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The relevance of foresight for accession countries and possibilities for co-operation

Author

Listed:
  • Havas, Attila
Abstract
Accession countries, faced with the same challenge of joining the EU while still characterised by their own distinct level of socio-economic development, set of institutions, culture and norms, can benefit significantly from conducting foresight programmes. Yet, foresight should not be conducted for its own sake – just because it is becoming “fashionable” throughout the world, and currently being promoted by the EU. On the contrary, there should be a strong link between foresight, decision preparation and policy-making. Foresight has now reached a point, at which different approaches can be compared to highlight good practices: what has worked in certain circumstances (level of development, challenges and hence policy aims), and thus what set of tools and approaches are likely to be useful in different environments. International co-operation, therefore, can be extremely useful for accession countries in various ways. The simplest one would be to share information, exchange experience, as well as compare methods and achievements, i.e. to learn from each other. A more ambitious way could be to conduct joint foresight programmes on issues that go beyond the national boundaries, such as accession countries’ role and prospects as members in the new, enlarged EU, scope for their re-invigorated co-operation in those new settings, etc. However, trans-border foresight exercises would also require adequately adapted or even entirely new methods and techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Havas, Attila, 2003. "The relevance of foresight for accession countries and possibilities for co-operation," MPRA Paper 49562, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:49562
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/49562/1/MPRA_paper_49562.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Attila Havas, 2003. "Evolving foresight in a small transition economy," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(2-3), pages 179-201.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Attila Havas, 2003. "Socio-Economic and Developmental Needs - Focus of Foresight Programmes," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 0313, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    2. Havas, Attila, 2005. "Terminology and Methodology for Benchmarking Foresight Programmes," MPRA Paper 77791, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Havas, Attila, 2011. "Governing policy processes and foresight," MPRA Paper 38119, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foresight; innovation systems; EU enlargement; international co-operation in foresight;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O29 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Other
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy
    • O39 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Other
    • P29 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Other

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