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Convergencia Regional en Chile: Nuevos Tests, Viejos Resultados

Author

Listed:
  • Roberto Duncan
  • J. Rodrigo Fuentes
Abstract
The traditional tests of convergence implicitly test the unit root hypothesis for per capita income series. Despite that under the null the statistics do not have standard asymptotic distributions, most papers on this topic use standard distributions to evaluate this hypothesis, with the corresponding wrong inference. The goal of this paper is to determine the existence of convergence in per capita GDP and per capita income across the regions of Chile using not only the traditional cross-section and panel tests, but also the recently developed test for panel data that allows making the correct inference. The tests also include confidence intervals for the variance of per capita GDP, to check convergence in standard deviation, and a multimodality test, to analyze the existence of convergence clubs. The main conclusions are: (1) there is evidence of absolute ß convergence in per capita GDP and per capita income; (2) the convergence rate for income is higher than in GDP; however, both are low for international standards; (3) the convergence rate increases if the mining production share is included in the regression; (4) despite that the data seems to show the existence of convergence clubs, they are not statistically significant; (5) there is evidence of s convergence in GDP over the 1960-2000 period, but not in per capita income for the period 1987-2000.

Suggested Citation

  • Roberto Duncan & J. Rodrigo Fuentes, 2005. "Convergencia Regional en Chile: Nuevos Tests, Viejos Resultados," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 313, Central Bank of Chile.
    • Handle: RePEc:chb:bcchwp:313
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    File URL: https://www.bcentral.cl/documents/33528/133326/DTBC_313.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Augusto Delgado & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015. "Structural Breaks and Convergence in the Regions of Peru: 1970–2010," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 346-357, May.
    3. Carolina Gómez Cuenca, 2006. "CONVERGENCIA REGIONAL EN COLOMBIA: un enfoque en los agregados monetarios y en el sector exportador," Ensayos sobre Economía Regional (ESER) 45, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    4. Arroyo, Santiago & Bustamante, Christian, 2009. "Dimensión Territorial como Factor del Desarrollo Económico: Algunos Aportes Metodológicos para su Medición [Territorial Dimension like Factor of Economic Development: Some Contributions Methodologi," MPRA Paper 24394, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jun 2009.
    5. Augusto Delgado & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2013. "Growth of the Peruvian Economy and Convergence in the Regions of Peru: 1970-2010," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2013-365, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    6. Mr. Bennett W Sutton & Mrs. Genevieve M Lindow & Maria Isabel Serra & Mr. Gustavo Ramirez & Maria Fernanda Pazmino, 2006. "Regional Convergence in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 2006/125, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Carolina Gómez Cuenca, 2006. "CONVERGENCIA REGIONAL EN COLOMBIA: un enfoque en los Agregados Monetarios y en el Sector Exportador," Ensayos Sobre Economía Regional (ESER) 2201, Banco de la República - Economía Regional.
    8. Borrescio-Higa, Florencia & Bozzoli, Carlos Guillermo & Droller, Federico, 2019. "Early life environment and adult height: The case of Chile," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 134-143.
    9. Astrid Ayala & Juncal Cunado & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana, 2013. "Real convergence: empirical evidence for Latin America," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(22), pages 3220-3229, August.
    10. Dusan Paredes, 2010. "Can NEG explains the spatial distribution of wages in developing countries? Evidence from Chile," Documentos de Trabajo en Economia y Ciencia Regional 02, Universidad Catolica del Norte, Chile, Department of Economics, revised Sep 2010.

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