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Trade Costs and Job Flows: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data

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Abstract
We present evidence of the impact of input and output trade liberalization on establishment-level job flows. Using a longitudinal database containing the universe of manufacturing establishments in California from 1992 to 2004, we find that a decline in input or output trade costs causes job destruction in the least productive establishments, job creation in the most productive establishments, and an increase in the death likelihood of the least productive establishments. The evidence is consistent with predictions of models of trade with heterogeneous firms. We also show that input trade liberalization has larger effects on establishment-level job flows than output trade liberalization.

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  • José Luis Groizard & Priya Ranjan & José Antonio Rodríguez-López, 2012. "Trade Costs and Job Flows: Evidence from Establishment-Level Data," DEA Working Papers 48, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada, revised Mar 2014.
    • Handle: RePEc:ubi:deawps:48
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    Cited by:

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    2. Nihar Shembavnekar, 2019. "Economic Reforms, Labour Markets and Formal Sector Employment: Evidence from India," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-42, April.
    3. Brian K. Kovak & Lindsay Oldenski & Nicholas Sly, 2021. "The Labor Market Effects of Offshoring by U.S. Multinational Firms," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(2), pages 381-396, May.
    4. Chen, Bo & Yu, Miaojie & Yu, Zhihao, 2017. "Measured skill premia and input trade liberalization: Evidence from Chinese firms," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 31-42.
    5. Nihar Shembavnekar, 2015. "Tariff Liberalisation, Labour Market Flexibility and Employment: Evidence from India," Working Paper Series 8115, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    6. Chen, Tianqi & Zhang, Yi & Jiang, Cailou & Li, Hui, 2023. "How does energy efficiency affect employment? Evidence from Chinese cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    7. Aiping Wang & Weifen Lin & Bei Liu & Hui Wang & Hong Xu, 2021. "Does Smart City Construction Improve the Green Utilization Efficiency of Urban Land?," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-18, June.
    8. Asquith, Brian & Goswami, Sanjana & Neumark, David & Rodriguez-Lopez, Antonio, 2019. "U.S. job flows and the China shock," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 123-137.
    9. Priyaranjan Jha & Jae Yoon Lee & Yang Liang & Devashish Mitra, 2021. "International trade and employment: Theory and evidence from Korean firms," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(11), pages 3351-3388, November.
    10. Gyasi, Genevieve, 2020. "The Impact of Trade Agreement Policy on Employment," MPRA Paper 101307, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Xin Liu & Zhiyong Kang, 2023. "Environmental Regulation and Employment Changes in Chinese Manufacturing Enterprises: Micro Evidence from the Top 10,000 Energy-Consuming Enterprises Program," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-21, September.
    12. Cheng Chen & Wei Tian & Miaojie Yu, 2019. "Outward FDI and Domestic Input Distortions: Evidence from Chinese Firms," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 129(624), pages 3025-3057.
    13. Elisabeth Christen & Michael Pfaffermayr & Yvonne Wolfmayr, 2019. "Trade Costs in Services. Firm Survival, Firm Growth and Implied Changes in Employment," WIFO Working Papers 593, WIFO.
    14. Keith Barnatchez & Leland D. Crane & Ryan A. Decker, 2017. "An Assessment of the National Establishment Time Series (NETS) Database," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2017-110, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Nicholas Sly & Lindsay Oldenski & Brian Kovak, 2017. "The Labor Market Effects of Offshoring by U.S. Multinational Firms: Evidence from Changes in Global Tax Policies," 2017 Meeting Papers 535, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    16. Li, Rui & Zhu, Zhikai & Wang, Xiaoyan, 2023. "Pension insurance contributions and ESG performance: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PD).
    17. Wang, Li & Dai, Yunhao & Kong, Dongmin, 2021. "Air pollution and employee treatment," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    18. Nihar Shembavnekar, 2018. "Did India’s economic reforms generate jobs? Essays on economic liberalisation, labour market flexibility and employment in the Indian manufacturing sector (1990-2006)," Economics PhD Theses 0917, Department of Economics, University of Sussex Business School.
    19. Matthew Embrey & Guillaume R. Frechette & Sevgi Yuksel, 2016. "Cooperation in the Finitely Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma," Working Paper Series 8616, Department of Economics, University of Sussex.
    20. Zhu, Haitao & Zhang, Yi & Bai, Ruobing & Sun, Xu, 2023. "Happiness and executive team stability," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    21. Groizard, Jose L. & Ranjan, Priya & Rodriguez-Lopez, Antonio, 2014. "Offshoring and jobs: The myriad channels of influence," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 221-239.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    heterogeneous firms; job flows; trade costs.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions

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