An extreme value analysis of the last century crises across industries in the U.S. economy
Author
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2017.01.012
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.
Other versions of this item:
- Marco Bee & Massimo Riccaboni & Luca Trapin, 2016. "An extreme value analysis of the last century crises across industries in the U.S. economy," Working Papers 02/2016, IMT School for Advanced Studies Lucca, revised Feb 2016.
References listed on IDEAS
- Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2017.
"Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(1), pages 54-108, January.
- Daron Acemoglu & Asuman Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi, 2015. "Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks," NBER Working Papers 20865, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Asu Ozdaglar & Alireza Tahbaz-Salehi & Daron Acemoglu, 2015. "Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks," 2015 Meeting Papers 314, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Gauti B. Eggertsson & Neil R. Mehrotra, 2014.
"A Model of Secular Stagnation,"
NBER Working Papers
20574, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Gauti B. Eggertsson & Neil R. Mehrotra, 2015. "A Model of Secular Stagnation," IMES Discussion Paper Series 15-E-09, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
- S. T. M. Straetmans & W. F. C. Verschoor & C. C. P. Wolff, 2008. "Extreme US stock market fluctuations in the wake of 9|11," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 17-42.
- Carmela Quintos & Zhenhong Fan & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2001. "Structural Change Tests in Tail Behaviour and the Asian Crisis," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 68(3), pages 633-663.
- Marco Bee & Debbie J. Dupuis & Luca Trapin, 2016. "US stock returns: are there seasons of excesses?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(9), pages 1453-1464, September.
- Barro, Robert J. & Ursúa, José F., 2017.
"Stock-market crashes and depressions,"
Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(3), pages 384-398.
- Robert J. Barro & José F. Ursúa, 2009. "Stock-Market Crashes and Depressions," NBER Working Papers 14760, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Candelon, Bertrand & Straetmans, Stefan, 2006. "Testing for multiple regimes in the tail behavior of emerging currency returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(7), pages 1187-1205, November.
- Bollerslev, Tim, 1986.
"Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
- Tim Bollerslev, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," EERI Research Paper Series EERI RP 1986/01, Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels.
- Bordo, Michael & James, Harold, 2010. "The Great Depression analogy1," Financial History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 17(2), pages 127-140, October.
- Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015.
"The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices,"
World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78,
World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
- Benoit Mandelbrot, 1963. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36, pages 394-394.
- Joseph E. Stiglitz, 2015. "Towards a General Theory of Deep Downturns," NBER Working Papers 21444, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Carrasco, Marine & Chen, Xiaohong, 2002. "Mixing And Moment Properties Of Various Garch And Stochastic Volatility Models," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(1), pages 17-39, February.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Chen, Zhimin & Ibragimov, Rustam, 2019. "One country, two systems? The heavy-tailedness of Chinese A- and H- share markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 115-141.
- Straetmans, Stefan & Candelon, Bertrand, 2013. "Long-term asset tail risks in developed and emerging markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 1832-1844.
- Sun, Pengfei & Zhou, Chen, 2014. "Diagnosing the distribution of GARCH innovations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 287-303.
- Andrew J. Patton, 2006.
"Estimation of multivariate models for time series of possibly different lengths,"
Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 147-173, March.
- Andrew J. Patton, 2006. "Estimation of multivariate models for time series of possibly different lengths," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 21(2), pages 147-173.
- Philipp Hartmann & Stefan Straetmans & Casper de Vries, 2007.
"Banking System Stability. A Cross-Atlantic Perspective,"
NBER Chapters, in: The Risks of Financial Institutions, pages 133-188,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Hartmann, Philipp & Straetmans, Stefan & de Vries, Casper, 2005. "Banking system stability: a cross-Atlantic perspective," Working Paper Series 527, European Central Bank.
- Philipp Hartmann & Stefan Straetmans & Casper G. De Vries, 2005. "Banking System Stability: A Cross-Atlantic Perspective," NBER Working Papers 11698, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Phoebe Koundouri & Nikolaos Kourogenis & Nikitas Pittis, 2012. "Statistical Modeling of Stock Returns: A Historical Survey with Methodological Reflections," DEOS Working Papers 1226, Athens University of Economics and Business.
- Straetmans, Stefan & Chaudhry, Sajid M., 2015. "Tail risk and systemic risk of US and Eurozone financial institutions in the wake of the global financial crisis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 191-223.
- Koundouri, Phoebe & Kourogenis, Nikolaos & Pittis, Nikitas, 2012. "Statistical Modeling of Stock Returns: A Historical Survey with Some Methodological Reflections," MPRA Paper 122422, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Gu, Zhiye & Ibragimov, Rustam, 2018. "The “Cubic Law of the Stock Returns” in emerging markets," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 182-190.
- Ibragimov Marat & Khamidov Rufat, 2010. "Heavy-Tailedness and Volatility in Emerging Foreign Exchange Markets: Theory and Empirics," EERC Working Paper Series 10/06e, EERC Research Network, Russia and CIS.
- Ibragimov, Marat & Ibragimov, Rustam & Kattuman, Paul, 2013. "Emerging markets and heavy tails," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 2546-2559.
- Moosup Kim & Sangyeol Lee, 2019. "Test for tail index constancy of GARCH innovations based on conditional volatility," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 71(4), pages 947-981, August.
- Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009.
"Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets,"
International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 18(1-2), pages 1-11, March.
- Paul Alagidede & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2009. "Modelling stock returns in Africa’s emerging equity markets," Discussion Paper Series 2009_01, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Jan 2009.
- Alagidede, Paul & Panagiotidis, Theodore, 2009. "Modelling stock returns in Africa's emerging equity markets," Stirling Economics Discussion Papers 2009-04, University of Stirling, Division of Economics.
- Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen, 2008.
"Stability of nonlinear AR‐GARCH models,"
Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(3), pages 453-475, May.
- MEITZ, Mika & SAIKKONEN, Pentti, 2006. "Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models," LIDAM Discussion Papers CORE 2006078, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
- Mika Meitz & Pentti Saikkonen & University of Helsinki, 2007. "Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models," Economics Series Working Papers 328, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
- Meitz, Mika & Saikkonen, Pentti, 2006. "Stability of nonlinear AR-GARCH models," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 632, Stockholm School of Economics.
- Erie Febrian & Aldrin Herwany, 2009.
"Volatility Forecasting Models and Market Co-Integration: A Study on South-East Asian Markets,"
Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS)
200911, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Sep 2009.
- Erie Febrian & Aldrin Herwany, 2010. "Volatility Forecasting Models and Market Co-Integration: A Study on South-East Asian Markets," Working Papers in Business, Management and Finance 201005, Department of Management and Business, Padjadjaran University, revised May 2010.
- P. Kearns & A.R. Pagan, 1993.
"Australian Stock Market Volatility: 1875–1987,"
The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 69(2), pages 163-178, June.
- Pagan, A.R. & Kearns, P., 1990. "Ustralian Stock Market Volatility: 1875-1987," RCER Working Papers 248, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
- Marco Rocco, 2011. "Extreme value theory for finance: a survey," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 99, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Eleni Constantinou & Robert Georgiades & Avo Kazandjian & George Kouretas, 2005.
"Mean and variance causality between the Cyprus Stock Exchange and major equity markets,"
Working Papers
0501, University of Crete, Department of Economics.
- Georgios Kouretas & Eleni Constantinou & Robert Georgiades & Avo Kazandjian, 2005. "Mean and variance causality between the Cyprus Stock Exchange and major equity markets," Money Macro and Finance (MMF) Research Group Conference 2005 24, Money Macro and Finance Research Group.
- Conrad, Christian & Mammen, Enno, 2016.
"Asymptotics for parametric GARCH-in-Mean models,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 194(2), pages 319-329.
- Conrad, Christian & Mammen , Enno, 2015. "Asymptotics for parametric GARCH-in-Mean Models," Working Papers 0579, University of Heidelberg, Department of Economics.
- Siddiqi, Hammad, 2007. "Rational Interacting Agents and Volatility Clustering: A New Approach," MPRA Paper 2984, University Library of Munich, Germany.
More about this item
Keywords
Financial crisis; Extreme value theory; Change-points detection; U.S. economy;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
- C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:81:y:2017:i:c:p:65-78. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/jedc .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.