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Urban Growth Shadows

Author

Listed:
  • Desmet, Klaus
  • Cuberes, David
  • Rappaport, Jordan
Abstract
Does a location's growth benefit or suffer from being geographically close to large economic centers? Spatial proximity may lead to competition and hurt growth, but it may also improve market access and enhance growth. Using data on U.S. counties and metro areas for the period 1840-2017, we document this tradeoff between urban shadows and urban access. Proximity to large urban centers was negatively associated with growth between 1840 and 1920, and positively associated with growth after 1920. Using a two-city spatial model, we show that the secular evolution of inter-city and intra-city commuting costs can account for this. Alternatively, the long-run decline in inter-city shipping costs relative to intra-city commuting costs is also consistent with these observed patterns.

Suggested Citation

  • Desmet, Klaus & Cuberes, David & Rappaport, Jordan, 2021. "Urban Growth Shadows," CEPR Discussion Papers 15807, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:15807
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Urban shadows; Urban access; Commuting; Spatial economics; Urban systems; City growth; United states; 1840-2017;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • N91 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - U.S.; Canada: Pre-1913
    • N92 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-

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