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Housing prices, stock prices and the US economy

Author

Listed:
  • Kamal P. Upadhyaya
  • Dharmendra Dhakal
  • Franklin G. Mixon
Abstract
This paper studies the relationship between housing prices, stock prices, interest rates and aggregate output in the US using monthly data from 1993 to 2014. Evidence from causality tests and a variance decomposition procedure suggest that stock prices have a much larger effect on aggregate output in the US economy than do either housing prices or interest rates. Instead, the wealth effect created by changes in stock prices has a relatively large impact on US aggregate output. Separate estimations and variance decompositions for the sample periods 1993–2001, 2002–2008 and 2009–2014 show that the impact of housing prices relative to stock prices has been waning over time.

Suggested Citation

  • Kamal P. Upadhyaya & Dharmendra Dhakal & Franklin G. Mixon, 2017. "Housing prices, stock prices and the US economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(59), pages 5916-5922, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:49:y:2017:i:59:p:5916-5922
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2017.1361009
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Nan-Kuang, 2001. "Asset price fluctuations in Taiwan: evidence from stock and real estate prices 1973 to 1992," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 215-232.
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    3. Milton Friedman, 1957. "A Theory of the Consumption Function," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie57-1.
    4. Granger, C. W. J., 1980. "Testing for causality : A personal viewpoint," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 329-352, May.
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    6. Milton Friedman, 1957. "Introduction to "A Theory of the Consumption Function"," NBER Chapters, in: A Theory of the Consumption Function, pages 1-6, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Peter Abelson & Roselyne Joyeux & George Milunovich & Demi Chung, 2005. "Explaining House Prices in Australia: 1970–2003," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 81(s1), pages 96-103, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Albulescu, C.T. & Bouri, E. & Tiwari, A.K. & Roubaud, D., 2020. "Quantile causality between banking stock and real estate securities returns in the US," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 251-260.
    2. Fennee Chong, 2023. "Housing Price and Interest Rate Hike: A Tale of Five Cities in Australia," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-13, January.

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