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Bank Lending and Monetary Shocks: Evidence from a Developing Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Choudhary

    (State Bank of Pakistan)

  • Amjad Ali

    (State Bank of Pakistan)

  • Shah Hussain

    (State Bank of Pakistan)

  • Vasco J. Gabriel

    (University of Surrey)

Abstract
This paper investigates the role of credit market frictions in the transmission of monetary shocks in Pakistan. First, using macro data, we show that banking spreads are countercyclical, even when we control for credit risk, monetary policy and potential maturity mismatches. Moreover, we find that this anticyclical nature is accentuated in the presence of government as an active participant in the private credit market. Then, using a rich dataset on corporate loan agreement for the period 2006-2011, we find evidence that, in times of tight monetary conditions, there is an overall increase in the pass-through of policy impulses to individual loans rates. Furthermore, our evidence suggests that the impact of these shocks is disproportionately felt by borrowers and is especially biased towards less established firms. Moreover, small (weak) banks change their loan conditions the most in tight conditions. Thus, our findings support the view that the existence of a credit channel is particularly relevant for emerging economies, hence emphasizing the need for appropriate stabilization policies.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Choudhary & Amjad Ali & Shah Hussain & Vasco J. Gabriel, 2012. "Bank Lending and Monetary Shocks: Evidence from a Developing Economy," SBP Working Paper Series 45, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:sbp:wpaper:45
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Shahzad Ahmad & Farooq Pasha, 2015. "A Pragmatic Model for Monetary Policy Analysis I: The Case of Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 11, pages 1-42.
    2. Arslan Majeed & Shahid Mansoor Hashmi & Romila Qamar, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission and Firms’ Investment: Evidence From the Manufacturing Sector of Pakistan," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 20(66), pages 2-34, December.
    3. Shabbir, Safia, 2012. "Balance Sheet Channel of Monetary Policy and Economic Growth under Fiscal Dominance: Evidence from Pakistan," MPRA Paper 41496, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Muhammad Nadim Hanif & Muhammad Jahanzeb Malik, 2015. "Evaluating the Performance of Inflation Forecasting Models of Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 11, pages 43-78.
    5. Rahooja, Sabbah & Ali, Asif & Ahmed, Jameel & Hussain, Fayyaz & Rifat, Rizwana, 2014. "Monetary Policy and Bank Hetrogeneity: Effectiveness of Bank Lending Channel in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 60473, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Safia Shabbir, 2013. "Implications of Monetary Policy for Corporate Sector and Economic Growth in Pakistan," SBP Working Paper Series 61, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    7. Shabbir, Safia & Iqbal, Javed & Hameed, Saima, 2013. "Risk Premium, Interest Rate Differential, and Subsidized Lending in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 48250, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank margins; credit channel; monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development

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