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Macroeconomic Responses to Oil Price Increases and Decreases in Seven OECD Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Knut Anton Mork
  • Oystein Olsen
  • Hans Terje Mysen
Abstract
The correlations between oil-price movements and GDP fluctuations are investigated for the United States, Canada, Japan, Germany (West), France, the United Kingdom, and Norway. The responses to price increases and decreases are allowed to be asymmetric. Bivariate correlations as well as partial correlations within a reduced-form macroeconomic model are considered. The correlations with oil-price increases are negative and significant for most countries, but positive for Norway, whose oil-producing sector is large relative to the economy as a whole. The correlations with oil-price decreases are mostly positive, but significant only for the United States and Canada. Most countries show evidence of asymmetric effects, with Norway again as an exception.

Suggested Citation

  • Knut Anton Mork & Oystein Olsen & Hans Terje Mysen, 1994. "Macroeconomic Responses to Oil Price Increases and Decreases in Seven OECD Countries," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 4), pages 19-36.
  • Handle: RePEc:aen:journl:1994v15-04-a02
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    JEL classification:

    • F0 - International Economics - - General

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