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Unemployment fluctuations over the life cycle

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Olivier Hairault

    (PSE - Paris School of Economics - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - ENS-PSL - École normale supérieure - Paris - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - ENPC - École des Ponts ParisTech - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • François Langot

    (GAINS - Groupe d'Analyse des Itinéraires et des Niveaux Salariaux - UM - Le Mans Université, TEPP - Travail, Emploi et Politiques Publiques - UPEM - Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Thepthida Sopraseuth

    (THEMA - Théorie économique, modélisation et applications - UCP - Université de Cergy Pontoise - Université Paris-Seine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract
In this paper, we show that (i) the volatility of worker flows increases with age in US CPS data, and (ii)a search and matching model with life-cycle features, endogenous separation and search effort, is well suited to explain this fact. With a shorter horizon on the labor market, older workers’ outside options become less responsive to new employment opportunities, thereby making their wages less sensitive to the business cycle. Their job finding and separation rates are then more volatile along the business cycle. The horizon effect cannot explain the significant differences between prime-age and young workers as both age groups are far away from retirement. A lower bargaining power on the youth labor market brings the model closer to the data.
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Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Olivier Hairault & François Langot & Thepthida Sopraseuth, 2018. "Unemployment fluctuations over the life cycle," Working Papers halshs-01922680, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:wpaper:halshs-01922680
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-01922680
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Arnaud Chéron & Anthony Terriau, 2023. "On-The-Job Search, Life-cycle Training, and the Role of Transfer Fees," TEPP Working Paper 2023-06, TEPP.
    2. Hana Urbancová & Lucie Vnoučková & Zdenek Linhart & Gabriela Ježková Petrů & Roman Zuzák & Lenka Holečková & Zita Prostějovská, 2020. "Impact of Age Management on Sustainability in Czech Organisations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-20, February.
    3. Arnaud Chéron & Anthony Terriau, 2024. "Training and Job-to-Job Mobility with Transfer Fees," TEPP Working Paper 2024-09, TEPP.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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