Abstract
The study investigated the streamflow response to the shrinking cryosphere under changing climate in the Lidder valley, Upper Indus Basin (UIB), Kashmir Himalayas. We used a combination of multitemporal satellite data and topographic maps to evaluate the changes in area, length and volume of the glaciers from 1962 to 2013. A total of 37 glaciers from the Lidder valley, with an area of 39.76 km2 in 1962 were selected for research in this study. It was observed that the glaciers in the valley have lost ~28.89 ±0.1% of the area and ~19.65 ±0.069% of the volume during the last 51 years, with variable interdecadal recession rates. Geomorphic and climatic influences on the shrinking glacier resources were studied. 30-years temperature records (1980-2010) in the study area showed a significant increasing trend in all the seasons. However, the total annual precipitation during the same period showed a nonsignificant decreasing trend except during the late summer months (July, August and September), when the increasing trend is significant. The depletion of glaciers has led to the significant depletion of the streamflows under the changing climate in the valley. Summer streamflows (1971-2012) have increased significantly till mid-nineties but decreased significantly thereafter, suggesting that the tipping point of streamflow peak, due to the enhanced glacier-melt contribution under increasing global temperatures, may have been already reached in the basin. The observed glacier recession and climate change patterns, if continued in future, would further deplete the streamflows with serious implications on water supplies for different uses in the region.
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Acknowledgement
The research work was conducted as part of the Department of Science and Technology (DST), Government of India sponsored national research project titled “Himalayan Cryosphere: Science and Society” The financial assistance received from the Department under the project to accomplish this research is thankfully acknowledged. The authors express gratitude to the two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and suggestions on the earlier versions of the manuscript that greatly improved the content and structure of this manuscript.
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Marazi, A., Romshoo, S.A. Streamflow response to shrinking glaciers under changing climate in the Lidder Valley, Kashmir Himalayas. J. Mt. Sci. 15, 1241–1253 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-017-4474-0
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-017-4474-0