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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

A blog about baseball, hockey, life, and whatever else there is.

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Time Value of Money

By .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address), 08:45 PM

The Dodgers/Fox have reportedly signed a 6 billion$ TV deal covering a 25 year period.  That works out to an average of 240 million$ a year.  That sounds like alot, but it’s actually too high.

Let’s say that Fox will give the Dodgers 240MM$ a year each year for 25 years.  Is there another way to structure those payments?  Well, if both agree that a 4% inflation rate is appropriate, then Fox could give Dodgers 156MM$ in the first year, then 4% higher each year, until the 25th year when they give the Dodgers 400MM$.  The total comes in at 6.5 billion$ in cash outlay.  But either way, it’s 3.9 billion $ in today’s dollars.

They could just as well have said 3.57 billion$ over 17 years (210MM$ of equal payments), and it would have been EXACTLY THE SAME.  In that light, it’s not as otherworldly, when compared to the Angels’ deal of 2.5 billion$ over 17 years.

(6) Comments • 2012/11/29 SabermetricsFinances