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Policies, Projections, and the Social Cost of Carbon: Results from the DICE-2023 Model

Author

Listed:
  • Lint Barrage
  • William D. Nordhaus
Abstract
The present study examines the assumptions, modeling structure, and preliminary results of DICE-2023, the revised Dynamic Integrated Model of Climate and the Economy (DICE), updated to 2023. The revision contains major changes in the carbon and climate modules, the treatment of non-industrial greenhouse gases, discount rates, as well as updates on all the major components. The major changes are a significantly lower level of temperature of the cost-benefit optimal policy, a lower cost of reaching the 2° C target, an analysis of the impact of the Paris Accord, and a major increase in the estimated social cost of carbon.

Suggested Citation

  • Lint Barrage & William D. Nordhaus, 2023. "Policies, Projections, and the Social Cost of Carbon: Results from the DICE-2023 Model," NBER Working Papers 31112, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:31112
    Note: EEE PE
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Adam Michael Bauer & Cristian Proistosescu & Gernot Wagner, 2024. "Carbon Dioxide as a Risky Asset," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 177(5), pages 1-27, May.
    2. Adão, Bernardino & Narajabad, Borghan & Temzelides, Ted, 2024. "Renewable technology adoption costs and economic growth," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    3. Nicoletta Batini & Luigi Durand, 2024. "Accounting for Nature in Economic Models," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 1014, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Moreaux, Michel & Amigues, Jean-Pierre & van der Meijden, Gerard & Withagen, Cees, 2024. "Carbon capture: Storage vs. Utilization," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    5. Kruse-Andersen, Peter Kjær, 2023. "Directed technical change, environmental sustainability, and population growth," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    6. Mathieu Guigourez, 2023. "10$ a ton of carbon ? The Stern-Nordhaus Controversy : Methodological and Ethical Issues [10$ la tonne de carbone ? La controverse Stern-Nordhaus : enjeux méthodologiques et éthiques]," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-04161930, HAL.
    7. Zhang, Kun & Yang, Zili & Liang, Qiao-Mei & Liao, Hua & Yu, Bi-Ying & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2023. "China's carbon emissions and energy demand under different methods of global mitigation cooperation: Application of an extended RICE model with energy details," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 285(C).
    8. Gaël Giraud & Paul Valcke, 2023. "Macrodynamics and climate: reformulation," Oxford Open Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 2, pages 518-523.
    9. : Dubois, Loick & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2024. "A General Equilibrium Approach to Carbon Permit Banking," Single Market Economics Papers WP2024/20, Directorate-General for Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (European Commission), Chief Economist Team.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • H4 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods
    • Q5 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics

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