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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, November 21, 2008

Outcomes by pitch count

By .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address), 06:43 PM

Nice.

However, more important than the “at” pitch count is the “through” pitch count.  The “at” pitch count tells you what the guy did at that count, if you knew the PA ended there.  So, for example, is it any surprise that at the starting count of 3-0 (shown as ending count of 4-0 in the linked chart), and you knew the pitcher made just one more pitch to end the PA, that almost all the PA were walks?  The “through” count tells you that starting at 3-0, this guy walked say 40 times, but he also went to 3-1 xx number of times.  And then, in those xx times, he yada yada yada.  That’s why I prefer looking at the “through” pitch counts, shown as “after” on baseball-reference.

Paraphrasing Homer’s love for donuts…. “Mmmmm… is there anything b-r.com can’t do?”

(10) Comments • 2008/12/29 SabermetricsBatter_v_Pitcher