The illusion of oil return predictability: The choice of data matters!
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DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106331
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- Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor, 2022. "The illusion of oil return predictability: The choice of data matters!," Post-Print hal-03519860, HAL.
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- Cotter, John & Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel & Potì, Valerio, 2023.
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- John Cotter & Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor & Valerio Potì, 2020. "Commodity Futures Return Predictability and Intertemporal Asset Pricing," Working Papers 202011, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
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More about this item
Keywords
Averaged crude oil prices; Spurious autocorrelation; Return predictability; Out-of-sample forecasts; Statistical inference;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
- C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
- Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
- Q47 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy Forecasting
Statistics
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