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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, October 04, 2012

BBWAA Cy Young Predictor

By .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address), 01:04 PM

Presuming that the BBWAA will vote based on the following categories, and in this order:
1. ERA
2. W/L
3. IP
4. CG
5. K

Then the top 5 in the AL and NL Cy Young will be:
1. Price
2. Verlander
3. Jered
4. Felix
5. Sale

1. Dickey
2. Kershaw
3. Gio
4. Cueto
5. Cain

With some undetermined love for the big relievers (Johnson, Rodney; Kimbrel, Chapman).

***

Sabermetrically: Sale and Peavy (both on Whitesox) are close, so I know that sabermetrics has made an impact if we see Peavy close to Sale in the voting.  Similarly, Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels (both on Phillies) are also close, except for the huge gulf in W/L record.  If Hamels finishes sixth and Lee finishes 8th or something, then we know we’ve made an impact.  I doubt Lee will get even one vote though.

***

I actually wrote a fairly vicious post, but, I know some of you guys are sensitive and that you think we should be “nicer”.  I don’t really agree with that, but I also don’t feel like fighting today.  So, I’m not posting what I really want to post.

(24) Comments • 2012/11/16 SabermetricsMedia