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Dynamic Nonmetropolitan Export-Base Modeling

Author

Listed:
  • Thomas R. Harris

    (University of Nevada, Reno)

  • J. Scott Shonkwiler

    (University of Nevada, Reno)

  • George E. Ebai

    (University of Nevada, Reno)

Abstract
This paper investigated a time series export-base model of nonmetropolitan Nevada counties. Confirmatory factor analysis was used to bifurcate county employment, and county basic and nonbasic employment were tested for cointegration. Employing the Granger Representation Theorem, an error correction mechanism model was estimated. Error correction mechanism model forecasts were performed and long-run forecasts were evaluated. Given current microcomputer hardware and software, this paper provides a procedure to conduct dynamic rural impact analysis by employing a dynamic export-base model.

Suggested Citation

  • Thomas R. Harris & J. Scott Shonkwiler & George E. Ebai, 1999. "Dynamic Nonmetropolitan Export-Base Modeling," The Review of Regional Studies, Southern Regional Science Association, vol. 29(2), pages 115-138, Fall.
    • Handle: RePEc:rre:publsh:v:29:y:1999:i:2:p:115-138
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Sorenson, David J., 2007. "Assessing Economic Base Relationships in South Dakota," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 37(2), pages 1-18.
    3. Jason P. Brown & Stephan J. Goetz & Mary C. Ahearn & Chyi-lyi (Kathleen) Liang, 2014. "Linkages Between Community-Focused Agriculture, Farm Sales, and Regional Growth," Economic Development Quarterly, , vol. 28(1), pages 5-16, February.
    4. Maureen Kilkenny & Mark D. Partridge, 2009. "Export Sectors and Rural Development," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 91(4), pages 910-929.
    5. Park JiYoung & Gordon Peter & Jun Eunha & Moore James E & Richardson Harry W., 2009. "Identifying the Regional Economic Impacts of 9/11," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 15(2), pages 275-306, July.
    6. Jens Abildtrup & Virginie Piguet & Bertrand Schmitt, 2011. "The impact of agro-food industry on employment and population changes: The case of Denmark and France'," ERSA conference papers ersa10p1622, European Regional Science Association.
    7. Kilkenny, Maureen & Partridge, Mark D., 2008. "Rural Growth and the Rural Capital Account," 2007 Agricultural and Rural Finance Markets in Transition, October 4-5, 2007, St. Louis, Missouri 48145, Regional Research Committee NC-1014: Agricultural and Rural Finance Markets in Transition.
    8. Dan S. Rickman & Steven R. Miller & Russell McKenzie, 2009. "Spatial and sectoral linkages in regional models: A Bayesian vector autoregression forecast evaluation," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 88(1), pages 29-41, March.

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