Friday, May 25, 2012
Which pitchers are the forecasters betting on a good rest-of-season?
I’ll give you the results first, and then, I’ll give you the boring methodology later.
Hardball Times:
1. Darvish
2. Fister
3. Romero
Zips/Fangraphs:
1. Gio G
2. JJ
2. Zack Greinke
B Pro:
1. Chris Sale
2. Bedard
3. Hellickson
Each of those 3 pitchers are among each forecaster’s top 30 in ERA for rest-of-season, and are much higher than the other two forecasters.
Yu Darvish for example is at +0.74 better than average ERA according to BPro, and +0.40 better than average ERA according to ZiPS, but THT has him at +1.30 better than average. So, that’s a gap of 0.57 higher than the 2nd highest (1.30 - 0.74 = 0.57, rounded).
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