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Stock price reaction following large one-day price changes: UK evidence

Author

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  • Mazouz, Khelifa
  • Joseph, Nathan L.
  • Joulmer, Joulmer
Abstract
We examine the short-term price reaction of 424 UK stocks to large one-day price changes. Using the GJR-GARCH(1,1), we find no statistical difference amongst the cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) of the Single Index, the Fama-French and the Carhart-Fama-French models. Shocks [greater-or-equal, slanted]5% are followed by a significant one-day CAR of 1% for all the models. Whilst shocks [less-than-or-equals, slant]-5% are followed by a significant one-day CAR of -0.43% for the Single Index, the CARs are around -0.34% for the other two models. Positive shocks of all sizes and negative shocks [less-than-or-equals, slant]-5% are followed by return continuations, whilst the market is efficient following larger negative shocks. The price reaction to shocks is unaffected when we estimate the CARs using the conditional covariances of the pricing variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Mazouz, Khelifa & Joseph, Nathan L. & Joulmer, Joulmer, 2009. "Stock price reaction following large one-day price changes: UK evidence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(8), pages 1481-1493, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:33:y:2009:i:8:p:1481-1493
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    4. Todorova, Neda, 2017. "The intraday directional predictability of large Australian stocks: A cross-quantilogram analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 221-230.
    5. Andrey Kudryavtsev, 2019. "Holiday Effect on Large Stock Price Changes," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 20(2), pages 633-660, November.
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    7. Amini, Shima & Gebka, Bartosz & Hudson, Robert & Keasey, Kevin, 2013. "A review of the international literature on the short term predictability of stock prices conditional on large prior price changes: Microstructure, behavioral and risk related explanations," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 1-17.
    8. Pham Dan Khanh & Pham Thanh Dat & Bui Huy Nhuong, 2020. "A Re-examination of the Holiday Effect in Stock Returns: The Case of Vietnam," Edelweiss Applied Science and Technology, Learning Gate, vol. 4(1), pages 51-54.
    9. Jaiswal-Dale, Ameeta & Jithendranathan, Thadavillil, 2009. "Transmission of shocks from cross-listed markets to the return and volatility of domestic stocks," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 19(5), pages 395-408, December.
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