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The Vanishing Procyclicality of Labor Productivity

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  • Gali, Jordi
  • van Rens, Thijs
Abstract
We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment rose, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage rose. We propose an explanation for all three changes that is based on a common source: the decline in labor market turnover, which reduced hiring frictions. We develop a simple model with hiring frictions, variable e§ort, and endogenous wage rigidities to illustrate the mechanisms underlying our explanation. We show that the decline in turnover may also have contributed to the observed decline in output volatility

Suggested Citation

  • Gali, Jordi & van Rens, Thijs, 2014. "The Vanishing Procyclicality of Labor Productivity," Economic Research Papers 270221, University of Warwick - Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:uwarer:270221
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.270221
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    Keywords

    Financial Economics; Labor and Human Capital;

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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