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Risky firms and fragile banks: implications for macroprudential policy

Author

Listed:
  • Gasparini, Tommaso
  • Lewis, Vivien
  • Moyen, Stéphane
  • Villa, Stefania
Abstract
Increases in firm default risk raise the default probability of banks while decreasing output and inflation in US data. To rationalize the empirical evidence, we analyse firm risk shocks in a New Keynesian model where entrepreneurs and banks engage in a loan contract and both are subject to default risk. In the model, a wave of corporate defaults leads to losses on banks' balance sheets; banks respond by selling assets and reducing credit provision. A highly leveraged banking sector exacerbates the contractionary effects of firm defaults. We show that high minimum capital requirements jointly implemented with a countercyclical capital buffer are effective in dampening the adverse consequences of firm risk shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Gasparini, Tommaso & Lewis, Vivien & Moyen, Stéphane & Villa, Stefania, 2024. "Risky firms and fragile banks: implications for macroprudential policy," CEPR Discussion Papers 18915, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18915
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank default; Capital buffers; Firm risk; Macroprudential policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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