Mekita Coe
Mekita Coe (People's Party) ran for election to the U.S. House to represent New York's 3rd Congressional District. She did not appear on the ballot for the general election on November 8, 2022.
2022 battleground election
Ballotpedia identified the November 8, 2022, general election as a battleground race. The summary below is from our coverage of this election, found here.
George Devolder-Santos (R) defeated Robert Zimmerman (D) in the general election for New York's 3rd Congressional District on November 8, 2022.[1] Incumbent Tom Suozzi (D) ran for governor instead of seeking re-election.
Zimmerman, a Democratic National Committee member, owned a marketing communications company. Zimmerman said, "In Congress, I'll fight to defend abortion rights, stop gun violence, protect voting rights, address the climate crisis, and make Long Island and Queens more affordable for middle-class families."[2]
Devolder-Santos worked in finance and investing and was the district's Republican nominee in 2020. In a Candidate Connection survey submitted to Ballotpedia, Devolder-Santos said, "I will work to end the inflation crisis ... make New York's Third Congressional District a safer place for everyone ... [and] preserve the American dream for many generations to come."[3]
The 3rd District was redrawn following the 2020 census to encompass the northern portion of Nassau County and parts of Queens. Joe Biden (D) defeated Donald Trump (R) 54% to 45% in the redrawn 3rd District in 2020.
In 2021, Republican candidates won a number of local races in the district, including the defeat of Nassau County's incumbent executive and winning the county's open district attorney position.[4]
As of June 2022, 40% of the district's active voters were registered Democrats, 28% were registered Republicans, and 32% were either registered with some other party or unaffiliated.[5]
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Elections
2022
See also: New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022
General election
General election for U.S. House New York District 3
George Devolder-Santos defeated Robert Zimmerman in the general election for U.S. House New York District 3 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | George Devolder-Santos (R / Conservative Party) | 53.7 | 145,824 | |
| Robert Zimmerman (D / Working Families Party) | 46.2 | 125,404 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.0 | 103 | ||
| Total votes: 271,331 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Melanie D'Arrigo (Working Families Party)
- Mekita Coe (People's Party)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 3
Robert Zimmerman defeated Jon Kaiman, Joshua Lafazan, Melanie D'Arrigo, and Reema Rasool in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New York District 3 on August 23, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Robert Zimmerman | 35.8 | 10,074 | |
| Jon Kaiman | 25.7 | 7,242 | ||
| Joshua Lafazan | 19.7 | 5,554 | ||
| Melanie D'Arrigo | 16.0 | 4,519 | ||
| Reema Rasool | 2.6 | 738 | ||
| Other/Write-in votes | 0.2 | 51 | ||
| Total votes: 28,178 | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Navjot Kaur (D)
- Maryann Maltese (D)
Republican primary election
The Republican primary election was canceled. George Devolder-Santos advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New York District 3.
Conservative Party primary election
The Conservative Party primary election was canceled. George Devolder-Santos advanced from the Conservative Party primary for U.S. House New York District 3.
Working Families Party primary election
The Working Families Party primary election was canceled. Melanie D'Arrigo advanced from the Working Families Party primary for U.S. House New York District 3.
Polls
- See also: Ballotpedia's approach to covering polls
Polls are conducted with a variety of methodologies and have margins of error or credibility intervals.[6] The Pew Research Center wrote, "A margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points at the 95% confidence level means that if we fielded the same survey 100 times, we would expect the result to be within 3 percentage points of the true population value 95 of those times."[7] For tips on reading polls from FiveThirtyEight, click here. For tips from Pew, click here.
The links below show polls for this race aggregated by FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, where available. Click here to read about FiveThirtyEight's criteria for including polls in its aggregation.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[8] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[9] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Zimmerman | Democratic Party | $3,181,506 | $3,171,033 | $10,472 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| George Devolder-Santos | Republican Party, Conservative Party | $3,000,676 | $3,094,046 | $34,908 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Melanie D'Arrigo | Working Families Party | $412,000 | $418,737 | $703 | As of December 31, 2022 |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
|||||
Satellite spending
- See also: Satellite spending
Satellite spending describes political spending not controlled by candidates or their campaigns; that is, any political expenditures made by groups or individuals that are not directly affiliated with a candidate. This includes spending by political party committees, super PACs, trade associations, and 501(c)(4) nonprofit groups.[10][11][12]
If available, this section includes links to online resources tracking satellite spending in this election. To notify us of a resource to add, email us.
| By candidate | By election |
|---|---|
Race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[13]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[14][15][16]
| Race ratings: New York's 3rd Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Toss-up | Toss-up | Lean Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Tilt Democratic | Lean Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean Republican | Toss-up | Toss-up | Toss-up | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Campaign themes
2022
Ballotpedia survey responses
See also: Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection
Mekita Coe did not complete Ballotpedia's 2022 Candidate Connection survey.
See also
2022 Elections
External links
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Candidate U.S. House New York District 3 |
Footnotes
- ↑ Zimmerman also received the Working Families Party endorsement and Devolder-Santos also received the Conservative Party endorsement. Click here to learn more about fusion voting.
- ↑ Facebook, "Zimmerman for Congress," Aug. 25, 2022
- ↑ Information submitted to Ballotpedia through the Candidate Connection survey on March 24, 2020
- ↑ City & State New York, "New York City’s suburbs are moving in opposite directions," Nov. 22, 2021
- ↑ New York State Board of Elections, "Enrollment by Congressional District," June 6, 2022
- ↑ For more information on the difference between margins of error and credibility intervals, see explanations from the American Association for Public Opinion Research and Ipsos.
- ↑ Pew Research Center, "5 key things to know about the margin of error in election polls," September 8, 2016
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Outside Spending," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ OpenSecrets.org, "Total Outside Spending by Election Cycle, All Groups," accessed December 12, 2021
- ↑ National Review.com, "Why the Media Hate Super PACs," December 12, 2021
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
