Duration Dependence in US Expansions: A re-examination of the evidence
Author
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.
Other versions of this item:
- Beaudry, Paul & Portier, Franck, 2019. "Duration dependence in US expansions: A re-examination of the evidence," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 1-1.
References listed on IDEAS
- Paul Beaudry & Dana Galizia & Franck Portier, 2020.
"Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(1), pages 1-47, January.
- Portier, Franck & Galizia, Dana & Beaudry, Paul, 2016. "Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 11647, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Paul Beaudry & Dana Galizia & Franck Portier, 2016. "Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis," NBER Working Papers 22825, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Franck Portier & Dana Galizia & Paul Beaudry, 2017. "Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis," 2017 Meeting Papers 310, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Beaudry, Paul & Galizia, Dana & Portier, Franck, 2016. "Putting the Cycle Back into Business Cycle Analysis," TSE Working Papers 16-734, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Zuehlke, Thomas W, 2003. "Business Cycle Duration Dependence Reconsidered," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(4), pages 564-569, October.
- Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2016. "Will the economic recovery die of old age?," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
- Francis X. Diebold & Glenn Rudebusch & Daniel Sichel, 1993.
"Further Evidence on Business-Cycle Duration Dependence,"
NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 255-284,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch & Daniel E. Sichel, 1991. "Further evidence on business cycle duration dependence," Working Papers 91-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Diebold, Francis X & Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1990.
"A Nonparametric Investigation of Duration Dependence in the American Business Cycle,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 98(3), pages 596-616, June.
- Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 1988. "A nonparametric investigation of duration dependence in the American business cycle," Working Paper Series / Economic Activity Section 90, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021.
"Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology,"
SciencePo Working papers Main
hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," Post-Print hal-03661598, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," THEMA Working Papers 2021-15, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
- Valérie Mignon & Laurent Ferrara & Denis Ferrand & Eric Heyer & Claude Diebolt & Frederique Bec & Catherine Doz & Pierre-Alain Pionnier & Antonin Aviat, 2022. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Post-Print hal-04435786, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-04159735, HAL.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers of BETA 2021-33, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: a reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03373425, HAL.
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," EconomiX Working Papers 2021-23, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
- Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France: A reference chronology," Working Papers 08-21, Association Française de Cliométrie (AFC).
- Frédérique Bec & Antonin Aviat & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Valérie Mignon & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2021. "Dating business cycles in France:A reference chronology," Working Papers hal-03678309, HAL.
- Stephen Broadberry & Jagjit S. Chadha & Jason Lennard & Ryland Thomas, 2023.
"Dating business cycles in the United Kingdom, 1700–2010,"
Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 76(4), pages 1141-1162, November.
- Stephen Broadberry & Jagjit S. Chadha & Jason Lennard & Ryland Thomas, 2022. "Dating Business Cycles in the United Kingdom, 1700-2010," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Broadberry, Stephen & Chadha, Jagjit S. & Lennard, Jason & Thomas, Ryland, 2023. "Dating business cycles in the United Kingdom, 1700–2010," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117600, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Dettoni, Robinson & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Yaya, OlaOluwa S., 2024. "Stock market prices and Dividends in the US: Bubbles or Long-run equilibria relationships?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
- Valérie Mignon & Antonin Aviat & Frédérique Bec & Claude Diebolt & Catherine Doz & Denis Ferrand & Laurent Ferrara & Eric Heyer & Pierre-Alain Pionnier, 2023. "Dating business cycles in France : a reference chronology [Les cycles économiques de la France : une datation de référence]," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03661598, HAL.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Gabe de Bondt & Philip Vermeulen, 2021.
"Business cycle duration dependence and foreign recessions,"
Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 68(1), pages 1-19, February.
- de Bondt, Gabe & Vermeulen, Philip, 2018. "Business cycle duration dependence and foreign recessions," Working Paper Series 2205, European Central Bank.
- Vitor Castro, 2015.
"The Portuguese business cycle: chronology and duration dependence,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 49(1), pages 325-342, August.
- Vítor Castro, 2011. "The Portuguese Business Cycle: Chronology and Duration Dependence," NIPE Working Papers 11/2011, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Vitor Castro, 2011. "The Portuguese Business Cycle: Chronology and Duration Dependence," GEMF Working Papers 2011-07, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Castro, Vítor, 2010.
"The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence,"
Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 347-365, March.
- Castro, Vitor, 2008. "The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence," Economic Research Papers 269858, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
- Castro, Vítor, 2008. "The duration of economic expansions and recessions : More than duration dependence," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 860, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
- Vítor Castro, 2008. "The duration of economic expansions and recessions: More than duration dependence," NIPE Working Papers 18/2008, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Rose Cunningham & Ilan Kolet, 2007. "Housing Market Cycles and Duration Dependence in the United States and Canada," Staff Working Papers 07-2, Bank of Canada.
- Fernando H.P.S Mendes & João Frois Caldeira & Guilherme Valle Moura, 2019. "Duration-dependent Markov-switching model: an empirical study for the Brazilian business cycle," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 676-685.
- Vitor Castro, 2013.
"The duration of business cycle expansions and contractions: are there change-points in duration dependence?,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(2), pages 511-544, April.
- Vitor Castro, 2010. "The duration of business cycle expansions and contractions: Are there change-points in duration dependence?," GEMF Working Papers 2010-18, GEMF, Faculty of Economics, University of Coimbra.
- Vítor Castro, 2010. "The duration of business cycle expansions and contractions: Are there change-points in duration dependence?," NIPE Working Papers 24/2010, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
- Travis J. Berge & Damjan Pfajfar, 2019. "Duration Dependence, Monetary Policy Asymmetries, and the Business Cycle," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-020, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Corrado Di Guilmi & Edoardo Gaffeo & Mauro Gallegati & Antonio Palestrini, 2004. "International evidence on business cycle magnitude dependence," Papers cond-mat/0401495, arXiv.org.
- George Koutsoumanis & Vítor Castro, 2023. "The duration of acceleration cycle downturns: duration dependence, international dynamics and synchronisation," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(4), pages 1667-1698, April.
- Congressional Budget Office, 2022. "A Markov-Switching Model of the Unemployment Rate: Working Paper 2022-05," Working Papers 57582, Congressional Budget Office.
- du Plessis, S. A., 2004. "Stretching the South African business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 21(4), pages 685-701, July.
- Iiboshi, Hirokuni, 2007. "Duration dependence of the business cycle in Japan: A Bayesian analysis of extended Markov switching model," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 86-111, January.
- Laeven, Luc & Perez-Quiros, Gabriel & Rivas, María Dolores Gadea, 2020.
"Growth-and-risk trade-off,"
Working Paper Series
2397, European Central Bank.
- Pérez-Quirós, Gabriel & Gadea Rivas, Maria Dolores & Laeven, Luc, 2020. "Growth-and-Risk Trade-off," CEPR Discussion Papers 14492, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Di Guilmi, C. & Gaffeo, E. & Gallegati, M. & Palestrini, A., 2005. "International Evidence on Business Cycle Magnitude Dependence: An Analyisis of 16 Industrialized Countries, 1881-2000," International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 2(1), pages 5-16.
- Diebold, Francis X & Rudebusch, Glenn D, 1996.
"Measuring Business Cycles: A Modern Perspective,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 78(1), pages 67-77, February.
- Diebold & Rudebusch, "undated". "Measuring Business Cycle: A Modern Perspective," Home Pages _061, University of Pennsylvania.
- Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 1994. "Measuring Business Cycles: A Modern Perspective," NBER Working Papers 4643, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Stephen Broadberry & Jagjit S. Chadha & Jason Lennard & Ryland Thomas, 2023.
"Dating business cycles in the United Kingdom, 1700–2010,"
Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 76(4), pages 1141-1162, November.
- Stephen Broadberry & Jagjit S. Chadha & Jason Lennard & Ryland Thomas, 2022. "Dating Business Cycles in the United Kingdom, 1700-2010," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Discussion Papers ESCoE DP-2022-16, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
- Broadberry, Stephen & Chadha, Jagjit S. & Lennard, Jason & Thomas, Ryland, 2023. "Dating business cycles in the United Kingdom, 1700–2010," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117600, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Lunde A. & Timmermann A., 2004.
"Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 22, pages 253-273, July.
- Asger Lunde & Allan Timmermann, 2000. "Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1216, Econometric Society.
- Timmermann, Allan & Lunde, Asger, 2003. "Duration Dependence in Stock Prices: An Analysis of Bull and Bear Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 4104, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Matteo Pelagatti, 2003. "Duration Dependent Markov-Switching Vector Autoregression: Properties, Bayesian Inference, Software and Application," Working Papers 20051101, Università degli Studi di Milano-Bicocca, Dipartimento di Statistica, revised Nov 2005.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2011.
"Financial Cycles: What? How? When?,"
NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 7(1), pages 303-344.
- Stijn Claessens & M. Ayhan Kose & Marco E. Terrones, 2010. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER International Seminar on Macroeconomics 2010, pages 303-343, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mr. Marco Terrones & Mr. Ayhan Kose & Mr. Stijn Claessens, 2011. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," IMF Working Papers 2011/076, International Monetary Fund.
- Claessens, Stijn & Kose, M. Ayhan & Terrones, Marco, 2011. "Financial Cycles: What? How? When?," CEPR Discussion Papers 8379, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Yvette S. Harman & Thomas W. Zuehlke, 2007.
"Nonlinear duration dependence in stock market cycles,"
Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(4), pages 350-362.
- Harman, Yvette S. & Zuehlke, Thomas W., 2007. "Nonlinear duration dependence in stock market cycles," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 16(4), pages 350-362.
More about this item
Keywords
Recessions; Business cycles;JEL classification:
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-MAC-2019-04-08 (Macroeconomics)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13626. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.cepr.org .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.