[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/
You seem to have javascript disabled. Please note that many of the page functionalities won't work as expected without javascript enabled.
 
 
Sign in to use this feature.

Years

Between: -

Subjects

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Journals

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Article Types

Countries / Regions

remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline
remove_circle_outline

Search Results (42,642)

Search Parameters:
Keywords = system dynamics

Order results
Result details
Results per page
Select all
Export citation of selected articles as:
9 pages, 2036 KiB  
Proceeding Paper
PSO-Based PID Tuning for PMSM-Quadrotor UAV System
by Marco Rinaldi, Morteza Moslehi, Giorgio Guglieri and Stefano Primatesta
Eng. Proc. 2025, 90(1), 2; https://doi.org/10.3390/engproc2025090002 (registering DOI) - 7 Mar 2025
Abstract
This paper presents the simulation and controller optimization of a quadrotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) system. The quadrotor model is derived adopting the Newton-Euler approach, and is intended to be constituted by four three-phase Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motors (PMSM) controlled with a velocity [...] Read more.
This paper presents the simulation and controller optimization of a quadrotor Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) system. The quadrotor model is derived adopting the Newton-Euler approach, and is intended to be constituted by four three-phase Permanent Magnet Synchronous Motors (PMSM) controlled with a velocity control loop-based Field Oriented Control (FOC) technique. The Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to tune the parameters of the PID controllers of quadrotor height, quadrotor attitude angles, and PMSMs’ rotational speeds, which represent the eight critical parameters of the PMSM-quadrotor UAV system. The PSO algorithm is designed to optimize eight Square Error (SE) cost functions which quantify the error dynamics of the controlled variables. For each stabilization task, the PID tuning is divided in two phases. Firstly, the PSO optimizes the error dynamics of altitude and attitude angles of the quadrotor UAV. Secondly, the desired steady-state rotational speeds of the PMSMs are derived, and the PSO is used to optimize the motors’ dynamics. Finally, the complete PMSM-Quadrotor UAV system is simulated for stabilization during the target task. The study is carried out by means of simulations in MATLAB/Simulink®. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>(<b>a</b>) Schematic representation of the quadrotor platform, taken from [<a href="#B17-engproc-90-00002" class="html-bibr">17</a>]. (<b>b</b>)Schematic representation of the PMSM system and its control unit.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>(<b>a</b>) Flow chart of the PSO algorithm based on [<a href="#B19-engproc-90-00002" class="html-bibr">19</a>]; (<b>b</b>) Process of searching for a new position in the PSO methodology; (<b>c</b>) Schematic representation of how the PSO framework is used for optimizing the PID parameters of both quadrotor and PMSMs’ controllers.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Comparing (<b>a</b>) optimized and (<b>b</b>) non-optimized PMSM-Quadrotor UAV system’s performances for a hovering stabilization task. Comparing (<b>c</b>) optimized and (<b>d</b>) non-optimized PMSM-Quadrotor UAV system’s performances for a maneuvering stabilization task. Simulations performed with a set of random initial conditions.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>(<b>a</b>,<b>b</b>) Optimized dynamics of one motor during the maneuvering stabilization tasks, simulations refer to the same set of <a href="#engproc-90-00002-f003" class="html-fig">Figure 3</a>c. Comparing (<b>c</b>) optimized and (<b>d</b>) non-optimized dynamics of one motor for different reference velocities (i.e., different maneuvers).</p>
Full article ">
17 pages, 6962 KiB  
Article
Magnetic Field Meter Based on CMR-B-Scalar Sensor for Measurement of Microsecond Duration Magnetic Field Pulses
by Pavel Piatrou, Voitech Stankevic, Nerija Zurauskiene, Skirmantas Kersulis, Mindaugas Viliunas, Algirdas Baskys, Martynas Sapurov, Vytautas Bleizgys, Darius Antonovic, Valentina Plausinaitiene, Martynas Skapas, Vilius Vertelis and Borisas Levitas
Sensors 2025, 25(6), 1640; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25061640 (registering DOI) - 7 Mar 2025
Abstract
This study presents a system for precisely measuring pulsed magnetic fields with high amplitude and microsecond duration with minimal interference. The system comprises a probe with an advanced magnetic field sensor and a measurement unit for signal conversion, analysis, and digitization. The sensor [...] Read more.
This study presents a system for precisely measuring pulsed magnetic fields with high amplitude and microsecond duration with minimal interference. The system comprises a probe with an advanced magnetic field sensor and a measurement unit for signal conversion, analysis, and digitization. The sensor uses a thin nanostructured manganite La-Sr-Mn-O film exhibiting colossal magnetoresistance, which enables precise magnetic field measurement independent of its orientation. Films with different compositions were optimized and tested in pulsed magnetic fields. The measurement unit includes a pulsed voltage generator, an ADC, a microcontroller, and an amplifier unit. Two versions of the measurement unit were developed: one with a separate amplifier unit configured for the sensor positioned more than 1 m away from the measurement unit, and the other with an integrated amplifier for the sensor positioned at a distance of less than 0.5 m. A bipolar pulsed voltage supplying the sensor minimized the parasitic effects of the electromotive force induced in the probe circuit. The data were transmitted via a fiber optic cable to a PC equipped with a special software for processing and recording. Tests with 20–30 μs pulses up to 15 T confirmed the effectiveness of the system for measuring high pulsed magnetic fields. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Magnetic Field Sensing and Measurement Techniques)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>(<b>a</b>) Resistivity vs. temperature dependences of LSMO films with different Mn contents. <span class="html-italic">MR</span> dependences on magnetic flux density for films with Mn excess <span class="html-italic">y</span> = 1.15 (<b>b</b>) and <span class="html-italic">y</span> = 1.10 (<b>c</b>) contents at various ambient temperatures. Cross-sectional bright-field TEM image of the film with <span class="html-italic">y</span> = 1.10 (<b>d</b>) and <span class="html-italic">y</span> = 1.15 (<b>e</b>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Image of the sensors after photolithography (<b>a</b>). Image (<b>b</b>) and cross-sectional drawing (<b>c</b>) of a single sensor.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>(<b>a</b>) Flexible magnetic field probe with length of 25 cm and wire diameter of 1 mm. (<b>b</b>) Rigid magnetic field probe in plastic housing with diameter of 3 mm.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>The block diagram of the first version of the magnetic field meter.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Circuit diagrams of the sensor’s signal amplifier and interference protection circuit of the first version meter. The resistors with the asterisk (∗) are chosen depending on the sensor resistance. The amplifier and protection circuit are located in a separate unit (see <a href="#sensors-25-01640-f004" class="html-fig">Figure 4</a>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Circuit diagrams of interference protection circuit and bipolar pulsed voltage supply source of the first version of the meter. The bipolar pulse generator and input protection circuit are located in the measurement unit (see <a href="#sensors-25-01640-f004" class="html-fig">Figure 4</a>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>The first version of the magnetic field meter.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>The block diagram of the second version of the pulsed magnetic field meter.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>Circuit diagrams of interference protection circuit, bipolar pulsed voltage supply source, and sensor signal amplifier of the second version of the meter. The resistors with the asterisk (∗) are chosen depending on the sensor resistance. The input protection circuit, signal amplifier, and bipolar pulse generator are located in the measurement unit (see <a href="#sensors-25-01640-f008" class="html-fig">Figure 8</a>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Second version of the measurement unit of the magnetic field meter: (<b>a</b>) front side; (<b>b</b>) rear side.</p>
Full article ">Figure 11
<p>Magnetic field meter and picture of main window of a personal computer interface.</p>
Full article ">Figure 12
<p>Transients of bipolar pulsed supply voltage across the sensor for the first (<b>a</b>,<b>c</b>) and second (<b>b</b>,<b>d</b>) versions of magnetic field meter at various pulsed voltage frequencies.</p>
Full article ">Figure 13
<p>(<b>a</b>) Circuit diagram of microsecond magnetic pulse generator which consists of a capacitor bank, a Bitter coil, and a spark gap. (<b>b</b>) General view of the experimental setup for testing the magnetic field meter (second version).</p>
Full article ">Figure 14
<p>Transients of sensor signal using first (<b>a</b>) and second (<b>b</b>) versions of magnetic field meter, when sensors are placed in a Bitter coil and magnetic pulse generator capacitors are discharged through it when the capacitors’ voltage is 12.5 kV. (<b>c</b>) Transients of sensor signal are detected when useful signal, and EMF is also detected. (<b>d</b>) Magnetic flux density in the Bitter coil as a function of time, measured with the second version of the magnetic field meter when the capacitors were charged to 12.5 kV.</p>
Full article ">
16 pages, 2979 KiB  
Article
Learning High-Dimensional Chaos Based on an Echo State Network with Homotopy Transformation
by Shikun Wang, Fengjie Geng, Yuting Li and Hongjie Liu
Mathematics 2025, 13(6), 894; https://doi.org/10.3390/math13060894 (registering DOI) - 7 Mar 2025
Abstract
Learning high-dimensional chaos is a complex and challenging problem because of its initial value-sensitive dependence. Based on an echo state network (ESN), we introduce homotopy transformation in topological theory to learn high-dimensional chaos. On the premise of maintaining the basic topological properties, our [...] Read more.
Learning high-dimensional chaos is a complex and challenging problem because of its initial value-sensitive dependence. Based on an echo state network (ESN), we introduce homotopy transformation in topological theory to learn high-dimensional chaos. On the premise of maintaining the basic topological properties, our model can obtain the key features of chaos for learning through the continuous transformation between different activation functions, achieving an optimal balance between nonlinearity and linearity to enhance the generalization capability of the model. In the experimental part, we choose the Lorenz system, Mackey–Glass (MG) system, and Kuramoto–Sivashinsky (KS) system as examples, and we verify the superiority of our model by comparing it with other models. For some systems, the prediction error can be reduced by two orders of magnitude. The results show that the addition of homotopy transformation can improve the modeling ability of complex spatiotemporal chaotic systems, and this demonstrates the potential application of the model in dynamic time series analysis. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Echo state network architecture: (<b>a</b>) training phase, and (<b>b</b>) testing phase. <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="bold">I</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi mathvariant="bold">R</mi> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi mathvariant="bold">R</mi> <mo>/</mo> <mi mathvariant="bold">O</mi> </mrow> </semantics></math> denote the input-to-reservoir and reservoir-to-output couplers, respectively. <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi mathvariant="bold">R</mi> </semantics></math> denotes the reservoir.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Transition of <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>F</mi> <mo>(</mo> <mi>x</mi> <mo>,</mo> <mi>θ</mi> <mo>)</mo> </mrow> </semantics></math> from <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>t</mi> <mi>a</mi> <mi>n</mi> <mi>h</mi> </mrow> </semantics></math> to <span class="html-italic">x</span> under different values of <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>θ</mi> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Prediction results of the ESN, H-ESN, and DeepESN for each dimension of the Lorenz system. (<b>a</b>) Lorenz-x, (<b>b</b>) Lorenz-y, and (<b>c</b>) Lorenz-z.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>EPT variation curves of the three dimensions of the Lorenz system with respect to <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>θ</mi> </semantics></math> are shown, with blue for Lorenz-x, red for Lorenz-y, and green for Lorenz-z.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Comparison of the prediction results for the MG time series between the ESN and H-ESN; the upper panel shows the ESN predictions, and the lower panel shows the H-ESN predictions.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Prediction error curves of the H-ESN with <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ρ</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1.2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ρ</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>1.25</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> as functions of varying reservoir sizes <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi>D</mi> <mi>r</mi> </msub> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Variation curves of the prediction errors of the ESN, H-ESN, and DeepESN at different spectral radius <math display="inline"><semantics> <mi>ρ</mi> </semantics></math> values.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Comparison of the prediction results for the KS system between the ESN and H-ESN: the left panel shows the ESN predictions, while the right panel shows the H-ESN predictions, where <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <msub> <mo>Λ</mo> <mrow> <mi>m</mi> <mi>a</mi> <mi>x</mi> </mrow> </msub> <mi>t</mi> </mrow> </semantics></math> represents the Lyapunov time.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>MSE plot of the predicted values and true values for different dimensions of the KS system using the ESN and H-ESN.</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Comparison of prediction errors of the H-ESN under different Gaussian noise intensities.</p>
Full article ">
19 pages, 4821 KiB  
Article
Modelling, Control Design and Inclusion of Articulated Robots in Cyber-Physical Factories
by Květoslav Belda, Lukáš Venkrbec and Jan Jirsa
Actuators 2025, 14(3), 129; https://doi.org/10.3390/act14030129 (registering DOI) - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
This paper addresses the features and limits of the principles and means that provide and support the design of motion control for industrial stationary articulated robots and their involvement in cyber-physical factories as part of the Industry 4.0 concept. The proposed methods are [...] Read more.
This paper addresses the features and limits of the principles and means that provide and support the design of motion control for industrial stationary articulated robots and their involvement in cyber-physical factories as part of the Industry 4.0 concept. The proposed methods are presented herein, from the modelling of kinematics and dynamics considering ideal rigid bodies and principles of classical mechanics, to their application in the design of conventional cascade control and advanced model-based control and use within commercial software tools. The paper demonstrates the modelling principles adapted for control design where a specific novel hierarchical control configuration is outlined. There is an introduction of possible software tools such as Simscape, Robotics Systems Toolbox, RT Toolbox, CIROS and others. It includes the specific aim of the rapid prototyping of robot motion control, which is intended for user development and tuning. In conjunction with conveyor belts, robots-manipulators are essential for cyber-physical factories built on the concept of Industry 4.0. The concept of Industry 4.0 is discussed in respect to the proposed algorithms and software means. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Actuators for Manufacturing Systems)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Educational Cyber-Physical Factory by Festo Co. at College of Polytechnic Jihlava.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Global industrial robot installations by industry in 2021 (grey), 2022 (red) and 2023 (blue) in thousands [<a href="#B16-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">16</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Obsolete concept of piece production (made to order).</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Robot RV-4FL-D (<b>a</b>) in CPF in assembly module and (<b>b</b>) with indicated coordinates [<a href="#B19-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">19</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Two-dimensional views for robot kinematic analysis [<a href="#B17-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">17</a>]. Individual numbers ⓪–⑥ represent numbers of robot bodies, see <a href="#actuators-14-00129-f004" class="html-fig">Figure 4</a>b.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Conventional PID-based cascade control for individual joints/axes/drives [<a href="#B17-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">17</a>,<a href="#B21-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">21</a>,<a href="#B22-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">22</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Novel model predictive control concept for robot dynamics and drives [<a href="#B17-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">17</a>,<a href="#B18-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">18</a>,<a href="#B23-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">23</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Simulink model of Mitsubishi robot RV-4FL-D using Simscape Multibody Library [<a href="#B3-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">3</a>,<a href="#B17-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">17</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>Mechanics Explorer with 3D model of Mitsubishi robot RV-4FL-D [<a href="#B3-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">3</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Creation of the structure ‘robot’ as ‘rigidBodyTree’ in Robotics System Toolbox. (Real configuration for considered Mitsubishi robot RV-4FL-D).</p>
Full article ">Figure 11
<p>Structure ‘robot’ in Robotics System Toolbox. (Real configuration for considered Mitsubishi robot RV-4FL-D listed in the MATLAB command line).</p>
Full article ">Figure 12
<p>MATLAB Figure with ‘rigidBodyTree’ robot class RV-4FL-D; and time behaviours of joint and TCP coordinates.</p>
Full article ">Figure 13
<p>RT Toolbox environment with robot RV-4FL-D.</p>
Full article ">Figure 14
<p>CIROS Studio environment with robot RV-4FL-D.</p>
Full article ">Figure 15
<p>G-code of testing trajectory in mm.</p>
Full article ">Figure 16
<p>Code (Melfa Language for RT Toolbox).</p>
Full article ">Figure 17
<p>(<b>a</b>) joint command 1–6 (deg); (<b>b</b>) reference XYZ graph (mm); (<b>c</b>) current command 1–6 (Arms).</p>
Full article ">Figure 18
<p>(<b>a</b>) joint feedback 1–6 (deg); (<b>b</b>) speed feedback 1–6 (deg/s); (<b>c</b>) current feedback 1–6 (A) [<a href="#B17-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">17</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 19
<p>Principle of I4.0 Component [<a href="#B28-actuators-14-00129" class="html-bibr">28</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 20
<p>Set of I4.0 components and their common communication.</p>
Full article ">
28 pages, 1473 KiB  
Article
Maximum Trimmed Likelihood Estimation for Discrete Multivariate Vasicek Processes
by Thomas M. Fullerton, Michael Pokojovy, Andrews T. Anum and Ebenezer Nkum
Economies 2025, 13(3), 68; https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13030068 (registering DOI) - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
The multivariate Vasicek model is commonly used to capture mean-reverting dynamics typical for short rates, asset price stochastic log-volatilities, etc. Reparametrizing the discretized problem as a VAR(1) model, the parameters are oftentimes estimated using the multivariate least squares (MLS) method, which can be [...] Read more.
The multivariate Vasicek model is commonly used to capture mean-reverting dynamics typical for short rates, asset price stochastic log-volatilities, etc. Reparametrizing the discretized problem as a VAR(1) model, the parameters are oftentimes estimated using the multivariate least squares (MLS) method, which can be susceptible to outliers. To account for potential model violations, a maximum trimmed likelihood estimation (MTLE) approach is utilized to derive a system of nonlinear estimating equations, and an iterative procedure is developed to solve the latter. In addition to robustness, our new technique allows for reliable recovery of the long-term mean, unlike existing methodologies. A set of simulation studies across multiple dimensions, sample sizes and robustness configurations are performed. MTLE outcomes are compared to those of multivariate least trimmed squares (MLTS), MLE and MLS. Empirical results suggest that MTLE not only maintains good relative efficiency for uncontaminated data but significantly improves overall estimation quality in the presence of data irregularities. Additionally, real data examples containing daily log-volatilities of six common assets (commodities and currencies) and US/Euro short rates are also analyzed. The results indicate that MTLE provides an attractive instrument for interest rate forecasting, stochastic volatility modeling, risk management and other applications requiring statistical robustness in complex economic and financial environments. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Simulated <math display="inline"><semantics> <mover accent="true"> <mo form="prefix">err</mo> <mo>^</mo> </mover> </semantics></math> values for <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ε</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.20</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ncp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>50</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>bdp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.25</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Simulated <math display="inline"><semantics> <mover accent="true"> <mo form="prefix">err</mo> <mo>^</mo> </mover> </semantics></math> values for <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ε</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.30</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ncp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>25</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>bdp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.35</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Simulated <math display="inline"><semantics> <mover accent="true"> <mo form="prefix">err</mo> <mo>^</mo> </mover> </semantics></math> values for <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ε</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.20</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ncp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>25</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>bdp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.25</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Simulated <math display="inline"><semantics> <mover accent="true"> <mo form="prefix">err</mo> <mo>^</mo> </mover> </semantics></math> values for <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ε</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.10</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>, <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>ncp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>25</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math> and <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>bdp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.35</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Historic US/EU 3-month rates (1 January 2023–31 12 December 2023) as well as forecasted mean and 90% projection bands (1 January 2024–31 March 2024).</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>The contour plots of the probability density function of the forecasted short rate <math display="inline"><semantics> <msub> <mi mathvariant="bold-italic">R</mi> <mi>t</mi> </msub> </semantics></math> distribution on 31 March 2024.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Sphered empirical residuals for MTLE (<math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>bdp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>), MLTS (<math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>bdp</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>0.2</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>), MLE and MLS estimators with respective 95% prediction circles.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Empirical backtesting root-MSE and MAPE using MTLE, MLTS, MLE and MLS estimators.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>Daily logged volatilities: July 2017–June 2020.</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Estimates of <math display="inline"><semantics> <msup> <mi mathvariant="bold-italic">R</mi> <mo>∗</mo> </msup> </semantics></math> for daily log-volatilities with <math display="inline"><semantics> <mrow> <mi>w</mi> <mo>=</mo> <mn>50</mn> </mrow> </semantics></math>.</p>
Full article ">
24 pages, 1308 KiB  
Article
Decoding Strategies in Green Building Supply Chain Implementation: A System Dynamics-Augmented Tripartite Evolutionary Game Analysis Considering Consumer Green Preferences
by Yanan Zhang, Danfeng Xie, Tiankai Zhen, Zhongxiang Zhou, Bing Guo and Zhipeng Dai
Buildings 2025, 15(5), 840; https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15050840 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
The building sector accounts for one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions, representing a significant environmental challenge in the 21st century. Green supply chain management is considered an effective approach to achieving green transformation in the construction industry. However, the green building supply chain [...] Read more.
The building sector accounts for one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions, representing a significant environmental challenge in the 21st century. Green supply chain management is considered an effective approach to achieving green transformation in the construction industry. However, the green building supply chain (GBSC) involves multiple stakeholders, necessitating integrated consideration of various participants to ensure efficient GBSC implementation. In this context, and accounting for consumer green preferences, this paper identifies the government, enterprises, and consumers as key stakeholders. A tripartite evolutionary game model is established, and the influence of the participants’ strategic choices on the system equilibrium is analyzed. The model’s validity was assessed through sensitivity analysis and by comparing its outputs with findings from the existing literature. The findings show that: (1) Significant interdependence exists among GBSC participants. (2) The system will eventually tend toward an equilibrium characterized by active enterprise implementation and consumer green consumption, reducing the need for government intervention. (3) The sensitivity analysis shows that green consumption is significantly affected by the extra cost and perceived environmental benefits. These conclusions suggest that governments should build a collaborative governance system, implement dynamic and precise supervision of enterprises in stages, and optimize the incentive design for consumers to promote the implementation of the green building supply chain. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Promoting Green, Sustainable, and Resilient Urban Construction)
29 pages, 6126 KiB  
Article
Keplerian Ringed-Disk Viscous-Diffusive Evolution and Combined Independent General Relativistic Evolutions
by Daniela Pugliese, Zdenek Stuchlík and Vladimir Karas
Universe 2025, 11(3), 88; https://doi.org/10.3390/universe11030088 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
We investigate the evolution of a set of viscous rings, solving a diffusion-like evolution equation in the (Keplerian disk) Newtonian regime. The Lynden-Bell and Pringle approach for a single disk regime is applied to a disk with a ring profile mimicking a set [...] Read more.
We investigate the evolution of a set of viscous rings, solving a diffusion-like evolution equation in the (Keplerian disk) Newtonian regime. The Lynden-Bell and Pringle approach for a single disk regime is applied to a disk with a ring profile mimicking a set of orbiting viscous rings. We discuss the time evolution of the disk, adopting different initial wavy (ringed) density profiles. Four different stages of the ring-cluster evolution are distinguished. In the second part of this analysis, we also explore the general relativistic framework by investigating the time evolution of composed systems of general relativistic co-rotating and counter-rotating equatorial disks orbiting a central Kerr black hole for faster spinning and slowly spinning black holes. In the sideline of this analysis, we consider a modified viscosity prescription mimicking an effective viscosity in the general relativistic ring interspace acting in the early phases of the rings’ evolutions, exploring the double system dynamics. Each ring of the separate sequence spreads inside the cluster modifying its inner structure following the rings merging. As the original ringed structure disappears, a single disk appears. The final configuration has a (well-defined) density peak, and its evolution turns in the final stages are dominated by its activity at the inner edge. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Gravitation)
18 pages, 5543 KiB  
Article
Deformation and Failure Mechanism of Bedding Rock Landslides Based on Stability Analysis and Kinematics Characteristics: A Case Study of the Xing’an Village Landslide, Chongqing
by Jingyi Zeng, Zhenwei Dai, Xuedong Luo, Weizhi Jiao, Zhe Yang, Zixuan Li, Nan Zhang and Qihui Xiong
Water 2025, 17(5), 767; https://doi.org/10.3390/w17050767 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Bedding rock landslides, characterized by their distinct geological structure, are widely distributed and highly susceptible to sliding under external disturbances, resulting in catastrophic events. This study aims to unravel the geomechanical mechanisms governing rainfall-induced instability through an integrated investigation of a representative landslide [...] Read more.
Bedding rock landslides, characterized by their distinct geological structure, are widely distributed and highly susceptible to sliding under external disturbances, resulting in catastrophic events. This study aims to unravel the geomechanical mechanisms governing rainfall-induced instability through an integrated investigation of a representative landslide in Xing’an Village, Chongqing. Employing multidisciplinary approaches, including field monitoring, geotechnical testing, and dynamic numerical modeling, we systematically revealed two critical failure zones: a front failure zone and a rear potential instability zone. Under rainstorm conditions, the safety factor for both zones was 1.02, indicating a marginally unstable state. The DAN-W simulations indicate that the potential instability zone at the rear of the landslide experienced complete failure within 12 s under heavy rainfall, with a maximum run-out distance of 20 m, a maximum velocity of 4.32 m/s, and a maximum deposition thickness of 8.3 m, which could potentially bury the buildings at the toe of the landslide. The low strength and permeability of the mudstone-dominated Badong Formation, characterized by interbedded mudstone, siltstone, and sandstone within the Middle Triassic geological system, provides a fundamental prerequisite for the landslide. Rainwater infiltration into the mudstone layers degraded its mechanical properties, and excavation at the slope base ultimately triggered the landslide initiation. These findings can provide theoretical support for preventing and managing similar bedding rock landslides with similar geological backgrounds. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>The geographical location of Xing’an village landslide.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>(<b>a</b>) Geological plan of the Xing’an landslide, (<b>b</b>) Drilling core samples, and (<b>c</b>) Rear tension cracks and explored grayish-white mudstone.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Schematic diagram of 2–2′ profile of Xing’an landslide.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Cataclastic rock mass in the landslide.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Groundwater seepage was observed during excavation at the toe of the landslide.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Tension cracks at the rear edge of the potential instability zone.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Schematic diagram of the final morphology of the bedding slope.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>(<b>a</b>) Temporal variation in velocities at M1, and (<b>b</b>) Displacement-based variation in velocities at M2.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>(<b>a</b>) Variation in landslide velocity and thickness over time at M3, and (<b>b</b>) variation in landslide velocity and thickness over time at M4.</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Morphological characteristics of landslide deposits.</p>
Full article ">Figure 11
<p>Thickness variation in the unstable landslide.</p>
Full article ">Figure 12
<p>(<b>a</b>) Pre-deformation stage, (<b>b</b>) Slope-toe excavation, (<b>c</b>) Rainfall and slope-toe excavation induce lower collapse, forming tensile cracks at the rear, and (<b>d</b>) The lower collapse triggers overall failure in the rear potential instability zone.</p>
Full article ">
15 pages, 5379 KiB  
Article
Virtual Synchronous Generator Control of Grid Connected Modular Multilevel Converters with an Improved Capacitor Voltage Balancing Method
by Haroun Bensiali, Farid Khoucha, Abdeldjabar Benrabah, Lakhdar Benhamimid and Mohamed Benbouzid
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(5), 2865; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15052865 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Modular multilevel converters have emerged as a common solution in high-voltage and medium-voltage applications due to their scalability and modularity. However, these advantages come at the cost of increased control complexity, particularly when compared to other multilevel converter topologies. This paper proposes a [...] Read more.
Modular multilevel converters have emerged as a common solution in high-voltage and medium-voltage applications due to their scalability and modularity. However, these advantages come at the cost of increased control complexity, particularly when compared to other multilevel converter topologies. This paper proposes a new combined control strategy based on virtual synchronous generator (VSG) control and capacitor voltage balancing (CVB) method. The VSG control is applied for power sharing and inertia emulation to increase the dynamic response and improve system stability while the CVB method is used to redistribute the energy stored in the capacitors of the submodules (SMs) in order to ensure uniform voltage levels and equalize the voltage across the capacitors. The simulation results as well as experimental ones confirm the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method, enhancing the performance of the energy conversion system. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Electrical, Electronics and Communications Engineering)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Multilevel converter topology: (<b>a</b>) MMC; (<b>b</b>) half-bridge and full-bridge SM.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Block diagram of the proposed CVB-VSG control.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>VSG based control scheme.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Flowchart of the CVB algorithm.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Simulation results of applying CVB−VSG control and CVB−PQ control to the MMC. (<b>a</b>) Three−phase voltages and currents of the MMC. (<b>b</b>) Three−phase voltages and currents of the grid. (<b>c</b>) Estimation of the voltages of the SM capacitor of phase A by the CVB−PQ control. (<b>d</b>) Estimation of the voltages of the SM capacitor of phase A by the CVB-VSG control. (<b>e</b>) Estimation and measurement of phase A SM capacitor voltages for both commands. (<b>f</b>) Phase A circulating current. (<b>g</b>) Average value of DC current. (<b>h</b>) DC current. (<b>i</b>) Active and reactive power.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5 Cont.
<p>Simulation results of applying CVB−VSG control and CVB−PQ control to the MMC. (<b>a</b>) Three−phase voltages and currents of the MMC. (<b>b</b>) Three−phase voltages and currents of the grid. (<b>c</b>) Estimation of the voltages of the SM capacitor of phase A by the CVB−PQ control. (<b>d</b>) Estimation of the voltages of the SM capacitor of phase A by the CVB-VSG control. (<b>e</b>) Estimation and measurement of phase A SM capacitor voltages for both commands. (<b>f</b>) Phase A circulating current. (<b>g</b>) Average value of DC current. (<b>h</b>) DC current. (<b>i</b>) Active and reactive power.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Total harmonic distortion of grid current.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Experimental platform of the three-phase MMC.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Experimental results of applying VSG and PQ control to the MMC. (<b>a</b>) Three-phase voltages of the MMC. (<b>b</b>) Three-phase voltages and currents of the grid. (<b>c</b>) Voltages of SM capacitors in phase B. (<b>d</b>) Phase A circulating current. (<b>e</b>) DC current. (<b>f</b>) Active and reactive power.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8 Cont.
<p>Experimental results of applying VSG and PQ control to the MMC. (<b>a</b>) Three-phase voltages of the MMC. (<b>b</b>) Three-phase voltages and currents of the grid. (<b>c</b>) Voltages of SM capacitors in phase B. (<b>d</b>) Phase A circulating current. (<b>e</b>) DC current. (<b>f</b>) Active and reactive power.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>Experimental results of applying CVB−VSG and CVB−PQ control to the MMC. (<b>a</b>) Three-phase voltages of the MMC. (<b>b</b>) Three-phase voltages and currents of the grid. (<b>c</b>) Voltages of SM capacitors in phase B. (<b>d</b>) Phase A circulating current. (<b>e</b>) DC current. (<b>f</b>) Active and reactive power.</p>
Full article ">
22 pages, 3393 KiB  
Article
A Dynamic Spatio-Temporal Traffic Prediction Model Applicable to Low Earth Orbit Satellite Constellations
by Kexuan Liu, Yasheng Zhang and Shan Lu
Electronics 2025, 14(5), 1052; https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14051052 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Low Earth Orbit (LEO) constellations support the transmission of various communication services and have been widely applied in fields such as global Internet access, the Internet of Things, remote sensing monitoring, and emergency communication. With the surge in traffic volume, the quality of [...] Read more.
Low Earth Orbit (LEO) constellations support the transmission of various communication services and have been widely applied in fields such as global Internet access, the Internet of Things, remote sensing monitoring, and emergency communication. With the surge in traffic volume, the quality of user services has faced unprecedented challenges. Achieving accurate low Earth orbit constellation network traffic prediction can optimize resource allocation, enhance the performance of LEO constellation networks, reduce unnecessary costs in operation management, and enable the system to adapt to the development of future services. Ground networks often adopt methods such as machine learning (support vector machine, SVM) or deep learning (convolutional neural network, CNN; generative adversarial network, GAN) to predict future short- and long-term traffic information, aiming to optimize network performance and ensure service quality. However, these methods lack an understanding of the high-dynamics of LEO satellites and are not applicable to LEO constellations. Therefore, designing an intelligent traffic prediction model that can accurately predict multi-service scenarios in LEO constellations remains an unsolved challenge. In this paper, in light of the characteristics of high-dynamics and the high-frequency data streams of LEO constellation traffic, the authors propose a DST-LEO satellite-traffic prediction model (a dynamic spatio-temporal low Earth orbit satellite traffic prediction model). This model captures the implicit features among satellite nodes through multiple attention mechanism modules and processes the traffic volume and traffic connection/disconnection data of inter-satellite links via a multi-source data separation and fusion strategy, respectively. After splicing and fusing at a specific scale, the model performs prediction through the attention mechanism. The model proposed by the authors achieved a short-term prediction RMSE of 0.0028 and an MAE of 0.0018 on the Abilene dataset. For long-term prediction on the Abilene dataset, the RMSE was 0.0054 and the MAE was 0.0039. The RMSE of the short-term prediction on the dataset simulated by the internal low Earth orbit constellation business simulation system was 0.0034, and the MAE was 0.0026. For the long-term prediction, the RMSE reached 0.0029 and the MAE reached 0.0022. Compared with other time series prediction models, it decreased by 22.3% in terms of the mean squared error and 18.0% in terms of the mean absolute error. The authors validated the functions of each module within the model through ablation experiments and further analyzed the effectiveness of this model in the task of LEO constellation network traffic prediction. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Future Generation Non-Terrestrial Networks)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Schematic diagram of the communication services provided to users by LEO constellations.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Topological relationship of LEO constellations.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Flowchart architecture of the overall traffic prediction for LEO constellations.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Schematic diagram of the data format for training.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Schematic diagram of the network structure of the Abilene dataset.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Structural diagram of the internal low earth orbit constellation service simulation system.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Short-term prediction curve diagram of Link 1 in the Abilene dataset.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7 Cont.
<p>Short-term prediction curve diagram of Link 1 in the Abilene dataset.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Long-term prediction curve diagram of Link 7 in the Abilene dataset.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>The prediction curves of the DLS traffic prediction model for the long-term and short-term traffic in the internal LEO constellation service simulation system.</p>
Full article ">
17 pages, 1257 KiB  
Article
Enhanced Emotion Recognition Through Dynamic Restrained Adaptive Loss and Extended Multimodal Bottleneck Transformer
by Dang-Khanh Nguyen, Eunchae Lim, Soo-Hyung Kim, Hyung-Jeong Yang and Seungwon Kim
Appl. Sci. 2025, 15(5), 2862; https://doi.org/10.3390/app15052862 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Emotion recognition in video aims to estimate human emotions using acoustic, visual, and linguistic information. This problem is considered multimodal and requires learning different modalities, such as visual, verbal, and vocal cues. Although previous studies have focused on developing sophisticated deep learning models, [...] Read more.
Emotion recognition in video aims to estimate human emotions using acoustic, visual, and linguistic information. This problem is considered multimodal and requires learning different modalities, such as visual, verbal, and vocal cues. Although previous studies have focused on developing sophisticated deep learning models, this work proposes a different approach using dynamic restrained adaptive loss inspired by multitask learning to understand multimodal inputs jointly. This training strategy allows predictions from one modality to enhance the accuracy of predictions from other modalities, mirroring the concept of multitask learning, where the results of one task can improve the performance of related tasks. Furthermore, this work introduces the extended multimodal bottleneck transformer, an efficient and effective mid-fusion method designed for problems involving more than two modalities to enhance the performance of emotion recognition systems. The proposed method significantly improves results compared to other end-to-end multimodal fusion techniques on three multimodal benchmarks—Interactive Emotional Dyadic Motion Capture (IEMOCAP), Carnegie Mellon University Multimodal Opinion Sentiment and Emotion Intensity (CMU-MOSEI), and the Chinese Multimodal Sentiment Analysis dataset with independent unimodal annotations (CH-SIMS). Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Proposed multimodal learning framework (<b>a</b>) developed from traditional multimodal learning (<b>b</b>) and inspired by multitask learning (<b>c</b>).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Block diagram of the proposed framework.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Illustration of proposed XMBT.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>CMU-MOSEI and IEMOCAP test results for XMBT by training strategy.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Evaluation metrics of IEMOCAP.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>CMU-MOSEI test results of XMBT and open-ended MBT variants.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>CMU-MOSEI test results of XMBT by temperature and number of bottleneck layers.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>T-SNE visualization of modal-specific representations of IEMOCAP samples using (<b>upper</b>) conventional loss function and (<b>lower</b>) DRA loss function.</p>
Full article ">
17 pages, 2218 KiB  
Article
Application of GIS Technologies in Tourism Planning and Sustainable Development: A Case Study of Gelnica
by Marieta Šoltésová, Barbora Iannaccone, Ľubomír Štrba and Csaba Sidor
ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 2025, 14(3), 120; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi14030120 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
This study examines the application of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) in tourism planning and sustainable destination management, using Gelnica, Slovakia, as a case study. The research highlights a key challenge—the absence of systematic visitor data collection—which hinders tourism market analysis, demand assessment, and [...] Read more.
This study examines the application of Geographic Information Systems (GIS) in tourism planning and sustainable destination management, using Gelnica, Slovakia, as a case study. The research highlights a key challenge—the absence of systematic visitor data collection—which hinders tourism market analysis, demand assessment, and strategic decision-making. The study integrates alternative data sources, including the Google Places API, to address this gap to analyse Points of Interest (POIs) based on user-generated reviews, ratings, and spatial attributes. The methodological framework combines data acquisition, spatial analysis, and GIS-based visualisation, employing thematic and heat maps to assess tourism resources and visitor behaviour. The findings reveal critical spatial patterns and tourism dynamics, identifying high-demand zones and underutilised locations. Results underscore the potential of GIS to optimise tourism infrastructure, enhance visitor management, and inform evidence-based decision-making. This study advocates for systematically integrating GIS technologies with visitor monitoring and digital tools to improve destination competitiveness and sustainability. The proposed GIS-driven approach offers a scalable and transferable model for data-informed tourism planning in similar historic and environmentally sensitive regions. Full article
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>Administrative localisation of Gelnica at the macro level (1:2,000,000).</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Spatial distribution of primary and secondary tourism resources at the micro-level (1:25,000). 1—Mining Museum in Gelnica; 2—Gelnica Castle; 3—Jozef Shaft; 4—Turzov Lake; 5—Gloriet Viewpoint; 7—Church of the Assumption of the Virgin Mary; 8—Swing in Countryside; 9—Guesthouse Pod Hradom; 10—Turzov Guesthouse; 11—Private accommodation Biela Ruža; 12—Dino Apartments; 13—Viktória Cottage; 15—Bowling Pizzeria; 16—Culinarium Gelnica; 17—Mimóza Confectionery; 18—Morning Smile Café and Bistro; 19—Tatran Restaurant; 20—AB Caffe; 21—Restaurant Gelnické Mňamky; 22—Café Pod Lesom; 23—Restaurant Biergarten; 24—Emporio Casino Pizza Pub; 25—Bowling Bar; 27—Tourist Information Center.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Heat map of primary and secondary tourism resources about the intersections of the shortest walkable paths with hiking trails and cycling paths (1:20 000).</p>
Full article ">
25 pages, 13905 KiB  
Article
A Framework for Real-Time Autonomous Robotic Sorting and Segregation of Nuclear Waste: Modelling, Identification and Control of DexterTM Robot
by Mithun Poozhiyil, Omer F. Argin, Mini Rai, Amir G. Esfahani, Marc Hanheide, Ryan King, Phil Saunderson, Mike Moulin-Ramsden, Wen Yang, Laura Palacio García, Iain Mackay, Abhishek Mishra, Sho Okamoto and Kelvin Yeung
Machines 2025, 13(3), 214; https://doi.org/10.3390/machines13030214 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Robots are essential for carrying out tasks, for example, in a nuclear industry, where direct human involvement is limited. However, present-day nuclear robots are not versatile due to limited autonomy and higher costs. This research presents a merely teleoperated DexterTM nuclear robot’s [...] Read more.
Robots are essential for carrying out tasks, for example, in a nuclear industry, where direct human involvement is limited. However, present-day nuclear robots are not versatile due to limited autonomy and higher costs. This research presents a merely teleoperated DexterTM nuclear robot’s transformation into an autonomous manipulator for nuclear sort and segregation tasks. The DexterTM system comprises a arm client manipulator designed to operate in extreme radiation environments and a similar single/dual-arm local manipulator. In this paper, initially, a kinematic model and convex optimization-based dynamic model identification of a single-arm DexterTM manipulator is presented. This model is used for autonomous DexterTM control through Robot Operating System (ROS). A new integration framework incorporating vision, AI-based grasp generation and an intelligent radiological surveying method for enhancing the performance of autonomous DexterTM is presented. The efficacy of the framework is demonstrated on a mock-up nuclear waste test-bed using similar waste materials found in the nuclear industry. The experiments performed show potency, generality and applicability of the proposed framework in overcoming the entry barriers for autonomous systems in regulated domains like the nuclear industry. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue New Trends in Industrial Robots)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>A schematic of Dexter<sup>TM</sup> teleoperation system architecture comprising local and remote manipulators.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>The experimental setup comprising a mock-up of nuclear waste sorting test-bed. (<b>a</b>) Dexter<sup>TM</sup> local and remote arms. (<b>b</b>) Remote arm with associated sensors and sorting table.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Top-level system process flow for Dexter<sup>TM</sup> system-based nuclear sort and segregation application.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Nuclear sort and segregation system architecture.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Frame definition of the Dexter<sup>TM</sup> manipulator.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Dexter dynamic model parameter identification process.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Joint-space feed-forward nonlinear control scheme.</p>
Full article ">Figure 8
<p>Octomap of the environment and ROS-Rviz simulation model.</p>
Full article ">Figure 9
<p>Curve fitting to mass estimation.</p>
Full article ">Figure 10
<p>Fourier series-based excitation trajectories generated for dynamical parameter identification of Dexter<sup>TM</sup> manipulator. Joint trajectories for (<b>a</b>) training and (<b>b</b>) testing.</p>
Full article ">Figure 11
<p>Predicted and measured torques for the test trajectory using estimated dynamical parameters of Dexter<sup>TM</sup> manipulator.</p>
Full article ">Figure 12
<p>Result of object detection and classification from two RGB-D images of a scene. Images from left to right shows the test objects in the environment from two cameras, their depth images, Multiview Stereo (MVS) reconstruction and filtered point cloud, and SoftGroup model-based classification and object detection outputs.</p>
Full article ">Figure 13
<p>Single-object point cloud reconstruction from three different object pose performed by Dexter<sup>TM</sup> after grasping and the category classification result.</p>
Full article ">Figure 14
<p>Radiological surveying objects, radiation scan trajectories and radiation levels.</p>
Full article ">Figure 15
<p>Grasp pose generation results from two object piles.</p>
Full article ">Figure 16
<p>Geometry characterizations of wellington boot (<b>Row 1</b>) and plastic hose (<b>Row 2</b>). (<b>Column 1</b>): 3D point cloud of the environment. (<b>Column 2</b>): Watertight mesh generated from detected object point cloud. (<b>Column 3</b>): Geometrical characterization of detected object.</p>
Full article ">Figure 17
<p>Experimental result of the bin packing.</p>
Full article ">Figure 18
<p>Full system demonstrator.</p>
Full article ">Figure 19
<p>Execution of the integrated system from picking to dropping for four example objects.</p>
Full article ">
38 pages, 3147 KiB  
Article
A Risk-Optimized Framework for Data-Driven IPO Underperformance Prediction in Complex Financial Systems
by Mazin Alahmadi
Systems 2025, 13(3), 179; https://doi.org/10.3390/systems13030179 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Accurate predictions of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) aftermarket performance are essential for making informed investment decisions in the financial sector. This paper attempts to predict IPO short-term underperformance during a month post-listing. The current research landscape lacks modern models that address the needs [...] Read more.
Accurate predictions of Initial Public Offerings (IPOs) aftermarket performance are essential for making informed investment decisions in the financial sector. This paper attempts to predict IPO short-term underperformance during a month post-listing. The current research landscape lacks modern models that address the needs of small and imbalanced datasets relevant to emerging markets, as well as the risk preferences of investors. To fill this gap, we present a practical framework utilizing tree-based ensemble learning, including Bagging Classifier (BC), Random Forest (RF), AdaBoost (Ada), Gradient Boosting (GB), XGBoost (XG), Stacking Classifier (SC), and Extra Trees (ET), with Decision Tree (DT) as a base estimator. The framework leverages data-driven methodologies to optimize decision-making in complex financial systems, integrating ANOVA F-value for feature selection, Randomized Search for hyperparameter optimization, and SMOTE for class balance. The framework’s effectiveness is assessed using a hand-collected dataset that includes features from both pre-IPO prospectus and firm-specific financial data. We thoroughly evaluate the results using single-split evaluation and 10-fold cross-validation analysis. For the single-split validation, ET achieves the highest accuracy of 86%, while for the 10-fold validation, BC achieves the highest accuracy of 70%. Additionally, we compare the results of the proposed framework with deep-learning models such as MLP, TabNet, and ANN to assess their effectiveness in handling IPO underperformance predictions. These results demonstrate the framework’s capability to enable robust data-driven decision-making processes in complex and dynamic financial environments, even with limited and imbalanced datasets. The framework also proposes a dynamic methodology named Investor Preference Prediction Framework (IPPF) to match tree-based ensemble models to investors’ risk preferences when predicting IPO underperformance. It concludes that different models may be suitable for various risk profiles. For the dataset at hand, ET and Ada are more appropriate for risk-averse investors, while BC is suitable for risk-tolerant investors. The results underscore the framework’s importance in improving IPO underperformance predictions, which can better inform investment strategies and decision-making processes. Full article
(This article belongs to the Special Issue Data-Driven Decision Making for Complex Systems)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>The Proposed Framework.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>ROC curves of all the classifiers during testing.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Comparison with existing studies using the test dataset [<a href="#B37-systems-13-00179" class="html-bibr">37</a>].</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Representation of model selection adjusted for investor’s risk level for single-split validation.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Representation of model selection adjusted for investor’s risk level for 10-fold validation.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Robustness Ratio Curves for Both Single-Split and 10-Fold Validations.</p>
Full article ">
27 pages, 27384 KiB  
Article
Adaptive Non-Stationary Fuzzy Time Series Forecasting with Bayesian Networks
by Bo Wang and Xiaodong Liu
Sensors 2025, 25(5), 1628; https://doi.org/10.3390/s25051628 - 6 Mar 2025
Abstract
Despite its interpretability and excellence in time series forecasting, the fuzzy time series forecasting model (FTSFM) faces significant challenges when handling non-stationary time series. This paper proposes a novel hybrid non-stationary FTSFM that integrates time-variant FTSFM, Bayesian network (BN), and non-stationary fuzzy sets. [...] Read more.
Despite its interpretability and excellence in time series forecasting, the fuzzy time series forecasting model (FTSFM) faces significant challenges when handling non-stationary time series. This paper proposes a novel hybrid non-stationary FTSFM that integrates time-variant FTSFM, Bayesian network (BN), and non-stationary fuzzy sets. We first apply first-order differencing to extract the fluctuation information of the time series while reducing non-stationarity. A novel time-variant FTSFM updating method is proposed to effectively merge historical knowledge with new observations, enhancing model stability while maintaining sensitivity to time series changes. The updating of fuzzy sets is achieved by incorporating non-stationary fuzzy sets and prediction residuals. Based on updated fuzzy sets, the system reconstructs fuzzy logical relationship groups by combining historical and new data. This approach implements dynamic quantitative modeling of fuzzy relationships between historical and predicted moments, integrating valuable historical temporal fuzzy patterns with emerging temporal fuzzy characteristics. This paper further develops an adaptive BN structure learning method with an adaptive scoring function to update temporal dependence relationships between any two moments while building upon existing dependence relationships. Experimental results indicate that the proposed model significantly outperforms benchmark algorithms. Full article
(This article belongs to the Section Intelligent Sensors)
Show Figures

Figure 1

Figure 1
<p>The flow chart of the proposed model.</p>
Full article ">Figure 2
<p>Original and first-order differenced time series for seventeen datasets. The top panel depicts the original time series data. The lower panel shows the first-order differenced time series.</p>
Full article ">Figure 3
<p>Error scatter plot produced by the proposed model for (<b>a</b>) BTC–USD time series, (<b>b</b>) Dow Jones time series, (<b>c</b>) ETH–USD time series, (<b>d</b>) EUR–GBP time series, (<b>e</b>) EUR–USD time series, (<b>f</b>) GBP–USD time series, (<b>g</b>) NASDAQ time series, (<b>h</b>) SP500<sub>a</sub> time series, (<b>i</b>) TAIEX time series.</p>
Full article ">Figure 4
<p>Error distribution histogram produced by the proposed model for (<b>a</b>) BTC–USD time series, (<b>b</b>) Dow Jones time series, (<b>c</b>) ETH–USD time series, (<b>d</b>) EUR–GBP time series, (<b>e</b>) EUR–USD time series, (<b>f</b>) GBP–USD time series, (<b>g</b>) NASDAQ time series, (<b>h</b>) SP500<sub>a</sub> time series, (<b>i</b>) TAIEX time series.</p>
Full article ">Figure 5
<p>Prediction intervals yielded by the proposed model and IE-BN-PWFTS for (<b>a</b>) TAIEX time series and (<b>b</b>) EUR–USD time series.</p>
Full article ">Figure 6
<p>Error scatter plot produced by the proposed model for (<b>a</b>) Sunspot time series, (<b>b</b>) MG time series, (<b>c</b>) SP500<sub>b</sub> time series, (<b>d</b>) Radio time series, (<b>e</b>) Lake time series, (<b>f</b>) CO<sub>2</sub> time series, (<b>g</b>) Milk time series, (<b>h</b>) DJ time series.</p>
Full article ">Figure 7
<p>Error distribution histogram produced by the proposed model for (<b>a</b>) Sunspot time series, (<b>b</b>) MG time series, (<b>c</b>) SP500<sub>b</sub> time series, (<b>d</b>) Radio time series, (<b>e</b>) Lake time series, (<b>f</b>) CO<sub>2</sub> time series, (<b>g</b>) Milk time series, (<b>h</b>) DJ time series.</p>
Full article ">
Back to TopTop