Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA
"> Figure 1
<p>The study location includes the launch AOI (open red polygon) within the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island and the control AOI (closed red polygon) within the Canaveral National Seashore (CANA), Florida. The study location is within east central Florida (upper right inset). The launch AOI contains the four launchpads of interest (Launch Complexes 39B, 39A, 41, and 40 from north to south) and is indicated within an open red polygon (lower right inset). AOI stands for area of interest.</p> "> Figure 2
<p>The 2016 and 2023 SVMs’ (support vector machines’) classification maps of the control site located within the Canaveral National Seashore, Florida. The WorldView imagery (copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) from 30 October 2016 and 11 January 2023 were used to produce the land cover classification maps.</p> "> Figure 3
<p>Land cover classification maps of the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island’s launch site. The WorldView imagery (copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) from 8 October 2016 (<b>left</b>) and 4 August 2023 (<b>right</b>) was used to produce the land cover classification maps. The four launchpads are labeled: Launch Complex (LC)-39B, LC-39A, Space Launch Complexes (SLC)-41, and SLC-40 (top to bottom). The maps were created using ArcGIS software and ArcGIS Online basemap by ESRI (Copyright © Esri. All rights reserved).</p> "> Figure 4
<p>Spectral profiles of four vegetation classes: coastal marsh, mangroves, foredune/strand, and scrub/hammock. The spectral profiles are the mean reflectance values at the WorldView eight bands, calculated from the WorldView imagery of 8 October 2016 and 4 August 2023. Standard deviations within each band/class combination are displayed as bars below the lines.</p> "> Figure 5
<p>Land cover classification maps of the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island’s launch site. The WorldView imagery (copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) from 8 October 2016 and 4 August 2023 were used to produce the land cover classification maps. Top to bottom panels: the vicinities of Launch Complex (LC) 39B, LC-39A, and Space Launch Complex (SLC)-41/40, respectively. The maps were created using ArcGIS software and ArcGIS Online basemap by ESRI (Copyright © Esri. All rights reserved).</p> "> Figure 6
<p>Color infrared displays of the WorldView imagery (Bands 7, 5, and 3, where band centers correspond to 833, 659, and 546 nm, respectively; copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense) of 8 October 2016 (<b>left</b>), 16 July 2018 (<b>center</b>), and 4 August 2023 (<b>right</b>). The areas of marsh thinning from 2016 to 2023 are indicated with yellow open circles. The impounded areas for mosquito control are shown, which have limited hydrologic connection to the lagoon, as they are separated with dikes (indicated with yellow arrows). The seasonal water level in this region is highest in October and lowest between July and August. (<a href="https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/2123.php" target="_blank">https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/2123.php</a> (accessed on 1 August 2024)). The MSL was 0.93 m in October 2016, 0.59 m in July 2018, and 0.67 m in August 2023.</p> "> Figure 7
<p>The areas of 2016–2023 land cover (LC) changes from coastal marsh to mangroves (<b>top left</b>) and from foredune/strand to coastal scrub/hammock (<b>top right</b>). The areas of the LC change from coastal marshes to mangroves at the vicinities of the launchpads are denoted with pink (<b>bottom left</b>); and the areas of the LC change from foredune/strand to scrub/hammock are denoted with red (<b>bottom right</b>). The maps were created using ArcGIS software and ArcGIS Online basemap by ESRI (Copyright © Esri. All rights reserved).</p> "> Figure 8
<p>(<b>A</b>) Changes in NDVI values on and surrounding Launch Complex (LC)-39A and the nearby LC-39B before, two days after, and about one month after the 28 July 2023 Falcon Heavy rocket launch from LC-39A. (<b>B</b>) Changes in NDVI values on and surrounding LC-39A and the nearby LC-39B before, two days after, and about one month after the 28 December 2023 Falcon Heavy rocket launch from LC-39A. The open red oval indicates damage associated with the rocket launches. There was no rocket launch from LC-39B (<b>Aii</b>,<b>Aiv</b>,<b>Bii</b>,<b>Biv</b>). (<b>i</b>,<b>ii</b>) NDVI difference before and two days after rocket launches from LC-39A. (<b>iii</b>,<b>iv</b>) NDVI changes one month after the rocket launches.</p> "> Figure 9
<p>Mean dune elevation for control (Canaveral National Seashore-CANA) and launch sites over time. Shaded area represents one standard deviation. Timings of Tropical Storm Fay, Hurricane Matthew, and Hurricane Irma are indicated.</p> "> Figure 10
<p>(<b>A</b>) dune elevation changes at the control site between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~50 m). (<b>B</b>) dune elevation changes in between Launch Complexes 39A and 39B between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>C</b>) dune elevation changes at Launch Complex 39A between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>D</b>) dune elevation changes at Space Launch Complex 41 and 40 between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~200 m). Locations of the 15 transects, perpendicular to the shorelines, used to generate dune elevation profiles (four images on the left). The dune elevation profiles (mean values of the 15 transects at each location) are indicated using blue (2006 for control site and 2007 for launch site) or red lines (2016 for control site and 2017 for launch site). Error bars indicate standard deviation. The extent of the Kennedy Space Center’s 2013–2014 dune restoration is indicated with a long red line parallel to the shoreline in C.</p> "> Figure 10 Cont.
<p>(<b>A</b>) dune elevation changes at the control site between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~50 m). (<b>B</b>) dune elevation changes in between Launch Complexes 39A and 39B between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>C</b>) dune elevation changes at Launch Complex 39A between 2007 and 2017 (mean transect length is ~45 m). (<b>D</b>) dune elevation changes at Space Launch Complex 41 and 40 between 2006 and 2016 (mean transect length is ~200 m). Locations of the 15 transects, perpendicular to the shorelines, used to generate dune elevation profiles (four images on the left). The dune elevation profiles (mean values of the 15 transects at each location) are indicated using blue (2006 for control site and 2007 for launch site) or red lines (2016 for control site and 2017 for launch site). Error bars indicate standard deviation. The extent of the Kennedy Space Center’s 2013–2014 dune restoration is indicated with a long red line parallel to the shoreline in C.</p> "> Figure 11
<p>Color infrared images of beach near the Kennedy Space Center’s Launch Complex 39A as indicated by the open red rectangle. Beach erosion and dune vegetation loss (a 40–50 m beach retreat between 2010 and 2023) is observed, as indicated by the open yellow oval along the shoreline near LC-39A. WorldView imagery: copyright 2020 DigitalGlobe NextViewLicense.</p> "> Figure 12
<p>Kernel density estimation plot of elevations across the natural land cover classes from the 2016 SVM classification. The elevations were derived from the 2016 LiDAR data described in <a href="#remotesensing-16-04421-t003" class="html-table">Table 3</a>.</p> "> Figure 13
<p>Projected sea-level rise scenarios surrounding LC-39A, based on current mean sea level (MSL, m) from August 2023 to July 2024. The images show MSL water level (red) in 2024 (<b>left</b>) and projected in 2084 (<b>right</b>) within the land surrounding LC-39A.</p> "> Figure 14
<p>Projected MHHW levels at Trident Pier relative to the year 2000 from the NOAA Sea Level Rise Viewer.</p> "> Figure 15
<p>Areas surrounding LC-39A that are hydrologically connected to the ocean and would be inundated at various levels of MHHW that are possible by 2080.</p> "> Figure 16
<p>Number of days reaching at or below the freezing temperature (0 °C) per year between January 2005 and December 2023. Air temperature data were collected from the Global Historical Climatology Network daily (GHCNd) station near the Kennedy Space Center (Merritt Island, FL, USA).</p> "> Figure 17
<p><b>Left</b>: areas of burns from prescribed fires in 2011 (low right red polygon) and 2012/2017 (upper left red polygon). The data were obtained from the Monitoring Trends in Burn Severity (MTBS) website (mtbs.gov). <b>Right</b>: land cover change (from 2016 to 2023) hot spot map is presented to compare the locations of burns.</p> ">
Abstract
:1. Introduction
2. Materials and Methods
2.1. Study Area
2.2. Land Cover Change Surrounding the Heavily Used Launch Pads
2.3. Impacts of Individual Launch on Vegetation
2.4. Dune Elevation Changes
2.5. Ancillary Data on Water Level, Temperature, and Prescribed Burns
3. Results
3.1. Land Cover Change Between 2016 and 2023
3.2. Impacts of Individual Launch on Vegetation
3.3. Dune Elevation Changes and Beach Erosion
3.4. Water Level, Temperature, Prescribed Burns
4. Discussion & Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Acknowledgments
Conflicts of Interest
References
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Land Cover Class | Class Name | NVC Standard | Dominant Land Cover and Plants |
---|---|---|---|
Water | Water | NA | Estuarine waters and impounded area |
Impervious surface/Sand | Impervious/Sand | NA | Constructed areas including launchpads and roads |
Clear-cut/Lawn | Clearcut/Lawn | Developed vegetation | Mowed vegetation and turfgrass |
Foredune/Coastal strand | Foredune/Strand | Shrubland (dwarf) and Grassland | Sea oats, beach sunflower, sea purslanes, saw palmetto, sea grape; salt-tolerant plants |
Coastal Scrub/Maritime Hammock | Scrub/Hammock | Shrublands (tall) and Forest | Sand pines, oaks, cabbage palms, red cedars; hardwood and palms |
Mangrove Swamp | Mangroves | Forested Wetland | Black, red, and white mangroves |
Coastal Saltmarsh | Coastal Marsh | Herbaceous Wetland | Cordgrasses, rushes, and sedges |
Launch Date (Wind Direction and Speed) | 28 July 2023 at 11:04 pm (S/SE, 3 knots) | 28 December2023 at 8:07 pm (0 knot) |
Pre-launch Image | 23 July 2023 | 18 December 2023 |
Post-launch Image | 30 July 2023 | 31 December 2023 |
One Month After | 3 September 2023 | 31 January 2024 |
Acquisition Date Range | Data Set Name | Site | NPD (Points/m2) | 95% Confidence Vertical Position Accuracy (cm) |
---|---|---|---|---|
2006 | 2006 Volusia County Florida LiDAR | Control | 1 | 18.28 |
2007 | 2007 Florida Division of Emergency Management (FDEM) LiDAR Project: Brevard County | Launch | 4 | 15 |
2010 | 2010 USACE NCMP Topobathy LiDAR: Atlantic Coast (NC, SC, GA, FL) | Both | NR | 17.2 |
2016 | 2016 USACE NCMP Topobathy LiDAR DEM: Florida East Coast | Control | NR | 9.5 |
2017 | 2017 USACE FEMA Topobathy LiDAR DEM: Florida East Coast, Florida Keys, and Collier County (Post Hurricane Irma) | Launch | NR | NR |
2018 | 2018–2020 USGS LiDAR: Florida Peninsular FDEM—Brevard County | Launch | 10.1 | 11.28 |
2018 | 2018–2020 USGS LiDAR: Florida Peninsular FDEM—Volusia County | Control | 10.47 | 11.28 |
Elevation (2006/2007) | Elevation (2016/2017) | p (T ≤ t) Two-Tail | |
---|---|---|---|
CANA, Control (2006–2016) | 4.143 ± 0.523 | 3.680 ± 0.567 | 0.107 |
LC-39A and -39B (2007–2017) | 2.373 ± 0.595 | 2.067 ± 0.710 | 0.016 * |
LC-39A Dune Restoration Area (2007–2017) | 1.744 ± 0.677 | 2.219 ± 1.094 | <0.001 * |
SLC 40 and SLC 41(2007–2017) | 2.858 ± 0.642 | 3.060 ± 0.537 | 0.145 |
Water Level Change (2010 vs. 2023) | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Highest | MHHW | MHW | MSL | MTL | MLW | MLLW | Lowest | ||
2010 | Mean | 1.521 | 1.206 | 1.094 | 0.572 | 0.571 | 0.049 | −0.006 | −0.235 |
St. Dev. | 0.097 | 0.080 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.090 | 0.092 | 0.096 | 0.105 | |
2023 | Mean | 1.704 | 1.384 | 1.265 | 0.764 | 0.763 | 0.261 | 0.203 | −0.045 |
St. Dev. | 0.147 | 0.112 | 0.116 | 0.118 | 0.117 | 0.119 | 0.124 | 0.136 | |
Δ mean | 0.184 | 0.178 | 0.171 | 0.192 | 0.191 | 0.212 | 0.209 | 0.190 | |
p-value | 0.002 | <0.001 | 0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.001 |
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Cho, H.J.; Burow, D.; San Antonio, K.M.; McCarthy, M.J.; Herrero, H.V.; Zhou, Y.; Medeiros, S.C.; Colbert, C.D., Jr.; Jones, C.M. Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA. Remote Sens. 2024, 16, 4421. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16234421
Cho HJ, Burow D, San Antonio KM, McCarthy MJ, Herrero HV, Zhou Y, Medeiros SC, Colbert CD Jr., Jones CM. Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA. Remote Sensing. 2024; 16(23):4421. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16234421
Chicago/Turabian StyleCho, Hyun Jung, Daniel Burow, Kelly M. San Antonio, Matthew J. McCarthy, Hannah V. Herrero, Yao Zhou, Stephen C. Medeiros, Calvin D. Colbert, Jr., and Craig M. Jones. 2024. "Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA" Remote Sensing 16, no. 23: 4421. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16234421
APA StyleCho, H. J., Burow, D., San Antonio, K. M., McCarthy, M. J., Herrero, H. V., Zhou, Y., Medeiros, S. C., Colbert, C. D., Jr., & Jones, C. M. (2024). Satellite-Based Assessment of Rocket Launch and Coastal Change Impacts on Cape Canaveral Barrier Island, Florida, USA. Remote Sensing, 16(23), 4421. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs16234421