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Tangotiger Blog

A blog about baseball, hockey, life, and whatever else there is.

Thursday, January 31, 2013

Evidence of makeup calls

?A long research piece, which I might get to read at the office tomorrow.

The data shows that there is an overall "opposite effect": "bad" calls

help the parties they were called against; for example, a ball called a

strike will- on average- help the batter get on base at a higher rate

than an at-bat in which the correct call was made, and a strike called a

ball will- on average- lessen the likelihood that a batter reaches

base, favoring the pitcher. This supports previous research that umpires

may utilize "make-up" calls, whether consciously or unconsciously. Data

for this "opposite effect" wanes, or reverses, as the count grows long,

as umpires have less chance to provide a "make-up" call.

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January 31, 2013
Evidence of makeup calls