Friday, September 17, 2010
Are these any different?
Pitcher A has exactly the same stats as Pitcher B over some period of time, and they are bad. Pitcher A had one really horrible outing (actually pitched well otherwise) and Pitcher B did not (he was “consistently” bad). The level of competition was exactly the same for both pitchers. In fact, both have exactly the same context.
Two questions:
Which pitcher “pitched better” for that period of time? I realize that that may be subjective.
Which pitcher is more likely to pitch better in the future, by how much (approx.), and why?
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