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Debt dynamics in Europe: A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach

Author

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  • Michaelides, Panayotis G.
  • Tsionas, Efthymios G.
  • Konstantakis, Konstantinos N.
Abstract
In this work, we investigate the dynamic interdependencies among the EU12 economies using a competitive general equilibrium network system representation. Additionally, using Bayesian techniques, we estimate the autoregressive scheme that characterizes the equilibrium price system of the network, while characterizing each economy/node in the universe of our network in terms of its degree of pervasiveness. In this context, we unveil the dominant(s) unit(s) in our model and estimate the dynamic linkages between the economies/nodes. Lastly, in terms of robustness analysis, we compare the findings of the degree pervasiveness of each economy against other popular quantitative methods in the literature. According to our findings, the economy of Germany acts as weakly dominant entity in the EU12 economy. Meanwhile, all shocks die out in the short run, without any long lasting effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt dynamics in Europe: A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 175-202.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:93:y:2018:i:c:p:175-202
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2018.01.047
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    Cited by:

    1. Prelorentzos, Arsenios-Georgios N. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Xidonas, Panos & Goutte, Stephane & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2024. "Introducing the GVAR-GARCH model: Evidence from financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    2. Miyakoshi, Tatsuyoshi & Shimada, Junji, 2022. "Network analysis of local currency Asian government bond markets: Assessments of the ABFI and the ABMI," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Xidonas, Panos & Dokas, Ioannis & Christopoulos, Apostolos & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2024. "The interconnectedness of European Banking and Shadow Banking for sustainable development goals: Insights from a network GVAR model," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    4. Kyriakos Drivas & Claire Economidou & Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panayotis G. Michaelides, 2022. "Technological Leaders, Laggards and Spillovers: A Network GVAR Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 231-269, April.
    5. Theodoros Daglis & Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panos Xidonas & Panayotis G. Michaelides & Areistidis Samitas, 2024. "Solar Weather Dynamics and the US Economy: A Comprehensive GVAR Perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 955-977, October.
    6. Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panagiotis T. Cheilas & Ioannis G. Melissaropoulos & Panos Xidonas & Panayotis G. Michaelides, 2023. "Supply chains and fake news: a novel input–output neural network approach for the US food sector," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 327(2), pages 779-794, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian; GVAR; Crisis; Transmission; Debt; EU12;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • O5 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies

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