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Oversight and Efficiency in Public Projects: : A Regression Discontinuity Analysis

Published: 01 December 2019 Publication History

Abstract

In the United States, 42% of public infrastructure projects report delays or cost overruns. To mitigate this problem, regulators scrutinize project operations. We study the effect of oversight on delays and overruns with 262,857 projects spanning 71 federal agencies and 54,739 contractors. We identify our results using a federal bylaw: if the project’s budget is above a cutoff, procurement officers actively oversee the contractor’s operations; otherwise, most operational checks are waived. We find that oversight increases delays by 6.1%–13.8% and overruns by 1.4%–1.6%. We also show that oversight is most obstructive when the contractor has no experience in public projects, is paid with a fixed-fee contract with performance-based incentives, or performs a labor-intensive task. Oversight is least obstructive—or even beneficial—when the contractor is experienced, paid with a time-and-materials contract, or conducts a machine-intensive task.
This paper was accepted by Serguei Netessine, operations management.

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Published In

cover image Management Science
Management Science  Volume 65, Issue 12
December 2019
508 pages
ISSN:0025-1909
DOI:10.1287/mnsc.2019.65.issue-12
Issue’s Table of Contents

Publisher

INFORMS

Linthicum, MD, United States

Publication History

Published: 01 December 2019
Accepted: 29 June 2018
Received: 02 May 2017

Author Tags

  1. project management
  2. vertical contracting
  3. regression discontinuity design
  4. service supply chains
  5. public operations

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