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Showing posts with label Shoudoshima. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Shoudoshima. Show all posts

Monday, March 21, 2016

Day 2, Game 1 - Shoudoshima (Kagawa) vs. Kamaishi (Iwate)

The tournament took a bit to wind up, but things appear to finally get rolling with Shiga Gakuen's dominance in the final game of the day. Day 2 is upon us, and 3 matchups that to be honest could go any which direction.

Sadly for Kamaishi and Shoudoshima, two of the three 21st century teams will have to square off right off the bat. While that does mean that one guaranteed does advance, it also guarantees that one is eliminated - though to be honest, the chances of all 3 advancing if they aren't playing each other is slim to none.

Shoudoshima can hang on their hat one thing that no other team can - they were the only team to defeat the Meiji Jingu champions Takashima Shougyou in the prefectural final. Now, they did lose to Tosa, but they weren't out of that game so they seem to at least be competitive, though not dominating - as evidenced by the fact that ace Hasegawa strikes out very few batters (3.7/9).

Kamaishi is by far the "feel good" story, being invited on the 5th anniversary of the Tohoku Earthquake. However, they do not have a quality win, instead their key game is a 6-3 loss to Moriokadai Fuzoku in the Iwate finals (Sadly Tohoku doesn't count as a powerhouse anymore). Their ace Iwama sports a K rate even worse than his counterpart (3!).

Both teams are offensively challenged, but given the pitching on the mound, all bets are off because it's possible the teams could go off.

On resume, Shoudoshima should be the favorite, but realistically it's a crap shoot.

Shoudoshima (Kagawa)
SS Himoto Naoya
3B Sudou Takumi
P Hasegawa Hironori
C Uematsu Yuuki
1B Ishikawa Ukyou
CF Sakakura Naoki
RF Shimoji Jyunya
LF Hourai Shouta
2B Sakaguchi Yamato

Kamaishi (Iwate)
RF Sasaki Kouta
CF Okamichi Yuuto
2B Okumura Sougo (#6)
3B Kikuchi Yuuki
1B Niinuma Koudai
P Iwama Dai
LF Sasaki Naoto
C Oojiri Yuuya
SS Ishizaki Noritaka (#4)

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09:00 - First Pitch!

What you're seeing is probably what will happen the rest of the game. Any time either team will get a baserunner, you can bet with almost 100% confidence that they will bunt them along. Neither teams' offense are prolific, so any baserunner they get will be leveraged as much as they can. Of course neither comes to anything in the first.

But it also looks like there will be a lot of opportunities to get runners as both pitchers throw really slow (~120). Both have a wide variety of pitches (I believe both have a 2-seamer, slider, curve, change), but throwing as slow as they do, there should be chances to get base hits.

Sakakura gets on base for Shoudoshima in the 2nd, but the bottom of the lineup can't get him home from 2nd.

Kamaishi's bottom of the 3rd, Oojiri singles through the right side, but when a balk is called on a pickoff attempt, Ishizaki's bunt moves him to 3rd instead. Back to the top of the lineup, and Kouta guides a ball at his shoetops just onto the grass in center for a 1-0 lead.

Seemingly to keep the balance, In the 4th Uematsu heli's a high pitch down the right field line for a double and eventually moves to 3rd. But unlike Kamaishi, Shoudoshima's batters can't bring the run home.

Shoudoshima gets another chance with Hourai's single back up the middle to start the 5th. Sakaguchi struggles with the bunt, but the 3rd time's the charm (it'd better be) and moves the runner over. Himoto gets a hold of one, but flies it to the toughest part of the ballpark (RF) and is out. Hourai does take the tagup though so there's that.

But Sudou chops one to 3rd. Yuuki makes the pick and throw, beating a head-sliding Sudou to end the threat. The game eventually hits the break with a balk being the difference.

Opportunities start to crop up more often in the 2nd half of the game. Both times Shoudoshima got a runner on base, it was with 1 out and Sugiyoshi-kantoku elected to try and steal 2nd. It wasn't successful in the 6th, and while it was in the 8th with 2 down, Hasegawa meekly grounded out to 2nd to end the inning.

Kamaishi meanwhile started getting more solid hits. Okamichi and Iwama both got doubles in the 6th and 7th respectively. But they too  couldn't get the timely hit like they did in the 3rd.

But in the 8th, after a single by Souta. Okumura with 2 down outhits his coverage. Sakakura chases the ball back, but that easily brings in the run. 2-0 and that settled affairs.

At least I thought it did. Ishikawa does get a one out single to left. But suddenly out of nowhere, a grounder to short by Sakakura bounces off Okumura and into left. And then Naoto misplays it! It gets past him too and Ishikawa scores all the way from 1st! Amazingly, it's 2-1!

But I think Shoudoshima tried to press on, Shimoji grounding to 3rd (does advance the runner), and Hourai quickly grounding out to 2nd to end the game. Kamaishi does hold on for the win, despite the bizarre circumstances in the 9th.

There isn't really much to say here as neither team really impressed offensively, and while Iwama was the better pitcher, he certainly was hittable. His pitches had good movement, but I think Shoudoshima could have been more patient at the plate.

Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Reviewing the field - 21st Century Teams

It seems a bit unfair to lump these schools into 1 post, but in general most 21st century teams are there for their cup of coffee and not much else. It's kinda the reason why these bids were created for the most part. There have been some exceptions, the most recent in 2009 when Rifu went to the semifinals defeating both Narashino and Waseda Jitsugyou before losing to Hanamaki Higashi, but in general these teams either are one-and-done or two-and-done.

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Kamaishi (Iwate) - lost in 2nd round of Tohoku Super-Regionals

Certainly selected because they were devastated by the tsunami back in 2011, Kamaishi was on life-support right off the bat after being blown out by Takada in their first game 10-1. They fought back through the repechage (note that in the fall tournaments it isn't necessarily a single elimination tournament in the prefecturals. Some have round-robins, other like here in Iwate have repechages in the regionals) to reach the prefecturals. And while they struggled at times against no-name competition, they reached the finals where they tried to hold firm against Moriokadai Fuzoku, but fell 6-3. They did the same against Tohoku tying the game at 2 with a squeeze in the top of the 9th and held on for 2 more inning before being sent off 3-2 in the 12th.

Iwama Dai (岩間 大) is the team's ace, but I don't have any info on his pitching. The stats from the two losses don't inspire confidence though. In 19.2 IP he had given up 18 H, 5 ER, 3 K, 6 BB.

Offensively, again with small sample size, there were some batters that did have success in their two losses to known squads. Not surprisingly, 2 of them are their 3-4 hitters, 3B Kikuchi Yuunosuke (菊池 勇之介) and 1B Aranuma Yasuhiro (新沼 康大). At the bottom of the order is 2B Ishizaki Masutomo (石崎 仁鵬) who laid down that squeeze.

But while they were able to at least hang tough against better competition, it's still not against strong competition relatively speaking and as a result I don't think their prospects are that good.

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Nagata (Hyogo) - lost in quarterfinals of Hyogo prefecturals

Nagata performed adequately during their fall run, reaching the

Nagata may have the best prospects of all the 21st century teams if only for one thing - their ace Sonoda Ryousuke (園田 涼輔) who is garnering attention from pro scouts. Discounting for local stadiums' radar guns he probably throws in the mid-to-upper 130s with a changeup to go with the standard slider-curve combo. In every game he pitched in he averaged at least a K/IP including 9 in their loss to Shinkou Gakuen.

The only problem is that he has to be on point all the time. There is no mention of anyone on offense for the team, and worse yet, in 5 of their 7 games they scored just 2 runs, and in another they scored just 3. This against lesser competition raises a red flag because you can't win if you can't score.

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Shoudoshima (Kagawa) - lost in 1st round (quarterfinals) of Shikoku Super-Regionals

Tosa has Shoudoshima to thank for getting invited because if the JHBF was going to take Shoudoshima as a 21st century team, Tosa had to be included.

Shoudoshima also won the Kagawa prefecturals, defeating upper-average teams such as Marugame and Jinsei Gakuen, and actually handed Takamatsu Shougyou their only loss in the fall (in 12 innings!!). However, that success did not translate as they lost their opening game of the super-regionals 4-3 to the aforementioned Tosa.

Their ace, and only pitcher, is Hasegawa Taiku (長谷川 大矩). There is no info on him, but the stats against Takamatsu Shougyou and Tosa have him at 20 innings, with 10 Ks and 0 walks.

That's right, zero, zip, zilch, nada. To quote Michio Kaku, "it means nothing".


Okay, enough commercial references...

A 0 walk performance means that he has to be around the zone a lot. So much so that the defense will surely be busy all the time. And with poorer K numbers than his counterpart Sonoda at Nagata, the margin of error certainly is smaller. Though with 16 hits in that same 20 innings, he seems to avoid getting batted around at least

Offensively they seem to be as potent as Nagata, scoring 2 or 3 runs in 4 of their 6 games. Furthermore, Hasegawa is their #3 hitter and along with C Uematsu Hiroki (植松 弘樹) and 1B Ishikawa Susumu (石川 生強) consist the heart of the lineup, and of course where they have any success (the other members in the lineup were a combined 3-47 in those 2 games!!).

With black holes surrounding the lineup and a pitcher who goes mainly to contact, Shoudoshima is skating on about the thinnest of ice.