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No Credit, No Gain: Trade Liberalization Dynamics, Production Inputs, and Financial Development

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Abstract
We study the role of financial development on the aggregate implications of reducing import tariffs on capital and intermediate inputs. We document empirically that financially underdeveloped economies feature a slower aggregate response following trade liberalization. To quantify these effects, we set up a general equilibrium model with heterogeneous firms subject to collateral constraints and estimate it using Colombian plant-level data. We find that low financial development substantially limited the gains from trade liberalization in Colombia in the early 1990s. More broadly, we find that low financial development substantially limits both the aggregate and welfare gains from tariff reductions.

Suggested Citation

  • David Kohn & Fernando Leibovici & Michal Szkup, 2020. "No Credit, No Gain: Trade Liberalization Dynamics, Production Inputs, and Financial Development," Working Papers 2020-038, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, revised Sep 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedlwp:88990
    DOI: 10.20955/wp.2020.038
    Note: Publisher DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12620
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    Cited by:

    1. Kohn, David & Leibovici, Fernando & Szkup, Michal, 2020. "Financial frictions and export dynamics in large devaluations," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    2. Fernando Leibovici, 2021. "Financial Development and International Trade," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 129(12), pages 3405-3446.
    3. Daniel Carroll & Sewon Hur, 2023. "On The Distributional Effects Of International Tariffs," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 64(4), pages 1311-1346, November.
    4. Brun, Martin & Gambetta, Juan Pedro & Varela, Gonzalo J., 2022. "Why do exports react less to real exchange rate depreciations than to appreciations? Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. George Alessandria & Oscar Avila, 2023. "Trade Integration, Industry Reallocation, and Welfare in Colombia," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 71(3), pages 649-687, September.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial development; trade liberalization; welfare; production inputs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance

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