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Increase in home bias in the Eurozone debt crisis: the role of domestic shocks

Author

Listed:
  • Camille Cornand

    (Université de Lyon, Lyon, F-69007, France ; CNRS, GATE Lyon St Etienne,F-69130 Ecully, France)

  • Pauline Gandré

    (Université de Lyon, Lyon, F-69007, France ; CNRS, GATE Lyon St Etienne,F-69130 Ecully, France)

  • Céline Gimet

    (, Institute of Political Studies, CHERPA, EA 4261, Aix-en-Provence, France and GATE Lyon Saint-Etienne, Ecully, F-69130, France)

Abstract
One of the most striking consequences of the recent episode of sovereign debt market stress in the Eurozone has been the increase in the share of public debt held by the domestic sector in fragile economies. First, we identify the shocks that explain most of the variation in this share in an S-VAR model on a sample of 7 Eurozone countries between 2007 and 2012. Home bias in sovereign debt responds positively to fundamentals and expectations shocks but we find no evidence that the increase in home bias is destabilizing per se. Second, we theoretically model the impact of the previous shocks in a second-generation model of crisis with endogenous home bias in sovereign debt. We derive conditions under which a higher home bias is associated with a change in the government’s decision. Finally, we discuss which case of the model best applies to the distinct countries in our sample during the recent sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone.

Suggested Citation

  • Camille Cornand & Pauline Gandré & Céline Gimet, 2014. "Increase in home bias in the Eurozone debt crisis: the role of domestic shocks," Working Papers 1419, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Étienne (GATE Lyon St-Étienne), Université de Lyon.
    • Handle: RePEc:gat:wpaper:1419
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    Cited by:

    1. Blot, Christophe & Ducoudré, Bruno & Timbeau, Xavier, 2016. "Sovereign debt spread and default in a model with self-fulfilling prophecies and asymmetric information," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB), pages 281-299.
    2. Carlos Alberto Piscarreta Pinto Ferreira, 2021. "Does Public Debt Ownership Structure Matter for a Borrowing Country?," Working Papers REM 2021/0190, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Pierre Bui Quang, 2018. "The effect of non-resident investments on the French sovereign spread," EconomiX Working Papers 2018-52, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    4. Alexie ALUPOAIEI & Matei KUBINSCHI & Eugen RĂDULESCU & Alina ZAHARIA-ROTARU, 2024. "Crowding-out, home bias and financial stability in the aftermath of the sovereign debt crisis," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(2(639), S), pages 107-128, Summer.
    5. Pierre Bui Quang, 2018. "The effect of non-resident investments on the French sovereign spread," Working Papers hal-04141676, HAL.
    6. Coccia, Mario, 2017. "Asymmetric paths of public debts and of general government deficits across countries within and outside the European monetary unification and economic policy of debt dissolution," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 17-31.
    7. Lihuan Guo & Dongqiang Guo & Wei Wang & Hongwei Wang & Yenchun Jim Wu, 2018. "Distance Diffusion of Home Bias for Crowdfunding Campaigns between Categories: Insights from Data Analytics," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-22, April.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Eurozone; Sovereign debt crises; Home bias; Bayesian panel S-VAR; Second-generation model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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