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Estimating the Short-Run Poverty Impacts of the 2010–11 Surge in Food Prices
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- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Research papers & Policy papers on Trade Dynamics and Policies 1706, Policy Center for the New South.
- Erten Bilge & Tuzcuoglu Kerem, 2018. "Output Effects of Global Food Commodity Shocks," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 9(1), pages 1-18, June.
- de Nicola, Francesca & De Pace, Pierangelo & Hernandez, Manuel A., 2014.
"Co-movement of major commodity price returns: A time-series assessment:,"
IFPRI discussion papers
1354, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
- de Nicola, Francesca & De Pace, Pierangelo & Hernandez, Manuel A., 2014. "Co-movement of major commodity price returns : time-series assessment," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6845, The World Bank.
- Kym Anderson & Maros Ivanic & William J. Martin, 2014.
"Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty,"
NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 311-339,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Kym Anderson & Maros Ivanic & Will Martin, 2013. "Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty," Departmental Working Papers 2013-11, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
- Anderson, Kym & Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will, 2013. "Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation and Poverty," Conference papers 332389, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
- Kym Anderson & Maros Ivanic & Will Martin, 2013. "Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation and Poverty," NBER Working Papers 19530, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Anderson, Kym & Martin, Will & Ivanic, Maros, 2013. "Food Price Spikes, Price Insulation, and Poverty," CEPR Discussion Papers 9555, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Anderson, Kym & Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will, 2013. "Food price spikes, price insulation, and poverty," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6535, The World Bank.
- Tefera, Nigussie, 2012. "Welfare Impacts of Rising Food Prices in Rural Ethiopia: a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System Approach," 2012 Conference, August 18-24, 2012, Foz do Iguacu, Brazil 126698, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Donald F. Larson & Keijiro Otsuka & Tomoya Matsumoto & Talip Kilic, 2014.
"Should African rural development strategies depend on smallholder farms? An exploration of the inverse-productivity hypothesis,"
Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 45(3), pages 355-367, May.
- Kilic,Talip & Larson,Donald F. & Matsumoto,Tomoya & Otsuka,Keijiro & Kilic,Talip & Larson,Donald F. & Matsumoto,Tomoya & Otsuka,Keijiro, 2012. "Should African rural development strategies depend on smallholder farms ? an exploration of the inverse productivity hypothesis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6190, The World Bank.
- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Research papers & Policy papers on Economic Trends and Policies 1727, Policy Center for the New South.
- Will Martin, 2017.
"Agricultural Trade and Food Security,"
Policy briefs on Economic Trends and Policies
1727, Policy Center for the New South.
- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Policy briefs on Trade Dynamics and Policies 1706, Policy Center for the New South.
- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Research papers & Policy papers on Economic Trends and Policies 1727, Policy Center for the New South.
- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Policy briefs on Agriculture Markets, Policies and Food Security 1706, Policy Center for the New South.
- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Research papers & Policy papers on Trade Dynamics and Policies 1706, Policy Center for the New South.
- Martin, Will, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," ADBI Working Papers 664, Asian Development Bank Institute.
- Will Martin, 2017. "Agricultural Trade and Food Security," Research papers & Policy papers on Agriculture Markets, Policies and Food Security 1706, Policy Center for the New South.
- Condon, Nicole & Klemick, Heather & Wolverton, Ann, 2015.
"Impacts of ethanol policy on corn prices: A review and meta-analysis of recent evidence,"
Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 63-73.
- Nicole Condon & Heather Klemick & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Impacts of Ethanol Policy on Corn Prices: A Review and Meta-Analysis of Recent Evidence," NCEE Working Paper Series 201305, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Oct 2013.
- Condon, Nicole & Klemick, Heather & Wolverton, Ann, 2013. "Impacts of Ethanol Policy on Corn Prices: A Review and Meta-Analysis of Recent Evidence," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149940, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Carolin Kouyaté & Stephan Cramon-Taubadel, 2016.
"Distance and Border Effects on Price Transmission: A Meta-analysis,"
Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(2), pages 255-271, June.
- Mengel, Carolin & von Cramon-Taubadel, Stephan, 2014. "Distance and border effects on price transmission - a meta-analysis," GlobalFood Discussion Papers 170988, Georg-August-Universitaet Goettingen, GlobalFood, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development.
- M. Shahe Emran & Dilip Mookherjee & Forhad Shilpi & M. Helal Uddin, 2021.
"Credit Rationing and Pass-Through in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence from Bangladesh,"
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 202-236, July.
- Emran, M.Shahe & Mookherjee, Dilip & Shilpi, Forhad & Uddin, M. Helal, 2017. "Credit Rationing and Pass-Through in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence from Bangladesh," MPRA Paper 79844, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- M. Shahe Emran & Dilip Mookherjee & Forhad Shilpi & M. Helal Uddin, 2020. "Credit Rationing and Pass-Through in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence from Bangladesh," NBER Working Papers 26615, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Mookherjee, Dilip & Emran, Shahe & Shilpi, Forhad & Uddin, Helal, 2020. "Credit Rationing and Pass-Through in Supply Chains: Theory and Evidence from Bangladesh," CEPR Discussion Papers 14272, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Rudolf, Robert, 2019. "The impact of maize price shocks on household food security: Panel evidence from Tanzania," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 40-54.
- Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will, 2014.
"Poverty impacts of the volume-based special safeguard mechanism,"
Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(4), October.
- Maros Ivanic & Will Martin, 2014. "Poverty impacts of the volume-based special safeguard mechanism," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 58(4), pages 607-621, October.
- Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will, 2014. "Poverty Impacts of the Volume-Based Special Safeguard Mechanism," Conference papers 332527, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
- Ivanic, Maros & Martin, Will, 2014. "Poverty impacts of the volume-based special safeguard mechanism," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7006, The World Bank.
- Nadia Shabnam & Fabio Gaetano Santeramo & Zahid Asghar & Antonio Seccia, 2016.
"The Impact of Food Price Crises on the Demand for Nutrients in Pakistan,"
Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 11(3), pages 305-327, December.
- Shabnam, Nadia & Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Seccia, Antonio & Asghar, Zahid, 2016. "The Impact of the Food Price Crises on the demand for nutrients in Pakistan," MPRA Paper 72971, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Bird, Kate & Chabé-Ferret, Bastien & Simons, Alexandre, 2022. "Linking human capabilities with livelihood strategies to speed poverty reduction: Evidence from Rwanda," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
- Raymond Boadi Frempong & David Stadelmann, 2019.
"The Effect of Food Price Changes on Child Labour: Evidence from Uganda,"
Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(7), pages 1492-1507, July.
- Raymond B. Frempong & David Stadelmann, 2017. "The Effect of Food Price Changes on Child Labor: Evidence from Uganda," CREMA Working Paper Series 2017-06, Center for Research in Economics, Management and the Arts (CREMA).
- Raymond Boadi Frempong & David Stadelmann, 2019. "The Effect of Food Price Changes on Child Labour: Evidence from Uganda," Post-Print hal-04162963, HAL.
- Negi, D., 2018. "Geography and the Welfare Impact of Food Price Shock," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277150, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Bekkers, Eddy & Brockmeier, Martina & Francois, Joseph & Yang, Fan, 2017.
"Local Food Prices and International Price Transmission,"
World Development, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 216-230.
- Francois, Joseph & Brockmeier, Martina & Bekkers, Eddy & Yang, Fan, 2017. "Local Food Prices and International Price Transmission," CEPR Discussion Papers 11912, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015.
"The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses,"
Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers
1504, Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum.
- John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The great plunge in oil prices: causes, consequences, and policy responses," CAMA Working Papers 2015-23, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
- John Baffes & M. Ayhan Kose & Franziska Ohnsorge & Marc Stocker, 2015. "The Great Plunge in Oil Prices: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Responses," Policy Research Notes (PRNs) 94725, The World Bank.
- Rischke, Ramona, 2015. "Predicting Welfare Effects of Food Price Shocks. A Comparative Analysis," GlobalFood Discussion Papers 201855, Georg-August-Universitaet Goettingen, GlobalFood, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Development.
- L. Alan Winters & Antonio Martuscelli, 2014.
"Trade Liberalization and Poverty: What Have We Learned in a Decade?,"
Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 6(1), pages 493-512, October.
- Winters, L Alan & Martuscelli, Antonio, 2014. "Trade Liberalisation and Poverty: What have we learned in a decade?," CEPR Discussion Papers 9947, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Terrence Kairiza & George D. Kembo, 2019. "Coping with food and nutrition insecurity in Zimbabwe: does household head gender matter?," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 7(1), pages 1-16, December.
- repec:bla:afrdev:v:29:y:2017:i:s1:p:27-41 is not listed on IDEAS
- Ubilava, David, 2017.
"The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics,"
World Development, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 490-502.
- Ubilava, David, 2014. "The ENSO Effect and Asymmetries in Wheat Price Dynamics," Working Papers 2014-06, University of Sydney, School of Economics, revised Apr 2017.
- Combes, Jean-Louis & Ebeke, Christian Hubert & Etoundi, Sabine Mireille Ntsama & Yogo, Thierry Urbain, 2014.
"Are Remittances and Foreign Aid a Hedge Against Food Price Shocks in Developing Countries?,"
World Development, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 81-98.
- Jean-Louis Combes & Christian Hubert Ebeke & Mireille S. Ntsama Etoundi & Urbain Thierry Yogo, 2014. "Are Remittances and Foreign Aid a Hedge Against Food Price Shocks in Developing Countries?," Post-Print halshs-00913164, HAL.
- Yang, Bixuan & Asche, Frank & Li, Tao, 2021. "Food Price Inflation and Demand Shocks: Evidence from Chinese Cities during the Covid-19 Epidemic," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 314067, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Julian M. Alston & William J. Martin & Philip G. Pardey, 2014. "Influences of Agricultural Technology on the Size and Importance of Food Price Variability," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 13-54, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Sisira Jayasuriya & Purushottam Mudbhary & Sumiter Broca, 2013. "Food Security in Asia: Recent Experiences, Issues and Challenges," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(3), pages 275-288, September.
- Nicola, Francesca de & De Pace, Pierangelo & Hernandez, Manuel A., 2016. "Co-movement of major energy, agricultural, and food commodity price returns: A time-series assessment," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 28-41.
- Cali,Massimiliano & Hollweg,Claire Honore & Ruppert Bulmer,Elizabeth N., 2015. "Seeking shared prosperity through trade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7314, The World Bank.
- Yujie Chen & Jiangwei Tang, 2024. "Will the financialisation of agricultural products exacerbate food security risks? Empirical analysis from major grain-producing countries worldwide," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 70(4), pages 178-186.
- Negi, Digvijay S., 2022. "Global food price surge, in-kind transfers and household welfare: Evidence from India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
- Nakelse, Tebila & Dalton, Timothy J. & Hendricks, Nathan P. & Hodjo, Manzamasso, 2018. "Are smallholder farmers better or worse off from an increase in the international price of cereals?," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 213-223.
- López-Lozano, Raúl & Baruth, Bettina, 2019. "An evaluation framework to build a cost-efficient crop monitoring system. Experiences from the extension of the European crop monitoring system," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 231-246.
- Aragie, E. & Balié, J. & Morales, C. & Pauw, K., 2023. "Synergies and trade-offs between agricultural export promotion and food security: Evidence from African economies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
- Antonio Martuscelli, 2017. "Analysing the Impact of Price Shocks in Rural Economies: Do Household Responses Matter?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(9), pages 1518-1534, September.
- Pierre-Emmanuel Darpeix, 2019. "Literature review on the consequences of food price spikes and price volatility," Working Papers hal-02072329, HAL.
- Anderson, Kym & Jha, Shikha & Nelgen, Signe & Strutt, Anna, 2012. "Reexamining Policies for Food Security," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 301, Asian Development Bank.
- Durevall, Dick & van der Weide, Roy, 2014.
"Importing High Food Prices by Exporting: Rice Prices in Lao PDR,"
Working Papers in Economics
607, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- Durevall, Dick & van der Weide, Roy, 2014. "Importing high food prices by exporting : rice prices in Lao PDR," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7119, The World Bank.
- Mohajan, Haradhan, 2022. "Food Insecurity and Malnutrition of Africa: A Combined Attempt Can Reduce Them," MPRA Paper 112609, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 10 Feb 2021.
- Christian Elleby, 2014.
"Poverty and Price Transmission,"
IFRO Working Paper
2015/01, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
- Elleby, Christian, 2015. "Poverty and Price Transmission," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211621, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Elleby, Christian, 2014. "Poverty and Price Transmission," 2014 International Congress, August 26-29, 2014, Ljubljana, Slovenia 182722, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Huayun Jiang & Neda Todorova & Eduardo Roca & Jen-Je Su, 2017. "Dynamics of volatility transmission between the U.S. and the Chinese agricultural futures markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(34), pages 3435-3452, July.
- Grundy, Michael J. & Bryan, Brett A. & Nolan, Martin & Battaglia, Michael & Hatfield-Dodds, Steve & Connor, Jeffery D. & Keating, Brian A., 2016. "Scenarios for Australian agricultural production and land use to 2050," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 70-83.
- David Woodward, 2015. "Incrementum ad Absurdum: Global Growth, Inequality and Poverty Eradication in a Carbon-Constrained World," World Economic Review, World Economics Association, vol. 2015(4), pages 1-43, February.
- Eoin McGuirk & Marshall Burke, 2020.
"The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa,"
Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 128(10), pages 3940-3997.
- Eoin McGuirk & Marshall Burke, 2017. "The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa," NBER Working Papers 23056, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Eoin McGuirk & Marshall Burke, 2017. "The Economic Origins of Conflict in Africa," HiCN Working Papers 242, Households in Conflict Network.
- Dick Durevall & Roy Weide, 2017.
"Importing High Food Prices by Exporting: Rice Prices in Lao PDR,"
Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(1), pages 164-181, February.
- Durevall, Dick & van der Weide, Roy, 2014. "Importing High Food Prices by Exporting: Rice Prices in Lao PDR," Working Papers in Economics 607, University of Gothenburg, Department of Economics.
- Juan M. Villa & Miguel Niño-Zarazúa, 2019.
"Poverty dynamics and graduation from conditional cash transfers: a transition model for Mexico’s Progresa-Oportunidades-Prospera program,"
The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 17(2), pages 219-251, June.
- Juan M. Villa & Miguel Niño-Zarazúa, 2019. "Poverty dynamics and graduation from conditional cash transfers: a transition model for Mexico’s Progresa-Oportunidades-Prospera program," The Journal of Economic Inequality, Springer;Society for the Study of Economic Inequality, vol. 17(2), pages 219-251, June.
- Farley, Joshua & Schmitt, Abdon & Burke, Matthew & Farr, Marigo, 2015. "Extending market allocation to ecosystem services: Moral and practical implications on a full and unequal planet," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 244-252.
- Lars Ludolph & Barbora Šedová, 2021. "Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa," CEPA Discussion Papers 26, Center for Economic Policy Analysis.
- Bakker, Craig & Zaitchik, Benjamin F. & Siddiqui, Sauleh & Hobbs, Benjamin F. & Broaddus, Elena & Neff, Roni A. & Haskett, Jonathan & Parker, Cindy L., 2018. "Shocks, seasonality, and disaggregation: Modelling food security through the integration of agricultural, transportation, and economic systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 165-184.
- Quy-Toan Do & Andrei A. Levchenko & Martin Ravallion, 2014.
"Trade Insulation as Social Protection,"
NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Food Price Volatility, pages 345-366,
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Do, Quy-Toan & Levchenko, Andrei A. & Ravallion, Martin, 2013. "Trade insulation as social protection," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6448, The World Bank.
- Elleby, Christian & Hansen, Henrik & Yu, Wusheng, 2015. "Domestic Price and Welfare Effects of the 2007-11 Indian Grain Export Restrictions," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205578, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- S. Nazrul Islam & John Winkel, 2017. "Climate Change and Social Inequality," Working Papers 152, United Nations, Department of Economics and Social Affairs.
- Lukas Kornher & Tekalign Gutu Sakketa, 2021. "Does food security matter to subjective well‐being? Evidence from a cross‐country panel," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(8), pages 1270-1289, November.
- Md Zabid Iqbal, 2019. "The Effects of a Large Rice Price Increase on Household Welfare and Poverty in Rural Bangladesh," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 39(1), pages 295-309.
- Luke Abbs, 2020. "The hunger games: Food prices, ethnic cleavages and nonviolent unrest in Africa," Journal of Peace Research, Peace Research Institute Oslo, vol. 57(2), pages 281-296, March.
- Ludolph, Lars & Sedova, Barbora, 2021. "Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa," VfS Annual Conference 2021 (Virtual Conference): Climate Economics 242334, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
- Arfini, Filippo & Aghabeygi, Mona, 2018. "Evaluation of Welfare Effects of Rising Price of Food Imports in Italy," 162nd Seminar, April 26-27, 2018, Budapest, Hungary 271953, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
- Antonio Martuscelli & Michael Gasiorek, 2019. "Regional Integration And Poverty: A Review Of The Transmission Channels And The Evidence," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(2), pages 431-457, April.
- Gökhan ÖZERTAN & Sayed H. SAGHAİAN & Hasan TEKGÜÇ, 2015.
"Dynamics of Price Transmission and Market Power in the Turkish Beef Sector,"
Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 30(349), pages 53-76.
- Gokhan Ozertan & Sayed H. Saghaian & Hasan Tekguc, 2012. "Dynamics of Price Transmission and Market Power in the Turkish Beef Sector," Working Papers 2012-02, Mardin Artuklu Univeristy, Department of Economics.
- Justin Quinton & Glenn P. Jenkins & Godwin Olasehinde-Williams, 2024. "How Do Household Coping Strategies Evolve with Increased Food Insecurity? An Examination of Nigeria's Food Price Shock of 2015-2018," Development Discussion Papers 2024-04, JDI Executive Programs.
- Cuesta, José & Htenas, Aira & Tiwari, Sailesh, 2014. "Monitoring global and national food price crises," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(P1), pages 84-94.
- Rodriguez-Takeuchi, Laura & Imai, Katsushi S., 2013.
"Food price surges and poverty in urban Colombia: New evidence from household survey data,"
Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 227-236.
- Laura Kiku Rodriguez-Takeuchi & Katsushi S. Imai, 2011. "Food Price Surges and Poverty in Urban Colombia: New Evidence from Household Survey Data," Discussion Paper Series DP2011-33, Research Institute for Economics & Business Administration, Kobe University.
- Hernandez, Manuel A. & Rashid, Shahidur & Lemma, Solomon & Kuma, Tadesse, 2015. "Institutions and market integration: The case of coffee in the Ethiopian commodity exchange:," IFPRI discussion papers 1464, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
- Pierre-Emmanuel Darpeix, 2019. "Literature review on the consequences of food price spikes and price volatility," PSE Working Papers hal-02072329, HAL.
- Larson, Donald F., 2013. "Blue water and the consequences of alternative food security policies in the Middle East and North Africa for water security," Policy Research Working Paper Series 6464, The World Bank.
- von Braun, Joachim & Tadesse, Getaw, 2012. "Global Food Price Volatility and Spikes: An Overview of Costs, Causes, and Solutions," Discussion Papers 120021, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).