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Unemployment, Participation and Worker Flows over the Life Cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin Villena-Roldan

    (Universidad de Chile, Center for Applied Economics)

  • Alexandre Janiak

    (Universidad de Chile, Center for Applied Economics)

  • Sekyu Choi

    (Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona)

Abstract
We estimate and report life cycle transition probabilities between employment, unemployment and inactivity for male workers using Current Population Survey monthly files. We assess the relative importance of each probability in explaining the life cycle profiles of participation and unemployment rates using a novel decomposition method. A key robust finding is that most differences in participation and unemployment over the life cycle can be attributed to the probability of leaving employment and the probability of transiting from inactivity to unemployment, while transitions from unemployment to employment (the job finding probability) play secondary roles. We then show that a simple life cycle extension of a three-state labor search model with leisure shocks can qualitatively replicate the empirical unemployment and participation life cycle profiles, without introducing age or worker heterogeneity in market abilities. We conclude that models that seek to explain life cycle work patterns should not ignore transitions to and from inactivity.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Villena-Roldan & Alexandre Janiak & Sekyu Choi, 2011. "Unemployment, Participation and Worker Flows over the Life Cycle," 2011 Meeting Papers 602, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    • Handle: RePEc:red:sed011:602
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D91 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search

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