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(When) Do Banks React to Anticipated Capital Reliefs?

Author

Listed:
  • Guillaume Arnould

    (Bank of England; Université Paris I Panthéon-Sorbonne - Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne (CES))

  • Benjamin Guin

    (Bank of England)

  • Steven Ongena

    (University of Zurich - Department of Banking and Finance; Swiss Finance Institute; KU Leuven; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR))

  • Paolo Siciliani

    (Bank of England)

Abstract
We study how banks react to policy announcements during a representative policy cycle involving consultation and publication using a novel dataset on the population of all mortgage transactions and regulatory risk assessments of banks. We demonstrate that banks likely to benefit from lower capital requirements increase the size of this capital relief by permanently investing into low risk assets after the publication of the policy. In contrast, there is no evidence that they already reacted to the early step of the development of the policy, the publication of the consultation paper. We show how these results can be used to estimate a lower bound on the cost of capital for smaller banks, for which such estimates are typically difficult to obtain.

Suggested Citation

  • Guillaume Arnould & Benjamin Guin & Steven Ongena & Paolo Siciliani, 2020. "(When) Do Banks React to Anticipated Capital Reliefs?," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-113, Swiss Finance Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp20113
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    File URL: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3733513
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. James Cloyne & Kilian Huber & Ethan Ilzetzki & Henrik Kleven, 2019. "The Effect of House Prices on Household Borrowing: A New Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 109(6), pages 2104-2136, June.
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    4. Philippe Andrade & Gaetano Gaballo & Eric Mengus & Benoît Mojon, 2019. "Forward Guidance and Heterogeneous Beliefs," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(3), pages 1-29, July.
    5. Chavaz, Matthieu & Elliott, David, 2020. "Separating retail and investment banking: evidence from the UK," Bank of England working papers 892, Bank of England, revised 18 Feb 2021.
    6. Bruno, Brunella & Onali, Enrico & Schaeck, Klaus, 2018. "Market Reaction to Bank Liquidity Regulation," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 53(2), pages 899-935, April.
    7. Bholat, David & Brookes, James & Cai, Chris & Grundy, Katy & Lund, Jakob, 2017. "Sending firm messages: text mining letters from PRA supervisors to banks and building societies they regulate," Bank of England working papers 688, Bank of England.
    8. Roni Kisin & Asaf Manela, 2016. "The Shadow Cost of Bank Capital Requirements," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 29(7), pages 1780-1820.
    9. Taylor A. Begley & Amiyatosh Purnanandam & Kuncheng Zheng, 2017. "The Strategic Underreporting of Bank Risk," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(10), pages 3376-3415.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ferentinos, Konstantinos & Gibberd, Alex & Guin, Benjamin, 2023. "Stranded houses? The price effect of a minimum energy efficiency standard," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    2. Bell, Jennifer & Battisti, Giuliana & Guin, Benjamin, 2023. "The greening of lending: mortgage pricing of energy transition risk," Bank of England working papers 1016, Bank of England.
    3. Nicholas Fritsch & Jan-Peter Siedlarek, 2022. "How Do Banks Respond to Capital Regulation? — The Impact of the Basel III Reforms in the United States," Working Papers 22-11, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
    4. Bell, Jennifer & Battisti, Giuliana & Guin, Benjamin, 2023. "The greening of lending: Evidence from banks’ pricing of energy efficiency before climate-related regulation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    5. Acosta-Smith, Jonathan & Guin, Benjamin & Salgado-Moreno, Mauricio & Vo, Quynh-Anh, 2023. "Understanding climate-related disclosures of UK financial institutions," Bank of England working papers 1017, Bank of England.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank regulation; mortgage lending; supervisory review process; capital requirements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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