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The Real Consequences of Bank Mortgage Lending Standards

Author

Listed:
  • Cindy M. Vojtech

    (Federal Reserve Board)

  • Benjamin S. Kay

    (Office of Financial Research)

  • John C. Driscoll

    (Federal Reserve Board)

Abstract
Bank loan underwriting standards are key determinants of credit availability. To better understand what happens when bank loan officers change standards, we match responses from the Federal Reserve’s Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey (SLOOS) with mortgage application information from the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA)over the period from 1990 to 2013. HMDA data contain both accepted and denied applications, allowing us to observe changes in denial rates when loan officers report changing standards. Reports of tightened standards are associated with an increase of about 1 percentage point in denial rates (conditioning on changes in macroeconomic conditions and borrower credit quality), implying a reduction in aggregate mortgage credit of about $690 million per quarter. Reports of easing standards, though less frequent over that period, are associated with a 1 percentage point decline in denial rates. Denial rate changes are larger for banks that hold most of their mortgages on portfolio (rather than securitizing them). Tighter standards are associated with about 16 percent fewer high interest rate loans (a proxy for riskier loans). Applications rise at banks that report strengthening demand for mortgage loans. Metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) that have more exposure to SLOOS banks that have tightened standards have much lower delinquency rates two years following the tightening — suggesting that standards are an important determinant of the credit quality of bank loan portfolios. House prices also fall in MSAs that have exposure to SLOOS banks that report tightening.

Suggested Citation

  • Cindy M. Vojtech & Benjamin S. Kay & John C. Driscoll, 2016. "The Real Consequences of Bank Mortgage Lending Standards," Working Papers 16-05, Office of Financial Research, US Department of the Treasury.
    • Handle: RePEc:ofr:wpaper:16-05
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    9. Carlos Garriga & Aaron Hedlund, 2020. "Mortgage Debt, Consumption, and Illiquid Housing Markets in the Great Recession," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(6), pages 1603-1634, June.
    10. David S. Bieri, 2017. "Managing “Cataclysmic Money”: How Financial Regulation Matters for the Future of U.S. Housing Policy," Housing Policy Debate, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 476-482, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    underwriting standards; home mortgage disclosure act (hmda); senior loan officer opinion survey (sloos);
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E02 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Institutions and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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