THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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2011

February, 2011

• 28 Home/Away split on Free throws

• 28 Spending for playoff spots

• 28 Rays optimal batting order?

• 28 Batting orders: fix what’s broken

• 28 How to do fielding in fantasy?

• 28 Fielding spectrum

• 28 Size of NHL players continues to increase every decade, but especially goons

• 27 Boston Analytics World

• 27 Framing pitches

• 27 Keri’s Extra 2%

• 26 Foul-shooting Home Side advantage

• 26 How not to apologize - “It was an accident”

• 26 Pitching expanding the strike zone

• 25 Historical GB and FB pitchers

• 25 Make-a-wish: the one day contract

• 25 Carlos Marmol

• 25 Blackout

• 25 Miscalibrations in PITCHf/x by park

• 25 Angels into sabermetrics?

• 25 GM: the new Harvard

• 25 Humidor effects

• 25 Players policing themselves

• 25 Scorecasting review, part II

• 25 Talent distribution in MLB: bell-shaped, or right-tail?

• 24 Banning spit (smokeless) tobacco

• 24 Rooting for Mike Danton?

• 24 Forecasting the past

• 24 How many teams in MLB playoffs?  Part 2

• 24 Should you bet the under on high-ranked teams?

• 24 Compiled list of prospects

• 24 Marcello’s playing time

• 24 Watson DJ and FJ strategies…

• 24 How one umpire retiring can change the entire face of baseball!

• 24 Breaking up pitching data into batted ball and non-batted ball

• 23 Psst… wanna work for 7000 hours over the course of 7 months?

• 23 How many teams in MLB playoffs?

• 23 WAR before WAR - 1915 World Series

• 23 BP 2011

• 23 Poll: I DO follow the NHL, and my preference for number of teams in the playoffs is…

• 23 Forget about “average annual value”

• 23 Has there been a change in GB hit at some point in the late 60s?

• 23 Component runs allowed (BaseRuns for pitchers)

• 23 Uncertainty of data: fear and options

• 23 Quote of the day

• 23 Linear wins

• 23 When you start off hot, are you really that good?

• 23 Are the data and results reported in Scorecasting accurate?

• 23 Rob Antony, asst GM of Twins

• 23 Greatest hockey goal ever?  By 9-year-old Oliver Wahlstrom

• 22 Fantasy valuation under different league structures

• 22 Andrew Miller’s Poison Pill

• 22 Pushing back time

• 22 Over/under 2011 Vegas

• 21 Scorecasting

• 21 PED?  How about PES (president-enhancing slaves)?

• 20 Pocket books

• 20 Football coaches bonuses tied to non-academics

• 20 College baseball HR to drop substantially

• 18 Effects of concussions

• 18 Jim Gray

• 18 Jonah + Poz = ?

• 18 Humor and Plagiarism

• 18 Free agency for all

• 18 Ratios to rates

• 18 Player Worth by position, NHL

• 18 By The Numbers

• 17 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - Official Results - Part 3

• 17 Fielder positioning by pitch location

• 17 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - Official Results - Part 2

• 17 Is Marcel too good to be a baseline comparison point?

• 17 Cashing in your chips?

• 17 Retrosheet?  Meet Apple!

• 16 Injury data and basic pitchf/x data on the same page

• 16 Runs Per Win

• 16 Baseball Mortality Table

• 16 Pujols Cub

• 16 Psst… wanna work for Kristi Dosh?

• 16 Jeapordy Clicker

• 16 Student Idol?

• 16 CatcherF/X

• 16 Average pitch location

• 15 Trading Albert Pujols?

• 15 Unearned things

• 15 Forecasts: Humans v Mechanical

• 15 Congrats to Sean Forman

• 15 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - Official Results

• 14 Saber video

• 14 Reader mail of the day: Chain of Fools

• 14 Welcome hockey to my nightmare

• 14 Forecasting Pujols

• 14 Jersey/sweater sponsorships

• 14 Success and Failure Rates of Top MLB Prospects

• 14 Yahoo saber league

• 13 Some weekend fun

• 12 Lex Luthor

• 12 BPro Reader mail of the day: regression toward the mean, part 2

• 12 Historical book about fielding

• 11 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - part 3 - head-to-head sample

• 11 Poll: Emma Span

• 11 Help me with my financial math: Pujols share of Cardinals should be 15%?

• 11 Are you kidding me?

• 11 Using objective data for fielding

• 11 NFL rule changes

• 11 Syphilis and Bayes

• 10 Reader mail of the day: true talent last year, not this year

• 10 Calibration caution

• 10 Montreal Italian

• 10 Weaver: to Lincecum or not to Lincecum, that is the arbitrator’s question

• 10 Ode to the triple

• 10 Best free agents in 2011 for under one million$?

• 10 Ohlendorf’s arbitration case

• 10 Yet another article that “samples” is not “true”

• 10 Momentum, shmomentum

• 10 Half as many shattered bats

• 09 Paralysis by Analysis

• 09 Black Widow and Phoenix

• 09 HITf/x

• 09 Economics of Sports Course: ECON 583

• 08 The Moneyball Network

• 08 BPro Reader mail of the day: regression toward the mean

• 08 Poz by birth year

• 08 Before hitting Submit: Copy/paste your post

• 08 If you don’t have a secondary pitch, should you stay in the bullpen?

• 08 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems - part 2 - Does Marcel over-regress?

• 08 SaberScouting Kyle Drabek

• 07 How do you compensate a fan’s lost chance of a memorable experience?

• 07 Ferris Bueller ala Wezen

• 07 Marcel v Fans: Or, do fans regress enough?

• 07 Rink Bias

• 07 Amazon Filler Finder

• 07 Crowded 2016 Ballot

• 07 LOB% video

• 07 PECOTA 2011

• 07 Kotsay v Edmonds

• 07 Testing the 2007-2010 Forecasting Systems for Batting, part 1

• 07 Dean Oliver: Director of Production Analystics at ESPN

• 05 TV watching to record data: a good idea?

• 05 Forecasting the best rookie pitchers in the last 10 years

• 05 Size of baseball bats to decrease

• 05 Phil and .300 around the web

• 05 DIPS and relievers

• 04 Strasburg 2011

• 04 Indeterminate quality of data

• 03 Marcel 2011

• 03 Where Pettitte ranks among his peers

• 03 Are players aware of how often they chase pitches?

• 03 Why so many LH soft-tossers

• 03 Reader request of the day: Pitcher W/L

• 03 Tango’s Lab: FutureFIP

• 03 FIP challenge: part 4

• 03 Is Mariano Rivera’s strike zone so pitcher-friendly that he gets a 1.61 run benefit per 9IP?

• 02 Cardinals 2011 batting lineup by The Book

• 02 Psst… wanna work in the NFL?

• 02 Not losing money to injuries

• 02 Enbserg now on satellite radio

• 02 BPro expands

• 02 bbFIP and kwERA data for 2010: Felix v Weaver

• 02 Psst… wanna work at BIS?

• 02 Fangraphs Live in Arizona (Spring Training)

• 02 The HR per FB skill

• 02 Win Probability is taking over the world

• 02 Baseball America on 17yr old Felix

• 02 The best MLE’s in 2010

• 02 It’s official!  Our good friend Rob Neyer is at SB Nation.

• 02 Cracking the scratch lottery code

• 01 THT Reference Library

• 01 Out-of-option players