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Efecto de remesas de trabajadores sobre reservas internacionales, crecimiento económico e índice de tipo de cambio real en Honduras

Author

Listed:
  • Rene Javier Santos-Munguía
  • Juan Miguel Pérez
Abstract
El estudio analiza el efecto de las remesas internacionales en Honduras sobre el índice mensual de actividad económica (IMAE) como una medida aproximada del crecimiento económico, las reservas internacionales y el índice de tipo de cambio efectivo real (Itcer). Con datos de series temporales con periodicidad mensual de diciembre de 2001 a diciembre de 2016, se formula un modelo del tipo vector autorregresivo (VAR) y se presentan resultados con figuras de la función impulso-respuesta (IFR). Los hallazgos muestran respuesta negativa del IMAE, Itcer y positiva de las reservas internacionales a mediano plazo. ****** The study analyses the effect of international remittances in Honduras on the Monthly Economic Activity Index (IMAE) as a proxy measure of economic growth, international reserves and the Effective Real Exchange Rate Index (Itcer). Using data from time series with monthly periodicity from December 2001 to December 2016, the model of Vector Autoregressive (VAR) is formulated and results are presented in the form graphs of the Impulse-Response Function (IRF). The finding shows negative responses from IMAE and Itcer and a positive response from international reserves in the medium term.

Suggested Citation

  • Rene Javier Santos-Munguía & Juan Miguel Pérez, 2020. "Efecto de remesas de trabajadores sobre reservas internacionales, crecimiento económico e índice de tipo de cambio real en Honduras," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 39(81), pages 703-729, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000093:018263
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    File URL: https://revistas.unal.edu.co/index.php/ceconomia/article/view/76893/75752
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    remesas; IMAE; reservas internacionales; Itcer; VAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C20 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • F24 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Remittances

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