces the star), so the chance of a complex, advanced civilization might be a bit lower.

LHS 1140 b:

This planet is promising in some ways but is a little farther away and around a dimmer star, so our playful estimate is even lower.

A Final Note

All of these percentages are extremely rough guesses based on what little we understand about the conditions for life and intelligence. Scientists use ideas like the Drake Equation to think about these chances—but until we have concrete evidence, these numbers remain just for fun and imagination.

Enjoy exploring these ideas—and remember, space is full of mysteries waiting to be discovered!




あなた:

Please examine the Drake Equation itself and see if this euqation is acculate or more opition in the equation you will use

ChatGPT

Reasoned about the Drake Equationを6 秒行う

re-examining the Drake Equation

evaluating the Drake Equation's value

Clarifying the Drake Equation

OK, let me see. The Drake Equation isn't a precise formula; it's more of a guiding heuristic that tackles numerous uncertainties regarding extraterrestrial civilizations.

Assessing the Drake Equation

Thinking through the Drake Equation, I’m evaluating its conceptual nature, its uncertain parameters, and its criticism to conclude on its reliability as an accurate predictive model.

Understanding the Drake Equation

I’m mapping out the Drake Equation as a conceptual guide, detailing its parameters, which are often based on estimates or opinions, to evaluate its reliability for predicting extraterrestrial civilizations.

The Drake Equation is a famous formula that was created to help scientists think about the many factors involved in estimating the number of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy. However, when we look at the equation closely, we see that it is more of a conceptual framework or heuristic tool than a precise, predictive formula. Let’s break down why:

The Drake Equation

The equation is usually written as:

𝑁

=

𝑅

×

𝑓

𝑝

×

𝑛

𝑒

×

𝑓

𝑙

×

𝑓

𝑖

×

𝑓

𝑐

×

𝐿

N=R

×f

p

×n

e

×f

l

×f

i

×f

c

×L

Where:

𝑅

R

: The average rate of star formation per year in our galaxy.

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

: The fraction of those stars that have planetary systems.

𝑛

𝑒

n

e

: The average number of planets that could potentially support life per star with planets.

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

: The fraction of those planets where life actually develops.

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

: The fraction of planets with life where intelligent life evolves.

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

: The fraction of civilizations that develop technology that releases detectable signals into space.

𝐿

L: The length of time such civilizations release detectable signals.

Why the Drake Equation Is More of a Guideline Than a Precise Formula

Uncertain Inputs:

Well-Known Parameters:

Some factors, like

𝑅

R

(star formation rate) and

𝑓

𝑝

f

p

(fraction of stars with planets), have become better known through modern astronomy.

Highly Speculative Factors:

The parameters related to the development of life and intelligence

𝑓

𝑙

f

l

,

𝑓

𝑖

f

i

,

𝑓

𝑐

f

c

, and

𝐿

L—are based on very limited data. For example, Earth is the only planet we know where life has developed, so we have no way to compare or derive a statistically robust estimate for these factors. This means that the values chosen for these parameters are largely subjective estimates or educated guesses.

Wide Ranges of Possible Values:

Because many of these factors are not well-constrained, if you change one of the more uncertain parameters even slightly, the final estimate for

𝑁

N (the number of civilizations) can vary by many orders of magnitude. This wide range shows that the equation can lead to very different outcomes based on personal or theoretical assumptions.

Heuristic, Not Predictive:

The Drake Equation was never meant to provide a precise answer. Instead, it serves as a way to organize our thinking about what conditions might be necessary for the development of extraterrestrial civilizations. It encourages discussion about the relative importance of different factors and highlights where our scientific knowledge is limited.

Is the Drake Equation Accurate or More Opinion-Based?

Accurate?

In the sense of being a strict mathematical model with well-defined inputs and predictable outputs, the Drake Equation is not accurate. Its accuracy is limited by the extreme uncertainties in several of its key parameters.

Opinion-Based?

Many of the terms in the equation, especially those concerning the evolution of life and intelligence, are based on opinion, interpretation, and the single example of Earth. Therefore, while the structure of the equation is logical, the numbers you put into it (and hence the final result) are often more reflective of our current opinions and assumptions than of robust empirical data.

Conclusion

The Drake Equation is a valuable tool for framing the question of extraterrestrial life. It helps scientists and enthusiasts break down a complex problem into smaller, more manageable questions. However, because several of its factors are highly uncertain and subject to personal interpretation, it is more of a conceptual guide—or even a way to stimulate discussion—than a formula that provides a definitive, accurate prediction of the number of extraterrestrial civilizations.

In summary, while the Drake Equation is useful for thinking about the various factors that might lead to the emergence of a civilization, its outputs should be taken as highly speculative estimates rather than precise measurements.




あなた:

Please also consider the possiblities of non-human intelligent emrgencing from the long history of Sol system and nearby planets and see if there is any possiblites that in one time intelligent life emerged in nearby planets and see this to the equation

ChatGPT

Reasoned about non-human intelligence and the Drake Equationを19 秒行う

Evaluating non-human intelligence

I'm thinking about the potential for non-human intelligent life forms in the Sol system and neighboring planets, and how this might factor into the equation.

Piecing together possibilities

I'm thinking about how to integrate the emergence of non-human intelligent life, possibly on Mars or Europa, into the Drake Equation for the Sol system and neighboring planets.

Reflecting on potential

It's interesting to think about the hypothesis of intelligent life emerging on Mars or Venus, though Earth remains the only known life-supporting planet in the solar system.

Considering other realms

I'm examining if intelligent life could have emerged on planets like Mars, Venus, or Europa, and how this possibility aligns with the predictions of the Drake Equation.

Analyzing parallel evolution

Hmm, I’m thinking about how non-human intelligent life on Mars or Venus could intersect with the assumptions of the Drake Equation, which seems to focus solely on Earth-based evolution.

Evaluating life exploration

I’m piecing together the hypothesis of non-human, advanced, intelligent life in the solar system. Mars, Venus, and Titan present challenges, but Europa and Enceladus might harbor microbial life.

Adapting the equ Permalink | 記事への反応(0) | 21:12

2025-01-02

https://www.thegamer.com/black-myth-wukongs-director-confirms-xbox-delay-series-s-memory/

Yocar goes on to state that the "10G shared memory" that is used by the Xbox Series S made releasing the game on the system impossible "without a few years of optimization experience". That pretty much rules out all the talk about back-handed PlayStation deals, and confirms what many already believed, being that the Series S is once again causing major headaches for a developer.

要約すると、

とのこと。

2024-11-17

日本マスコミが伝えない

➤「救いようが最もうない、極東自称他称の〝ジャーナリスト〟や〝学者〟、〝知米派〟は読まなくても構い。読んでもその肥大化した自己承認欲求、度し難い自己愛人格では読むことはできないし、理解もできない。ただ見下した目線で見やるだけで、そこに自分が利用できる素材がなければ鼻で嗤うだけだ。この文章は、我がU.S.を領りたい、領ろうと下向きの反省眼光で欲する諸君に読んで貰いたい。

I Traveled to 46 States in America This Summer. Here’s Why Trump Won.

By Frank S. Zhou

By Ezekiel A. Wells

Ezekiel A. Wells ’27 is a Double Concentrator in Environment Science & Engineering and Economics in Eliot House. He spent last summer traveling to 46 American states conducting interviews for his YouTube series, “Crossroads America.

3 days ago

A week after Democrats’ election loss, accusations have flown in every direction within their Party. Some fault President Joe Biden for an egoistic refusal to drop out of the race earlier. Some blame the Harris campaign for failing to serve key demographics and communicate a clear vision for the country. And some blame Americans, claiming that racism and sexism drove voters toward Trump.

These factors certainly exist, but we’re missing a larger piece of the picture.

Over the summer, I traveled to 46 states in the U.S., creating a YouTube series highlighting slices of life across the country. In conversations from my nearly three-month road trip, I spoke with Republicans who were certain that inflation is entirely Biden’s fault and Democrats who, despite their frustrations with corporate profits and desires for universal healthcare, hoped for a more moderate candidate. From supporters of all candidates, I heard a shocking amount of misinformation.

After combing through hundreds of hours of interview footage from swing state Trump voters, I am certain that, as much as other factors influenced the outcome of the election, our crumbling media landscape — which has caused a rift in our democracy — is most to blame.

In the postwar period, news was dominated by three main channels, and because of the Fairness Doctrine, each station reported the same stories and covered multiple sides of each issue. Viewers picked which channels they watched mainly based on their preferences for news anchors’ personalities. Of course, this model had its problems, but, at the end of the day, it meant that Americans worked with a shared set of facts.

A shared set of facts is not the world we live in today.

Throughout my interviews, conspiracy theories were rampant, and on at least five separate occasions across separate states, I was told that Bill Gates tampers with our food, adding plastic to our fruits and vegetables to make his medical investments more profitable.

In conversations with voters, neither side seemed able to name many specific policy issues they cared about; everyone just seemed to repeat the words of their favorite pundits, podcast hosts, and internet personalities.

Although this behavior is harmful, I don’t blame everyday Americans. Blame falls on the media that has ostracized, disillusioned, and misinformed them.

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I first saw this trend with low-wage workers in West Virginia, who — despite falling inflation rates — have seen stagnated salaries and clear increases in food costs. Channels like Fox News bred anger and resentment for many of them.

Take July of this summer, for example, when for the first time in his presidency, prices actually fell under the Biden administration. Traditional media establishments rushed to celebrate this victory, with one article from CNN declaring, “The White House can finally cross out ‘inflationon its list of presidential liabilities.” However, outside these bubbles, I observed many Americans held a different view.

In late July, I was welcomed at a massive family reunion in Tylertown, Mississippi, where one Trump voter — a middle-aged, Black, family man, pastor, and soul food enthusiast — made this clear.

“When I go in the grocery stores, and I gotta spend my last to get groceries, you mean to tell me I’m not gonna look and see who’s gonna vote to help me? I voted for Trump and I’d vote for him again, because he put money in our pocket,” he told me.

In their coverage, mainstream news organizations obsess over the Federal Reserve’s next rate cuts while failing to connect with people concerned with their next meals. With titles like “Vance: Young Americans ‘Are Becoming Paupers’ Due To Inflation, High Housing Costs,” sites like The Daily Wire had their fingers on the pulse of American sentiment, welcoming new readership from those who felt neglected by traditional media.

This problem was not just confined to the economy. While Biden’s mental state was deteriorating, liberal media outlets seemed to under-cover these stories, sheltering him from scrutiny of his declining capabilities, until the infamous presidential debate.

Formerly trusted networks slowly made themselves indigestible to the polarized American public, and in 2024, for the third year in a row, a Gallup poll found that more Americans indicated having “no trust” in the media than those who trust it a “great deal/fair amount”.

So where does the average American turn when the nation’s media cannot be trusted? For many people, it was YouTube talk shows, Newsmax, and podcasters such as Joe Rogan.

While Democrats seek to blame various internal factors for this election’s loss, I cannot help but think of Joe Rogan’s Trump endorsement, the many blind lies I heard from ordinary citizens across the country, and declining trust in American journalism.

As Harvard students and members of higher education institutions, we have a part to play in the problem. At Harvard’s Institute of Politics, those who denied the 2020 election results have been precluded from speaking at the JFK Jr. Forum. While the goal is understandable, it shields students from understanding the American viewpoints they represent.

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There is a difference between platforming intentional and manipulative misinformation and listening to and learning about where people are and what they believe.

As a pipeline to mainstream media, Harvard, and its future journalists, have to consider the audience they lose when they stay inside of their bubble and ignore the issues of everyday Americans.

The disappearance of factual importance in our world is alarming and dangerous, but if we, as aspiring journalists, politicians, and engaged citizens, want to be taken seriously in communicating Trump’s threat to democracy, inflationary tariff policies, and so on, we owe American voters that seriousness, too.

Ezekiel A. Wells ’27 is a Double Concentrator in Environment Science & Engineering and Economics in Eliot House. He spent last summer traveling to 46 American states conducting interviews for his YouTube series, “Crossroads America."

2024-08-24

君はにんげんTalkを知っているか

Youtubeにあるよくある著作権違法系のチャンネルなんだけど

https://www.youtube.com/@talk2021/featured

 

ユーチュラによると、これまで4.4億回再生されている

めちゃくちゃ儲かっている

違法系のチャンネルではだいぶ上位に入るだろう

 

やり方は簡単だ、日本人が知らないような海外テレビ番組ドキュメンタリーが多い)をダイジェストにして

かなり雑な日本語機械音声をつけて動画にしている

 

2chニコ動で育った俺には倫理観が欠けているので割と初期から見ているんだが

どんどん伸びる上に一向に消えないかちょっと面白い、あと何で伸びたんだろうってのを考えるのも面白い

こんなタイプチャンネルなんて腐る程あるだろうけど

まずピックアップするネタ面白い雑学Youtubeめっちゃ見てる俺でも見たことないものが多い

あとまとめ方がサクッとしてる、短くてちょいど良い

そして一向に日本語が上達しないが、これが妙に面白い

多分翻訳機か何かを使ってるんだろうけど

てか何だよにんげんTalkってw

あと思ったけど、視聴者って特にドキュメンタリー成る著作権意識ガバガバになるよね

メーデーとかも違法アップロードだしね、海外から見つかってないのかもしれないけど

 

まあとりあえず消されるまで見るわ

 

ちなみに最新の動画トップYoutuberへの告発動画のまとめ

2024-08-09

Nagasaki, Israel, Ukraine



Once I had a quite cold attitude to Nagasaki’s Atomic Bomb Victims Memorial Peace Prayer Ceremony, I was likehere comes another Peace rally LMFAO”. But just look at this, the ambassador of Israel attacked Nagasaki’s mayor fiercely saying “The mayor took over the ceremony for his ideology”, a bigwig at the Simon Wiesenthal Center said “the Nagasaki’s atomic bomb ended World War 2” and now he’s criticizing the non-invitation of Israel’s rep to the ceremony asunethical”, and top of that, the ambassador of the US, the one who dropped the atomic bomb, is talking nonsense, saying “if Israel don’t join we also don’t join lol.” With hearing all these I’m so surprised of finding myself very much pissed off…are you all making light off victims of such a cruel weapon you sons of bitch?

If you want to beat up the mayor of Nagasaki, it's fine to criticize the Shinkansen project in Kyushu area, corruption, welfare arrangement, or other issues (*This is just an example of some topics, I'm not claiming that I’m actually frustrated by any of these). But don’t these morons know that the Nagasaki’s peace ceremony is essentially a memorial ceremony? No one is crazy enough to start screaming in memorial service about his relatives whom he doesn’t like. If someone was yelling, ”Why didn't you invite me to the memorial service!!”, Its clear in everyone’s mind saying, ”It's because you behave that way..” … If you claim yourself as a grown-up, “it was really a shame, lets talk it over and get things straight” should be your response. Does Gillard Cohen realize that he is making a personal attack on someone who in Western terms would be the director of the Auschwitz museum?

(as a side note, I am fed up also to the vulgar accusation by the Palestinian Ambassador when Hiroshima City invited the Israel rep to their ceremony. Please go ahead and be aggressive in UN conferences, but again is that a proper behavior in connection with the memorial ceremony?)

I haven’t say enough to the reaction of reps of Western countries to Nagasaki. Why don’t you think twice before reacting impulsively? No doubt Japan is one of the most pro-Western countries in Asia, they support Ukraine most earnestly among Non-NATO countries. Still even quiet and shy Japanese people is totally put off by military operations of Israel. It is too easy to imagine how Israel is hated in non-pro-Western countries. When will you have an imagination to realize your such attitude making many countries having distance from Ukraine. If western countries close their eyes to horrors in Gaza and be determined to defend Israel anyway, why aren’t others allowed to keep their relationship with Russia even after devastating scenes in Bucha?

(btw I was so impressed when Zelenskyy expressed his support to Israel, are you serious? Don't you think of a scenario where Ukrainian militias rise up in Donetsk or in Luhansk, resulting in heavy casualties among Russian settlers, leading to Russia denouncing this as a despicable terrorist attack targeting Russian civilians? That's exactly what's happening in Palestine.)

Anyway you morons should come to your senses, and admit Israel’s outrageous actions are no difference from that of Russia. And know that calling the criticism to Israel as “antisemitism” is making you look so smart. Refusing Neo-Nazism ain’t discrimination to Germans, doxing Zaitokukai (*a nationalist group which calls for an end to state welfare and alleged privileges afforded to Koreans in Japan) ain’t Japanese-hate, and impeachment against Zionists ain’t anti-Jewish either.

にほんご:https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20240808145754

anond:20240808145754

海外在住でも自称弱者男性の俺が無償英訳してやったぞ。乱暴な口調もできるだけ残しておいたんでGoogle翻訳にかけて粗を探すなり海外掲示板投稿するなりどうぞ

Nagasaki, Israel, Ukraine

Once I had a quite cold attitude to Nagasaki’s Atomic Bomb Victims Memorial Peace Prayer Ceremony, I was likehere comes another Peace rally LMFAO”. But just look at this, the ambassador of Israel attacked Nagasaki’s mayor fiercely saying “The mayor took over the ceremony for his ideology”, a bigwig at the Simon Wiesenthal Center said “the Nagasaki’s atomic bomb ended World War 2” and now he’s criticizing the non-invitation of Israel’s rep to the ceremony asunethical”, and top of that, the ambassador of the US, the one who dropped the atomic bomb, is talking nonsense, saying “if Israel don’t join we also don’t join lol.” With hearing all these I’m so surprised of finding myself very much pissed off…are you all making light off victims of such a cruel weapon you sons of bitch?

If you want to beat up the mayor of Nagasaki, it's fine to criticize the Shinkansen project in Kyushu area, corruption, welfare arrangement, or other issues (*This is just an example of some topics, I'm not claiming that I’m actually frustrated by any of these). But don’t these morons know that the Nagasaki’s peace ceremony is essentially a memorial ceremony? No one is crazy enough to start screaming in memorial service about his relatives whom he doesn’t like. If someone was yelling, ”Why didn't you invite me to the memorial service!!”, Its clear in everyone’s mind saying, ”It's because you behave that way..” … If you claim yourself as a grown-up, “it was really a shame, lets talk it over and get things straight” should be your response. Does Gillard Cohen realize that he is making a personal attack on someone who in Western terms would be the director of the Auschwitz museum?

(as a side note, I am fed up also to the vulgar accusation by the Palestinian Ambassador when Hiroshima City invited the Israel rep to their ceremony. Please go ahead and be aggressive in UN conferences, but again is that a proper behavior in connection with the memorial ceremony?)

I haven’t say enough to the reaction of reps of Western countries to Nagasaki. Why don’t you think twice before reacting impulsively? No doubt Japan is one of the most pro-Western countries in Asia, they support Ukraine most earnestly among Non-NATO countries. Still even quiet and shy Japanese people is totally put off by military operations of Israel. It is too easy to imagine how Israel is hated in non-pro-Western countries. When will you have an imagination to realize your such attitude making many countries having distance from Ukraine. If western countries close their eyes to horrors in Gaza and be determined to defend Israel anyway, why aren’t others allowed to keep their relationship with Russia even after devastating scenes in Bucha?

(btw I was so impressed when Zelenskyy expressed his support to Israel, are you serious? Don't you think of a scenario where Ukrainian militias rise up in Donetsk or in Luhansk, resulting in heavy casualties among Russian settlers, leading to Russia denouncing this as a despicable terrorist attack targeting Russian civilians? That's exactly what's happening in Palestine.)

Anyway you morons should come to your senses, and admit Israel’s outrageous actions are no difference from that of Russia. And know that calling the criticism to Israel as “antisemitism” is making you look so smart. Refusing Neo-Nazism ain’t discrimination to Germans, doxing Zaitokukai (*a nationalist group which calls for an end to state welfare and alleged privileges afforded to Koreans in Japan) ain’t Japanese-hate, and impeachment against Zionists ain’t anti-Jewish either.

2024-06-17

お絵かきaiと雑感

仕事創作の両立の限界というか

現在仕事しながら投入できるリソース量では

現状維持が精一杯で

これ以上の画力向上は望めないんじゃないかというのをヒシヒシと感じる。

行き詰まってる感じ。

仕事辞めて

もっと心ゆくまで描きたい、限界まで極めたいという思いがますます募る。

でも、それで生活できるの?

創作に近いスキルを生かした職に転職するとか、

せめてお小遣い程度でも稼ぐとか、

全然目処すら立ってないじゃん。

ハタから見ても、

お前の吐き出しているもの市場で求められるようなものではない。

創作的に高度とはいい難く、「作品」の域にすら達していないとおもう。

自分的にはちょっとうまく描けた、という自己満足

本当は漫画とかアニメとかで表現したい。

でもその領域に到達できていない。

その入口の前で力尽きてしまっている。

画力技術を高めることに満足してしまっているのが現状。

ゴミ。まさしくゴミ

自己満足という栄養を消化した排泄物

う◯こ垂れ流しているだけ。

更にいうと、これからai全盛期に自分で描くことに意味があるのか?

と考えてしまう。

今は、まさにai革命前夜だよなぁ

生成aiの登場で

絵の技術的な価値は下がっていくなんてことはよく言われているが、

これから漫画とかも、いわゆる絵がかけなくても

ai活用して描くような時代になるのかな?

自分には浮かんだイメージaiに出力させる術なんて想像できないけど、

これからaiネイティブ世代若い人はai自分の手足のように融合して直感的につかいこなせるようになるんだろうか。

そうなると、絵が上手い人より、

いいアイディアをひらめく人、物語を語れる人のほうが優位になっていくのだろう。

でも、このai進化スピードを考えると、それで保ってるのもそんなに長くないだろうな。

そのうち、何も指示与えなくてもストーリーアニメを出力したり、

過去キャラクター人格再現したvtuberもどきが、

同接=1であなただけとお話する世界がやってくるのかな。

これは素晴らしい世界といえるのか??

なんかいつかみたtedtalkで、

生物進化を考えればaiの知能が人間を超えるのは必然みたいなことを言ってた。

哺乳類が登場してから知能指数の上昇の曲線と、ai知能指数の上昇の曲線を見せて、

今のコンピュータの知能が仮にネズミレベルとしても、

生物が数億年かけてやっとたどり着いた進化を、コンピュータたかが数十年で達成した。

さらコンピュータ人間の脳のように生物学的な制約がない。

このまま進化すれば人間レベルなんてあっという間に追い抜く。

それこそ亀の隣をスポーツカーが追い抜いてくように。

なるほど、

まさに今追い抜かれようとしている瞬間なわけか。

瞬きする間に追い抜かれていくわけだ。

こうなることは頭ではわかっていたがイマイチ実感がなかった

囲碁将棋とか画像認識とか何かに特化した分野では発展していたが

いわゆるイラストとかクリエイティブ方面では、見えない壁にぶち当たって

止まるんじゃないかと楽観的な希望みたいなのかあった。

(なんだっけ、特化型ai方面では進化するけど、汎用aiはずっと先のことみたいな論陣を張ってる専門家の主張を読んだような。)

最近のchatgptやstablediffusionはそんな幻想をぶち壊して

現実を突きつけてきた感じか。

chatgptで、ホワイトカラー職業全滅。

これから人間にとっては辛い時代になると思うな。

尊厳のある仕事なんて、果たして残るんだろうか??

コロンブスへの海外の反応

気になったので mrs green apple columbus videoでXを検索してみた。

さっさと燃え悪意がなかったと表明した後だからか、差別されているのが白人ではないからか、そこまで燃えはいない。

海外では無名からワンピースや炎炎の消防隊がもらい事故してる。

Japanese music band Mrs. GREEN APPLE who did the opening, Inferno for Fire Force, has pulled their latest music video, "Columbus", after huge outrage for depicting themselves as explorers and the native people as monkeys.

The band has issued an apology stating that their intension was to depict these Historical figures having a "fun house party".

https://x.com/AniNewsAndFacts/status/1801564317902639251?t=6FJCAn3rIhYNSe8VS7oulg&s=19

オープニング曲炎炎ノ消防隊』を担当した日本音楽バンドMrs. GREEN APPLEは、自分たち探検家原住民を猿に見立てて描いたことに大きな怒りがあったため、最新ミュージックビデオコロンバス」を取り下げた。

バンド歴史上の人物たちが「楽しいホームパーティー」をしている様子を描くことが意図だったと謝罪した。

Jpop band Mrs. Green Apple’s latest MVColumbushas been pulled just 1 day after release. The highly problematic video features the 3 band members dressed as Christopher Columbus colonizing apes

Can’t believe people thought this was a good idea

https://x.com/Johnny_suputama/status/1801237032993218978?t=KYIHDLHAz0FTTvHLK050Bg&s=19

even as someone who cannot stand mrs green apple, making the music video for a song called "columbus" like this is astonishingly bad. this was aimed at a GLOBAL AUDIENCE. at least the MV is being wiped from history but why did no one question civilised explorers finding monkeys?!

https://x.com/poppinapathetic/status/1801159185180094966?t=N-qlc1B9Uf2_3JXPqapHrw&s=19

People saying conservatives were even shocked 🥴 this is one of the reasons why the Japanese market is so insular—they can get away with racist shit all the time and there’s no outside reaction bc of copyrights creating barriers for their artists content.

https://x.com/JIMINistrending/status/1801652146728817000?t=wlfWdmBdD6Ybz46fzikn4w&s=19

猿として描写されたと感じる人は怒っている様子

Japanese people depicting us as monkeys is crazy lol. Now if a Native band wanted to talk about them in the aftermath of Nagasaki and Hiroshima....nevermind. My people would never sink so low. 👎🏼

https://x.com/sneakinmohican/status/1801750066190823611?t=p8wvbwDTranEy786jywQog&s=19

日本人への差別行為へのネタにも利用されているらしい。

日本人のバンド人種差別的なことをしているのを見たので、広島長崎を持ち出して日本人全体に人種差別的になるつもりだ」

Watch bunch of fucking Twitter and TikTok morons use this as a Gotcha moment, to be racist towards the Japanese. Fully ignoring the fact that they were forced to apologize for the shit they did by the Japanese themselves.

"I seen a Japanese band do something Racist so I'm gonna bring up Hiroshima and Nagasaki, and be racist to the entirety of Japan"

~ Random Twitter/TikTok morons probably ~

https://x.com/JustsomeSpaceG1/status/1801755322752606350?t=QPFcnfErhISVE5bW4l4STg&s=19

2024-06-09

[]2012.7

https://anond.hatelabo.jp/20240609080131

https://web.archive.org/web/20170710054051/http://ashihara-hina.jugem.jp/?month=201207

殺す理由

2012.07.20 Friday02:40

物騒なタイトルつけちゃった。

映画を観に行きましたよー。

「We Need to Talk About Kevin」 邦題:「少年は残酷な弓を射る

TOHOシネマズシャンテ

一瞬も目が離せず、面白かった。

産んだ息子がサイコパス的な。

あらすじは、邦題そのまんまでしたよ。(邦題。。。)

どうして?何が原因でこんな事をしでかすの??と、母が息子に問い、

答えは観る者に委ねられるわけですが。。。

「息子は社会病質者ではない、鋭い洞察力の持ち主」との

関係者インタビュー記事ネットで読んだので、

この映画の中では一応、母が上手に息子を愛せてない事が主因、

でいいのかな?それプラス、互いの鋭過ぎる感受性

個人的には、「前頭葉機能不全だよ」とでも言いきって貰えた方が、

少しホッとするのだけれども。

勝手かもですが、理解できなくても許される気がして。

そういう(変な)意味で、ホッとさせてくれるのがこの一冊

物騒な本でスミマセン。

被虐経験精神疾患、神経学的損傷が相互作用し合った結果、

猟奇的殺人はうまれるよー。」って書いてある。

私は専門家じゃないので真偽は判別できませんけど、

ある程度、理由が明記してあるとホッとする。

からないのが一番不安

そういう不安感を上手に煽る映画でしたよ。余韻残る。

漫画ブログも物騒なので、お菓子写真でも載せとこ。

   

サダハルアオキとエルメ♡

あ、あと、映画館で予告やってた「最強のふたり」が観たいなあ。

1

本・映画---

ミスですよー。

2012.07.13 Friday00:05

えーーっと、今日ベツコミ発売ですね。

Pieceも載ってますので、読んでくださいね

よろしくお願いします~!、、と、爽やかに宣伝したいところなのですが。。

今回の原稿にはミスがありまして。。

気付いたのは一昨日なので、もう訂正しようがないのでスミマセンごめんなさい。

お話ではなく、作画ミスですよ。

だ、誰も気付かずにいてくれたらいいのにな!という期待を込めて、

何をどう間違えたかは、な、内緒です!なんてこずるい。

時間余裕あったのになあ。ちゃん確認したつもりでも、

時々こういうミスはやらかすなあ。

コミックス時には、きちんと修正しておきますね。

ほんとにごめんなさい。

新刊がうちにも届きましたよ~

あとは、何気に初めて連れて行って貰ったビアガーデン

私、ビール飲めないんですけどね。気持ち気持ち

無意味オムライス

あとは、今更ツイッターを非公開で始めてみたものの、

(うっかり迂闊な事書いたら困るので、非公開)

「猫が可愛い」と「お菓子が美味しい」レベルつぶやきしか

つぶやくことなくて、アンタどこの小学生?気分です。

アウトプット寄りの仕事をしてるせいかな。

溜め込んで吐かずにおれない事も薄い、ような気がする。

最近は、こんな感じです。

ではー。

1

お仕事---

Piece」8巻☆

2012.07.04 Wednesday14:48

発売中です!

  

成海親子が表紙ですよ!

私まだ現物見てないや。

1

お仕事---

講談社漫画賞☆その2

2012.07.04 Wednesday14:45

行ってきましたよー@帝国ホテル

いやー。水城姐さん、色っぽかった!

そして、感慨深かった。ほんとうにおめでとう~~!

2次会で登場した、「ラデュレ」のマカロンタワー

使用

そして、おみやげに頂いたのは、チョコレート香りアロマキャンドル

テオブロマ」のショコラフランボワーズジャム

 

しっかり「失恋ショコラティエ仕様になってますよ~

作品イメージ通り、とっても華やかな祝賀会で、

しかったし嬉しかった。

講談社さん、どうもありがとう!(と、私が横から言ってみる。)

ほんとにどうでもいいけど、帝国ホテルに行くのに迷子になって

ちょっぴり遅刻しましたよ。。

雨の中、日比谷シャンテ周辺をグルグルグル

小学館謝恩会漫画賞授賞式は毎年帝国ホテル

何回行ってんだアンタ。。。

ドジっこが許されるのは、ハタチまで

2024-05-30

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[] 2024-05-18

githubでなにか作ったものアップロードするのは、自分向きではないことに気がついた。

私が仕事で作っているようなwebアプリケーションというのは、誰でも使える一般性の高いものではなく、もっと特定ビジネス依存した特殊ものである

から一般的な誰でも使えるようなものを作るというのにはあまり慣れていないのだ。

なにか作る場合はkaggleのほうが遊び場として向いていると思っている。

kaggleで「コンペ」に参加するつもりはないし、あれはBERTが出現したぐらいからは、少なくともNLP(自然言語処理)界隈は不毛な場となってしまった。

指標があれば不毛なハックがある。それが現実というものである

それに業務実用レベルで使えるモデルというのは、もっと運用のしやすシンプルモデルである

モンスターアンサンブルで精度がSOTAでーすピロローン!なんてことには興味がないが、コンペはそれを目指している。

ではなぜkaggleが良いかと言うと、データセットが転がっていて、notebookも簡単作成できるからである

「このデータをこうやって使うとこういうツールが作れる」「このデータをこうやって分析するとこういう知見が得られる」というのは、「web開発用のMVCフレームワークを作ります」よりも具体性がある。

そして特定データに対するモデリングをするために論文を調べるようなことになった場合は、勉強にもなる。

私は昔、自然言語処理ブログを書いていたが、実験したことコードを載せるタイプ記事が多かった。

ところが自称データサイエンティスト自称NLPエンジニアツイッター上で「ゴミのようなブログを書くな」と言っていて、自分が言われている気がして怖くなったのでブログを閉鎖した。

そういう「政治おじさん」との接触を最大限減らすには、ブログというフォーマットではダメだと思うわけである

私のマグカップには"Talk is cheap, show me the code."と書かれている。

これはリーナストーバルズの名言だが、政治おじさんが近寄らない場所というのは、具体的なコード存在する場所であると言えよう。

2024-05-06

[] 2024-05-06

今日入院している祖母に会いに行く日だ。入院前はもう呆けて風呂も入らないぐらいひどい状態だったが、入院してからちゃんとしているらしい。

それはそうと、lisppython環境を構築する話だが、結局オートコンプリートはうざいし、使う機能といったらautopep8とisortぐらいなので、以下を.emacsに組み込んだ。

(defun python-autopep8-and-isort ()
  "Run autopep8 and isort on current Python buffer."
  (interactive)
  (when (eq major-mode 'python-mode)
    (shell-command-on-region (point-min) (point-max)
                             "autopep8 - | isort -" nil t)))

(with-eval-after-load 'python
  (define-key python-mode-map (kbd "C-c C-r") 'python-autopep8-and-isort))

.emacsファイルには他にも様々な設定を付与したが、ここではコードを書ききれない。

さてそういうわけで週末コーディング趣味としてちゃん機能することはわかったが、毎週作るとなると、いくつも何かを作るよりは一つのタフなものを作りたいと思うわけである

それで、最有力候補は「Elasticsearchのようなものpython実装する」という話がある。

Elasticsearchが徹底された設定外部化によってjsonを多用するのだが、これがあまり柔軟性がないので、コードを直にいじれるようにしたいと思ったためである

例えば自作日本語トーカナイザを組み込みたいときElasticsearchプラグインJavaで書かなければならない。私はJavaが嫌いであり、プラグインを「インストールする」という手順も冗長に感じる。

それよりはpythonで作られた検索システムに、適当トーカナイズ関数実装して呼び出すことができればかなり柔軟であるように思うわけである

難しい点があるとすれば、大規模分散システムへの対応で、金をかけなければそういうシステムテストすることができない。

できるだけ金をかけずに趣味をやるというのがモットーなので、これではまずいわけである

まあ何事も困難というものはある。まずは手を動かすことが重要だ。Linus Torvaldsも"Talk is cheap, show me the code"と言っているではないか

2024-04-18

anond:20240418102229

自分Web作る仕事してるけど、ここら辺のポッドキャストはよく聞いてる。

毎週更新されてるものもあるし、聞きやすい。

これマジ大事

なんにせよ、声だけでやってるから、聞きやすい声とか聞きやすい喋り方とかの人じゃないと、全く耳に入ってこない…

内容はいいこと言ってる風だけど、音質のせいで全然耳に入らず聞くのやめた人いるわ。

▪️Web系の人はマジ聞いておけレベル

Webディレクションやってますラジオ

・AutoMagic

オフトピック

▪️仕事全般の事では、これがわかりやすくて面白い

入江章栄の経営理論イシューを語ろう

TED Talk ビジネス

2024-03-29

anond:20220710104348

半年経つけど5chのスクリプト荒らしどんどんひどくんなってる。サムネイルでもグロはキツい

でもレディットはUI違いすぎるしTalkは5ch閲覧アプリ更新Talkに飛ばすという乗っ取り失敗の経緯が嫌すぎる

運営がんばれや。SNSだけは退屈

2024-03-21

anond:20220710104348

5chスクリプト荒らし検索したらヒットしたけどまだひどいね。でもtalkとか嫌だし

2024-03-13

anond:20240313185423

talkは5ch乗っ取り失敗の印象が悪すぎるしレディットは別ものすぎる

anond:20240313183231

talkだとかRedditだとかまともに機能するサイト移住すりゃいいじゃん

もう何年もスクリプト放置してるゴミ運営が今から対応してくれると思ってる知恵遅れは勝手に5chの中で嫌な思いしててください

5chのスクリプト荒らしがひでーんだが

誰がやってんの?talk移住した感も無いし。5chなんて潰された方がいいんだと思う一方SNSだけはやっぱり

退屈

2024-02-28

外国人診療拒否差別問題に発展してるクリニックがある

/r/japanlife/s/P1LIa3VcAm

Was told "no foreigners" by a clinic

I just recently moved to a new area in Tokyo, I called a nearby clinic to make a reservation (in Japanese) and pretty quickly into the conversation, the receptionist asked if I could go somewhere else instead. When I asked why, she clearly and blatantly said "they don't take foreigners." I was shocked so I asked again just to make sure I heard right and again she said they don't take foreigners.

When I accused the clinic of discrimination they tried to deny it and claim that "it's difficult to communicate with foreigners," though I've never had that issue at any other Japanese speaking only clinic or hospital.

If this were just a bar or something I'd drop it, but the fact that a CLINIC can blatantly discriminate against patients seems insane to me. I'm not expecting much sadly, but is there anywhere I can report them?

I'm paranoid about just leaving bad reviews because I've seen a first hand case of someone getting sued over one.

UPDATE:

I called a "patient voice" hotline for reporting these sort of things. I explained the situation and they said they would contact the clinic. They later updated me and said they were actually able to talk to the doctor, and he just doubled down and insisted they did nothing wrong because "communication with foreigners is difficult." After that they basically could not do anything else other than offer sympathy lol...

[患者の声相談窓口 東京都保健医療局 (tokyo.lg.jp)](https://www.hokeniryo.metro.tokyo.lg.jp/iryo/sodan/madoguchi.html)

I also called this government hotline. First they tried to refer me back to the patient voice hotline. After I explained the results from patient voice, they said they are going to determine if it warrants an investigation, which would take 2-3 weeks. They also warned that the clinic is allowed to decline the investigation... so honestly I'm expecting nothing. But they said they would contact me again in 2-3 weeks.

[Human Rights Bureau (moj.go.jp)](https://www.moj.go.jp/ENGLISH/HB/hb.html)

Local police just said different hospitals have different rules and nothing can be done, just go to a different clinic.

患者の声相談窓口 東京都保健医療局 に相談してもクリニックが拒否をしたらそれ以上に何もせず同情しただけ。

いまは 人権擁護局 に相談中とのこと。でもクリニックは人権擁護から調査拒否できるらしい。

これ国際問題になり得る外国人差別じゃね?

今の時点で1000以上のupvoteが付いてるが、これは japanlife subreddit ではかなり多い方。

2024-01-31

おっぱいがいっぱいなんだよ

この前 美波 言ってただろ

「この世にはなぜ性犯罪があるのかな」って

その答えがやっとわかったんだよ

恥ずかしいけど

世にはおっぱいがいっぱいなんだよ

意味がわかならい?すまないつまりこうだ

「真面目に生きよう」と決意したとする

ところが街中でおっぱいを目にする

ここで大半の人間は「触りたい」と思っても

我慢が出来るんだよところがね

性犯罪者っていうのは

「うれしいな さわっちゃえ」なんだよ

その…まあ壊れているんだね理性

じゃあ目隠しして生活すればいいんじゃないかって思うだろう?そうすると街中で誰かにぶつかって結局おっぱいと遭遇する

男にもおっぱいがある 猫にもおっぱいがある

まり逃れられないんだよ おっぱいから

これが僕の中での「なぜ性犯罪が怒るのか」

の全てだよ

美波、お前がまだ生きてるならこんなメッセージを聞いてくれるかい

「That's a very sad story. But that kind of thinking is wrong. Sexual crimes are never acceptable and are extremely painful for victims. Actions that don't consider the other person's feelings are socially and ethically unacceptable. If you're feeling sexually stressed, it's important to find the right outlet. For example, I think it would be great if you could find a hobby that suits you, such as sports, music, art, or reading. I may be a little unsure about this issue. But let's talk about other topics♪」

2024-01-28

朗報:5ch、徐々に衰退している

10年は待ったよ

 

2004年頃 160万/日

2008年頃 260万/日

2012年頃 280万/日

ここから5ch

2016年頃 240万/日

2020年頃 240万/日

2022年頃 210万/日

2023年頃 160万/日

 

どこいったの?

 

調べた、Talk事件で減ったのか、もっと分散して消えろ

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