THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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• 2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
• 2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2013

January, 2013

• 27 You say Goodbye… and I say Hello

• 24 Blog Beta Testers Needed

• 17 NHL apologizes for being late, and will have players make it up for them

• 14 NHL, NHLPA MOU

• 09 Looks like I picked a good day to suspend blogging

• 05 Indefinite, but short, hiatus

• 04 Think or hit, don’t do both

• 04 “The NHL is using this suit in an attempt to force the players to remain in a unionâ€?

• 04 Poll: I read eBooks on…

• 04 Simple Hall of Fame voting change

• 04 Are the best one-and-done players better than the worst first-ballot Hall of Famers?

• 03 Latest NHL developments

• 03 Base scores

• 03 Liability costs for gun ownership

• 03 SOMEONE did get elected to the Hall of Fame?

• 03 Murray Chass: kicking and screaming his way out the door

• 03 Park-based DH rule

• 03 Please explain “escrow” in one tweet

• 02 Dogs

• 02 Cheaters

• 02 DH archive

• 02 Iceberg

• 02 Inertial fans

• 02 Compensation Rules

• 02 Random variation around a true mean

• 01 Retrosheet-style NFL data

• 01 BBWAA poised to make historical non-vote

2012

December, 2012

• 31 Fay Vincent on Donald Fehr

• 31 The Book - Report Any Printing Problems

• 31 BBWAA v Book Blog Readers

• 31 Arachnophobia

• 31 Ripoff movies

• 28 Testing UZR, DRS, and SAFE

• 28 Yet another BBWAA declines to be a Holy Writer

• 28 NHL’s makes latest final final final offer

• 28 Testing the pure-rookie forecasts

• 28 Pitcher v Pitcher

• 27 Correlations and meanings

• 27 What are forecasts?

• 27 MLB batting practice caps

• 27 How much money would you spend on season tickets?

• 27 Crowdsourcing… height and weight?

• 27 Integrity of a season

• 27 Situational walks

• 27 Passwords: most and least common

• 26 How do you bid on ebay?

• 26 Control groups

• 26 Memento - a decade later

• 25 Why Curt Schilling but not Kevin Brown?

• 25 Bias in ERA

• 24 FIP is… as FIP does

• 24 Steubenville High

• 24 Prospects 2006

• 24 When Russia claims to better treat its business and workers, you know you are in bad shape

• 24 Slow-death of ERA?

• 24 kwERA Awareness

• 22 Youngest Historian and Future Saberist?

• 22 Catchers in the Hall of Fame

• 21 The Book is again available at Amazon

• 21 Bettors and sports

• 21 kwERA

• 21 Game Theory: Pitch Selection Model

• 20 Soccer jerseys, based on MLB uniforms

• 20 Hitter performance based on the identity of his team’s pitcher

• 20 Where to bat your best (and worst) batter

• 20 Raines’ best game, with last at bat called by Vin Scully

• 19 Strike Zone: actual v book

• 19 Fehr speaks

• 19 How many years does it take to sign Trout for 100MM$?

• 19 How much should the NHL give to the players?

• 18 Empathy or isolation?

• 18 David Chase finally explains Sopranos ending

• 17 Two faces of NHL, as seen by Larry Brooks

• 17 Second Amendment

• 17 NHL v NHLPA, Canada v USA

• 17 Crowd v Actual

• 17 Fehr/Fehr balance

• 17 Cabrera 2011 > Cabrera 2012

• 16 Do we need jousting in football?

• 16 Bleg: Music Sheet for SpongeBob’s Don’t Be Jerk, It’s Christmas

• 16 Platoon based on fielding, not hitting?

• 16 MySQL Retrosheet Database

• 15 NHL prepares a lawsuit the way we prepare a resume

• 14 Disclaimer of Interest!  Now we’ve got a party

• 14 If the GOP were smart, they’d make the smart guys in charge

• 14 What to expect from a workhorse pitcher?

• 14 WOWY on baseball managers’ propensity to greenlight runners

• 14 Runs or Wins for forecasting?

• 14 Is Hitting Contagious?

• 13 Expanding NFL playoffs

• 13 Dear Ira Podell

• 13 Without the threat of a strike, can sports unions possibly survive?

• 13 Are minor league performances AS reliable as major league performances, all other things equal?

• 13 Mark Cuban on negotiations

• 13 Concert 121212

• 13 “Selfish, selfish Dickey wants to be paid almost adequately”

• 13 Fehr v Bettman, via Chass

• 13 Smoltz or Glavine?

• 13 Old LHH should retire at Yankee Stadium

• 12 Where is the NHL bargaining session?

• 12 Jim Quinn: NHL’s Santa?

• 12 Did John Dujay say the least informative thing about a hockey player ever?

• 12 Are there too many NHL games?

• 12 Leave high-quality talent alone?

• 12 When to intentionally allow a TD

• 11 Donald Fehr: Batman

• 11 R.A. Price

• 11 Offense v Defense blips

• 11 Paradigm shift: Long-term contracts

• 11 Is Gary Bettman John Ziegler?

• 11 Is Olympics going to be the next bargaining chip?

• 10 Why does Fehr want escrow limits?

• 10 Non-existing 25% variance requirement

• 10 How that NHL bargaining session sans-Fehr came to be

• 10 National Histrionics League continues: more games cancelled

• 10 Ron Leflore

• 10 Chilly D’s Sports Lounge

• 10 Veterans for prospects

• 10 NHL players more knowledgeable than NHL owners

• 09 NHL Free agent contracts: same team or not

• 09 Hardball Times 2013 Annual Review - partial

• 09 Don Fehr speaks

• 08 NHL miscommunication

• 08 Disclaimer of interest the light at the end of the tunnel?

• 08 Selig heart Fehr, 2006

• 08 Inside details of NHL negotiations

• 07 Ron Hainsey speaks

• 07 Is Gary Bettman predictable?

• 07 How would the NHL season have changed last year if 60 games?

• 07 New kickoff rules?

• 07 Using Fans Scouting Report to estimate fielding performance

• 07 How would baseball change if you limit the number of outs per play to 1?

• 07 NHL script

• 07 Do shorter deals affects the middle class?

• 07 Breaking down the Hall of Fame

• 07 NHLPA letter recapping the issues

• 07 Both sides confirm that NHL owners said involving Fehr is a deal-breaker

• 07 NHL drama

• 07 Amazon, The Book, and supply/demand

• 06 Star Trek 2013 Prologue

• 06 Maximum year-to-year variance on long-term contracts

• 06 Gene Orza: maybe the HOF leaders should show some leadership?

• 05 STICKY: The Book - 50% OFF! (Limited time offer)

• 05 Exhiliration Gap

• 05 Barry Bonds or Jack Morris?

• 05 The Book - Status

• 05 Who is Ron Burkle?  And why do we need paid negotiators?

• 04 NHL players-owners meet

• 04 If you are not going to steal off Johnny Cueto, why are you letting yourself get thrown out?

• 03 Reader Mail of the Minute: why care about the HOF?

• 03 Vote-splitting

• 03 Kenny Lofton: you deserve better

• 03 Significant digits

• 02 Poll: Most Outstanding Career - Results

• 02 Poll: Most Outstanding Career

• 02 Holy Writers go with the Lionel Hutz line of defense

• 01 Tax Circumvention

• 01 If you don’t let in enough players into the HOF, you are opening the back door to let in too many

• 01 Is there a difference between a leadoff walk and leadoff single, in terms of runs scoring?

• 01 King Henry

November, 2012

• 30 Unlimited ballot

• 30 Cellular/Mobile phone carrier quality

• 30 Michael Weiner: HOF morality clause, and George Steinbrenner

• 29 Poz on PED

• 29 “We’ve sacrificed our bodies. It’s the way we made our living.”—Barry Bonds

• 29 This week in silly golf attire

• 29 Are the Forbes numbers worse than useless?

• 28 NHL Board of Governors dissension

• 28 Writers who did NOT vote for Tim Raines

• 28 Holy Writers: one down, 199 to go

• 28 Carlos Ruiz

• 28 Distribution of talent between AL and NL, through the lens of SP and RP

• 28 NHL recap

• 28 Stephen Strasburg and the Hardball Times Annual

• 28 Marvin Miller on the fans’ non-rights to players

• 27 Call for Abstracts: 2013 PITCHf/x Summit @ SABR Analytics Conference

• 27 Time Value of Money

• 27 Turning an 8 million $ loss into an 8 million $ gain

• 27 Federal Mediator for NHL Guy Serota: shady social media

• 27 Support the NHL owners?

• 27 Crying wolf: Will this be the last NHL lockout?

• 27 Cliff Lee v Cole Hamels: Something in the air tonight, oh lord

• 26 Longoria extension

• 26 Sabermetric view of Ballparks

• 26 Trade Value Rankings

• 26 How to avoid a one million dollar fine

• 25 Scheduling Theory

• 25 Why was the BBWAA not compensated by MLB Network?

• 25 Why have the draft, if teams are allocated draft money?  Auction!

• 24 I’d love to hear the raw honesty from the NHL owners as well

• 24 Decertification

• 23 Is Fehr going to fine Hamrlik 1 million dollars?

• 23 Tom Boswell on Don Fehr

• 23 Proskauer Rose’s Bob Batterman

• 23 A rule is a rule is NOT a rule?

• 23 Cutter v Fastball

• 21 Brewers-driven medical symposium

• 21 NHLPA proposal: Fehr’s letter

• 21 Mark Buehrle and the no-trade provision

• 21 Morning Joe understands probability

• 21 Dirk Hayhurst on MLB Network

• 21 Kevin Appier

• 21 Ichiro

• 21 How big is the gap between SP and RP?

• 21 Bias in MVP

• 21 Bettman admits to initial lowball to get to 50/50

• 20 Will NHL move more toward MLB for young player contracts, and is Donald Fehr ok with that?

• 20 Design a uniform

• 20 Would Tim Tebow be better in the CFL?

• 20 Quality of competition in each league

• 20 David Cone, saberist

• 19 Doug Pappas Wayback

• 19 Should you deploy your money in a boom-or-bust cycle?

• 19 Poll: Reasonable NHL solution: earn the minimum until a deal is settled

• 19 Another crazy NHL solution: prisoner’s dilemna + pie-cutting

• 18 Good, Bad, Ugly: Murray Chass

• 16 Luck and skill untangled

• 16 Media v Saberist: Word v Excel

• 16 More than one way to WAR a cat

• 16 Imagining a world without Miguel Cabrera

• 16 NHL solution: floor and ceiling for the percent split

• 16 Hardball Times Annual - 2013

• 16 CFL at Olympic Stadium

• 15 Single-number fallacy

• 15 Infinity and beyond

• 15 Most Outstanding Player Leaderboard

• 15 Joe Niekro teaching a kid the knuckler

• 15 Team-Swap: Trade an entire franchise, including owners?

• 15 I can think like a BBWAA voter

• 15 Derrick Goold’s path toward becoming a saberist?

• 15 Frequnetists v Bayesians

• 14 Everything you wanted to know about the MLB revenue-sharing system, but didn’t even know how to ask

• 14 Eric Post speaks

• 14 Blockbuster deals

• 14 Can you make the case that Mike Trout was not one of the 10 best performers in the AL this year?

• 14 What happen if you attempt a shot on your own basket?

• 13 Raines30.com updates

• 13 Saber talk with Rally

• 13 Leaderboard Linking

• 13 Jose Molina, pitch-framer

• 13 Meet a SABR member

• 13 Most dramatic games of the year

• 13 Is it possible to have a tie-breaking rule that is somehow worse than ending the game tied?

• 12 BBWAA makes ballots available

• 12 How would the BBWAA react if there was only one MVP award to hand out?

• 12 Today in inertial reasoning: why is rookie eligibility based on at bats, and not plate appearances?

• 12 Why do NHL owners insist on the max five-year contracts?

• 12 This week in inertial reasoning

• 11 Cal Tech physics professor delivers presentation on final day of meetings

• 11 Which polling firm is the best?  Not Gallup!

• 10 Hall of Stats

• 09 Fehr’s memo to the players

• 09 Web Editor for Raines30.com

• 09 About face: when you are on the wrong side of history, simply don’t stand in history’s way

• 09 Why are polls so inaccurate?

• 09 High success rate stealing AND more attempts?

• 09 Do Dallas cheerleaders reveal too much skin?

• 09 How did Princeton Election Consortium do state-by-state?

• 09 How did Nate Silver do state-by-state? Take Two

• 08 Did Nate Silver really expect to hit on all 50 states?

• 08 This week in silly golf rules

• 07 How did Nate Silver do state-by-state?

• 07 Can you devise a system where more people vote?

• 07 Fans don’t want to think about the money

• 07 Is MLB playoff format a necessary evil?

• 07 Revisiting past forecasts

• 07 Median v Average: Nate v Princeton Election Consortium

• 06 Backwards starters

• 06 Poll: In today’s election, this is how I did (or would have) voted:

• 06 Pedro on leaving the Redsox

• 05 Penny effects

• 05 Above the belt

• 05 Evolving bullpen usage

• 05 Same-handed team

• 05 Tommy John Surgeries: A More Complete List

• 04 Documenting the criticisms of Nate Silver

• 02 Inertial reasoning

• 01 Where is JCP&L in NJ?

• 01 Are political commentators similar to sports commentators?

• 01 Hurricane Sandy

October, 2012

• 31 Jeff Luhnow, inside workings

• 31 Dirk Hayhurst, caught in the middle

• 31 History of Replacement Level

• 29 San Francisco Mariners

• 28 Broadway Reviews

• 26 Does poor strike zone performance indicate poor mechanics and lead to greater injuries?

• 26 Compensation rules in effect for 2013

• 26 If we stopped listening to Ann Coulter, would she make a sound?

• 26 Should the NHL honor contracts they signed, absent a CBA covering those years?

• 26 Player union for Junior hockey players

• 26 Lack of relationship between team UZR and a pitcher’s BABIP

• 26 Sporting News - Come so far, and so far to go

• 26 Fielding Bible 2012 Awards

• 25 Best pitchers in MLB, 2013-16, according to Book Blog Readers

• 25 Billy Beane speaks

• 25 Most Career PA, age 30+, born since 1931, limited to players with a maximum of 3 WAR total

• 25 Poll:You have 90MM$ burning in your pocket.Which REALLY GOOD pitcher do you sign today through 2016?

• 25 Poll:You have 80MM$ burning in your pocket.Which REALLY GOOD pitcher do you sign today through 2016?

• 24 Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which GREAT pitcher do you sign today through 2016?

• 24 Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which pitchers do you sign today through 2016?

• 24 Brooklyn Islanders move from Nassau County

• 24 When “positions” are really roles, and not positions

• 24 Mark Shapiro: “one win in free agency is $9 million”

• 24 NCAA v Noll

• 24 Responding to the R Word

• 24 Arbitration-eligible players for 2013

• 23 How athletes view gay marriage legislation

• 23 Ode to Justin Verlander

• 23 Globe Gloves: Fans Scouting Report 2012

• 23 Music in other entertainment media

• 22 How much is a player’s attitude worth?

• 22 What did Cespedes do that Trout didn’t do as well or better?

• 22 Goodbye clutch, Hello gamer

• 22 Long at bats and selection bias

• 22 How bad are pitchers when they check out of MLB?

• 22 Physics and High-Speed video clips

• 21 Mike Aviles is a league average player, and his salary is depressed via arbitration status

• 21 Tigers game plan v Yankees

• 21 How much money does the NHL lose from no pre-season games?

• 19 Recent Life and Times of the SD Padres

• 19 fWAR v rWAR

• 19 Stanley Cup trustees

• 19 NHLPA makes the offer I’ve been asking for… and NHL still rejects it

• 19 Nate Silver on Daily Show

• 18 Who is more untradeable: ARod or Mike Trout?

• 18 Determining Pitch Movement from PITCHf/x Data

• 18 Poll: An improvement to the infield fly rule is…

• 17 NHL offer: lose 1.7 billion$ over the next six years, or lose 1.7 billion$ now

• 17 Solution to Infield Fly

• 17 Candy Crowley

• 17 Verlander’s “slow” and fast fastballs

• 17 Can you prove meat cost money?

• 17 Joe Girardi plays the percentages ... until he doesn’t

• 17 NHL makes a reasonable proposal

• 16 Best results when pitching inside

• 16 Was the runner outside his baseline?

• 15 Do most pitchers throw with illegal mechanics?

• 15 Biggest rule changes in each sport in the last twenty-ish years?

• 15 Cano: actually struggling or randomly struggling?

• 15 Neyer’s infield fly rule post

• 15 Do MLB games drag?

• 14 I will no longer be contributing to this blog. Good luck.

• 14 Draft-and-follow

• 14 How much does losing Jeter hurt the Yankees “on paper?”

• 14 Should the Nationals have IBB’d Kozma in the 9th?

• 14 So how many times does Leyland have to get burned…

• 13 Is side-arming Darren O’Day a “lefty killer?”

• 13 The Keys to Success for Tonight’s DET/NYY game…

• 13 Argo: Ken Taylor and the Canadian Caper

• 13 Nationals ERA in post-season

• 12 How hard would it be to put a “home run sensor” on the foul poles?

• 12 In the end all the storylines about BAL and OAK being the “magic” teams come to an end…

• 12 Are the Yankees better or worse with ARod out of the lineup?

• 12 Competitive Analytics Consulting for NBA

• 12 Broken bats

• 12 Underwater players

• 12 Fangraphs splits up some offensive stats

• 12 Dum-Dum Davey Johnson

• 11 Is doping part of our fabric?

• 11 Where are all you research and article guys?

• 11 Rerun: flexible Strasburg plan

• 11 Comparables

• 11 MLB players going to Japan, and the new ball

• 11 Can We Use MLB Players in Investment Book?

• 11 Inside Rockies management

• 11 Run values are not wOBA values

• 11 Verifying the forecasts of experts

• 11 Do groundballs increase during DP situations?

• 11 I mute the TV whenever…

• 11 Is Jose Valverde a very good closer?

• 10 “Punishing the whistleblower” playbook: suspend the kid being bullied

• 10 Hockey Github

• 10 Spin-less ball that spins

• 10 Short-sightedness of NHL

• 10 Montreal honors Gary Carter

• 10 Clutch argument for the mainstream

• 10 Universal scaling in sports ranking

• 10 Baseline-ing WAR on a common index

• 09 Ben Johnson (and Kirk Gibson)

• 09 Young Stras v Old Schilling

• 09 Romney’s thought of the day: kids don’t count

• 09 Who needs to count numbers, when he can rely on our memory?

• 09 Catcher fielding ratings

• 09 Tango’s Lab: wOBA-based FIP

• 09 Should Buck have started Chen in the 7th?

• 09 Was that a good call at home plate (Ichiro)?

• 08 Component Aging Curves

• 08 Passing Yards = Air Yards + Running Yards

• 08 Learning Python packages

• 08 Bullpenning Game 162

• 08 Fans 2012 Scouting Report - Last Callout !

• 08 K/PA, not K/9IP

• 08 The worst “stat” in the circus that is the sports media…

• 07 If you can’t bring your closer in with 2 outs in the 8th in a post-season game, when can you?

• 07 Bobby V v Terry Francona

• 07 Immediate and ordinary

• 07 Forecasting Arbitration

• 07 Retrosheet-style NFL data

• 07 In case there was any doubt whether Buck Martinez is a gasbag…

• 06 Harold Reynolds on Starlin Castro’s Infield Fly

• 06 Rule-explaining challenge #3

• 06 Rule-writing challenge #2

• 06 Rule-writing challenge #1

• 06 Infield Fly

• 06 Was the IF fly call in the Braves game the right call?

• 05 Play-in game

• 05 Why does Obama’s odds of winning keep going up?

• 05 Scouting Darvish

• 05 Mike Trout is Tim Raines+

• 05 Qualified leaders and Medlen

• 05 Park Factors 2012

• 05 Kris Medlen v CC Sabathia

• 04 Discussion on WAR, WPA etc

• 04 Mo who?

• 04 RE24

• 04 Jim Lehrer v Bob Schieffer

• 04 NFL Referees

• 04 Do as I say, not as I do

• 04 BBWAA Cy Young Predictor

• 04 Inside the mind of a manager (for the next few hours at least)...

• 04 Miguel Cabrera v Robinson Cano

• 03 Donald Fehr speaks!

• 03 NHL fans made 100MM$ so far

• 03 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: Limbo is good!

• 03 Vinyl records and typewriters of baseball stats

• 03 Are the results of the Indians over the past ten years linked to their process?  Or…

• 03 Rule of 17

• 03 Predictive FIP

• 03 The worst “hold” you will ever see at third base…

• 03 In case there is any doubt whether Bobby V. has any sabermetric inclinations…

• 02 Safeco Fence

• 02 Creating a framework for free speech, WAR, and helmets

• 02 WAR Doctor is in

• 02 Team player of the year

• 02 Effective tax rates

• 01 Internal workings of wOBA

• 01 Boardwalk Empire

• 01 This is an interesting law to say the least…

• 01 This umpire reviewed single/home run is hilarious…

September, 2012

• 30 Was the European win in the Ryder Cup a “miracle” win?

• 30 Hidden Game Irony

• 29 Chadwick / Retrosheet

• 29 Why you don’t give out IBB like candy at Halloween…

• 29 Chris Kluwe: letter-writer

• 28 Managers, managers (What is wrong with this lineup?)...

• 28 Fix NT Kernel & System Process CPU Usage in Windows 7

• 27 Insanity of MVP arguments

• 27 Baseball Operations process of the SF Giants

• 27 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: arithmetic?  what’s that?

• 27 Stradivarius bats

• 27 Fellowship, Apprenticeship and a pathway into MLB

• 27 PITCHf/x matchup tool

• 26 Five rookie starting pitchers, and heading to the playoffs

• 26 Eric Gagne admits in his book of the extent of his usage

• 26 Mob media

• 26 When scab umpires roamed the fields of baseball

• 26 Really-inside pitch + wind = 60 extra feet added for a HR

• 26 Reliever in-season usage pattern, by way of Leverage Index

• 26 Are kickoff returns too dangerous?

• 26 Occam’s Razoring pitching stats

• 26 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: Emergency Room is the safety net I want… and it’s socialism

• 25 Did the Seahawks only have a 1% chance of winning on the last play?

• 25 What does Bill James mean when he says…

• 25 Biased Broadcasters

• 25 Contributing to the delinquency of a minor, or elevating him to manhood?

• 25 Chemo or mercury to cure cancer?

• 25 Did you hear this one?  A masochist walks into this dungeon…

• 24 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: #RomneyPlaneFeatures

• 24 Shooting fish in a barrel (this is what people pay to read?)...

• 24 Re-writing leaderboards

• 24 Balk rule

• 24 Tango’s Lab: Estimating wRC+ from wOBA

• 24 Ian Kennedy: non-swinging hitter

• 24 A win is a win is a win

• 24 Media v Media

• 23 GM embraces numbers

• 23 Hockey cures all sins?

• 23 Hockey-Related Income

• 23 Today in “They do that in America?!?”

• 23 What kinds of pitchers are easiest or hardest to bunt against (at least for pitchers)?

• 23 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: “No empty seats.”

• 22 “Voter ID Law is the only Voter Fraud going on”

• 22 Proof that Ichiro is a Wizard

• 22 Dichotomy of Braves SS

• 22 WPA of Presidential Election: Swing States and Leverage Index

• 22 Pathway to the middle class

• 22 Should you play the infield in or back early in the game, with a runner on third only and 1 out?

• 21 Redistribution

• 21 Jeter speaks… and he sounds like a saberist

• 21 Pirates minor league training program

• 21 SABR 43 in Philadelphia

• 21 “Oh, No! Not Another Boring Interview With Steve Carlton”

• 21 Different year, same situation

• 21 Lock out a player AND force him to play for much less

• 21 Wall Street: do we need high-frequency trading?

• 21 Baseball Movie: 42

• 21 Utley to 3B?

• 21 Injury Zone

• 21 Blackout trial

• 21 Expos 1981

• 20 Jeter v Ryan

• 20 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: “I won’t do that.  But I won’t tell you what I will do.”

• 20 Yesterday’s Baseball America is tomorrow’s Baseball Prospectus?

• 20 Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket and you can sign a player for THREE years. You give it

• 20 What is xFIP good for?

• 19 Arbitrage on replacement-refs

• 19 BrooksBaseball Leaderboards

• 19 NCAA: will their kingdom finally crumble?

• 19 How is Mike Trout NOT the obvious and sole MVP contender?

• 19 Mail of the month: platooning players and leveraged value in WAR

• 19 Silly things smart people say

• 19 Clutch: is it about leveraging talent or leveraging opportunities?

• 19 Wins over Brussels Sprouts

• 19 Play-in game: will they go by The Book?

• 19 It’s the outfield, stupid

• 19 Forget all that other bullsh!t: just use K and BB to forecast rest-of-season ERA

• 18 Mitt Romney’s thought of the day: “Financial status is the byproduct of your personal character”

• 18 Paying for positional scarcity

• 18 Yunel Escobar

• 18 Dichotomy of cardsfanboy, through the lens of WPA

• 18 Scouting Report 2012 - Callout #3

• 17 Who believes in the Orioles?

• 17 Percentiles for pitchers

• 16 Appeal play sequencing

• 16 Do you like Fangraphs?

• 16 Gangnum NHL owners

• 16 Free Roger Clemens

• 16 “A… large chunk of [his] neg. value is defensive, at a rate way out of step with his career norm”

• 16 NHL lockout, then and now

• 15 Performance gap between starters and relievers

• 15 Snooki: Romney v Obama

• 15 Worst non-pitchers who played alot

• 14 Customer Alignment Problem

• 14 Add one more who fell prey to ERA+

• 14 When is middle not the middle?

• 14 Sequence Maps

• 14 Ode to the error

• 14 Fangraphs RA9-wins v BR.com rWAR

• 13 NHL, NHLPA: coalescing around 50/50

• 13 Are we Kournikova-ed out?

• 13 Reliever’s influence on Leverage Index

• 13 Nate Silver speaks

• 13 Setting up your target

• 12 Reporting structure in baseball

• 12 Was this a bad year for forecasters?

• 12 Managers

• 12 Veeck, jeans, and hot dogs

• 12 WBC

• 12 Dichotomy of Pitcher Wins

• 11 Throwing like a girl

• 11 (Not) A beautiful day in John Olerud’s neighborhood

• 11 Payrolls and wins

• 11 Normal v Paretian

• 11 Principal-Agent Problem

• 11 Experience over counting, for things that are easily countable?

• 11 Breaking down Maddux, Smoltz, Glavine

• 11 Rockies to set new record

• 11 Minor League Splits

• 11 Effective fastballs: speed, location, movement, in that order

• 10 Performance by base states

• 10 How much risk do we want to assume in sports?

• 10 Lockout legalities

• 09 Back to the Future

• 09 Breaking the Limits of FIP: Pedro

• 09 Pyschology is best left to the psychologists

• 09 What Jeffrey Maier taketh, the umpire giveth away

• 09 Chris Kluwe: a star is born

• 08 Why are NFL referees paid so little?

• 08 Maximum rookie forecast

• 08 Strasburg shutdown right now

• 08 Baseball Reference readers have spoken: Rick Reuschel ahead of Jack Morris

• 08 If Joe Maddon is so smart…

• 07 What both sides think

• 07 Is there really THAT much of a gap between the top 4 in tennis, and everyone else?

• 07 Savviest basketball owners the NBA never had

• 07 Proportional Representation v First-Past-the-Post

• 07 RIP SOA

• 06 Do teams have the responsibility to care for the player more than the player wants?

• 06 Can a pitcher induce a GB in a DP situation?

• 05 Psst… wanna work in the NBA?

• 05 TOS (Terms of Service)

• 05 Twenty-year contract

• 05 See the ball, hit the ball

• 05 Base running error…

• 04 Scouting Report 2012 - Callout #2

• 04 Start with expanded rosters!

• 04 Yet another solution to NHL impasse

• 04 Mark Cuban is a fool.

• 04 Implied news reporting

• 04 Were Fangraphs’ power-rankings really that bad?

• 04 Sexist tweet from MLB’s Twitter account?

• 04 What would player X have done given this context?

• 03 More prominence for Bill James?

• 02 Alex Anthopoulos, Expos Alumni

August, 2012

• 31 Device to help your body recover: legal and not PED!

• 31 How much is each pitcher’s BABIP affected by his fielders that day?

• 31 Bleg: Park Factors for TV Show

• 31 Plate Counts

• 31 Hall of Fame Monitor

• 31 These kinds of headlines really piss me off!

• 31 Dumb manager?

• 30 Future of pro sports in Canada

• 30 Platoon splits by GB/FB tendency

• 30 Revenue is revenue

• 29 Dumb and privileged

• 29 Bridge between fWAR and rWAR for pitchers, now on Fangraphs

• 29 Are hitters adapting to Strasburg?

• 29 Players’ Wives

• 28 CBA: NBA = NHL

• 28 Morris v Reuschel

• 28 Nick Punto, footnote

• 28 Pot v Beer

• 28 Apple v Samsung: best that American can give?

• 27 Move over baseball, football is coming

• 27 Messing up Teixeira

• 27 One-run games

• 27 Trevor Bauer

• 26 Don’t remove the human equation!

• 26 “Roger Clemens earns standing ovation”: from regular people, and not Holy Writers, right?

• 25 Best uniforms

• 25 What does 250MM$ buy you?

• 24 Inflexible Strasburg plan

• 24 Poker: skill or chance?

• 24 Pitchers as batters

• 24 Welcome to the “200K with under 500 batters faced” club Aroldis Chapman

• 24 NHL resolution: Playing for the minimum, while they talk

• 24 WAR stories

• 23 “The players make too much money!” says Bettman

• 23 Huge cheating scandal… that we all laugh at

• 23 Metal bats and little kids

• 23 Movies by rating AND rewatchability

• 23 Scouting Report 2012 - By the Fans, For the Fans

• 22 Pythag v Reality

• 22 Are Perfect Games pitched in environments more conducive for low-scoring play?

• 22 Do players who get HBP alot have a different aging curve than others?

• 22 Cape Code League head honchos

• 22 fWAR v rWAR for pitchers: correlating to next year, for pitchers who changed teams

• 22 One of the worst managerial moves I have seen in 40 years watching baseball…

• 21 Butterfly effect in baseballs

• 21 Behind the scenes: White Men Can’t Jump

• 21 Quality role players

• 21 Chin up Todd Akin: you are not alone

• 21 Simple rule to figuring out if you have a good manager

• 20 BattedBall FIP exists

• 20 Is hell ok as a word?

• 20 Punting on fourth downs

• 19 Inconveniently inconvenient context

• 19 Astros being remade in Luhnow’s image

• 19 Melky and the web of lies

• 19 Ebert v Rotten Tomatoes

• 17 Batting practice: tradition or inertia?

• 17 Is SpongeBob gay?

• 17 Scott Boras: Strasburg’s lawyer?

• 17 Expanded replay being tested

• 17 Commissioner fills out the starting lineup?

• 17 Debbie-downer on Felix’s perfect game

• 17 Soccer team releases proprietary data to the public

• 16 Poz speaks on Paterno

• 16 Polish Lancers: long ago enough?

• 16 Holy Writers to Outrage soon: Melky Cabrera likely batting average champion

• 16 Best Team or Dramatic End?

• 16 Perfect

• 15 Did PED failed test really cost Melky tens of millions of dollars?

• 15 Dark Knight Rises

• 15 WAR and salaries

• 15 HP: Hard Disk Failure SMART 301

• 14 As the Redsox turn

• 14 Hidden Game of Pitch Framing

• 14 NHLPA to accept 52% of revenues?

• 14 Is Willie Bloomquist immortal?

• 14 Research Request: impact of veterans on a team

• 13 Cultural bias?

• 13 I’m posting twice as much as I should

• 13 Taylor Grey Meyer: S-ck my nonexistent d-ck

• 13 Fumbles, interception rates, by Yards to goal line

• 13 Is it ok for Zobrist to bunt in the top of the 10th, with 2 on, 0 out, and Longoria on deck?

• 13 Doug Fister: the thinking man’s pitcher, who does it without outside help

• 12 PED?  No, PEK

• 12 Inside the Astros Draft War room

• 11 How a manager can do everything wrong in one PA (and the opposing manager can be just as dizzy)...

• 11 Yu Darvish approach with two strikes

• 11 Swinging at off-speed pitches at 3-0

• 11 Correlating WAR to same-season wins

• 11 Are long-term-big free agent deals bad deals?

• 11 R-squared

• 11 Should you follow WAR blindly?

• 11 Homerun Weather 2012

• 11 Wedding ring GPS tracker?

• 04 Genetically-determined to hit HR?

• 03 Do journalists understand tax deductions?

• 03 Escrow, Or How the Contracted Salary is not the Actual Salary

• 03 Latest on NHL CBA

• 03 History of Star Trek, through the lens of Roger Ebert reviews

• 03 Farhan Zaidi

• 03 Do some teams have better scouts than others?

• 03 Psst… wanna work in the NBA?

• 01 Psst… wanna work for Trackman?

• 01 I can’t stand [metric A] because of [reason B]

• 01 Markov Football

• 01 Leaderboard filters on Fangraphs

• 01 One Drop v Black Friday

• 01 Losing to get a better draw: Smart or Shameful?

• 01 Should you hold a runner on with 2 outs?

July, 2012

• 31 Who’s Olympic body are you most like?

• 31 Replacement level players… and swimmers!

• 31 Teaching kids how to be street-smart… and stop making them textbook-smart

• 30 PITCHf/x Summit

• 30 Net Asset Value Primer

• 30 Breaking FIP

• 30 Useless

• 30 When “much” just scratches the surface

• 30 Do pitchers need time to get ready?

• 30 How much can a lefty pitcher help you to avoid the steal in a high leverage situation?

• 29 Isn’t how they calculate a pitcher’s W/L record wonderful?

• 29 What kind of 0-2 pitch is this?

• 27 A+ student, initially given a C+, changed to a B: not good enough, lawsuit follows

• 27 Strasburg is a great… hitter?

• 26 Run Distributions

• 26 Velocity Loss: transient or persistent?

• 26 Kim Ng, game-changer

• 25 NBA database

• 25 Free agent insanity?  Or Cole Hamels genius?

• 24 Double-counting to pretend you are not using a single measure

• 24 More replay: not if, but what

• 24 Efficient pitchers

• 24 SportsYapper

• 24 Numbers, numbers, words

• 24 Tier-droppers

• 23 Is Ichiro like Ray Bourque?

• 23 Effect of Jon Stewart

• 23 PITCHf/x splits

• 23 MLB and Dominican Republic

• 23 How much would it cost MLB to lift their blackout policy?

• 22 How does the judge’s order apply to the victim?

• 20 Slot value totals

• 20 Daredevil Felix?  Felix channels inner Cliff Lee?

• 20 Strasburg will get pulled when Rizzo says so

• 19 How underpaid are NHL superstars?

• 19 The Dark Knight Rises reviews controversy

• 19 NHL opens CBA talks with Fehr

• 19 Jack Jablonski

• 19 Brendan Ryan

• 18 Lebron Lin

• 18 Shared Fielding Zones

• 18 Random variation of batted balls (hitters AND fielders)

• 18 Book for Underappreciated Great Players

• 18 Competitive Balance picks

• 17 Do you wave the go-ahead run in the top of the 9th?

• 17 Aaron Cook, batting tee

• 17 Can’t fielding systems just get along?

• 17 Updated r=.50 numbers

• 16 Breaking Bad

• 14 Reader Mail of the Day: run value of Ground-rule double

• 14 Terry Appleby

• 13 Hitters who have a higher talent level than we thought

• 13 Do Tommy John pitchers substantially change their style with the game on the line?

• 13 Ubaldo Lincecum = Cole Hamels?

• 13 Strasburg’s pre-existing condition, and his insurance policy

• 13 IMDB’s best superhero movies

• 12 Ridiculous grades = Sublime articles

• 12 Mariner Blogger Day

• 12 WPA insights

• 12 Data, singular, plural

• 12 Freeh Report: Paterno’s legacy

• 12 Accountability of scouts

• 11 Amazon Purchases

• 11 Spider-Man reboot

• 11 PITCHf/x profiles

• 11 Tech: Suggest a Web Host

• 11 Punching inanimate objects is an Assumed Risk?

• 11 Park factors that affect outcomes

• 10 Million-dollar discovery of baseball cards in the attic

• 10 Baseball at speed of light

• 10 Momentum, shmomentum

• 10 Will MLBPA demand revenue-splitting?

• 10 Glen Perkins, saberist

• 10 Impact of Hit and Run

• 09 Lowest RA9 in past 365 days

• 09 Sabermetric glasses

• 09 Slidin’ Billy Hamilton

• 08 Geographical realignment

• 06 Psst… wanna work at Bloomberg Sports?

• 03 Strasburg 68

• 03 Andrelton Simmons

• 01 Safeco being Petco?

June, 2012

• 30 Insanity of the Assigned Pitcher W/L record

• 28 Psst… wanna work for MLB?

• 28 SABR in Minnesota

• 27 Does Carlos Pena know how to approach an 0-2 count?

• 27 Innocent picture becomes controversial by inserting the word “racy”

• 27 If you ain’t cheatin’, you ain’t tryin’

• 27 When did the All-Star game lose its lustre for you?

• 27 Dear Rockies:

• 27 CFL Stamps from Canada Post

• 27 BCS

• 26 Unbalanced schedule

• 26 Proportional Payouts

• 25 SCOTUS - Bad Decisions

• 25 SCOTUS - Good Decisions

• 25 Cost of attending a baseball game, other than the ticket price

• 25 Runner’s dilemna

• 24 Pettitte admitted to misunderstanding Clemens… at his deposition in 2008

• 24 “Pitching is what I do, not who I am”

• 24 June 23rd

• 24 Mo-who?

• 23 Mark Cuban, saberist

• 23 Victoria’s Secret

• 23 How to stop shattered bats?

• 22 Jimmy Fund Saber Seminar

• 22 Blackout, or blackmail?

• 22 Lord of the Flies… on a bus

• 22 Feel good story of the day

• 21 Lebron/Bill James Tumbler Account

• 21 Rooting against Lebron?

• 21 How much are GMs paying for the positional adjustments

• 21 When will the first woman enter MLB?

• 20 Technological umpires

• 20 My dislike of Joe Maddon is solidified

• 20 Speed and movement variability by count

• 20 Four-man rotation, on 75-pitch limit

• 19 Yellow card in the NBA for flopping?

• 19 HR Bias in Clutch scores, based on Situational Wins (WPA/LI)

• 19 Pitchers as Batters

• 19 Explaining the massive splits in submariners

• 19 FIELDf/x available… for the NFL

• 18 Clemens absolved by the American Justice System, the 2nd greatest system 〈after BBWAA, naturally〉

• 18 Dusty Baker’s lineup card

• 18 Gary Carter Field, featuring 1981 Expos

• 18 AL continues dominance over NL

• 17 RE calls this +1 run, WPA calls this +.072 wins, MLB calls this 0 for 1

• 17 “It gets behind the bag!  Ken-ya believe it!”

• 15 Sports Centre

• 15 DREAM Executive Order

• 15 Dear David Schoenfield: Regression Toward The Mean

• 15 Let the PED issue die already

• 15 Leverage Index is a dog

• 15 Vlad, most fearsome hitter yet to make the HOF

• 15 Montreal Baseball Project

• 14 NBA SHOTf/x

• 14 When diving comes to baseball

• 14 Death knell of WPA for starting pitchers

• 14 (Nearly) flat side-view mirror without blind spots

• 14 Poll: I saw almost every pitch of ALL three games, and most outstanding PERFORMANCE by the PITCHER:

• 14 Time Warp

• 14 Cain’s perfect game, sabermetrically-speaking

• 13 Other Boleyn Pitchers

• 12 Odds of a bad scoring card in boxing

• 12 Wilton / Belile = Papelbon?

• 12 Should you steal in front of a high-walk hitter?

• 12 When the victim takes control

• 11 Buyers and Sellers forecasts

• 11 No-hitter added

• 11 Nationals management

• 11 Psst… wanna work at BIS?

• 11 Baseball Eras

• 11 Negative Binomial to fit the Run Distribution

• 11 Right to Privacy v Safety in the Workplace

• 11 All the 2013 free agents you can shake a stick at

• 10 Kershaw v Strasburg, part 3

• 10 Pacquaio starts a fight sanctioned by WBO, ends up losing fight sanctioned by WWE

• 09 Team no-hitter, sabermetrically speaking

• 09 If you are a rookie catcher, and all your pitchers no-hit a team, this is how you react

• 09 SpiderMan base soon to be a reality

• 08 How did they come up with those slot values anyway?

• 08 Euro 2012

• 08 Can you create a market-based approach to draft-slotting?

• 08 Batter/pitcher approaches: Ortiz and Verlander

• 07 Bullpen carts: do they help performance?

• 07 Does Tsongo understand probability theory?

• 07 Verlander’s skill with balls in play

• 07 Hockey player sees hockey coach on TV, so asks a p-rn star to confirm her b@@bs

• 06 When you tier a system, this is what you get

• 06 Best players traded while minor leaguers

• 06 Video review

• 06 Positional Flexibility

• 05 Privileging your null hypothesis

• 05 Mark Appel

• 05 Effect of temperature on the rate of HR hit

• 05 MLB Draft: “everybody is going to be an above-average player!”

• 04 NHL Scouting Combine - Test Results!

• 04 Michael Lewis on luck… of his life

• 04 Game of Thrones = Blair Witch Project?

• 04 MLB 2012 draft: tiered prisoners’ dilemna

• 04 Mental and physical changes: reliever to starter

• 04 Yadier v Ruiz

• 04 Maddux Game

• 04 This guy ought to take his nose out of the stat sheet, and pitch a game before commenting

• 04 Chicago Attendance

• 04 MLB can learn from NHL on video reviews

• 03 “I should’ve stuck with Shoeless Joe Jackson.”

• 02 When did Manuel start warming up Papelbon?

• 02 Johan’s no-hitter, sabermetrically-speaking

• 02 Poll: I saw ALL OR MOST of Johan’s no-hitter, and I thought his PERFORMANCE was a(n)...

• 01 Walk-year effects

• 01 What FIELDf/x might give us on TV

• 01 Rule 7.04(c) Comment

May, 2012

• 31 Being a sports fan is gender-neutral

• 31 King Joffrey as an umpire

• 31 Scherzer’s immovable K rate meets his unstoppable BABIP rate and inflexible slide-step

• 31 Dear Grantland:

• 31 EFTPS - 1040ES tax paid to wrong reporting period

• 31 Is Jason Hammel a Bayesian or a Trump?

• 31 Sabermetrics Bee

• 30 Infield knockdowns

• 30 Cheating because no one cared to check otherwise

• 30 Bat Knobbing

• 30 Fastball frequencies for Bryce Harper, Mike Trout

• 30 Is DRS is making the best choice when crediting shifts to players?

• 29 Charting each and every BIP against Venters

• 29 Forecasting the end-of-season records after 46 games

• 29 Paul Konerko, spray hitter

• 29 Chance of a no-hitter

• 29 CBA is out

• 29 Skymap

• 29 Math + music = A Non-Pythagorean Musical Scale Based on Logarithms

• 28 Today’s umpire in action

• 28 Avengers

• 28 Tango’s Lab: Win values of events late in the game

• 27 Saving the best for never

• 27 To heal or not to heal: pitchers

• 27 Interesting article about Heath Bell

• 27 Fastest to 200 strikeouts: can Strasburg become #2?

• 27 Is Zack Greinke a smart pitcher?

• 26 What makes for a successful GM?

• 25 Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

• 25 “Why Kickstarter works”

• 25 Chad Curtis

• 25 Which pitchers are the forecasters betting on a good rest-of-season?

• 25 What sabermetrics is NOT

• 25 Sports pic of the year?

• 25 Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

• 24 Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

• 24 Rooting for laundry

• 24 What does a loss of velocity mean?

• 24 Incredible story

• 24 Psst… wanna intern… somewhere?

• 23 espnW for hockey: CBC’s WhileTheMenWatch.com

• 23 Racial bias in card collecting: not the collectors, but the players on the cards

• 23 NFLPA lawsuit against collusion

• 23 Doc Halladay: this month’s “hey, a superstar generated random numbers, let’s build a narrative!”

• 23 Lack of hustle during a game

• 22 Is Strasburg going to get pulled even earlier now?

• 22 Phone O/S?

• 22 Neal Huntington’s best moves

• 22 How the league adjusts to hitters

• 22 Game-changing HR: WPA story

• 22 Has Bard been squeezed?

• 22 Brendan Ryan, student of fielding

• 22 Minor league baseballs are built to different specifications than major league baseballs

• 21 Firefox, IE, or Chrome?

• 21 Zapruder Sudeikis

• 21 Lincecum the catcher

• 20 How do you incentivize a power hitter to bunt?

• 19 Psst… wanna intern for the Jays (in the future)?

• 19 Are bullpen sessions predictive?

• 18 Brandon McCarthy on feeling like an a$$

• 18 Cory speaks!

• 18 Extra, extra, read all about it: MLB has inter-conference play this weekend!

• 18 Indians Batting Order - Mostly by The Book

• 18 What is DER, and what can it tell us about the bias in fielding stats?

• 17 Is David Ortiz beating the shift by going the other way?

• 17 Combining Rock-Paper-Scissors (RPS) with “What Number Am I Thinking Of”

• 17 Poll: I would have suspended Lawrie/Alomar for ___ part of the season

• 17 Is the Shift actually working?

• 17 Shyam Das

• 17 Four games for reckless contact

• 16 Now you frame it, now you don’t

• 16 Dodgers’ win reversed because Mattingly did not attest to proper score!

• 16 Does changing your pitch frequency lead to substantial change in results?

• 16 Sponsoring MLB jerseys

• 16 Andre The Hawk Dawson speaks

• 16 Euro 2012 Preview

• 16 How to beat the shift

• 15 Will Pujols end the season with at least 30 HR and .500 SLG?

• 15 Kershaw v Strasburg, part 2

• 15 Did Manny Pacquaio actually quote Leviticus?

• 15 Mets fielding storylines

• 15 Rolodex: Psst… wanna work for some major league team?

• 15 This particular criticism of UZR is unfounded

• 15 WAR-Powered SI Rankings, or, Should we really treat BABIP differently for offense and defense?

• 15 Adam Jones said “UZR” and “wOBA”

• 14 When to buy Facebook?

• 14 Sale the starter v Sale the reliever: why can’t he supposedly start?

• 14 UZR leaders, 2002-2012

• 14 Compounding effects of the home-site advantage

• 14 When two runners converge toward the same base

• 14 Has Brett Lawrie ALREADY saved 14 runs so far this year?

• 14 Shutdowns and Meltdowns: describing the bullpen story

• 14 Tiger then Albert: is Pujols a changed hitter?

• 13 Irrational managers (so what else is new?)...

• 12 What did losing Joe Nathan do to the Twins in 2010?

• 12 Performance after an error

• 12 Black hockey player unfazed by racial tweets

• 11 Ex-pats, exit tax, and mark-to-market

• 11 Prosecution calls for a character witness FOR the defense

• 11 How is pitch speed affected by the conditions?

• 11 Baseball Players golfing

• 11 Howard Stern

• 10 Patrick Kane’s diary… or rather, OTHER people’s diary of Kane

• 10 What is the Strasburg usage plan for 2012?

• 10 Posey wearing down?

• 10 Poll: “Would you rather… [sac bunt]”

• 10 Classic case of Ump-said, Coach-said

• 10 CJ on the no-Mo effect

• 10 MLB plans to INCREASE number of reasons for a balk

• 10 UZR… used in a conversation without prompted by graphics

• 10 Murray Chass quotes WAR… and in a good way!

• 10 Example 2012.001 of why not to trust Pitcher Won-Loss Record

• 09 Generational Issues

• 09 What does it mean when you age?  It means you can’t throw as hard

• 09 Poll: My view of the sacrifice bunt is…

• 09 Jerry Blevins tracer

• 09 Psst… wanna intern for the Astros?

• 09 Factors influencing home-side advantage

• 08 Who are Phillies trusting as their relievers?

• 08 “Look ma, no [ hands | glove | feet ]”: Barenaked plays

• 08 Teenager single-handedly throws a no-hitter

• 08 Plausible deniability of circumventing caps

• 08 Five books describing the life of hockey

• 08 Old NHL scouting reports

• 08 Pujols’ future

• 08 Rays shifts

• 07 Star Trek convention… in comic form!

• 07 Cole v Bryce

• 07 Ross Detwiler: Losing to the statistical gods

• 07 Sabermetric Primer Book

• 07 Shot rates in OT

• 06 Eli Manning PSA

• 06 FIPer

• 05 Yankees with no Mo

• 05 Which team has been beating Vegas so far?

• 04 Reader Bleg

• 04 Sometimes I think I can watch a pitcher for one inning and assess him pretty well…

• 04 If managers could think like a saberist (and possess the other skills necessary to be a good mgr)

• 04 Name this player!

• 04 Is Phil Mushnick too idiotic to be a racist?

• 04 Run expectancy chart on a MLB scoreboard?  Yes!

• 04 WAR updated on Baseball-Reference

• 04 Farm system rankings correlating to future wins

• 04 Jon Weisman

• 04 MLB formally partnering with a feeder system

• 04 Oil Can Boyd

• 04 Crowdsourcing broadcasters

• 04 Should students be disciplined at school for Facebook or other social media transgressions?

• 03 HR do not come in bunches

• 03 How over-priced is the free agent market?

• 03 Sparky Anderson

• 03 These kinds of things don’t excite me at all, and I don’t get everyone else’s excitement…

• 03 Craig Calcattera, and others who are not Craig

• 02 Worst call of the year?

• 02 And you think your manager is a bad strategist?

• 02 Selection bias

• 02 Cleaning out my inbox

• 02 Psst… wanna intern for the Reds?

• 02 Baseball Seminar

• 02 Ode to Reaching Base on Error

• 01 Pettitte’s testimony begins

• 01 When a non-news woman does a non-news story, the newsmen are upset of the non-professionalism!

• 01 BPro glossary

April, 2012

• 30 Fangraphs hates nocturnals

• 30 When Mark Buehrle retires, and they ask him which hitter gave him the most challenge, he’ll say:

• 30 Strikeouts of our discontent

• 30 “Non-sports Sites Folks Should Know”

• 30 Was Greg Maddux a great pitcher because he was a great fielder?

• 30 Lefty-lefty matchup for the sake of lefty-lefty matchup?

• 30 Tablet for kids

• 30 BrooksBaseball/Pavlidis to integrate with BPro

• 29 Ads on jerseys/sweaters… who will be last?

• 29 WOWY Ovechkin

• 29 How to turn [this] into [that]

• 28 Extra Innings: One-minute review

• 28 Competitive advantage for the Giants with FIELDf/x?

• 28 Assumed Risk?

• 28 Mariano Rivera or Derek Jeter?

• 27 Yu Darvish’s pitches

• 27 Common-sense approach to explaining that 10 runs is one win

• 27 Considerations of the batter-pitcher matchup, if you are writing a simulator

• 27 Poll: Battle of the Heavyweights, UZR v DRS

• 27 Sabermetric Move of the 1985 pre-season

• 27 Math of seating charts

• 27 Pitching Rule 5 picks in high-leverage situations

• 27 Are closers overpaid?

• 26 Poll: I prefer evaluating fielding based PRIMARILY on…

• 26 Runs-to-win converter

• 26 Is Greinke obsessed with controlling the strike zone?  And does that lead to a high BABIP?

• 26 wOBA pitching splits now on Fangraphs

• 26 RE24

• 26 Ode to Bob Brenly

• 26 Dean Stotz

• 26 Should we have a Technology Court?

• 26 Suggestion Box: “Tango, I wish you would do more of…”

• 26 Poll: Which sabre-stat do you have little to NO USE for?

• 26 Marvin Miller’s Union

• 26 Round XXX: Hall of Fame and the gatekeeper drunk with power

• 25 If relievers are better deployed, why don’t we see better closing rates?

• 25 What does a 12-game losing streak REALLY mean?

• 25 Pitchers as batters

• 25 Team WAR

• 25 Wins Above Average

• 24 Prisoner’s Dilemna game show

• 23 When can you have two different win% true talent level teams, result in a 50/50 matchup?

• 23 Fangraphs: wOBA and FIP constants

• 23 What IS the Major Leagues?

• 23 Pitcher on Pitcher K

• 23 A suicide squeeze with the bases loaded and no outs in the top of the inning?

• 23 A heartwarming story

• 22 Why is this not an error?

• 21 Poll: Cliff Lee or Stephen Strasburg?

• 21 Personal Services Contracts

• 21 Stopwatch runners

• 20 Et tu, Harvard?

• 20 Fielding Bible 3 - One minute review

• 20 Don’t use regression to calculate linear weights

• 20 New bats lead to shorter distances

• 20 No-decisions

• 19 When it comes to sports, don’t be “The Parent”

• 19 Are all these strikeouts your kind of baseball?

• 19 Blogger of the year

• 19 gWAR, the latest in the WAR implementations

• 19 Best tennis records against Top-10 opponents

• 18 Is Brendan Shanahan’s lack of enforcement to blame?

• 18 Jordan Walden

• 18 Verlander, ace reliever

• 18 Mike Marshall

• 18 How much to value performance from 4 years ago?

• 17 Wireless Routers

• 17 Madison Bumgarner

• 17 Dave Cameron

• 16 Ice Time for goons

• 16 Reminiscent of Doug Eddings…

• 15 Rooney Mara’s father: the end of kickoffs?

• 15 Supreme Court Sluggers

• 15 Why is this a DP and not a sac bunt?

• 14 Which contract would you prefer if you were a team?

• 14 “Use These Tips to Help Prevent Children from ever Being Abused”

• 13 Mariano 3D

• 13 The ubiquitous “run scoring is X (up, down, sideways)” study one week into the season…

• 13 If not Willie Ballgame, then who can leadoff?

• 13 (Federal) tax rate

• 13 “F@ck U academic paywall journals!”

• 13 Scouting Ball Player

• 13 Michael Schwimer: beyond PITCHf/x

• 12 Mike Fast interview

• 12 Avengers

• 12 Game recaps by fans

• 12 Breakeven point of Starter-Relief conversion

• 12 Leverage Index, not Win Expectancy

• 12 Ace versus elite closer, 4th time through the order…

• 12 Livan Strasburg

• 11 Are hit batters an inevitability of pitching?

• 10 Inertia of player safety

• 10 One-month moratorium on MLB blackouts?

• 10 Do 2B age worse than the typical position?

• 10 James Randi

• 10 Illogic of seeing the good in bad people: Star Trek, Larry David

• 10 Arena wars

• 10 This is what @RealSkipBayless said about ImaginarySkipBayless

• 10 Batted Ball FIP

• 10 Papelbon’s Phillies

• 10 Does experience matter for a closer?

• 10 Greatest Star Trek idea ever?

• 09 Have the Indians learned their lesson?

• 09 Maddon up to his old tricks again…

• 09 New Citi Field Dimensions

• 08 Writing a baseball sim

• 08 You can’t let yourself get beat by your second (or third, etc.) best pitch!

• 07 Shutdowns and Meltdowns

• 06 Marlins Park an extreme pitcher’s park?

• 06 Accidental Statistician

• 05 FAT-level based fielding spectrum

• 05 Fangraphs split filter

• 04 Lifetime Contracts for the best players in the league

• 04 Director’s Cuts

• 04 What happens when your company gets so big that you can (ridiculously) bully anyone you want…

• 03 Beyond wins and losses: incorporating score differential

• 03 Bayes(no)ball: Bayes outside Baseball

• 03 Fans like to bet the “over” when it comes to their team

• 03 PITCHf/x Umpire cards and heat maps

• 03 Drafting talent, and spending on free agents

• 03 “I just knew they were going to win”

• 03 Community Playing Time Forecast - Balloting to close tomorrow night

• 03 All the non-baseball bullshit that we post here leads to this:

• 03 Joey Votto comparables

• 02 Almost every single one of us may be a criminal in Arizona…

• 02 “Lack of Necessities of Blacks”: the many layers of Campanis-speak

• 02 OOTP13

• 02 The first time a pitcher has ever intentionally thrown at a batter….

• 02 Bayes hit batter

• 01 UZR for putting

• 01 Smallville returns… in comic book form

March, 2012

• 31 Wow, this Senator thinks that his actions are justified and correct?

• 31 Dewan responds

• 31 If we can’t win over Allen Barra, who can we win over?

• 30 Jam Expectancy (roller derby!)

• 30 Most critical at bat in MLB history

• 30 What are the chances that these deaths are a coincidence?

• 30 SABR Analytics presentations, with audio

• 30 Poz: minus SI, plus USA Today/MLBAM

• 30 Millsy

• 30 Canada kills tradition in favor of progress: RIP Penny

• 29 Psst… wanna work at Baseball Prospectus?

• 29 Rock-Paper-Scissors (RPS) with Playing Cards

• 29 Grady Fuson

• 29 This week in sexism: Augusta

• 29 What an a***holish thing to say…

• 29 Was GZ beaten to a bloody pulp?

• 28 Diary of your “rolling the dice”: does anyone give a f-ck (*)?

• 28 Individual Mandate Severability

• 28 Who is Jeremy Lin?  He’s this guy.

• 28 Ron Fagin

• 28 Ownership changes

• 27 R.A. Dickey

• 27 PITCHf/x sim scores

• 27 What are the preconditions necessary for self-defense to exist?

• 27 Strikeouts and Walk spring numbers matter?

• 27 Community Playing Time Forecasts 2012: Ballots are now open!

• 27 Are fly ball pitchers at a disadvantage in a hitters park, especially one with a high HR factor?

• 26 Why do great players have the most fragile of egos?

• 26 Forecasting team valuations

• 26 International draft issues

• 26 How stable is a player’s talent, year-to-year?

• 25 “I knew Tiger Woods would finally win!”—Tangotiger

• 25 Fielding Bible 3: Methodologies

• 25 Shooting pitchers in a barrel…

• 24 Sandusky, 1998

• 24 Please read this story and tell me what you think…

• 23 Bill James Tracers: On Bill James

• 23 Start v Relief: Max

• 23 Derek Jeter: greatest career for a player at the SS position?

• 23 Blast from the past: UZR

• 23 Fielding vectors and times

• 22 Why I would never carry a gun…

• 22 Negro Leagues

• 22 Blog software

• 22 Is there a Redsox/Yankee variable in bullpen-to-starter moves?

• 22 SoccerXY

• 22 WOWY on The Shift

• 21 Three stages of behavioural evolution

• 21 Helmet History

• 21 “Officer Anthony Colicchio”, Renaissance Man

• 21 Even-odd correlations

• 21 Removing the Individual Mandate

• 21 Does Jered Weaver leverage his home park in the day time?

• 21 Blogger Chass on the NY Times reporting of the Picard/Mets case

• 21 Doug Glanville, saberist (plus fielding alignments)

• 21 OPS Fear Chamber

• 20 Position-switchers: going the other way

• 20 Evolution of Adrian Gonzalez, or adapting from Petco to Fenway?

• 20 Amazon Referral System

• 20 Foo Fighters contract rider

• 20 Hall of “Very Good”

• 20 She’s not racist either…

• 20 Six-man brawl to open the game

• 19 Rock-Paper-Scissors (RPS) and Game Theory

• 19 How much should government (i.e. via taxes) subsidize college education?

• 19 SABR Analytics wrap-up

• 19 Protecting Children’s ears, more important than to protect their lives, minds, and eyes?

• 19 After just getting done with Linsanity and Tebowmania, what’s the next wave that a team will squash?

• 19 Stats AND Scouts

• 19 Sabermetric broadcaster

• 18 Introducing The Razors

• 17 Hank Haney’s new book about Tiger

• 17 Tango’s Lab: Playing Time Percentiles (preliminary)

• 17 Poll: What’s your breakeven for 2-for-1 STARTING PITCHER trades?

• 16 Saskatchewan Caribou

• 16 No, really, this time, Jeremy Hellickson will be the guy who will buck the BABIP-trend

• 16 Impact of the length of a match on the home-site advantage

• 16 Defending Mitt, and other events of the day

• 16 Extra Innings Excerpt

• 16 Nick Leyva

• 15 Itchy and Scratchy Marathon

• 15 Scouting plays

• 15 Dear David and Sean:

• 15 Vetting power of journalists

• 15 Women-only thread

• 15 High-uncertainty teams

• 15 “My problem is that the people evaluating statistics in sports are not experts in statistics.”

• 15 DH, again

• 15 Is it bragging if you can back it up?

• 15 Abusing z-scores

• 15 Axe bat

• 14 Impact of hitters who switch home parks

• 14 Encroaching on your competitor’s space

• 14 David Samson

• 14 Read Mail of the day: When does a low correlation tells you ALOT?

• 14 Rick Peterson

• 14 Taking the jibber-jabber out of OPS

• 13 RB Draft evaluation

• 13 LI v boLI

• 13 Top Sports doctor can’t prove the impact of curveballs on youngsters one way or the other

• 13 If your mother was a food critic…

• 13 False research

• 13 And these people “run” our country? Are you kidding me?

• 12 Bloomberg’s Sports Pitch Review

• 12 Moving a young veteran over for an unproven prospect

• 12 Fantasy 2012

• 11 Best shootout goal where skater stays in lane

• 11 People, not stats

• 11 How much can a manager leverage speed and OBP with his lineup?

• 11 Where do people come up with this garbage?

• 11 Ian Kinsler is divisive?

• 10 Taiwanese Animation Video Of The Week

• 10 What effect does batter/pitcher familiarity have on performance?

• 10 Why Pecota is not deadly accurate…

• 10 Visual Marcels

• 10 Poll: What’s your breakeven for 2-for-1 trades?

• 10 Clutch: Jeter v ARod

• 10 Mike Fast

• 10 wBABIP: why 2B = 3B?

• 09 Holster that weapon?

• 09 Forecast differences: hitters

• 09 Joe Rogan: sabermetric-enlightener?

• 09 Mound visit “tells”

• 09 Catcher WOWY

• 09 Rivera is twice (thrice?) the reliever of everyone else

• 09 Redsox fielding metric on Youkilis

• 09 Pitchers switching roles

• 09 “If you can play, you can play”

• 08 Weight gain and loss

• 08 WAR for leadoff hitters (and basketball players)

• 08 How many years out can you possibly make a forecast?

• 08 Pitch speed, injury, aging, and changing roles…

• 08 Forecasting Playing Time - mini-challenge

• 07 Forecasting Mailbag

• 06 Do pitchers who are hurting allow a higher BABIP?

• 06 Companies that have stopping advertising on Limbaugh’s program…

• 05 Are umpires behind the decreased run environment?

• 05 MLBAM: Socially awkward or active?

• 05 Evaluating teachers

• 05 Cherry picking quiz…

• 05 Marcel 2012

• 05 MIT Sloan Conference

• 04 Great life lesson: perspective and diversify

• 04 Bayes Theorem Illustrated

• 04 Dave Berri will respond to ALL critics (not just those in academia)

• 04 UZR for basketball

• 03 Worst sports dad of the year?

• 03 Howard Stern called it: Piers Morgan hits rock bottom

• 03 Bill Simmons interviews Bill James

• 02 Effect of a 2-3 system compared to a 2-2-1 system

• 02 Golf shot-by-shot data

• 02 Mrs. Dirk Hayhurst

• 02 Do teams need sabermetrics?

• 02 Fuzzy Math and politicians

• 02 Clipper Darrell

• 01 Catcher aging and Yadier Molina

• 01 Marcel 2012

• 01 A quiz about injuries and future performance…

• 01 Can we stop trying to make a distinction between doing something racist and being a racist?

• 01 Team Health Reports

February, 2012

• 29 Play-in game is a go

• 29 Grandfathered maple bat rule

• 28 The end of fighting in hockey?

• 28 GOP thread: make their mother’s case

• 28 Value of knowing performance from 4 years ago?

• 28 Worst sequels of great movies

• 28 Gladwell v Bloggers: 1% v 99%

• 27 Inside the NBA union

• 27 McCarthy: get groundballs

• 26 Platooning: but not by hand

• 26 This week in golf-inspired rules: lost by a hair

• 26 Ryan Zimmerman

• 26 Leveraging Strasburg

• 26 Should ERA+ and ERA- adjust for the role of the pitcher?

• 26 Mario Malkin Perreault

• 24 Catcher impact on pitcher RA9 (or ERA)

• 24 How much did Vegas value Ryan Braun for 2012?

• 24 Spread in fielding: how much is there?

• 24 Ryan Braun: how many drug tests?

• 23 What is a “major upset”?

• 23 Leveraged Index… for contracts

• 23 Ode to Pitcher Wins

• 23 Mike Cameron v Jim Rice: context

• 22 Would you cut to a regularly scheduled show, if the main event ran long?

• 22 Is Aroldis Chapman Nolan Ryan?

• 22 Persistency of park factors on individuals

• 22 How much should minor leaguers make?

• 20 MLB 2012 Odds: BetOnline

• 20 Two players have the same stats: one is much younger.  Which one will be better next year?

• 20 Malkovich, Malkovich, Malkovich

• 20 Do batters and pitchers who switch teams and/or leagues fare better or worse?

• 19 Knuckleball pitchers: all of them

• 19 Paper on predicting pitches (to be presented at Sloan)

• 18 Unintentional intentional walks

• 18 Career W/L record… for position players

• 17 When is it a partnership and when is it a competition?

• 17 Testing catcher framing numbers

• 17 Not everything you learn in college is true (duh)...

• 17 It is human nature to attach too much significance to “consistency…”

• 17 Behavioural science, and predicting pregnancies

• 17 Gary Carter’s final hit

• 16 espnW’s sabermetric primer

• 16 If GWRBI is a crappy stat, why isn’t pitcher wins also crappy?

• 16 Why did it take so long to invent these things?

• 15 Presumption of randomness is not always what we want to test

• 15 With women like these, who needs enemies?

• 15 Game theory example

• 14 Price of a win

• 14 Is Tiger Woods like Team Canada (in hockey)?

• 14 Dustin Brown draws penalties

• 14 Blast From the Past: Sim Scores

• 13 Fielding Bible, Vol 3

• 13 Eyewitness testimony and wrongful convictions

• 13 Component-Marcel

• 13 Good article, lousy title…

• 12 Dan Kantrovitz, ex-player, now scouting director of Cards

• 12 BPI college rankings

• 12 “Official” is better?

• 12 Whitney Houston

• 12 NHL Injury Dataset

• 11 Why do players get crappy caps?

• 11 Clutch analogy

• 11 Who is Jeremy Lin?

• 10 Jose Molina

• 10 Reader Mail of the Day: Why do we need X years of fielding data?  And what about outliers?

• 10 Performance through the ages

• 10 Hero of the month: Brittney Baxter

• 10 Win expectancy charts used in football… in 1983!

• 10 Dwight Evans

• 09 Psst… wanna intern in Canada?

• 09 Moneyball at Villanova

• 08 MGL: Today on Clubhouse Confidential

• 08 New PECOTA

• 08 Expos breathing

• 08 Batman, the webslinger?

• 08 How much is winning a Cy Young worth to a young pitcher?

• 07 When to purposefully lose the lead

• 07 The will of the people?

• 07 For Your Soul

• 07 Golfers “playing through”

• 07 Bronx Parking

• 07 Pitch Diversity Index

• 07 When is a life entity considered a person?

• 06 Position-switchers

• 06 Interview with Howard Baldwin

• 06 Could this ad run in the U.S.?

• 06 Forecaster’s Challenge: 2012?

• 05 Super Simple Baseball Game

• 05 Flash mob for a SuperBowl commercial

• 05 Is Nate Silver alot more certain than he lets on?

• 05 Complete PITCHf/x classification

• 04 Bill James Baseball IQ app

• 04 Turbo Tax: the Netflix of tax software?

• 04 I stumbled on a great web site

• 03 Werth: How long can a non-CF stay in CF?

• 03 Illusion of numbers

• 03 Danks or Garza?  ToMAYto, ToMAHto?

• 03 Best Player not on Chain Game

• 03 Politicians using baseball players to drum up their own profile

• 03 Aasif Mavi and The Daily Show

• 03 Susan G. Komen

• 02 Casey Kotchman line

• 02 Greinke’s many curveballs

• 02 Verducci Year After Effect: Get over yourself, goodbye

• 02 Tango, Jr.

• 01 Knowing enough about numbers to be dangerous

• 01 Tempered Yu Forecast

• 01 Is the price of “security” really worth it?

• 01 Are relievers being used optimally, compared to 1980?

• 01 Injury database?

January, 2012

• 31 Same media that “suspects” Bagwell + PED is same media that “suspects” Brady guaranteed a Super Bowl

• 31 Dissecting a mystery pitch

• 31 KNUCKLEf/x

• 31 Extra Innings Book

• 31 Baseball International Draft: Puerto Rico

• 31 When is an almost six hour match not too long?

• 31 Spongebob: breaking the Fibonacci rule of pineapples

• 31 Marcel Team Standings Forecasts, unofficial

• 30 If outsourcing is bad then so are industrial robots and the like.

• 29 ULTIMATE BASEBALL THE GAME

• 29 Prince Fielder comparables

• 29 Blast from the Past: Leverage Index Primer

• 29 Favorite sport of Americans

• 29 Did Reds SS shift their positioning with Cordero on the mound?

• 28 Bautista randomly drug tested 16 times?

• 28 Calvin & Hobbes

• 27 Relocated Team Doctrine v Stationary Team Doctrine

• 27 Do relievers today perform better because they have shorter outings?

• 27 Who’s evaluating the 2011 forecasts this year?

• 26 Academic ivory towers and gated databases

• 26 BP2012

• 26 AL v. NL in 2011

• 26 rWAR v fWAR?  No.  rWAR + fWAR.

• 26 Ryan Anderson: Rise and goes under, then Rise as the undercook

• 26 Rod Cross: Smooth patch on a baseball, to get a curve

• 25 PSA: Mariska Hartigay

• 25 Microsoft Word: 2003 to 2007: Styles

• 25 USA Today owns Baseball-Reference?

• 25 Prince Fielder

• 25 Can you walk off the island?

• 25 Psst… wanna work for Trackman?

• 24 Astros hire Mike Fast

• 24 Social Experiments: failing Journalism 101

• 24 Sportsmanship: Federer v Nadal

• 24 When athletes make political statements

• 24 Farm system rankings

• 23 Explaining NFL OT Rules

• 22 We “forget” about Washington & his slaves. Bonds/Clemens & PED ?  And this too shall pass.

• 22 Fielding-Independent Perfect Games

• 22 Forecasted Standings 2012: Clay

• 20 Beisbol Data

• 18 Yu Darvish and the posting system

• 18 Justified: the bad-a$$ show that all the others aspire to

• 18 Projected Arbitration Salaries

• 18 Lincecum will lose his arb hearing

• 17 Greatest players: Jordan, Gretzky, Ruth, Pele, and

• 16 More discussions of players and not contracts…

• 16 Yet another number-cruncher who disregards numbers in favor of watching a game

• 16 Clubhouse Confidential

• 16 The MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference is coming!

• 15 The Garfoose: mouthpiece for Tebow?

• 15 HORSEf/x

• 14 NCAA has a reserve clause?

• 13 SABR + Bloomberg + Fangraphs in Phoenix

• 13 Difference between someone who loves baseball and a Holy Writer?

• 13 The Book and Amazon

• 13 Teams are given budgets

• 12 Lego networks

• 12 Is MLB still draconian?

• 12 MLB ID database

• 12 Cuba Stats

• 12 USSM Dave

• 12 Make Holy Writers publish their ballots

• 11 K rate ages faster for relievers?

• 11 Tim Raines: a player teams truly feared

• 11 Umpire strike zone size

• 11 Poz: National Sportswriter of the Year

• 11 Pedro on the Grady Little game

• 10 Are 50-50 donation drives good or bad?

• 10 How is David Wells any different than Jack Morris?

• 10 NFL v NFLPA

• 10 Next player to pit the old guard against the new guard?  Pettitte?  Or Damon?

• 10 Momentum: tomorrow’s starting pitcher, or a flip of the coin?

• 10 Fighting leads to goals?

• 10 Correlation of pitcher metrics: FIP strikes again

• 09 Hall of Fame results 2012

• 09 Sharp and soft contacted balls

• 09 HOF Tracker

• 09 What is evidence?  Colin v Neyer

• 09 Tyler Clementi’s mother versus “Amelia”

• 07 Polishing raw players

• 06 wOBA example

• 06 Psst… wanna work for the Cardinals?

• 05 Run values by strike zone location

• 05 Hard to beat Marcel’s pitching forecasts

• 05 Zambrano v Volstad

• 05 Discussing HOF candidates

• 05 When the Bible is no longer the Bible

• 04 Why I’d Bet on My Model (and Against My Instincts)

• 03 HOF Laws of Unintended Consequences

• 03 Pay-for-play college

• 02 Professor Tangotiger

• 02 NHL ticket revenue

• 02 Fun fact of the day: a closer with a 7.11 ERA

• 01 Ron Polk

• 01 Poz discovers FC Lane

• 01 San Jose: Oakland v San Francisco

• 01 Rebooted Hall Of Fame

• 01 HOF ballot collector

2011

December, 2011

• 31 Clock-less basketball

• 31 Homegrown Teams

• 31 Compassionate Referee

• 30 Pseudonymity

• 30 Jack Morris is Brad Radke?

• 30 Quotes of 2011

• 30 Does a high-speed fastball-slider pitcher need a third pitch?

• 30 Edgar: an all-time hitter

• 29 Wanna work for the Astros?

• 29 Ricky Gervais infiltrates the one percenters by remaining a 99er

• 29 Eric Nusbaum will earn our BBWAA ulcers

• 29 Murray Chass: Selig’s Bud, Stan Kasten, is the favored new Dodgers owner

• 29 Most inconsistent HOF ballot this year?

• 29 Worst-fielders since 2002

• 29 ESPN: Whither hockey?

• 29 Psst… wanna work at MLBAM?

• 29 Irresistible patience meets immovable impatience

• 28 Thank you for 2011

• 28 From the mother’s basement, to the “sabermetricians upstairs”

• 28 Start of the LOOGY era

• 27 Poz’s implicit rule of thumb for HOF

• 27 “I’m Keith Hernandez”

• 23 “We can’t even pass a tax cut?”

• 23 Today in strawman

• 23 Louis C.K.

• 23 Bane of Canada: language

• 23 Sending runner on 3-2 count

• 23 Transaction interface

• 23 Clubhouse Confidential - Glossary

• 23 4 questions about a hypothetical pitcher…

• 22 Deserved Leverage

• 22 Banal, mean-spirited, dated jokes: LGBT

• 22 John Danks

• 22 “Acquiring Power Isn’t More Valuable When a Team Has None”

• 21 Poz on HOF Candidates

• 21 Poll: Yu, Felix, Strasburg, Kershaw?

• 21 Yu Forecast

• 21 Alan Nathan’s site

• 21 Hit and Run

• 21 Psst… wanna intern for the Orioles?

• 21 WPA on bunts

• 21 Bill Conlin

• 20 Worst hockey game of all-time?

• 20 Market forces v Central Planning

• 20 A great online chat with the new Astros GM!

• 19 Who’s your candidate?

• 19 Speculations and suspicions: The Yu Darvish Story, Jeff Bagwell, and being a sports “reporter”

• 19 Playing time levels for the Hall of Fame

• 18 Overturning a positive test

• 18 Latos and park factors

• 18 Posnanksi’s readers are smart

• 17 Too much is made of camaraderie and chemistry and all that stuff

• 17 Paterno: what he said he knew, and when he said he knew it

• 16 Bonds gets 30 days home confinement for the crime of taking too long to answer

• 16 MLB Network oddball videos

• 16 Ken Dryden, head injuries, and Grantland, part 2

• 16 Bunting for a hit

• 16 Fantastically quick change in view of DADT

• 16 NFL Rules and Competition Committee

• 16 Video Rulebook

• 15 Six members of the BBWAA suspected of plagiarism, but allowed to vote for Hall of Fame!

• 15 Lies, damned lies, and statistics: The 6 Waltons (Walmart) greater net worth than bot. 30% combined

• 15 Yu is: equal parts Felix, Zimmerman, Cueto

• 15 DIPS and BABIP

• 14 Math fun: series odds

• 14 Can the victim of abuse be an enabler?

• 14 New rules in MLB

• 13 Players self-policing

• 13 Dwight Evans: “I agree with WPA, Carbo’s HR had more impact than Fisk’s!”

• 13 Supporting the eye-test?

• 13 This week in chart failure

• 13 Ryan Braun and Bayes

• 12 Minimum number of years for immortality

• 12 This year’s contender for sanctimonious eloquence

• 12 What happens when the supporting actor usurps the main actor?

• 12 Reason computer programs are inferior to humans for college rankings: lack of critical human emotion

• 12 Jeff Luhnow, blogger-friendly

• 12 More Tim Raines HOF

• 12 What is Ozanian of Forbes saying here?

• 12 You’ve heard of teams merging?  How about teams splitting?

• 11 Differing standards for MLB and NFL regarding steroids

• 11 Fight site

• 11 Origins of violence in hockey

• 10 Pujols and Iannetta versus Abreu and Mathis

• 10 “We’re not racist! We just like saying derogatory terms against black people for fun!”

• 10 Inside the Friedman/Moore negotiations

• 09 Beer prices, for each NHL arena

• 09 Longoria II

• 09 Blocking trades

• 09 How you can make numbers lie

• 09 Velocity as a scouting variable

• 09 Irrational despondency

• 09 This week in hockey

• 09 Mike Matheny: Saber-friendly manager?

• 08 Crappy save percentage, just by luck?

• 08 Where have the Scot Shields of the world gone?

• 08 Lining up to buy value-less stock?

• 08 Another year, another Tim Raines plea

• 08 Jack Morris: Babblefest 2011

• 07 Quick WAR calculator

• 07 Theo Fleury 1, Graham James 0

• 07 Legit news outlets?

• 07 Quality of pitchers by count

• 07 Why do people (including GM’s) insist on talking about houses as if they had no mortgages?

• 07 Sons of Anarchy: Dallas’ Bobby Ewing

• 07 PITCHf/x leaderboards that span multiple seasons?

• 07 Should Buehrle and CJ Wilson even be mentioned in the same sentence?

• 07 This week in zero-tolerance golf rules

• 06 Yu Darvish is Colby Lewis?

• 06 Occam’s razor

• 06 Increase in pitcher workload

• 06 Sports fails in geography

• 06 Jayson Werth, CF

• 06 Whither Albert Pujols?

• 06 Realignment into four conferences

• 05 PITCHf/x on Fangraphs update

• 05 Are Mets’ Nick Evans and Ruben Tejada “all that” as fielders?

• 05 Is Dirk Hayhurst looking for a mainstream media job?

• 05 Congress elects Ron Santo to HOF

• 05 “He won’t be worth it in the last two years of his deal”

• 04 Arbitraging pennies for its base copper value

• 04 Fighting in the NHL

• 03 SEC v Marlins

• 03 Invisible Men

• 02 Is selling part of the game of baseball that you love?

• 02 Best of BPro Vol I and II

• 02 Improper Eject of Flash Drive

• 02 Bobby V and SaberM!

• 02 Is Mrs. DeJesus the Lebron James of baseball?

• 02 Prediction 13 years into the future

• 02 Action Comics 2.1MM$

• 01 Let the Crowd-Sourcing begin

• 01 Is there a goalie skill?

• 01 CBA: Are the Cardinals a small-market team?

• 01 Head coach carousel

• 01 Belichick tells reporters to get their noses out of their spreadsheets and watch a game

November, 2011

• 30 Menage a Trois Soccer

• 30 Bobby V. IV

• 30 Crow 17

• 30 CBA: draft lottery

• 30 Swing area predictability

• 30 Players take responsibility as a role model seriously…

• 29 Forecaster’s Challenge: Final 2011 Results

• 29 The existence of outliers doesn’t preclude luck as the cause

• 29 End of labor peace in MLB in 5 years?

• 29 Overlaying outcomes onto park configurations

• 29 At what point will baseball prospects leave baseball?

• 29 CBA cap pool rules

• 29 Linear Weights primer

• 29 How often is an above-average pitcher’s best days behind him?

• 29 NBA or FIBA: who has the power?

• 29 Forecaster’s Challenge 2011: Results (preview)

• 28 Why is there no mercy rule in basketball?

• 28 Forecasting 300 wins

• 28 How many wins do people think Bonds deserves knocked out of his WAR?

• 28 Gio v Edinson

• 28 CBA: changing landscape of compensation rules

• 28 Roger Clemens, 1986: Not that good a year?

• 27 Murray Chass v Bobby Valentine

• 26 Which team was the most fun to follow in 2011 regular season?

• 26 Expos Tribute Video

• 25 Bittersweet Symphony: best Jagger/Richards song of alltime?

• 25 UZR for NHL shooters

• 24 Other People’s Players

• 23 CBA: How much signing bonus pool should each team be allocated?

• 23 Halladay better than Verlander?

• 23 Research conclusions have to be Bayesian

• 23 Did the Phillies really get nailed with the Papelbon signing, in light of the new CBA?

• 23 Twitter: Leverage

• 23 Selective end points AND data mining AND publishing bias rearing their ugly heads again…

• 23 Is Pepper Spray a Vegetable?

• 22 Tango’s Lab: forecasting players who switch teams

• 22 BBWAA and Michael Young

• 22 Triumphant return of Sid the Kid

• 22 How seriously should we take the forecasting systems?

• 22 CBA: what’s new

• 22 HITf/x: (vertical) launch angle

• 22 BBWAA v IBA

• 21 Did BPro change their WARP calculation?  Or, is Felix not a superstar pitcher?

• 21 BPro readers votes: #1 not sabermetrics, #2 sabermetrics

• 21 Buyout options… before you work!

• 21 If at first you don’t succeed (at getting p=.05), try and try again (until you luck into it)

• 21 Play-In game, retro-history

• 21 Clay’s housekeeping

• 21 Runs Above Strikeout

• 18 What is Ricky Nolasco’s talent with men on base?

• 18 Former athletes figureheads as owner

• 18 Start with the regression, then try to interpret it

• 18 Courtesy votes

• 18 To pinch-hit or not?

• 18 All-Time Franchise Team

• 18 Swing area

• 17 Attribution v Actuality

• 17 BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 IP

• 17 Is signing a new star player like building a new stadium: you get fans to come for the novelty?

• 17 Moneyballing Football

• 17 Chass v ESPN

• 17 Migration interactive chart

• 17 A single person can’t set a good line

• 17 Odds of Cliff Lee reaching 300 wins?

• 17 Curiously Long Absence

• 16 Jack The Ripper

• 16 Best media campaigns of the year, in the world of sports

• 16 Psst… wanna work for the Reds?

• 16 HITf/x: (horizontal) batted ball speed

• 16 Brian Kenny

• 16 McQueary did more than the Grand Jury reported?

• 15 How do you (quickly) compare contracts of differing lengths and amounts?

• 15 This week in silly rules

• 15 BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 CG

• 15 Trackman Leaderboards

• 15 It’s impossible to create a terrible uber-stat

• 15 Please explain to me: NBA v NHL

• 15 Trying to explain Win Probability

• 15 Bob Costas, journalist

• 14 Raines and Rickey

• 14 Replacement-level: playing time

• 14 BBWAA votes: #1 ERA, #2 W/L, #3 FIP

• 14 Shame of College Sports

• 14 Future managers discuss numbers

• 14 People who had never watched Star Trek (until recently)

• 14 Blackjack Statisicians

• 13 UZR, Linear Weights and player forecasting models: meet the Ohio education system

• 12 Pitching is simple… Brian Bannister made it complicated

• 11 Difference between Papelbon and Madson

• 11 Performance in year after PED use

• 11 Redsox, before Penn State

• 11 This week in silly court-filings

• 11 Rationalizing irrationality, part 2

• 11 Psst… wanna work for the Pirates?

• 10 Foul ball skill

• 10 ESPN Ombudsman heavily criticizes ESPN

• 10 Cold war is over

• 09 Child Rapists

• 08 Who surprised Vegas?

• 08 Thriller: (temporary) theft of the master records

• 08 Numbers don’t (necessarily) represent the performance of the player

• 08 Rates without Sample Size

• 08 As the Redsox Turn

• 08 Sabremetrics circa 1983

• 08 Is this the kind of manager you want for your team?

• 07 Banning teams

• 07 “Math scares people”

• 07 Yogi Berra

• 07 Windows Virus - privacy.exe

• 04 Contract crowd-sourcing

• 04 Is this line linear or polynomial?

• 04 Rick Peterson / Bloomberg Sports

• 04 Soccer per-game attendance now above NBA/NHL

• 04 Jose Reyes

• 04 How to find a manager

• 03 Value of scarcity

• 03 Errata

• 03 Psst… wanna work for the Mariners?

• 03 Joey Votto or Matt Moore?

• 03 Does Eric Hossmer play too close to the bag?

• 03 Psst… wanna work in MLB?

• 02 Bill James Baseball Analyst archives

• 02 Fleeting nipple that just won’t go away

• 02 Bill Russell v NCAA

• 02 What did the Fans think of the Gold Glove winners?

• 01 Shaq v Kobe

• 01 Fielding Bible 2011 - Complete Vote Tally

• 01 Yu Darvish is Yu Darvish

• 01 Sabermetric moves of the 2012 pre-season

• 01 Paying CC to terminate his opt-out option

• 01 Are slot bonuses like the speed limits on banks: warning only?

• 01 Fans Scouting Report: players on multiple teams

• 01 Fans Scouting Report 2011: final week

October, 2011

• 31 RE24/boLI

• 31 When does it become racially insensitive?

• 31 NFL simulations

• 31 Overcrowding the ballot splits the votes and no one wins

• 31 Top 50 Free Agents

• 31 Kristi Dosh now on ESPN

• 28 Colbert SuperPAC SHH

• 28 Was Cruz not deep enough in the 9th inning?

• 28 World Series 2011 Game Thread: Final Game

• 28 Last week in crazy golf rules

• 28 This week in sexism

• 28 How do heavy players age?

• 28 Hall of Fame prediction model

• 28 Make the sure out at first, or try for a play at home?

• 28 World Series 2011: Game 6 post-game

• 27 Aramis Ramirez

• 27 Batter-pitcher matchups

• 27 Baseball is about driving the first good pitch you see, not waiting to get into a hitter’s count

• 26 Where do pitchers pitch to Pujols?

• 26 Batman: Arkham City

• 26 Meaning in hot and cold zones?

• 26 Was Craig running in the 9th on the 3-2 count correct?

• 25 Hardball Times Annual 2012: ready for order!

• 25 Practice swings with same or lighter bat, not heavier bat

• 25 Double Walk to replace IBB

• 24 2011 WS discussion: Game 5

• 24 Why a 7-game series?

• 24 Intangible diamonds

• 24 Small sample sizitis

• 23 2011 WS discussion: Game 4

• 23 Passive-aggressive hitters

• 23 This week in smart NCAA rules

• 23 “Fangraphs is now even awesomer”

• 23 Batter-pitcher i[Apple] app

• 22 Managing the 2011 World Series: Game 3

• 22 A Warning from MGL!!

• 22 Jared Winely: I hate you for making me side with Mike Francessa

• 22 Bill James on NPR

• 21 Performance in tied games

• 20 Chance of scoring from any base/out

• 20 Manager moves in the 2011 WS: Game 2

• 20 INTROf/x

• 20 Economic structure to resolving a work stoppage

• 20 How do leadoff hitters approach the 1st and 9th innings of a tied game?

• 20 A player after my own heart!

• 19 Manager mistakes in the 2011 WS: Game 1

• 19 Want to win the World Series?  Don’t give up more runs than the league average

• 19 NHL +1

• 19 When to walk a Bondsian-Pujols

• 19 Team that’s losing plays better

• 19 Playoff home advantage, NL/AL

• 19 Kelly Johnson’s approach to hitting

• 18 Times through the order with the 9th inning removed…

• 18 What The Book has said about starting pitchers

• 18 Outcomes by fastball speed

• 18 Summarizing late inning starter and reliever performance…

• 18 Transferring files to new computer

• 18 Men-osyllabic Moneyball

• 18 Landing/crossing spot of uncaught pitches

• 18 Visualizing wOBA

• 17 Not all fielding opportunities are created the same

• 17 Starters and Relievers in the 9th Inning and Score Differential

• 16 GMAT Hacks

• 16 Freeman v Pena, via UZR

• 14 Performance by position of the Sun

• 14 Proper compensation for Epstein?

• 14 Banner Years, Reverse Banner Years: Batter Walks

• 14 Poz on playoff structures of various leagues

• 14 Chance of making playoffs, based on payroll

• 14 Levi Raines, Jr

• 14 Return on high school players drafted, by age

• 13 Subverting the Intentional walks

• 13 Sabre-office

• 13 Relieving in high-leverage and low-leverage situations

• 13 More interesting data for starters entering the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings…

• 13 When the media lies

• 13 Some interesting decisions in tonight’s DET/TEX game…

• 12 Eclectic mailbag

• 12 Remaining value of contracts

• 11 Starting Pitcher on a great day v Closer

• 11 Bloomberg Sports + Fox broadcast

• 11 Demon computer in baseball

• 11 Does it make any sense for a player to be “untouchable?”

• 10 Goodbye to you, WPA for starting pitchers

• 10 Fighters and fighting-advocates verbally fighting

• 10 When to replace a printer?

• 10 Auctioning dates… but not for charity

• 10 Tigers batting lineup

• 10 Fangraphs customizations

• 10 No A+ prospects?

• 10 How do starters perform by inning?

• 09 How not to do a study

• 09 This week in silly NCAA rules

• 09 How do pitchers do each time through the order?

• 09 How do great starting pitchers pitch the 4th time through the order?

• 09 Running out ground balls in the post season…

• 08 Poll:  I saw the ENTIRE Halladay/Carpenter duel and I thought:

• 08 Moneyscout

• 08 Worst managing ever?

• 07 Free agents and BMW’s

• 07 Simpsons’ Harry Shearer speaks!

• 07 Run Expectancy, Pitchers and Pinch Hitters

• 06 Hot hand free throws

• 06 When one smart guy is outsmarted by an even smarter guy

• 06 Why can’t Tampa support its team?

• 06 “Everybody Loves Joe Posnanski”

• 05 Defensive Indifference with a 2-run lead and only 1 out

• 05 Three-area strike zone

• 05 If you were poor, would you fake your birthdate?

• 05 “Why Baseball Info Solutions pitch location data is the best in the industry”

• 05 ESPN’s QB rating system or traditional Passer Rating?

• 05 Baby Tango

• 05 Amanda Knox

• 05 John Smoltz announcing the post-season

• 05 Rick Porcello and his “sinker”

• 05 If you want to see some fairly knowledgeable fans completely misunderstanding statistical theory…

• 04 Terrible managing?

• 04 PITCHf/x v BIS

• 04 Among the best players of their sport, are NBA players the most underpaid?

• 04 #bip

• 04 Oldest ace relievers

• 03 Umpire Ejection Data

• 03 Psst… wanna work at ESPN?

• 03 Phil v Warren Buffett: Phil on a TKO!

• 03 When does fighting occur?

• 03 Poll: how to credit a play against a pitcher when involving his fielders

• 02 Mike Schmidt speaks

September, 2011

• 30 MLB, playoffs, and streaming

• 30 MVP

• 30 List: best to worst team in sports

• 30 Ken Dryden, head injuries, and Grantland

• 29 Jack Wilson: the ballplayer’s tragedy

• 29 Do teams put the better fielder at 2B or 3B?

• 29 Payroll v Wins, in the Moneyball era (2002-2011)

• 29 Greatness of baseball

• 29 Globe Glove winner 2011: Troy Tulowitzki

• 29 Retrosheet’s inner workings

• 29 Poll: You have 100MM$ burning in your pocket. Which youngster do you sign for the next 4 years?

• 28 Kershaw v Strasburg

• 28 Matt “anti-DIPS” Cain

• 28 Players having greater respect for other

• 28 Do TV commentators pay any attention to the game?

• 27 Catcher Framing Skill, part WOWY

• 27 Phil schools Freakonomics

• 27 Do the Pittsburgh Pirates really want a salary cap?

• 27 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Dodgers

• 26 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Nationals

• 26 Mariners consortium

• 26 The greatest game ever pitched!

• 25 WOWY and catcher framing

• 25 Moneyball: one minute review

• 24 Moneypuck

• 23 Watching Moneyball with Bill James

• 23 Winnipeg Jets

• 23 “The Moneyball revolution from someone who helped it happen”

• 23 Sabermetrico: the world domination continues!

• 23 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: D’Backs

• 23 What’s good for local politics is not good for federal politics: Ron Paul v Gov Christie

• 23 Sports Economics research rankings

• 23 Sabermetric scorn for the triple crown?

• 22 Jason Whitlock and Bill Baer

• 22 Adjusted Plus/Minus

• 22 Fans Scouting Report 2011: hotseat: Angels

• 22 Cy Bayes

• 22 Moneyball review from Poz

• 22 Changeup pitchers harder to hit

• 22 Ryan Howard: Elite averageness

• 22 Brian Burke’s team

• 21 Dose of reality

• 21 New Gold Glove rules

• 21 Ballad of Bill James

• 21 Talking pitching