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Beef and Pork Marketing Margins and Price Spreads during COVID‐19

Author

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  • Jayson L. Lusk
  • Glynn T. Tonsor
  • Lee L. Schulz
Abstract
COVID‐19‐related disruptions led to a historic rise in the spread between livestock and wholesale meat prices. Concerns about concentration and allegations of anticompetitive behavior have led to several inquiries and civil suits by the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the U.S. Department of Justice, with increases in price differentials serving as a focal point. This article notes the difference between price spreads and marketing margins, outlines corresponding economic theory, and describes the empirical evidence on wholesale meat and livestock price dynamics in the wake of COVID‐19 disruptions. At one point during the pandemic, beef and pork packers were both operating at about 60% of the previous year's processing volume. We explore how such a massive supply shock would be expected to affect marketing margins even in the absence of anticompetitive behavior. Moreover, we document how margin measurements are critically sensitive to the selection of data and information utilized. Finally, we conclude with some discussion around policy proposals that would pit industry concentration against industry coordination and economies of scale.

Suggested Citation

  • Jayson L. Lusk & Glynn T. Tonsor & Lee L. Schulz, 2021. "Beef and Pork Marketing Margins and Price Spreads during COVID‐19," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(1), pages 4-23, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:apecpp:v:43:y:2021:i:1:p:4-23
    DOI: 10.1002/aepp.13101
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    10. Joshua G. Maples & Jada M. Thompson & John D. Anderson & David P. Anderson, 2021. "Estimating COVID‐19 Impacts on the Broiler Industry," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(1), pages 315-328, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Meilin Ma & Jayson L. Lusk, 2022. "Concentration and Resilience in the US Meat Supply Chains," NBER Chapters, in: Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. A. Ford Ramsey & Barry Goodwin & Mildred Haley, 2021. "Labor Dynamics and Supply Chain Disruption in Food Manufacturing," NBER Chapters, in: Risks in Agricultural Supply Chains, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Anna Zielińska-Chmielewska & Dobrosława Mruk-Tomczak & Anna Wielicka-Regulska, 2021. "Qualitative Research on Solving Difficulties in Maintaining Continuity of Food Supply Chain on the Meat Market during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Jayson Beckman & Amanda M. Countryman, 2021. "The Importance of Agriculture in the Economy: Impacts from COVID‐19," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 103(5), pages 1595-1611, October.
    5. Mindy L. Mallory, 2021. "Impact of COVID‐19 on Medium‐Term Export Prospects for Soybeans, Corn, Beef, Pork, and Poultry," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(1), pages 292-303, March.
    6. Padilla, Samantha & Schulz, Lee L & Vaiknoras, Kate & MacLachlan, Matthew, 2021. "COVID-19 Working Paper: Changes in Regional Hog Slaughter During COVID-19," Administrative Publications 327340, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
    7. Erdal Erol & Sayed H. Saghaian, 2022. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Dynamics of Price Adjustment in the U.S. Beef Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-14, April.
    8. Christopher C. Pudenz & Lee L. Schulz, 2024. "Multi‐plant coordination in the U.S. beef packing industry," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(1), pages 382-415, January.
    9. Azzam, Azzeddine & Gren, Ing-Marie & Andersson, Hans, 2023. "Comparative resilience of US and EU meat processing to the Covid19 pandemic," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    10. Peter B. Dixon & Maureen T. Rimmer, 2021. "Who will pay for improved health standards in U.S. meat-processing plants? Simulation results from the USAGE model," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-314, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    11. Jill E. Hobbs, 2021. "Food supply chain resilience and the COVID‐19 pandemic: What have we learned?," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(2), pages 189-196, June.
    12. Getu Hailu, 2021. "COVID‐19 and food processing in Canada," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(2), pages 177-187, June.
    13. Arita, Shawn & Grant, Jason & Sydow, Sharon & Beckman, Jayson, 2022. "Has global agricultural trade been resilient under coronavirus (COVID-19)? Findings from an econometric assessment of 2020," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    14. Ken McEwan & Lynn Marchand & Max Zongyuan Shang, 2021. "The Canadian pork industry and COVID‐19: A year of resilience," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(2), pages 225-232, June.
    15. Richard Volpe & Maiah Alman & Xiaowei Cai & Alexander Stevens, 2022. "Retail Mergers and Acquisitions, and Specialty Crop Producers: Evidence from California," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-13, March.
    16. Arita, Shawn & Grant, Jason & Sydow, Sharon & Beckman, Jayson, 2021. "Has Global Agricultural Trade Been Resilient Under Coronavirus (COVID-19)? Findings from an Econometric Assessment," Working Papers 311216, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    17. Bir, Courtney & Peel, Derrell & Holcomb, Rodney & Raper, Kellie & Jones, J.J., 2021. "The Impact of COVID-19 on Meat Processing, and the Renewed Interest in Local Processing Capabilities," Western Economics Forum, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 19(1), June.
    18. Jayson L Lusk & Ranveer Chandra, 2021. "Farmer and farm worker illnesses and deaths from COVID-19 and impacts on agricultural output," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-12, April.
    19. Charles C. Martinez & Joshua G. Maples & Justin Benavidez, 2021. "Beef Cattle Markets and COVID‐19," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(1), pages 304-314, March.
    20. repec:ags:aaea22:341195 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Azzam, Azzeddine & Dhoubhadel, Sunil, 2022. "COVID-19, Beef Price Spreads, and Market Power," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 47(2), May.
    22. A. Ford Ramsey & Barry K. Goodwin & William F. Hahn & Matthew T. Holt, 2021. "Impacts of COVID‐19 and Price Transmission in U.S. Meat Markets," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 52(3), pages 441-458, May.
    23. Padilla, Samantha & Schulz, Lee & Vaiknoras, Kate A. & MacLachlan, Matthew J., 2022. "The Resiliency of Pork Processing Plants during the COVID-19 Pandemic," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322448, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    24. James Rude, 2021. "COVID‐19 and the Canadian cattle/beef sector: A second look," Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics/Revue canadienne d'agroeconomie, Canadian Agricultural Economics Society/Societe canadienne d'agroeconomie, vol. 69(2), pages 233-241, June.

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