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Capital regulation and the macroeconomy: Empirical evidence and macroprudential policy

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  • Meeks, Roland
Abstract
We present new evidence on the macroeconomic effects of changes in microprudential bank capital requirements, using confidential regulatory data from the Basel I and II regimes in the United Kingdom. Our central result is that an increase in capital requirements lowered lending to firms and households, reduced aggregate expenditure and raised credit spreads. A financial accelerator effect is found to have amplified the macroeconomic responses to shifts in bank credit supply. Results from a counterfactual experiment that links capital requirements to house prices and mortgage spreads indicate that tighter macroprudential policy would have had a moderating effect on house price and mortgage lending growth in the early 2000s, with easier monetary policy acting to offset its contractionary effects on output.

Suggested Citation

  • Meeks, Roland, 2017. "Capital regulation and the macroeconomy: Empirical evidence and macroprudential policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 125-141.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eecrev:v:95:y:2017:i:c:p:125-141
    DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2017.03.010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank lending and the macroeconomy; Bank capital regulation; Housing market; Macroprudential policy; Basel III;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G38 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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