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Lifetime vs. Annual Perspectives on Tax Incidence

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  • Don Fullerton
  • Diane Lim Rogers
Abstract
Recent academic research on tax incidence has shifted from an emphasis on static and annual perspectives to examinations of dynamic and lifetime issues. Meanwhile, policy economists are forced to rely on annual data and hence annual analyses. The purpose of this paper is to discuss the nature and analysis of lifetime tax incidence, and to compare and contrast this lifetime perspective with the more familiar annual perspective. In our comparison, we find that (1) the lifetime perspective requires much more data over longer periods of time, because results depends critically on the whole shape of the lifetime earnings profile, (2) individuals classified by annual income decile are often reclassified into very different lifetime income deciles, (3) the personal income tax and corporate income tax appear less progressive on a lifetime basis, while consumption taxes appear less regressive on a lifetime basis, and (4) despite the different approaches and the different reasons underlying the incidence of each particular tax, the lifetime incidence of the entire U.S. tax system is strikingly similar to the annual incidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Don Fullerton & Diane Lim Rogers, 1991. "Lifetime vs. Annual Perspectives on Tax Incidence," NBER Working Papers 3750, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:3750
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Poterba, James M, 1989. "Lifetime Incidence and the Distributional Burden of Excise Taxes," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(2), pages 325-330, May.
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    10. Don Fullerton & Gilbert Metcalf, 2002. "The Distribution of Tax Burdens," Discussion Papers Series, Department of Economics, Tufts University 0201, Department of Economics, Tufts University.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aspen Gorry & Ezra Oberfield, 2012. "Optimal Taxation Over the Life Cycle," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 15(4), pages 551-572, October.
    2. Stanislav Klazar & Barbora Slintáková & Slavomíra Svátková & Martin Zelený, 2007. "Incidence of the VAT Rates Harmonisation in the Czech Republic [Dopad harmonizace sazeb DPH v ČR]," Acta Oeconomica Pragensia, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2007(1), pages 45-56.
    3. Nathalie Mathieu-Bolh, 2011. "Optimal Taxation and Income Mobility with Borrowing Limits," Public Finance Review, , vol. 39(3), pages 393-428, May.
    4. Petr David, 2019. "Optimization of Gini Coefficient Affected by Imperfect Input Data," European Journal of Business Science and Technology, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 21-29.

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