[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/
IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v80y2019icp394-410.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The economic impact of price controls on China's natural gas supply chain

Author

Listed:
  • Rioux, Bertrand
  • Galkin, Philipp
  • Murphy, Frederic
  • Feijoo, Felipe
  • Pierru, Axel
  • Malov, Artem
  • Li, Yan
  • Wu, Kang
Abstract
Despite significant progress made by China in liberalizing its natural gas market, certain key areas such as market access and pricing mechanisms remain controlled by the government. To assess how such distortions impact the market, we have developed a Mixed Complementarity Problem model of China's natural gas industry, with a novel representation of price caps associated with supply obligations. The model is used to assess how government pricing policies and restricted third party access to midstream infrastructure impacted the supply logistics of China's profit maximizing natural gas firms in the year 2015. We find that lifting the price caps for regulated natural gas demand sectors could yield a 4.7% (1.4 billion USD) reduction in total system cost and reduce the national average of marginal supply costs by 14%. Improving third party access to the pipeline and regasification infrastructure would result in an additive total cost saving of 7.6% (2.2 billion USD) and a 16% reduction in average prices, due to replacing domestic and imported LNG with pipeline imports. The LNG industry would be negatively affected by the reforms investigated in this study, as market players would gain more flexibility in their logistics and would utilize lower cost supply pathways.

Suggested Citation

  • Rioux, Bertrand & Galkin, Philipp & Murphy, Frederic & Feijoo, Felipe & Pierru, Axel & Malov, Artem & Li, Yan & Wu, Kang, 2019. "The economic impact of price controls on China's natural gas supply chain," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 394-410.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:80:y:2019:i:c:p:394-410
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2018.12.026
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988319300052
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.12.026?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abrell, Jan & Rausch, Sebastian, 2017. "Combining price and quantity controls under partitioned environmental regulation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 226-242.
    2. Feijoo, Felipe & Huppmann, Daniel & Sakiyama, Larissa & Siddiqui, Sauleh, 2016. "North American natural gas model: Impact of cross-border trade with Mexico," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 1084-1095.
    3. Jing Xu & Michelle Hallack & Miguel Vazquez, 2017. "Applying a third party access model for China’s gas pipeline network: an independent pipeline operator and congestion rent transfer," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 72-97, February.
    4. Paul W. MacAvoy, 1970. "The Effectiveness of the Federal Power Commission," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 1(2), pages 271-303, Autumn.
    5. Franziska Holz & Christian Von Hirschhausen, 2013. "The Infrastructure Implications Of The Energy Transformation In Europe Until 2050 — Lessons From The Emf28 Modeling Exercise," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(supp0), pages 1-26.
    6. Zhang, Qi & Li, Zhan & Wang, Ge & Li, Hailong, 2016. "Study on the impacts of natural gas supply cost on gas flow and infrastructure deployment in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1385-1398.
    7. Frederic H. Murphy & Reginald C. Sanders & Susan H. Shaw & Richard L. Thrasher, 1981. "Modeling Natural Gas Regulatory Proposals Using the Project Independence Evaluation System," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 29(5), pages 876-902, October.
    8. Egging, Ruud & Holz, Franziska, 2016. "Risks in global natural gas markets: Investment, hedging and trade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 468-479.
    9. Hu, Desheng & Xu, Shengqing, 2013. "Opportunity, challenges and policy choices for China on the development of shale gas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 21-26.
    10. Ferris, Michael C. & Munson, Todd S., 2000. "Complementarity problems in GAMS and the PATH solver," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 165-188, February.
    11. Boqiang Lin & Chang Liu & Lei Lin, 2015. "The Effect of China’s Natural Gas Pricing Reform," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(4), pages 812-825, July.
    12. Murthy V. Mudrageda & Frederic H. Murphy & Steve Welch, 2004. "Developing Strategies for Maritrans’ Business Units," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 149-161, April.
    13. Tian, Ruijie & Zhang, Qi & Wang, Ge & Li, Hailong & Chen, Siyuan & Li, Yan & Tian, Yulu, 2017. "Study on the promotion of natural gas-fired electricity with energy market reform in China using a dynamic game-theoretic model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(P2), pages 1832-1839.
    14. Dieckhöner, Caroline & Lochner, Stefan & Lindenberger, Dietmar, 2013. "European natural gas infrastructure: The impact of market developments on gas flows and physical market integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 994-1003.
    15. Egging, Ruud & Holz, Franziska & Gabriel, Steven A., 2010. "The World Gas Model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 4016-4029.
    16. Bertrand Rioux, Philipp Galkin, Frederic Murphy, and Axel Pierru, 2017. "How do Price Caps in Chinas Electricity Sector Impact the Economics of Coal, Power and Wind? Potential Gains from Reforms," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(KAPSARC S).
    17. Matar, Walid & Murphy, Frederic & Pierru, Axel & Rioux, Bertrand & Wogan, David, 2017. "Efficient industrial energy use: The first step in transitioning Saudi Arabia's energy mix," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 80-92.
    18. Frederic Murphy & Axel Pierru & Yves Smeers, 2016. "A Tutorial on Building Policy Models as Mixed-Complementarity Problems," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 46(6), pages 465-481, December.
    19. Murphy, Frederic & Pierru, Axel & Smeers, Yves, 2019. "Measuring the effects of price controls using mixed complementarity models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(2), pages 666-676.
    20. Lin, Boqiang & Wang, Ting, 2012. "Forecasting natural gas supply in China: Production peak and import trends," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 225-233.
    21. Matar, Walid & Murphy, Frederic & Pierru, Axel & Rioux, Bertrand, 2015. "Lowering Saudi Arabia's fuel consumption and energy system costs without increasing end consumer prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 558-569.
    22. Wang, Jianliang & Feng, Lianyong & Zhao, Lin & Snowden, Simon, 2013. "China's natural gas: Resources, production and its impacts," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 690-698.
    23. Bohringer, Christoph & Rutherford, Thomas F., 2008. "Combining bottom-up and top-down," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 574-596, March.
    24. Miranda, Mario J & Helmberger, Peter G, 1988. "The Effects of Commodity Price Stabilization Programs," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(1), pages 46-58, March.
    25. Sankaranarayanan, Sriram & Feijoo, Felipe & Siddiqui, Sauleh, 2018. "Sensitivity and covariance in stochastic complementarity problems with an application to North American natural gas markets," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(1), pages 25-36.
    26. Paltsev, Sergey & Zhang, Danwei, 2015. "Natural gas pricing reform in China: Getting closer to a market system?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 43-56.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Boute, Anatole & Fang, Mandy Meng, 2022. "China's textbook approach to regulatory reform of the natural gas market," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    2. Gao, Yanyan & Zheng, Jianghuai, 2022. "Clearing the air through pipes? An evaluation of the air pollution reduction effect of China's natural gas pipeline projects," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    3. Brueckner, Marcus & Hong, Haidi & Vespignani, Joaquin, 2023. "Regulation of petrol and diesel prices and their effects on GDP growth: evidence from China," Working Papers 2023-02, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    4. Gong, Chengzhu & Wu, Desheng & Gong, Nianjiao & Qi, Rui, 2020. "Multi-agent mixed complementary simulation of natural gas upstream market liberalization in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    5. Zhao, Xiaochun & Jiang, Mei & Wu, Zijun & Zhou, Ying, 2023. "Quantitative evaluation of China's energy security policy under the background of intensifying geopolitical conflicts: Based on PMC model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    6. Weiwei Xiong & Liang Yan & Teng Wang & Yuguo Gao, 2020. "Substitution Effect of Natural Gas and the Energy Consumption Structure Transition in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-20, September.
    7. Rioux, Bertrand & Shabaneh, Rami & Griffiths, Steven, 2021. "An economic analysis of gas pipeline trade cooperation in the GCC," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    8. Markus Brueckner & Haidi Hong & Joaquin Vespignani, 2023. "Effects of Government Regulation of Diesel and Petrol Prices on GDP Growth: Evidence from China," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2023-690, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    9. Xu, Mengmeng & Lin, Boqiang, 2022. "Energy efficiency gains from distortion mitigation: A perspective on the metallurgical industry," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Luo, Guoliang & Liu, Shanshan & Yan, Xiaohui & Guo, Yiwei, 2021. "Institutional constraints to China's low carbon transition: A case study of China's coal-to-gas program," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 121-135.
    11. Wei, Qi & Zhou, Peng & Shi, Xunpeng, 2023. "The congestion cost of pipeline networks under third-party access in China's natural gas market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    12. Wang, Xiaolin & Qiu, Yangyang & Chen, Jun & Hu, Xiangping, 2022. "Evaluating natural gas supply security in China: An exhaustible resource market equilibrium model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    13. Jia, Weidong & Gong, Chengzhu & Pan, Kai & Yu, Shiwei, 2023. "Potential changes of regional natural gas market in China amidst liberalization: A mixed complementarity equilibrium simulation in 2030," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    14. Wang, Peng & Yang, Muyi & Mamaril, Kristy & Shi, Xunpeng & Cheng, Beibei & Zhao, Daiqing, 2021. "Explaining the slow progress of coal phase-out: The case of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    15. Lin, Boqiang & Li, Zhensheng, 2021. "Does natural gas pricing reform establish an effective mechanism in China: A policy evaluation perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Feijoo, Felipe & Iyer, Gokul C. & Avraam, Charalampos & Siddiqui, Sauleh A. & Clarke, Leon E. & Sankaranarayanan, Sriram & Binsted, Matthew T. & Patel, Pralit L. & Prates, Nathalia C. & Torres-Alfaro,, 2018. "The future of natural gas infrastructure development in the United states," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 149-166.
    2. Gong, Chengzhu & Wu, Desheng & Gong, Nianjiao & Qi, Rui, 2020. "Multi-agent mixed complementary simulation of natural gas upstream market liberalization in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    3. Murphy, Frederic & Pierru, Axel & Smeers, Yves, 2019. "Measuring the effects of price controls using mixed complementarity models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(2), pages 666-676.
    4. Devine, Mel T. & Russo, Marianna, 2019. "Liquefied natural gas and gas storage valuation: Lessons from the integrated Irish and UK markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1389-1406.
    5. Durand-Lasserve, Olivier & Almutairi, Hossa & Aljarboua, Abdullah & Pierru, Axel & Pradhan, Shreekar & Murphy, Frederic, 2023. "Hard-linking a top-down economic model with a bottom-up energy system for an oil-exporting country with price controls," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    6. Rioux, Bertrand & Shabaneh, Rami & Griffiths, Steven, 2021. "An economic analysis of gas pipeline trade cooperation in the GCC," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    7. Chai, Jian & Wei, Zhaohao & Hu, Yi & Su, Siping & Zhang, Zhe George, 2019. "Is China's natural gas market globally connected?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 940-949.
    8. Anjos, Miguel F. & Feijoo, Felipe & Sankaranarayanan, Sriram, 2022. "A multinational carbon-credit market integrating distinct national carbon allowance strategies," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 319(C).
    9. Zhou, Zhongbing & Qin, Quande, 2020. "Decoding China's natural gas development: A critical discourse analysis of the five-year plans," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    10. Olufolajimi Oke & Daniel Huppmann & Max Marshall & Ricky Poulton & Sauleh Siddiqui, 2019. "Multimodal Transportation Flows in Energy Networks with an Application to Crude Oil Markets," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 19(2), pages 521-555, June.
    11. Huppmann, Daniel & Egging, Ruud, 2014. "Market power, fuel substitution and infrastructure – A large-scale equilibrium model of global energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 483-500.
    12. Amigo, Pía & Cea-Echenique, Sebastián & Feijoo, Felipe, 2021. "A two stage cap-and-trade model with allowance re-trading and capacity investment: The case of the Chilean NDC targets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    13. Holz, Franziska & Richter, Philipp M. & Egging, Ruud, 2016. "The Role of Natural Gas in a Low-Carbon Europe: Infrastructure and Supply Security," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 37(SI37), pages 33-59.
    14. Egging-Bratseth, Ruud & Baltensperger, Tobias & Tomasgard, Asgeir, 2020. "Solving oligopolistic equilibrium problems with convex optimization," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 284(1), pages 44-52.
    15. Wei, Qi & Zhou, Peng & Shi, Xunpeng, 2023. "The congestion cost of pipeline networks under third-party access in China's natural gas market," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    16. Muñoz, Juan C. & Sauma, Enzo & Muñoz, Francisco D. & Moreno, Rodrigo, 2023. "Analysis of generation investments under price controls in cross-border trade of electricity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    17. Wogan, David & Murphy, Frederic & Pierru, Axel, 2019. "The costs and gains of policy options for coordinating electricity generation in the Gulf Cooperation Council," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 452-463.
    18. Boute, Anatole & Fang, Mandy Meng, 2022. "China's textbook approach to regulatory reform of the natural gas market," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    19. Chen, Siyuan & Zhang, Qi & Wang, Ge & Zhu, Lijing & Li, Yan, 2018. "Investment strategy for underground gas storage facilities based on real option model considering gas market reform in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 132-142.
    20. P'ia Amigo & Sebasti'an Cea-Echenique & Felipe Feijoo, 2020. "An Emissions Trading System to reach NDC targets in the Chilean electric sector," Papers 2005.03843, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural gas; China; Price cap; Third party access; Mixed complementarity problem;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C6 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling
    • D2 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations
    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:80:y:2019:i:c:p:394-410. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.