[go: up one dir, main page]
More Web Proxy on the site http://driver.im/ skip to main content
article

Equilibrium Discovery and Preopening Mechanisms in an Experimental Market

Published: 01 March 2014 Publication History

Abstract

We experimentally analyze how to design preopening mechanisms facilitating coordination on high equilibrium liquidity and gains from trade. We allow a call auction to be preceded by a preopening or not, preopening orders to be binding or not, and the opening time to be deterministic or random. When the preopening is nonbinding, traders place manipulative orders, reducing the credibility of preplay communication. Random market opening deters manipulation, but also hinders communication by making it costly. Gains from trade are maximized when preopening orders are binding. This enables some traders to place early limit orders, attracting further liquidity.
Data, as supplemental material, are available at <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink="http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1787">http://dx.doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2013.1787</ext-link>.
This paper was accepted by Wei Xiong, finance.

References

[1]
Admati AR, Pfleiderer P (1988) A theory of intraday patterns: Volume and price variability. Rev. Financial Stud. 1:3-40.
[2]
Aumann R (1990) Nash equilibria are not self-enforcing. Gabszewicz JJ, Richard J-F, Wolsey LA, eds. Economic Decision-Making: Games, Econometrics and Optimisation (North-Holland, Amsterdam), 201-206.
[3]
Aumann R, Maschler M, Stearns R (1968) Repeated games of incomplete information: An approach to the non-zero-sum case. Mathematica, ST-143, 117-216.
[4]
Barclay M, Hendershott T (2008) A comparison of trading and nontrading mechanisms for price discovery. J. Empirical Finance 15:839-849.
[5]
Battalio R, Samuelson L, Van Huyck J (2001) Optimization incentives and coordination failures in laboratory stag-hunt games. Econometrica 69:749-764.
[6]
Beltran-Lopez H, Frey S (2006) Auction design in order book markets: What information is informative? Working paper, Universität Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
[7]
Biais B, Bisière C, Spatt C (2010) Imperfect competition in financial markets: An empirical study of Island and Nasdaq. Management Sci. 56:2237-2250.
[8]
Biais B, Hillion P, Spatt C (1999) Price discovery and learning during the preopening period in the Paris Bourse. J. Political Econom. 107:1218-1248.
[9]
Blume A, Ortmann A (2007) The effects of costless preplay communication: Experimental evidence from games with Pareto-ranked equilibria. J. Econom. Theory 132:274-290.
[10]
Bossaerts P, Plott C (2004) Basic principles of asset pricing theory: Evidence from large-scale experimental financial markets. Rev. Finance 8:135-169.
[11]
Bossaerts P, Fine L, Ledyard J (2002) Inducing liquidity in thin financial markets through combined-value trading mechanisms. Eur. Econom. Rev. 46:1671-1695.
[12]
Calcagno R, Lovo S (2010) Preopening and equilibrium selection. Discussion Paper 10-023/2, Tinbergen Institute, Tinbergen, The Netherlands.
[13]
Cao C, Ghysels E, Hatheway F (2000) Price discovery without trading: Evidence from the Nasdaq preopening. J. Finance 55:1339-1365.
[14]
Charness G (2000) Self-serving cheap talk: A test of Aumann's conjecture. Games Econom. Behav. 33:177-194.
[15]
Chen Z, Lookman A, Schürhoff N, Seppi D (2011) Why ratings matter: Evidence from the Lehman brothers index rating redefinition. Working paper, HEC Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland.
[16]
Clark K, Kay S, Sefton M (2001) When are Nash equilibria self-enforcing? Internat. J. Game Theory 29:495-515.
[17]
Comerton-Forde C, Rydge J (2006) The influence of call auction algorithm rules on market efficiency. J. Financial Markets 9:199-222.
[18]
Cooper R, DeJong DV, Forsythe R, Ross TW (1989) Communication in the battle of the sexes game: Some experimental results. RAND J. Econom. 20:568-587.
[19]
Cooper R, DeJong DV, Forsythe R, Ross TW (1992) Communication in coordination games. Quart. J. Econom. 107:739-773.
[20]
Corrigan JR, Rousu MC, Depositario DP (2012) Do practice rounds bias experimental auction results? Working paper, Kenyon College, Gambier, OH. http://economics.kenyon.edu/corrigan/publications/Do%20Practice%20Rounds%20Bias%20 Experimental%20Auction%20Results.pdf.
[21]
Davies RJ (2003) The Toronto Stock Exchange preopening session. J. Financial Markets 6:491-516.
[22]
Deutsche Börse (2009) Xetra Release 10.0: Market Model Equities.
[23]
Dewan S, Mendelson H (2001) Information technology and trader competition in financial markets: Endogenous liquidity. Management Sci. 47:1581-1587.
[24]
Dow J (2004) Is liquidity self-fulfilling? J. Bus. 77:895-908.
[25]
Ellul A, Shin H, Tonks I (2005) Opening and closing the market: Evidence from the London stock exchange. J. Financial Quant. Anal. 40:779-801.
[26]
Farrell J (1987) Cheap talk, coordination and entry. RAND J. Econom. 18:34-39.
[27]
Farrell J, Rabin M (1996) Cheap talk. J. Econom. Perspect. 10:103-118.
[28]
Fischbacher U (2007) Z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments. Experiment. Econom. 10:171-178.
[29]
Forsythe R, Lundholm R, Rietz T (1999) Cheap talk, fraud, and adverse selection in financial markets: Some experimental evidence. Rev. Financial Stud. 12:481-518.
[30]
Hauser S, Shurki I, Kamara A (2009) Market design and the efficiency of a stock market under liquidity stress. Working paper Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel. http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1364451.
[31]
Kalay A, Sade O, Wohl A (2004) Measuring stock illiquidity: An investigation of the demand and supply schedules at the TASE. J. Financial Econom. 74:461-486.
[32]
Kelly R (2008) Opening and closing asymmetry: Empirical analysis from ISE Xetra. Econom. Soc. Rev. 39:55-78.
[33]
Kuk J, Liu W-M, Pham PK (2009) Strategic order submission and cancellation in pre-opening periods and its impact on price discovery: The case of IPO firms. AFA 2010 Atlanta Meetings Paper.
[34]
McKelvey R, Palfrey T (1992) An experimental study of the centipede game. Econometrica 60:803-836.
[35]
NASDAQ Stock Market (2007) Frequently asked questions: The NASDAQ closing cross. Updated February 16, 2007, http://www.nasdaqtrader.com/content/ProductsServices/Trading/Crosses/ccfaqs217.pdf.
[36]
Pagano M (1989) Trading volume and asset liquidity. Quart. J. Econom. 104:255-274.
[37]
Pouget S (2007a) Market design and traders' bounded rationality: An experiment. J. Financial Markets 10:287-317.
[38]
Pouget S (2007b) Adaptive traders and the design of financial markets. J. Finance 62:2835-2863.
[39]
Roth AE (1995) Bargaining experiments. Kagel JH, Roth AE, eds. Handbook of Experimental Economics (Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ), 253-348.
[40]
Schmidt D, Shupp R, Walker JM, Ostrom E (2003) Playing safe in coordination games: The roles of risk dominance, payoff dominance, and history of play. Games Econom. Behav. 42:281-299.
[41]
Selten R (1975) A reexamination of the perfectness concept for equilibrium points in extensive games. Internat. J. Game Theory 4:25-55.
[42]
Valley K, Thompson L, Gibbons R, Bazerman M (2002) How communication improves efficiency in bargaining games. Game Econom. Behav. 38:127-155.
[43]
Van Huyck J, Battalio R, Beil R (1990) Tacit coordination games, strategic uncertainty, and coordination failure. Amer. Econom. Rev. 80:234-248.
[44]
Vives X (1995) The speed of information revelation in a financial market mechanism. J. Econom. Theory 67:178-204.

Cited By

View all
  • (2023)When Do Security Markets Aggregate Dispersed Information?Management Science10.1287/mnsc.2022.446369:6(3697-3729)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2023
  1. Equilibrium Discovery and Preopening Mechanisms in an Experimental Market

      Recommendations

      Comments

      Please enable JavaScript to view thecomments powered by Disqus.

      Information & Contributors

      Information

      Published In

      cover image Management Science
      Management Science  Volume 60, Issue 3
      March 2014
      17 pages

      Publisher

      INFORMS

      Linthicum, MD, United States

      Publication History

      Published: 01 March 2014
      Accepted: 22 May 2013
      Received: 10 October 2011

      Author Tags

      1. cheap talk
      2. equilibrium discovery
      3. experimental markets
      4. preopening period
      5. preplay communication

      Qualifiers

      • Article

      Contributors

      Other Metrics

      Bibliometrics & Citations

      Bibliometrics

      Article Metrics

      • Downloads (Last 12 months)0
      • Downloads (Last 6 weeks)0
      Reflects downloads up to 06 Jan 2025

      Other Metrics

      Citations

      Cited By

      View all
      • (2023)When Do Security Markets Aggregate Dispersed Information?Management Science10.1287/mnsc.2022.446369:6(3697-3729)Online publication date: 1-Jun-2023

      View Options

      View options

      Media

      Figures

      Other

      Tables

      Share

      Share

      Share this Publication link

      Share on social media