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Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Gabriel Chodorow-Reich
  • Plamen T. Nenov
  • Alp Simsek
Abstract
We provide evidence of the stock market wealth effect on consumption by using a local labor market analysis and regional heterogeneity in stock market wealth. An increase in local stock wealth driven by aggregate stock prices increases local employment and payroll in nontradable industries and in total, while having no effect on employment in tradable industries. In a model with consumption wealth effects and geographic heterogeneity, these responses imply a marginal propensity to consume out of a dollar of stock wealth of 3.2 cents per year. We also use the model to quantify the aggregate effects of a stock market wealth shock when monetary policy is passive. A 20% increase in stock valuations, unless countered by monetary policy, increases the aggregate labor bill by at least 1.7% and aggregate hours by at least 0.75% two years after the shock.

Suggested Citation

  • Gabriel Chodorow-Reich & Plamen T. Nenov & Alp Simsek, 2019. "Stock Market Wealth and the Real Economy: A Local Labor Market Approach," NBER Working Papers 25959, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:25959
    Note: AP CF EFG ME
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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