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CHAPTER EXCERPTS
@ Sports Illustrated
Relievers and the Three Run Lead
 
@ Hardball Times
Pitching Around Batters


CHAPTER PREVIEWS
  Foreword By Pete Palmer
  Preface
1. Tools
2. Streaks
3. Batter/Pitcher Matchups
4. Clutch
5. Batting Order
6. Platooning
7. Starting Pitchers
8. Relief Pitchers
9. Sacrifice Bunt
10. Intentional Walks
11. Base Stealing
12. Game Theory
  Appendix
  List Of Tables


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LIST OF TABLES

1.Run Expectancy, By The 24 Base/Out States, 1999–2002
2.Runs To End Of Inning, By Event
3.Runs To End Of Inning, By Event (Part 2)
4.Runs To End Of Inning, By Event (Part 3)
5.Runs To End Of Inning, By Base/Out State, For HR
6.Run Value Of HR, By Base/Out State
7.Run Values By Event
8.Scoring Distribution, By Base/Out State, For 5.0 Runs/Game
9.Scoring Distribution, By Base/Out State, For 3.2 Runs/Game
10.Win Expectancy, By Game State
11.Win Values, By Event
12.Random Variations For Players With An OBP Skill Of .330
13.Random Variations For Players With wOBA Skill Of .330 And Average Profile
14.Batting Performance In Game, After 5-Game Hot Or Cold Streaks
15.Batting Performance In 3 Games, After 7-Game Hot Or Cold Streaks
16.The 10 Hottest Streak Hitters In 2003
17.The 10 Coldest Streak Hitters In 2003
18.Starting Pitcher Performance In Game, After 4-Game Hot Or Cold Streaks
19.Relief Pitcher Performance In Game, After 4-Game Hot Or Cold Streaks
20.Batter/Pitcher Performance In Season Following Batter Owning Pitcher
21.Batter/Pitcher Performance In Season Following Pitcher Owning Batter
22.Batter/Pitcher Performance In Season Following Lopsided Performances
23.Batter/Pitcher Performance In Season Following Batter Owning Famiglia
24.Batter/Pitcher Performance In Season Following Famiglia Owning Batter
25.Batter/Pitcher Performances, By Handedness
26.Number Of Regular Players, By Handedness
27.Batter/Pitcher Performances, By Handedness (What-If Scenario, Part 1)
28.Batter/Pitcher Performances, By Handedness (What-If Scenario, Part 2)
29.Batter/Pitcher PA Breakdown, By Handedness
30.Batter/Pitcher Performances, By Groundball/Flyball Tendencies
31.Batter/Pitcher PA Breakdown, By Groundball/Flyball Tendencies
32.Batter/Pitcher Performances, By K/BB Tendencies
33.Batter/Pitcher Performances, By Contact Tendencies
34.Batter Performances, By Quality, Against Good Pitchers (Part 1)
35.Batter Performances, By Quality, Against Good Pitchers (Part 2)
36.Batter Performances, By Quality, Against Bad Pitchers
37.The 10 Best Clutch Seasons, 2000–2003
38.The 10 Worst Clutch Seasons, 2000–2003
39.The 10 Best Clutch Skills, 2000–2004
40.The 10 Worst Clutch Skills, 2000–2004
41.The 10 Best Clutch Hitters, 2000–2004 (Minimum 1500 PA)
42.The 10 Worst Clutch Hitters, 2000–2004 (Minimum 1500 PA)
43.The 10 Best Stretch Pitchers, 2000–2004
44.The 10 Worst Stretch Pitchers, 2000–2004
45.Number Of PA Per Game, By Batting Order
46.Number Of PA, By Batting Order And Men On Base
47.Number Of PA, By Batting Order And Outs
48.Number Of PA, By Batting Order (Theoretical And Actual)
49.Number Of PA, By Batting Order And Men On Base (Theoretical)
50.Run Values, By Event And Base/Out State
51.Run Values, By Event And Batting Order
52.Run Values, By Event And Batting Order (Modified By PA)
53.Run Values, By Event And Base/Out State (Subset Of An Earlier Chart)
54.Run Values, By Event And Base/Out State (Subset Of An Earlier Chart)
55.Run Values, By Event And Base/Out State (Subset Of An Earlier Chart)
56.Run Values, By Event And Base/Out State (Subset Of An Earlier Chart)
57.Frequency Of Singles Or Doubles, With Runner On First, By Batting Slot Of Runner
58.Frequency Of Singles, With Runner On Second, By Batting Slot Of Runner
59.Number Of DP Situations, By Batting Order, Relative To League
60.Optimal Batting Order, For A Sample Team
61.Number Of Team Runs, By Batting Slot For The Pitcher (All Other Hitters Equals)
62.Performance Of Mark Belanger, By Batting Order
63.Number Of Team Runs, By Batting Slot For The Pitcher (Typical Hitters In Other Slots)
64.The 10 Best Left-Handed Lefty Mashers, 2000–2003
65.The 10 Best Left-Handed Righty Mashers, 2000–2003
66.Average Platoon Splits, 2000–2004
67.The 10 Most Extreme Platoon Splits (RHB), 2000–2004
68.The 10 Most Extreme Platoon Splits (LHB), 2000–2004
69.The 10 Best Right-Handed Hitters Vs. RHP/LHP, 2000–2004
70.The 10 Best Left-Handed Hitters Vs. RHP/LHP, 2000–2004
71.The 10 Most Extreme Platoon Splits (RHP), 2000–2004
72.The 10 Most Extreme Platoon Splits (LHP), 2000–2004
73.The 10 Best Right-Handed Starters Vs. RHB/LHB, 2000–2004
74.The 10 Best Right-Handed Relievers Vs. RHB/LHB, 2000–2004
75.The 10 Best Left-Handed Starters Vs. RHB/LHB, 2000–2004
76.The 10 Best Left-Handed Relievers Vs. RHB/LHB, 2000–2004
77.The 10 Most Extreme Platoon Splits (SHB), 2000–2004
78.The 10 Best Switch Hitters Vs. RHP/LHP, 2000–2004
79.Batter/Pitcher Performance, By Batting Order
80.Batter/Pitcher Performance, By Batting Order And Time Through The Order, Relative To Expectations
81.Batter/Pitcher Performance, By Time Through The Order
82.Batter/Pitcher Performance And Expectation, By Time Through The Order
83.Theoretical Performance, Based On Current And Optimal Rest Pattern
84.Performance Of Pitchers, As Starter And Reliever, By Role Class
85.Most Trustworthy Relievers
86.Least Trustworthy Relievers
87.Distribution Of Runs Per Inning, By Quality Of Pitcher
88.Distribution Of Runs Per Two Innings, By Quality Of Pitcher
89.Chance Of Home Team Winning, By Base/Out State, For Top Of The 9th Inning, With A Three-Run Lead
90.Batters Faced And Estimated Pitch Totals For Full-Time Relievers
91.Average Pitches Per Game, By Top Relievers, For Each Decade
92.Times The Trusted Nine Ace Relievers Enter A Game, By Inning
93.Performance Of Ace Relievers, By Conditions Of Game When Entered
94.Performance Of Mulholland, With Depleted Tank
95.Performance Of Relievers, With Most Depleted Tanks
96.Palmer And Thorn’s 1961 To 1977 Run Expectancies For Each Of The 24 Base/Out States
97.Run Expectancies, NL, 2000–2004
98.Palmer And Thorn’s Win Expectancies, Bottom Of The 7th, One-Run Down
99.Win Expectancies In The Modern Era, National League, Bottom Of The 7th, One Run Down
100.Percentage Of Sacrifice Attempts With A Runner On First And No Outs, By Inning
101.Percentage Of Sacrifice Attempts With A Runner On First And No Outs, By Batting Slot
102.Percentage Of Sacrifice Attempts With A Runner On First And No Outs, By The Quality Of The Batter As Measured By Their Career wOBA
103.Sacrifice Bunt Attempt, 2000–2004 NL And AL, Non-Pitchers
104.Base/Out States, RE After A Sacrifice Attempt (NL And AL, 2000–04, Non-Pitchers Only)
105.Bunt Attempt Results, Early And Late In The Game
106.RE After A Bunt Attempt, By Quality Of Hitter, Early In A Game
107.RE By Quality Of Hitter, Early And Late In The Game
108.Player A (Tony Womack-Type With More Singles And A Higher BA)
109.Player B (An Andres Galarraga With Fewer Singles And More Walks)
110.Sacrifice Attempt Results By The Bunting Proficiency Of The Batter, Early In The Game
111.RE For Various Starting Counts When Bunting And Swinging Away Early In A Game, NL And AL, 2000–2004, Using The NL RE Matrix.
112.RE For Various Counts When Bunting And Swinging Away Early In A Game, NL And AL, 2000–2004, Using The NL RE Matrix
113.Results Of A Sacrifice Attempt For Pitchers And Non-Pitchers, NL, 2000–2004
114.Results Of A Sacrifice Attempt For Pitchers And Non-Pitchers, When The Ball Is Bunted In Play With Less Than 2 Strikes
115.Bunt Attempt Results, Runner On Second And No Outs
116.Bunt Attempt Results, Runner On Second And No Outs, By Speed And Bunting Proficiency Of Batter
117.Bunt Attempt Results, Runners On First And Second And No Outs, Batter Is A Non-Pitcher
118.Bunt Attempt Results, Runners On First And Second And No Outs, By Speed And Bunting Proficiency Of Batter (Non-Pitcher)
119.Bunt Attempt Results, Runner On First And No Outs, By Inning And Score
120.Runs Gained From Walk
121.Odds Of Scoreless Inning
122.Average Batting Stats (Normalized To 600 Non-IBB PA)
123.Effect Of Walk On Run Expectancy
124.Fraction Of Plate Appearances That Were IBB
125.Effect Of Walk On Scoring Probabilities
126.Minimum wOBA Ratio For Intentional Walks
127.Runs Gained Walking #8 Hitter
128.Total And Non-Walk wOBA By Count (2000–2004)
129.Batting Stats For Good Hitters, In Likely IBB Situations
130.Batting Stats In Potential IBB And Non-Walk Situations, Scaled To 600 PA
131.Batter/Pitcher Performance, With 20 Fastest & Most Disruptive Runners On First
132.Batter/Pitcher Performance, By Disruptive Event, With Runner On First
133.Batter/Pitcher Performance, By Pitcher Handedness, With Runner On First
134.Batter/Pitcher Performance, With Right-Handed Pitcher And Runner On First
135.Batter/Pitcher Performance, With Left-Handed Pitcher And Runner On First
136.Run Expectancy, By Base/Out State (Subset Of An Earlier Chart)
137.Change In Probability Of Winning, By Score, When Runner Stealing Is Safe Or Out
138.Stolen Base Attempts When The Batter Does Not Put The Ball In Play, 2002–2004, NL And AL
139.Pitchouts By Count, 2004–2005, NL And AL
140.First-Pitch Results, 2002–2004, NL And AL (Hit By A First Pitch And Intentional Balls Not Included)