US20140288993A1 - Method and system for analysis of infrastructure - Google Patents
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Definitions
- the invention relates generally to infrastructure, and more particularly to a method and system for analyzing infrastructure.
- Infrastructure such as a smart grid
- systems may include power generation systems, power transmission systems, advanced metering systems, digital communications systems, control systems, and their related components.
- Other items associated with the infrastructure may include contracts, service level agreements, and like, detailing capitalization, cost, and revenues for the infrastructure. Designing and analyzing such infrastructure can be complex and costly.
- a system for analyzing infrastructure includes a grid intelligence quotient as a service (GIQAAS) system.
- the GIQAAS system includes an infrastructure data gathering system having a first input form configured to collect an economic data related to an infrastructure.
- the GIQAAS system further includes an economic modeling system configured to import the economic data and to derive an economic analysis based on the economic data.
- the GIQAAS system is configured to provide the infrastructure data gathering system to a first user for collection of the economic data, and to provide the economic modeling system to a second user for derivation of the economic analysis.
- non-transitory machine readable media includes instructions configured to collect an economic data related to a smart grid infrastructure and instructions configured to import the economic data.
- the non-transitory machine readable media further includes instructions configured to derive an economic analysis based on the economic data.
- the non-transitory machine readable media also includes instructions configured to present the economic analysis to a user.
- the economic analysis includes an economic comparison between a first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings and a second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings.
- a method in a third embodiment, includes calculating a monthly cost by using an inflation forecast model configured to derive an inflation and an infrastructure operating cost model configured to derive a smart grid infrastructure operating cost.
- the method also includes calculating a as-is net monthly revenue by using the monthly cost, a monthly revenue model configured to derive an operating monthly revenue, a customer defaults model configured to derive a customer default cost, and a finance charges model configured to derive a financing cost.
- the method further includes calculating a first net monthly revenue by using first inputs related to a first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings.
- the method additionally includes calculating a second net monthly revenue by using second inputs related to a second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings, and presenting the as-is, first, and second monthly revenues for comparison.
- FIG. 1 is a block diagram of an embodiment of an infrastructure (e.g., a smart grid infrastructure) and a grid intelligence quotient as a service (GIQAAS) system;
- an infrastructure e.g., a smart grid infrastructure
- GIQAAS grid intelligence quotient as a service
- FIG. 2 is a screen view of an embodiment of an infrastructure data gathering system of the GIQAAS system of FIG. 1 ;
- FIG. 3 is a screen view of an embodiment of an input form for a first suite of infrastructure offerings included in the infrastructure data gathering system of FIG. 2 ;
- FIG. 4 is a screen view of an embodiment of an input form for a second suite of infrastructure offerings included in the infrastructure data gathering system of FIG. 2 ;
- FIG. 5 is a screen view of an embodiment of a worksheet form included in the infrastructure data gathering system of FIG. 2 ;
- FIG. 6 is another screen view of an embodiment of the worksheet form included in the infrastructure data gathering system of FIG. 2 ;
- FIG. 7 is a screen view of an embodiment of an economic modeling system of the GIQAAS system of FIG. 1 ;
- FIG. 8 is another screen view of an embodiment of the economic modeling system of the FIG. 7 ;
- FIG. 9 is illustrative of an embodiment of a dialog box included in the economic modeling system of FIG. 7 ;
- FIG. 10 is a screen view of an embodiment of a results form included in the economic modeling system of FIG. 7 ;
- FIG. 11 is illustrative of an embodiment of a line graph included in the economic modeling system of FIG. 7 ;
- FIG. 12 is illustrative of an embodiment of a bar graph included in the economic modeling system of FIG. 7 ;
- FIG. 13 is block diagram of an embodiment of an economic model included in the economic modeling system of FIG. 7 ;
- FIG. 14 is flow chart of an embodiment of a process enabling the economic analysis of infrastructure using the GIQAAS system of FIG. 1 .
- Certain infrastructure such as an electric smart grid
- the smart grid may include power generation systems, power transmission and distribution systems, metering systems, digital communications systems, control systems, and their related components.
- Other items associated with the smart grid may include contracts, service level agreements, and like, detailing costs (e.g., capitalization costs, operating costs), and revenues for the smart grid.
- the embodiments described herein enable an infrastructure designer to compare and contrast various combinations of components from one or more manufacturers to determine a component package that minimizes cost, maximizes a return on investment (ROI), and performs desired functions.
- GIQAAS Grid Intelligence Quotient as a Service
- GIQAAS Grid Intelligence Quotient as a Service
- the GIQAAS may include non-transitory machine readable media storing code or computer instructions that may be used by a computing device to implement the techniques disclosed herein.
- the GIQAAS may include an infrastructure data gathering system that enables the collection of data related to a variety of smart grid technology offerings, including cost and benefit data.
- the offerings may include hardware, software, and/or service offerings from one or more manufacturers or service providers.
- a first suite of infrastructure offerings from the one or more manufacturers or service providers may be compared to a second suite of infrastructure offerings from a single manufacturer or service provider, such as one or more smart grid packages available from General Electric Co., of Schenectady, N.Y.
- the comparison may include a detailed analysis of purchasing or leasing the first suite of offerings as compared to purchasing or leasing the second suite of offerings. For example, a value analysis may be performed, comparing costs, benefits, and a return on investment (ROI) of the first and the second suite of infrastructure offerings.
- ROI return on investment
- the GIQAAS may use a model, such as an economic model, to analyze the one or more suite of offerings.
- the model may be separate from the infrastructure data gathering system included in the GIQAAS system.
- the economic modeling system may include the economic model.
- the infrastructure data gathering system may be provided to a firs user or customer (e.g., a purchaser or lessee of smart grid infrastructure, such as a water, gas, or electric utility), and may enable the collection of infrastructure data, including a type of infrastructure (e.g., technology category or class), usage for the infrastructure, capital expenditure data, financing data (e.g., interest rates, payment options, revenue collections, inflation), and the like, as described in more detail below.
- the economic modeling system may then be used to analyze the data gathered.
- the economic modeling system may be provided to a second user, such as a seller or lessor of smart grid infrastructure.
- the separation between the modeling activities and the data collection activities minimizes or eliminates any erroneous manipulation of the model by the data gathering team.
- the infrastructure data gathering system may be emailed to an end user having little or no knowledge of modeling techniques, or may be provided through the internet via web pages or websites.
- the model may then use the data collected by the infrastructure data gathering system to derive the detailed analysis and comparison between the first and the second suite of offerings.
- an infrastructure designer may design infrastructure that meets desired properties while improving the costs and revenues associated with the infrastructure.
- a seller of infrastructure may provide a buyer of infrastructure for a comprehensive economic analysis, including cost comparisons between the seller's offerings and/or competitor's offerings.
- the smart grid system 10 may include one or more utilities 12 .
- the utility 12 may provide for oversight operations of the smart grid system 10 .
- utility control centers 14 may monitor and direct power produced by one or more power generation stations 16 and alternative power generation stations 18 .
- the power generation stations 16 may include conventional power generation stations, such as power generation stations using gas, coal, biomass, and other carbonaceous products for fuel.
- the alternative power generation stations 18 may include power generation stations using solar power, wind power, hydroelectric power, geothermal power, and other alternative sources of power (e.g., renewable energy) to produce electricity.
- Other infrastructure components may include a water processing plant 20 and gas processing plant 22 .
- water processing plants 20 may provide for potable water
- gas processing plants 22 may provide for natural gas.
- the power generated by the power generation stations 16 and 18 may be distributed through a power transmission grid 24 .
- the water and gas provided by the plants 20 and 22 may be delivered through a water distribution grid 26 and a gas distribution grid 28 .
- the grids 24 , 26 , and 28 may cover a broad geographic region or regions, such as one or more municipalities, states, or countries.
- an advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) 30 may be used to measure, collect, and analyze electricity, water, and/or gas usage.
- the AMI 30 may be communicatively coupled to one or more of the components of the smart grid 10 , including the grids 24 , 26 , 28 .
- the AMI 30 may enable two-way communication between commercial sites 32 , residences 34 and the utility control center 14 , providing for a link between consumer behavior and utility consumption (e.g., electric, water, and/or gas consumption).
- AMI meters 30 may track and account for pre-paid electricity, water and/or gas in a similar fashion to pre-paid cell phone usage.
- the utility's consumers 32 and 34 may benefit from lower utility charges by optimizing their utility use, for example, to take advantage of lower rates during low demand hours. Washer/dryers, electric car chargers, and other flexible power consumption appliances may be programmed to operate during low demand hours, resulting in lower utility bills and a more balanced utilization of energy.
- An outage management system (OMS) 36 may predict and respond to outage events, for example, by using an outage prediction engine.
- the OMS 30 may interact with a distribution management system (DMS) 38 suitable for re-routing power, water, and/or gas from plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 experiencing lesser demand and away from plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 experiencing greater demand.
- DMS distribution management system
- a geographic information system (GIS) 40 may also be used to provide for physical location information of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , grid 24 components (e.g., electrical cabling, transformers, distribution towers), grid 26 components (e.g., water pipes, valves, pressure reducers), grid 28 components (e.g., storage tanks, gas pipes, valves), the AMI 30 , the commercial sites 32 and the residential sites 34 .
- the physical location information may be used, for example, by the OMS 36 and the DMS 38 in predicting and resolving outage issues.
- the GIS 40 may be used to visualize the various locations on a map or other suitable visual medium (e.g., globe, chart).
- a customer information system (CIS) 42 may be used to provide customer information (e.g., sites 32 and 34 ), including billing information, electric usage information, water usage information, gas usage information, billing rates, and the like.
- customer information e.g., sites 32 and 34
- IVR interactive voice response
- an interactive voice response (IVR) system 44 may provide automated voice recognition and menu navigation suitable for processing customer requests over telephonic lines.
- the smart grid system 10 enables the utility 12 to improve capacity, improve energy distribution and usage, and to dynamically manage loads more effectively.
- the smart grid system 10 may include components, such as but not limited to components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 that may be provided by multiple manufacturers.
- the utility 12 could compare and contrast the aforementioned components of the smart grid system 10 to derive a value analysis useful in determining costs, benefits, and/or ROI based on income received from the customer base (e.g., commercial sites 32 and residences 34 ) and costs associated with capitalization or leasing of the aforementioned smart grid system 10 components.
- a more optimal suite of components and services may be used in the smart grid 10 .
- the embodiments describe herein such as a GIQAAS system 46 having an infrastructure data gathering tool 48 and an economic modeling tool 50 , may be used to provide for an economic analysis of the smart grid system 10 component, as described in more detail below.
- FIG. 2 is a screen view 52 of an embodiment of an input form or tab 54 of the infrastructure data gathering tool 48 included in the GIQAAS system 46 .
- the data gathering tool 48 may be provided, for example, to the utility 12 for use in collecting information related to the technologies (e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 ) that may be used during implementation or rollout of the smart grid system 10 , as well as the costs and benefits of using such technologies.
- the technologies e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the D
- the data gathering tool 48 is implemented by using a computer-based spreadsheet.
- the data gathering tool 48 may be implemented as a web-based system or in any form executable by a computing device (e.g., laptop, workstation, table, cell phone), such as a software system or program provided in a computer-readable medium (e.g., DVD, flashdrive).
- a computing device e.g., laptop, workstation, table, cell phone
- a software system or program provided in a computer-readable medium (e.g., DVD, flashdrive).
- the tab 54 enables the gathering of smart grid 10 customer value analysis data.
- the tab 54 may be used to collect data generally related to the value or profit garnered from customers 32 and 34 of the utility 12 , as depicted in the screen view 52 .
- the collected data may include rows 56 , which include a customer name 58 , a contract start date 60 , a contract term 62 , a cost per truck roll 64 (e.g., cost to deploy a service vehicle), a reconnect charge (e.g., cost to reconnect a customer that has been previously disconnected) 66 , a carry cost of post-pay 68 (e.g., percent of total cost to carry for customers that post pay bills), a bad debt 70 (e.g., percent of customers that do not pay the monthly bill), an inflation 72 (e.g., average national or local inflation rate), a discount rate 74 (e.g., average interest rate), a residential electric 76 flag (e.g., a true of false value based on if the analysis to be performed
- Rows 82 generally collect data related to the value or profit garnered from electric customers 32 , 34 . Accordingly, the rows 82 include an endpoints (electric) 84 , where an endpoint represents a residential site 32 or a customer site 34 . The rows 82 also include an average customer monthly bill amount (electric) 86 , a cost per bill (electric) 88 (e.g., a cost of generating each customer bill), a monthly disconnect rate (electric) 90 (e.g., percent of customers that disconnect each month), a high risk percent (electric) 92 (e.g., customers having a higher risk of defaulting on payment), and a percent loss (electric) 94 (e.g., percent of electricity that is lost before arriving at the endpoint).
- a cost per bill 88
- a monthly disconnect rate electrical
- electrical e.g., percent of customers that disconnect each month
- a high risk percent (electric) 92 e.g., customers having a higher risk of defaulting on payment
- rows 96 generally collect data related to the value or profit garnered from customers purchasing water. Accordingly, the rows include an endpoints (water) 98 , an average customer monthly bill (water) 100 , a cost per bill (water) 102 , a monthly disconnect rate (water) 104 , a high risk percent (water) 106 , and a percent loss (water) 108 .
- rows 110 may be used for customers purchasing gas (e.g., natural gas).
- the rows 110 include an endpoints (gas) 112 , an average customer monthly bill (gas) 114 , a cost per bill (gas) 116 , a monthly disconnect rate (gas) 118 , a high risk percent (gas) 120 , and a percent loss (gas) 122 .
- each row includes a column 124 labeled “Description” that described the items in the rows 56 , 82 , 96 , and 110 .
- a column 126 labeled “Customer” is used to collect data related to the rows 56 , 82 , 96 , and 110 .
- a column 128 labeled “Comments” is also provided as a help or guidance column that includes a description for each row illustrated.
- the GIQAAS system 46 By capturing detailed customer data in the tab 54 , the GIQAAS system 46 enables an improved analysis of revenue and cost streams, including customer 32 , 34 revenue and cost streams.
- the data gathering tool 48 may then collect capital expenditure information using, for example, a tab 130 , as described below in more detail with respect to FIG. 3 .
- FIG. 3 is a screen view 132 of an embodiment of the tab or input form 130 labeled “CapEx” of the infrastructure data gathering tool 48 .
- the tab 130 may be used to collect data related to a first suite of hardware, software, and/or service offerings from the one or more manufacturers or service providers.
- smart grid 10 components and services from multiple manufacturers may be aggregated as a first suite of infrastructure offerings 134 , depicted as rows in the screen view 132 .
- a user may enter capitalization expenditure data for the suite of offerings 134 .
- the capitalization expenditure data may include cost and benefit (e.g., revenue) data as depicted in the screen view 132 .
- the collected data may then be analyzed, for example, to compare the suite of offerings 134 to another suite of offerings, such as a second suite of infrastructure offerings described in more detail with respect to FIG. 4 .
- the GIQAAS 46 may enable a more efficient smart grid system 10 having a higher ROI and lower costs.
- a column 136 labeled “Benefit” may be used to uniquely identify each offering (e.g., row) of the first suite 134 by providing, for example, a unique identifier (ID) for each row.
- a column 138 labeled “Included” may be used to denote whether an individual offering (e.g., row) is used as part of the analysis. That is, the user may toggle individual offerings on by placing a “True” as the cell value or off by placing a “False” as the cell value.
- a column 140 labeled “Description” may be used to provide the description of each individual offering.
- a column 142 labeled “Benefit” may be used to enter any economic benefit or revenue associated with the offering.
- a column 144 labeled “Rollout” may be used to input a desired month (e.g., 1 through 12) when the offering would be provided or “rolled out” to the customers 32 and/or 34 .
- a column 146 labeled “Cost” may be used to input an economic cost associated with the offering, if any.
- a column 148 labeled “Recurring” may contain the value “True” if the cost is a recurring or ongoing cost, and the value “False” if the cost is a one-time cost.
- a column 150 labeled “Category” may be used to describe a technology category for the offering. As illustrated, AMI 30 , OMS 36 , GIS 40 , CIS 42 , and IVR 44 technology categories are shown in column 150 .
- Other technology categories may include components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , and/or components of the grid 28 shown in FIG. 1 .
- Prepay” technology categories are also provided as input, which relate to the pre-payment of utility bills, as described above.
- System technology categories are additionally provided in column 150 , related to the smart grid 10 system as a whole.
- Columns 152 , 154 , and 156 labeled “E”, “W”, and “G”, respectively, may be used to denote if the offering is related to electricity (E), water (W), and/or Gas (G).
- the first suite of offerings 134 may be compared to a second suite of offerings, for example, a second suite of offerings provided by a manufacturer, such as General Electric Co., of Schenectady, N.Y. It is to be understood that, while in the contemplated embodiment the second suite of offerings is provided by a single manufacturer, in other embodiments the second suite of offerings may be provided by one or more manufacturers or service providers. In one embodiment, the second suite of offerings may be provided in an input form or tab, such as the tab as depicted in FIG. 4 .
- FIG. 4 is a screen view 158 of an embodiment of a tab or input form 160 labeled “SGaaS” of the infrastructure data gathering tool 48 .
- the tab 160 may be used to collect data related to a second suite of offerings 162 (e.g., Smart Grid as a Service [SGaaS] offerings), including hardware, software, and/or service offerings from a single manufacturer.
- a second suite of offerings 162 e.g., Smart Grid as a Service [SGaaS] offerings
- the presently contemplated embodiment of the tab 160 includes the second suite of offerings 162 from the single manufacturer or service provider, other embodiments may include additional tabs having other suites of offerings, including suites of offerings from a combination of manufacturers or service providers.
- the suite of offerings 162 includes a multitude of rows (e.g., offerings) capturing information related to various technology categories (e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 ).
- various technology categories e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 .
- the screen view 158 includes columns 164 , 166 , 168 , 170 , 172 , 174 , 176 , 178 , 180 , 182 , and 184 , which contain the same type of information (e.g., ID, included as a package, description, benefit, rollout month, cost, recurring cost, category, E, W, and G) as described above with respect to FIG. 3 . Accordingly, the user may switch between tabs 130 and 160 to compare and contrast between the first suite of offerings 134 and the second suite of offerings 162 .
- ID included as a package, description, benefit, rollout month, cost, recurring cost, category, E, W, and G
- the tabs 130 and 160 contain the same category or type of information in a similar arrangement, so that an offering-by-offering comparison between two suites of offerings 134 and 162 may be more easily performed and visualized.
- a worksheet tab 186 may be provided, as described in more detail below with respect to FIG. 5 , that may enable a more efficient analysis of smart grid system 10 components, including comparison between the two or more suites of offerings 134 and 162 .
- FIG. 5 is a screen view 188 of an embodiment of the worksheet form or tab 186 labeled “Worksheet” enabling the economic analysis of the smart grid system 10 and/or comparison between the first suite of offerings 134 shown in FIG. 3 and the second suite of offerings 162 shown in FIG. 4 .
- the screen view 188 includes linking features that “link” or otherwise enable the retrieval and use of data from the tabs 54 , 130 , and 160 .
- the linking features may include the linking of cells from any of the data found in the tabs 54 , 130 , and 160 .
- the screen view 188 may thus process data from the tabs 54 , 130 , and 160 and present the data in a format suitable for more efficiently visualizing costs and benefits of the smart grid system 10 .
- the screen view 188 includes a market pricing for certain applications column 190 based on retrieving the number of electric, water, and gas endpoints 84 , 98 , and 112 from tab 54 shown in FIG. 2 .
- An integration factor may be entered by the user into column 192 .
- the integration factor may be related to the integration of installation of smart grid system 10 components (e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 ).
- the market pricing column 190 may be multiplied by the integration factor column 192 to arrive at a cost with integration column 194 .
- a cost per meter column 196 may be used derive the meter costs with integration for each endpoint or meter.
- the cost with integration column 192 may be divided by a total number of endpoints 198 to compute the cost per meter column 196 .
- a annual support rate or percentage 200 column may then capture a support percentage provided to customers of each type of technology category (e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 ).
- each type of technology category e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38
- an annual support per meter per month column 202 may be calculated. More specifically the annual support per meter per month column 202 may be calculated by multiplying the cost with integration column 194 with the annual support rate percentage 200 column, and then dividing by 12 months, and again dividing by the total number of endpoints 198 . Additionally, the cost per meter column 196 may be added to the annual support per meter per month column 202 to derive a total per meter investment column 204 . The total per meter investment column 204 may then be multiplied by the number of endpoints 198 to arrive at a total investment column 206 . By providing for the collection of data and the derivation of columns 194 , 196 , 202 , 204 , and 206 , the screen view 188 may enable a more efficient analysis and display of cost and revenue data for the smart grid system 10 .
- a total technology cost 208 may be computed based on the sum of the market pricing for certain applications column 190 .
- a total cost with integration 210 may be derived based on the sum of the cost with integration column 210 .
- a cost of refreshing current technology 212 with the smart grid system 10 components may also be derived. For example, a percent refreshment rate 214 may be applied to the total technology cost 208 to compute the cost of refreshing current technology 212 . The cost of refreshing current technology 212 may then be used to compute a technology refreshment cost 216 spread over a certain time period (e.g., 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 10 years).
- a technology total cost of ownership (TCO) 218 may also be computed as a sum of the technology refreshment cost 216 and the total cost with integration 194 .
- the TCO cost 218 may then be divided by the total number of endpoints 198 to arrive at a TCO per meter cost 220 .
- a technology refreshment cost per meter occurrence 222 may be derived by dividing the technology refreshment cost 212 with the total number of endpoints 198 .
- An annual cost of technology support labor 224 may be provided, useful in collecting the labor cost associated with customer support related to the first suite of offerings 134 .
- this may be a benefit, since the labor costs may be included as one of the rows of the second suite of offerings 162 .
- a personnel count 226 may be multiplied to the labor cost 224 to derive a total labor cost 228 .
- a cost of labor avoided per month per meter 230 for example, avoided by using the second suite of offerings 162 , may then be derived by dividing the total labor cost 228 by 12 months, and then dividing again by the total number of endpoints 198 .
- a TCO per meter per month 232 may then by calculated by adding the per meter cost 220 to the cost of labor avoided per month per meter 230 . Multiplying the TCO per meter per month 232 by the total number of endpoints 198 may then compute a TCO per month 234 . By deriving the revenues and costs described with respect to FIG. 5 , a comprehensive economic analysis may be provided.
- FIG. 6 is a screen view 236 of an embodiment the worksheet form or tab 186 enabling a derivation of various benefits associated with the first and the second suite of offerings 134 and 162 shown in FIGS. 3 and 4 , respectively.
- the average electric bill 86 shown in FIG. 2 may be displayed by the screen view 236 , along with the monthly disconnect rate (MDR) 90 .
- MDR monthly disconnect rate
- a total number of meters disconnected per month 238 may then be derived, for example, by multiplying the monthly disconnect rate 90 with the total number of electric endpoints 84 shown in FIG. 2 .
- a prepay MDR reduction percent 240 may then be collected from the user.
- a MDR reduction 242 based on the MDR reduction percent 90 may be derived, for example, by multiplying the total number of meters disconnected per month 238 with the prepay MDR reduction percent 240 .
- a revenue improvement or benefit per meter per month 244 may then be calculated by subtracting the MDR reduction 242 from the total number of meters disconnected per month 238 , multiplying by the average electric bill 86 , and dividing by the total number of electric endpoints 84 .
- a total monthly revenue for electric service 246 may be computed, by multiplying the average electric bill 86 with the total number of electric endpoints 84 . Similar benefits may be computed for gas endpoints and water endpoints.
- Truck rolls may be avoided, for example, because prepayment of utility services may lower the MDR.
- the truck roll (TR) cost 250 may be multiplied by an avoided TR monthly occurrence 252 to arrive at a monthly TR costs avoidance 254 .
- the avoidance of truck rolls per meter per month 248 may then be calculated by dividing the monthly TR costs avoidance 254 by the total number of electric endpoints 84 .
- Other benefits may also be calculated, such as a percent prevention of move in/move outs per month benefit 256 .
- the percent prevention of move in/move outs per month 256 may be calculated by multiplying a cost per occurrence 258 with a number of move in/move outs prevented 260 , and then dividing by the total number of electric endpoints 84 .
- Benefits may also include theft prevention benefits. For example, prepayment of electricity would reduce or eliminate a theft caught by prepay loss 262 incurred by the theft of electricity.
- a loss prevention benefit 264 assuming 1 ⁇ 3 of the loss 262 is prevented by prepaying may then be calculated by multiplying the theft caught by prepay loss 262 with the total monthly electric service revenue 246 , and then dividing by 3.
- the divisor (e.g., 3) may be chosen based on a theft rate prevented by prepayment, and may be other rates (e.g., 1, 2, 4, 5). Higher prevention rates may lead to lower divisors, and vice versa.
- a per meter theft prevention benefit 266 may then be derived by dividing the loss prevention benefit 264 with the total number of electric endpoints 84 .
- Economic benefits from the use of technologies such as the components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 and 22 , grid 24 components, grid 26 components, grid 28 components, AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 may also be estimated by the user.
- the user may enter an estimated technology benefit percentage 268 for a technology category (e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 , the OMS 36 , the DMS 38 , the GIS 40 , the CIS 42 , and/or the IVR 44 ).
- a technology category e.g., components of the control center 14 , components of the plants 16 , 18 , 20 , and 22 , components of the grid 24 , components of the grid 26 , components of the grid 28 , the AMI 30 ,
- This estimate 268 may be used for deriving other calculations, including a total AMI meter reading benefit 270 , which may be multiplied by the total number of electric endpoints 84 to arrive at a total AMI benefit per month 272 .
- Other benefits include an employee health and service accident avoidance benefit 274 and a theft caught by meter tampering benefit 276 .
- a total AMI meter reading benefit 278 may also be provided, suitable for deriving the total benefit of using AMI meter readings.
- Benefits may also be grouped. For example, a total prepay benefit per meter per month 280 may be additively grouped by adding the benefits 248 , 266 , and 244 , among others.
- the screen view 236 enables an in-depth economic analysis of the impact of implementation of the smart grid system 10 .
- the economic modeling tool 50 may be provided, to further enable an economic analysis of the smart grid system 10 components, as described in more detail with respect to FIG. 7 below.
- FIG. 7 is a screen view 282 depicting an embodiment of the economic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46 .
- the economic modeling tool 50 is implemented by using a computer-executable spreadsheet.
- the economic modeling tool 50 may be implemented as a web-based system or in any other form executable by a computing device (e.g., laptop, workstation, table, cell phone).
- the economic modeling tool 50 may include a legal tab 284 , an input tab 286 , a results tab 288 , a model tab 290 , and revision history tab 292 .
- a button 294 may be provided to contractually bind the user to usage terms 296 of using the economic modeling tool 50 .
- the button 294 By actuating the button 294 , the user contractually agrees to the usage terms 296 . Otherwise, the user may actuate a button 298 and exit the economic modeling tool 50 . In one embodiment, actuating the button 294 may then activate the input tab 286 , as depicted in FIG. 8 .
- the model tab 290 may include a computer executable economic model, as described in more detail below with respect to FIG. 13 .
- the revision history tab 292 may include a log of programming revisions or version histories of the economic modeling tool 50 .
- FIG. 8 is a screen view 300 on an embodiment of the input tab 286 of the economic modeling tool 50 .
- an edit inputs button 302 an import data button 304 , and a view results button 306 are provided.
- activating the import data button 304 enables the loading of data gathered by using the data gathering tool 48 described above with respect to FIGS. 2-6 .
- all of the data gathered by the data gathering tool 48 may be imported into the economic modeling tool 50 .
- a subset of the data from the data gathering tool 48 such as data from tabs 54 , 130 , 160 , and/or 186 shown in FIGS. 2-6 , may be imported into the economic modeling tool 50 .
- the data may then be displayed onto a column 308 of the screen view 300 .
- the GIQAAS system 46 reduces or eliminates any erroneous manipulation of the economic model shown in FIG. 13 by the data gathering team.
- Actuating the edit inputs button 302 may then activate a data editing dialog box as described in more detail below with respect to FIG. 9 .
- FIG. 9 depicts an embodiment of a dialog box 310 that may be activated by actuating the button 302 shown in FIG. 8 .
- the dialog box 310 may enable the entry and/or editing of data, including all the data imported into the economic modeling tool 50 .
- a contract assumptions tab 312 may be used to select and edit data imported from the tab 54 and screen view 52 shown in FIG. 2 .
- a cap expenditures (capex) tab 314 may be used to select and edit data imported from the tab 130 and screen view 132 (e.g., data related to the first suite of offerings 134 ) shown in FIG. 3 .
- a smart grid as a service (SGaas) tab 316 may be used to select and edit data imported from the tab 160 and screen view 158 (e.g., data related to the second suite of offerings 162 ) shown in FIG. 4 .
- the dialog box 310 may enable a more efficient data editing. For example, rather than editing the data in the data gathering tool 48 , and then re-importing the edited data, the user may activate the dialog box 310 and edit the data directly in a data editing section 318 .
- a save & exit button 320 may be used to save the data and return to the screen view 300 shown in FIG. 8 . If data editing is to be cancelled, a discard & exit button 322 may be used to return to the screen view 300 without saving the edited data.
- a restore defaults button 324 is also provided, which may automatically enter default values for all the data in the data editing section 318 .
- FIG. 10 is a screen view 326 of an embodiment of the results form or tab 288 of the economic modeling tool 50 .
- the results tab 288 may be activated by actuating the view results button 306 of the screen view 300 shown in FIG. 8 .
- the results derived by using an economic model such as the economic model shown in FIG. 13
- a net utility revenue table 328 may be derived and presented, suitable for comparing net revenue streams (e.g., profit minus costs).
- a first net revenue column 330 is depicted side-by-side with a second net revenue column 332 and a third net revenue column 334 .
- a timeline column 335 is also provided, depicting yearly data.
- the first net revenue column 330 is representative of revenue for the utility 12 with no new capital costs. That is, the first net revenue column 330 does not include costs associated with acquiring infrastructure, such as smart grid system 10 components.
- the second net revenue column 332 includes revenue minus costs based on acquiring the first suite of offerings 134 described above with respect to FIG. 3 .
- the third net revenue column 334 includes revenue minus costs based on acquiring the second suite of offerings 162 described above with respect to FIG. 4 .
- each of the net revenue columns 330 , 332 , and 334 may be derived by using the economic model described in more detail below with respect to FIG. 13 . By presenting the columns 330 , 332 , and 334 side-by-side, a more efficient comparison of the economic impact of the suites 134 and 162 may be provided.
- the screen view 326 also includes a first cost column 336 and a second cost column 338 .
- the first cost column 326 corresponds to capitalization costs incurred by purchasing or leasing the first suite of offerings 134 .
- the second cost column 338 corresponds to capitalization costs incurred by purchasing or leasing the second suite of offerings 162 .
- the data in columns 330 , 332 , 334 , 336 , and 338 is shown as yearly data. However, in other embodiments, daily, weekly, monthly, and/or quarterly data may be shown. A total for each column 330 , 332 , 334 , 336 , and 338 may be provided by row 340 .
- the economic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46 may more efficiently enable a comparison of revenue, including yearly net revenue, of purchasing the first or the second suite of offerings 134 , 162 . Indeed, the user may easily visualize any differences between procuring the first and the second suite of offerings 134 and 162 .
- the screen view 326 may present a summary of certain data in a screen section 342 , for example, data imported by using the data gathering tool 48 . The summary of the data shown in screen section 342 may provide for an overview of certain values used throughout the economic calculations.
- the depicted screen view 326 also provides a cumulative (e.g., gross) set of revenue calculations.
- a cumulative utility revenue table 344 may be derived and presented, suitable for comparing cumulative revenue streams.
- a first cumulative revenue column 346 is depicted side-by-side with a second cumulative revenue column 348 and a third cumulative revenue column 350 .
- Each of the cumulative columns 346 , 348 , and 350 include rows that accumulate cost based on previous rows. That is, subsequent rows of the columns 346 , 348 , and 350 are additively summed from the previous rows, as depicted.
- a timeline column 352 is also provided, depicting yearly data.
- the first cumulative revenue column 346 is representative of the cumulative revenue of the utility 12 , with no new capital costs. That is, the first cumulative revenue column 346 does not include costs associated with acquiring infrastructure, such as smart grid system 10 components.
- the second cumulative revenue column 348 includes cumulative revenue minus costs based on acquiring the first suite of offerings 134 described above with respect to FIG. 3 .
- the third cumulative revenue column 350 includes cumulative revenue minus costs based on acquiring the second suite of offerings 162 described above with respect to FIG. 4 .
- Each of the cumulative revenue columns 346 , 348 , and 350 may be derived by using the economic model of FIG. 13 .
- the screen view 326 also includes a first cumulative cost column 354 and a second cumulative cost column 356 .
- the first cumulative cost column 354 corresponds to cumulative capitalization costs incurred by purchasing the first suite of offerings 134 .
- the second cumulative cost column 356 corresponds to cumulative capitalization costs incurred by purchasing the second suite of offerings 162 .
- a total for each column 346 , 348 , 350 , 354 , and 356 may be provided by row 358 .
- the data in columns 346 , 348 , 350 , 352 , 354 , and 356 is shown as yearly data. However, in other embodiments, daily, weekly, monthly, and/or quarterly data may be shown.
- the economic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46 may more efficiently enable a comparison of revenue, including yearly cumulative revenue, of purchasing the first and the second suite of offerings 134 , 162 .
- the screen view 326 may present a total of net revenue without capitalization costs 360 , a total net revenue with capitalization costs 362 based on purchasing the first suite of offerings 134 , and a total net revenue with capitalization costs 364 based on purchasing the second suite of offerings 162 .
- a first net cumulative differential (NCD) 366 may be derived by subtracting the total net revenue with capitalization costs 362 based on purchasing the first suite of offerings 134 from the total of net revenue without capitalization costs 360 .
- a second NCD 368 may also be derived by subtracting the total net revenue with capitalization costs 364 based on purchasing the second suite of offerings 162 from the total of net revenue without capitalization costs 360 .
- a third NCD 370 may be computed by subtracting the total net revenue with capitalization costs 364 based on purchasing the second suite of offerings 162 from the total net revenue with capitalization costs 362 based on purchasing the first suite of offerings 134 .
- the first, second and third NCDs 366 , 368 , 370 may be compared. Graphical comparisons of revenues and costs may also be provided, as described in more detail below with respect to FIGS. 11 and 12 .
- FIG. 11 is a screen view 372 of an embodiment of a graph 374 provided by the economic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46 .
- the graph 374 provides for a line graph presentation of the columns 346 , 348 , and 350 shown in FIG. 10 . That is, line 376 may be representative of the data in column 346 , line 378 may be representative of data in column 348 , and line 380 may be representative of data in column 350 .
- the graph 374 may provide for an intuitive visual presentation of the economic differences between the suites 134 and 162 .
- Other types of graphs or visuals may be presented, such as a graph illustrated in FIG. 12 .
- FIG. 12 is illustrative of a screen view 382 of an embodiment of a graph 384 provided by the economic modeling tool 50 .
- the graph 384 provides for a bar chart presentation of the data in columns 346 , 348 , and 350 shown in FIG. 10 .
- bars 386 may be representative of the data in column 346
- bars 388 may be representative of data in column 348
- bars 390 may be representative of data in column 350 .
- the graph 384 may provide for an intuitive visual presentation of the economic differences between the suites 134 and 162 .
- all or some of the data presented in the screen view 326 of FIG. 10 may be presented in any number of graphs and charts, including line graphs, bar graphs, and pie charts. It is to be noted that, in one embodiment, that all of the screens and charts depicted in FIGS. 2-12 are included in the GIQAAS system 46 . Indeed, the GIQAAS system 46 may include all of the elements and associated descriptions related to FIGS. 2-12 .
- FIG. 13 shows an embodiment of an economic model 400 useful in providing for the aforementioned economic calculations, including costs, revenues, and ROI.
- the economic model 400 may include instructions or computer code executable by a computing devices such as a desktop, a laptop, a tablet, and a cell phone.
- an inflation forecast model 402 may be used to forecast projected inflation.
- a Federal Reserve inflation model such as a rational expectations model of inflation available from the United States Federal Reserve, Washington D.C., may be used for the model 402 .
- the inflation forecast model 402 may be used jointly with an operating costs model 404 to calculate projected monthly costs (block 406 ).
- the operating cost model 404 may be derived by using activity based costing (ABC), constructive cost models (COCOMO), operational cost calculators, cost estimation models, cost driver models, engineering cost models, and/or microeconomic cost models.
- a monthly revenue model 408 may be combined with a customer defaults model 410 and a finance charges model 412 to calculate a net “as-is” monthly revenue (block 414 ) based on derived monthly costs 416 .
- the monthly revenues model 408 may forecast monthly revenues based on historical analysis (e.g., statistical analysis) of revenue streams, monetization of services models, and/or bottom-up revenue forecasting.
- the customer defaults model 410 may use statistical techniques such as linear regression, non-linear regression, data mining, actuarial forecasting, curve forecasting (e.g., Bell curve, Gaussian distribution curves, non-Gaussian distribution curves) to derive a number of customers defaults.
- the finance charges model 412 may use banking finance rates, utility 12 finance rates, flat interest rates, and progressive interest rates to derive charges related to financing services and operations.
- the models 408 , 410 , and 412 may use the monthly costs 416 to calculate the net “as-is” monthly revenue (block 414 ).
- the “as-is” revenue does not include costs associated with the first or the second suites of offerings 134 and 162 .
- User inputs 418 may be captured, for example, by the data gathering tool 48 , and used to calculate a first suite of offerings revenue (block 420 ).
- the models 402 , 404 , 408 , 410 , and 412 may be used, as mentioned above, to process the user inputs 418 and calculate the first suite of offerings revenue (block 420 ) based on the first suite of offerings 134 shown in FIG. 3 .
- the models 402 , 404 , 408 , 410 , and 412 may be used with the user inputs 418 to calculate a second suite of offerings revenue (block 422 ) based on the second suite of offerings 162 shown in FIG. 4 .
- the blocks 414 , 420 , and 422 may derive revenue cases 424 , e.g., revenues related to the first suite of offerings 134 , the second suite of offerings 162 , and “as-is” revenues.
- the revenue cases 424 may then be presented for comparison and further analysis, as described above with respect to FIGS. 8-12 .
- FIG. 14 is illustrative of an embodiment of a process 426 that may use the data gathering tool 48 , the economic modeling tool 50 , and the economic model 400 to compare the first suite of offerings 134 with the second suite of offerings 162 .
- the process 426 may include instructions or computer code executable by a computing device such as a desktop, a laptop, a tablet, and a cell phone.
- the user may use the data gathering tool 48 to collect costs and benefits data (block 428 ), as described above.
- the collected data may then be imported (block 430 ), for example, into the economic modeling tool 50 by using the import data button 304 shown in FIG. 8 .
- the imported data may then be modified by the user to reflect desired case studies (block 432 ).
- the user may edit the data as described above with respect to the dialog box 310 described in FIG. 9 to adequately provide for desired inputs (e.g., costs and benefits) related to the first and the second suite of offerings 134 , 162 .
- the economic model 400 may then be executed to produce economic results (block 434 ), as described above with respect to FIG. 13 .
- the user may then review and analyze the model results (block 436 ). For example, the user may compare and contrast the benefits, costs and ROI associated with the first and second suite of offerings 134 and 162 by using columns and graphs, as described above with respect to FIGS. 10 , 11 , and 12 . If desired, alternate case studies or analysis may be performed (block 438 ).
- Data may be gathered again (block 428 ) and the blocks of the process 400 may be followed to provide for new results.
- the first and the second suite of offerings 134 and 162 may be more thoroughly analyzed to derive a more efficient, cost-effective, profitable smart grid system 10 .
- GIQAAS grid intelligence quotient as a service
- An infrastructure data gathering is provided, suitable for use by a user, enabling the collection of infrastructure data.
- the user may enter, for example, cost and benefits data related to various components and technologies included in a first and a second suite of infrastructure offerings.
- An economic modeling system having an economic model may then be provided to analyze the first and the second suite of infrastructure offerings. The separation between the economic modeling and the data collection minimizes or eliminates any erroneous manipulation of the economic model by the data gathering team.
- the infrastructure data gathering system may be emailed to an end user having little or no knowledge of economic modeling techniques.
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Abstract
A method and a system for analyzing infrastructure are provided. In one embodiment, a system for analyzing infrastructure is provided. The system includes a grid intelligence quotient as a service (GIQAAS) system. The GIQAAS system includes an infrastructure data gathering system having a first input form configured to collect an economic data related to an infrastructure. The GIQAAS system further includes an economic modeling system configured to import the economic data and to derive an economic analysis based on the economic data. The GIQAAS system is configured to provide the infrastructure data gathering system to a first user for collection of the economic data, and to provide the economic modeling system to a second user for derivation of the economic analysis.
Description
- This application is a Continuation Application of U.S. non-provisional application Ser. No. 13/344,554 entitled “METHOD AND SYSTEM FOR ANALYSIS OF INFRASTRUCTURE”, filed Jan. 5, 2012, which is herein incorporated by reference.
- The invention relates generally to infrastructure, and more particularly to a method and system for analyzing infrastructure.
- Infrastructure, such as a smart grid, includes a variety of systems and components. In the smart grid example, systems may include power generation systems, power transmission systems, advanced metering systems, digital communications systems, control systems, and their related components. Other items associated with the infrastructure may include contracts, service level agreements, and like, detailing capitalization, cost, and revenues for the infrastructure. Designing and analyzing such infrastructure can be complex and costly.
- Certain embodiments commensurate in scope with the originally claimed invention are summarized below. These embodiments are not intended to limit the scope of the claimed invention, but rather these embodiments are intended only to provide a brief summary of possible forms of the invention. Indeed, the invention may encompass a variety of forms that may be similar to or different from the embodiments set forth below.
- In one embodiment, a system for analyzing infrastructure is provided. The system includes a grid intelligence quotient as a service (GIQAAS) system. The GIQAAS system includes an infrastructure data gathering system having a first input form configured to collect an economic data related to an infrastructure. The GIQAAS system further includes an economic modeling system configured to import the economic data and to derive an economic analysis based on the economic data. The GIQAAS system is configured to provide the infrastructure data gathering system to a first user for collection of the economic data, and to provide the economic modeling system to a second user for derivation of the economic analysis.
- In a second embodiment, non-transitory machine readable media is provided. The non-transitory machine readable media includes instructions configured to collect an economic data related to a smart grid infrastructure and instructions configured to import the economic data. The non-transitory machine readable media further includes instructions configured to derive an economic analysis based on the economic data. The non-transitory machine readable media also includes instructions configured to present the economic analysis to a user. The economic analysis includes an economic comparison between a first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings and a second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings.
- In a third embodiment, a method is provided. The method includes calculating a monthly cost by using an inflation forecast model configured to derive an inflation and an infrastructure operating cost model configured to derive a smart grid infrastructure operating cost. The method also includes calculating a as-is net monthly revenue by using the monthly cost, a monthly revenue model configured to derive an operating monthly revenue, a customer defaults model configured to derive a customer default cost, and a finance charges model configured to derive a financing cost. The method further includes calculating a first net monthly revenue by using first inputs related to a first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings. The method additionally includes calculating a second net monthly revenue by using second inputs related to a second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings, and presenting the as-is, first, and second monthly revenues for comparison.
- These and other features, aspects, and advantages of the present invention will become better understood when the following detailed description is read with reference to the accompanying drawings in which like characters represent like parts throughout the drawings, wherein:
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FIG. 1 is a block diagram of an embodiment of an infrastructure (e.g., a smart grid infrastructure) and a grid intelligence quotient as a service (GIQAAS) system; -
FIG. 2 is a screen view of an embodiment of an infrastructure data gathering system of the GIQAAS system ofFIG. 1 ; -
FIG. 3 is a screen view of an embodiment of an input form for a first suite of infrastructure offerings included in the infrastructure data gathering system ofFIG. 2 ; -
FIG. 4 is a screen view of an embodiment of an input form for a second suite of infrastructure offerings included in the infrastructure data gathering system ofFIG. 2 ; -
FIG. 5 is a screen view of an embodiment of a worksheet form included in the infrastructure data gathering system ofFIG. 2 ; -
FIG. 6 is another screen view of an embodiment of the worksheet form included in the infrastructure data gathering system ofFIG. 2 ; -
FIG. 7 is a screen view of an embodiment of an economic modeling system of the GIQAAS system ofFIG. 1 ; -
FIG. 8 is another screen view of an embodiment of the economic modeling system of theFIG. 7 ; -
FIG. 9 is illustrative of an embodiment of a dialog box included in the economic modeling system ofFIG. 7 ; -
FIG. 10 is a screen view of an embodiment of a results form included in the economic modeling system ofFIG. 7 ; -
FIG. 11 is illustrative of an embodiment of a line graph included in the economic modeling system ofFIG. 7 ; -
FIG. 12 is illustrative of an embodiment of a bar graph included in the economic modeling system ofFIG. 7 ; -
FIG. 13 is block diagram of an embodiment of an economic model included in the economic modeling system ofFIG. 7 ; and -
FIG. 14 is flow chart of an embodiment of a process enabling the economic analysis of infrastructure using the GIQAAS system ofFIG. 1 . - One or more specific embodiments of the invention will be described below. In an effort to provide a concise description of these embodiments, all features of an actual implementation may not be described in the specification. It should be appreciated that in the development of any such actual implementation, as in any engineering or design project, numerous implementation-specific decisions must be made to achieve the developers' specific goals, such as compliance with system-related and business-related constraints, which may vary from one implementation to another. Moreover, it should be appreciated that such a development effort might be complex and time consuming, but would nevertheless be a routine undertaking of design, fabrication, and manufacture for those of ordinary skill having the benefit of this disclosure.
- When introducing elements of various embodiments of the invention, the articles “a,” “an,” “the,” and “said” are intended to mean that there are one or more of the elements. The terms “comprising,” “including,” and “having” are intended to be inclusive and mean that there may be additional elements other than the listed elements.
- Certain infrastructure, such as an electric smart grid, may include a variety of interconnected systems and components. For example, the smart grid may include power generation systems, power transmission and distribution systems, metering systems, digital communications systems, control systems, and their related components. Other items associated with the smart grid may include contracts, service level agreements, and like, detailing costs (e.g., capitalization costs, operating costs), and revenues for the smart grid. The embodiments described herein enable an infrastructure designer to compare and contrast various combinations of components from one or more manufacturers to determine a component package that minimizes cost, maximizes a return on investment (ROI), and performs desired functions. In certain embodiments, a Grid Intelligence Quotient as a Service (GIQAAS) system is provided that enables a more efficient selection and analysis of various smart grid components. The GIQAAS may include non-transitory machine readable media storing code or computer instructions that may be used by a computing device to implement the techniques disclosed herein. The GIQAAS may include an infrastructure data gathering system that enables the collection of data related to a variety of smart grid technology offerings, including cost and benefit data. The offerings may include hardware, software, and/or service offerings from one or more manufacturers or service providers. In one embodiment, a first suite of infrastructure offerings from the one or more manufacturers or service providers may be compared to a second suite of infrastructure offerings from a single manufacturer or service provider, such as one or more smart grid packages available from General Electric Co., of Schenectady, N.Y. The comparison may include a detailed analysis of purchasing or leasing the first suite of offerings as compared to purchasing or leasing the second suite of offerings. For example, a value analysis may be performed, comparing costs, benefits, and a return on investment (ROI) of the first and the second suite of infrastructure offerings.
- In certain embodiments the GIQAAS may use a model, such as an economic model, to analyze the one or more suite of offerings. In one embodiment, the model may be separate from the infrastructure data gathering system included in the GIQAAS system. For example, the economic modeling system may include the economic model. The infrastructure data gathering system may be provided to a firs user or customer (e.g., a purchaser or lessee of smart grid infrastructure, such as a water, gas, or electric utility), and may enable the collection of infrastructure data, including a type of infrastructure (e.g., technology category or class), usage for the infrastructure, capital expenditure data, financing data (e.g., interest rates, payment options, revenue collections, inflation), and the like, as described in more detail below. The economic modeling system may then be used to analyze the data gathered. For example, the economic modeling system may be provided to a second user, such as a seller or lessor of smart grid infrastructure. The separation between the modeling activities and the data collection activities minimizes or eliminates any erroneous manipulation of the model by the data gathering team. Indeed, the infrastructure data gathering system may be emailed to an end user having little or no knowledge of modeling techniques, or may be provided through the internet via web pages or websites. The model may then use the data collected by the infrastructure data gathering system to derive the detailed analysis and comparison between the first and the second suite of offerings. By providing for an analysis between various hardware, software, and/or service configurations, an infrastructure designer may design infrastructure that meets desired properties while improving the costs and revenues associated with the infrastructure. In this way, a seller of infrastructure may provide a buyer of infrastructure for a comprehensive economic analysis, including cost comparisons between the seller's offerings and/or competitor's offerings.
- With the foregoing in mind, it may be useful to describe an embodiment of an infrastructure, such as an example
smart grid system 10 illustrated inFIG. 1 . It is to be noted that the systems and methods described herein may apply to other infrastructure, including but not limited to cloud computing infrastructure, airport infrastructure, transit infrastructure, and telecommunications infrastructure. As depicted, thesmart grid system 10 may include one ormore utilities 12. Theutility 12 may provide for oversight operations of thesmart grid system 10. For example, utility control centers 14 may monitor and direct power produced by one or morepower generation stations 16 and alternativepower generation stations 18. Thepower generation stations 16 may include conventional power generation stations, such as power generation stations using gas, coal, biomass, and other carbonaceous products for fuel. The alternativepower generation stations 18 may include power generation stations using solar power, wind power, hydroelectric power, geothermal power, and other alternative sources of power (e.g., renewable energy) to produce electricity. Other infrastructure components may include awater processing plant 20 andgas processing plant 22. For example,water processing plants 20 may provide for potable water, andgas processing plants 22 may provide for natural gas. - The power generated by the
power generation stations power transmission grid 24. Likewise, the water and gas provided by theplants water distribution grid 26 and agas distribution grid 28. Thegrids AMI 30 may be communicatively coupled to one or more of the components of thesmart grid 10, including thegrids AMI 30 may enable two-way communication betweencommercial sites 32,residences 34 and theutility control center 14, providing for a link between consumer behavior and utility consumption (e.g., electric, water, and/or gas consumption). For example,AMI meters 30 may track and account for pre-paid electricity, water and/or gas in a similar fashion to pre-paid cell phone usage. Likewise, the utility'sconsumers - An outage management system (OMS) 36 may predict and respond to outage events, for example, by using an outage prediction engine. The
OMS 30 may interact with a distribution management system (DMS) 38 suitable for re-routing power, water, and/or gas fromplants plants plants grid 24 components (e.g., electrical cabling, transformers, distribution towers),grid 26 components (e.g., water pipes, valves, pressure reducers),grid 28 components (e.g., storage tanks, gas pipes, valves), theAMI 30, thecommercial sites 32 and theresidential sites 34. The physical location information may be used, for example, by theOMS 36 and theDMS 38 in predicting and resolving outage issues. Additionally, theGIS 40 may be used to visualize the various locations on a map or other suitable visual medium (e.g., globe, chart). Likewise, a customer information system (CIS) 42 may be used to provide customer information (e.g.,sites 32 and 34), including billing information, electric usage information, water usage information, gas usage information, billing rates, and the like. Additionally, an interactive voice response (IVR)system 44 may provide automated voice recognition and menu navigation suitable for processing customer requests over telephonic lines. - The
smart grid system 10 enables theutility 12 to improve capacity, improve energy distribution and usage, and to dynamically manage loads more effectively. However, thesmart grid system 10 may include components, such as but not limited to components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, components of thegrid 28, theAMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or theIVR 44 that may be provided by multiple manufacturers. It would be beneficial for theutility 12 to compare and contrast the aforementioned components of thesmart grid system 10 to derive a value analysis useful in determining costs, benefits, and/or ROI based on income received from the customer base (e.g.,commercial sites 32 and residences 34) and costs associated with capitalization or leasing of the aforementionedsmart grid system 10 components. By deriving an economic analysis, a more optimal suite of components and services may be used in thesmart grid 10. Advantageously, the embodiments describe herein, such as a GIQAAS system 46 having an infrastructuredata gathering tool 48 and aneconomic modeling tool 50, may be used to provide for an economic analysis of thesmart grid system 10 component, as described in more detail below. -
FIG. 2 is ascreen view 52 of an embodiment of an input form ortab 54 of the infrastructuredata gathering tool 48 included in the GIQAAS system 46. Thedata gathering tool 48 may be provided, for example, to theutility 12 for use in collecting information related to the technologies (e.g., components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, components of thegrid 28, theAMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or the IVR 44) that may be used during implementation or rollout of thesmart grid system 10, as well as the costs and benefits of using such technologies. In the depicted embodiment, thedata gathering tool 48 is implemented by using a computer-based spreadsheet. In other embodiments, thedata gathering tool 48 may be implemented as a web-based system or in any form executable by a computing device (e.g., laptop, workstation, table, cell phone), such as a software system or program provided in a computer-readable medium (e.g., DVD, flashdrive). - The
tab 54 enables the gathering ofsmart grid 10 customer value analysis data. For example, thetab 54 may be used to collect data generally related to the value or profit garnered fromcustomers utility 12, as depicted in thescreen view 52. The collected data may includerows 56, which include acustomer name 58, acontract start date 60, acontract term 62, a cost per truck roll 64 (e.g., cost to deploy a service vehicle), a reconnect charge (e.g., cost to reconnect a customer that has been previously disconnected) 66, a carry cost of post-pay 68 (e.g., percent of total cost to carry for customers that post pay bills), a bad debt 70 (e.g., percent of customers that do not pay the monthly bill), an inflation 72 (e.g., average national or local inflation rate), a discount rate 74 (e.g., average interest rate), a residential electric 76 flag (e.g., a true of false value based on if the analysis to be performed will include electric meters), a residential water flag 78 (e.g., a true of false value based on if the analysis to be performed will include water meters), and a residential gas flag 80 (e.g., a true of false value based on if the analysis to be performed will include gas meters). -
Rows 82 generally collect data related to the value or profit garnered fromelectric customers rows 82 include an endpoints (electric) 84, where an endpoint represents aresidential site 32 or acustomer site 34. Therows 82 also include an average customer monthly bill amount (electric) 86, a cost per bill (electric) 88 (e.g., a cost of generating each customer bill), a monthly disconnect rate (electric) 90 (e.g., percent of customers that disconnect each month), a high risk percent (electric) 92 (e.g., customers having a higher risk of defaulting on payment), and a percent loss (electric) 94 (e.g., percent of electricity that is lost before arriving at the endpoint). - Likewise,
rows 96 generally collect data related to the value or profit garnered from customers purchasing water. Accordingly, the rows include an endpoints (water) 98, an average customer monthly bill (water) 100, a cost per bill (water) 102, a monthly disconnect rate (water) 104, a high risk percent (water) 106, and a percent loss (water) 108. For customers purchasing gas (e.g., natural gas),rows 110 may be used. Thus, therows 110 include an endpoints (gas) 112, an average customer monthly bill (gas) 114, a cost per bill (gas) 116, a monthly disconnect rate (gas) 118, a high risk percent (gas) 120, and a percent loss (gas) 122. As depicted, each row includes acolumn 124 labeled “Description” that described the items in therows column 126 labeled “Customer” is used to collect data related to therows column 128 labeled “Comments” is also provided as a help or guidance column that includes a description for each row illustrated. By capturing detailed customer data in thetab 54, the GIQAAS system 46 enables an improved analysis of revenue and cost streams, includingcustomer data gathering tool 48 may then collect capital expenditure information using, for example, atab 130, as described below in more detail with respect toFIG. 3 . -
FIG. 3 is ascreen view 132 of an embodiment of the tab orinput form 130 labeled “CapEx” of the infrastructuredata gathering tool 48. In the depicted embodiment, thetab 130 may be used to collect data related to a first suite of hardware, software, and/or service offerings from the one or more manufacturers or service providers. Indeed,smart grid 10 components and services from multiple manufacturers may be aggregated as a first suite ofinfrastructure offerings 134, depicted as rows in thescreen view 132. In the illustrated example, there are approximately 35 individual offerings orrows 134 grouped into the first suite ofofferings 134. It is to be understood that, in other examples, fewer or greater number offerings (e.g., rows) may be included. A user, such as autility 12, may enter capitalization expenditure data for the suite ofofferings 134. The capitalization expenditure data may include cost and benefit (e.g., revenue) data as depicted in thescreen view 132. The collected data may then be analyzed, for example, to compare the suite ofofferings 134 to another suite of offerings, such as a second suite of infrastructure offerings described in more detail with respect toFIG. 4 . By comparing two or more suite of infrastructure offerings, the GIQAAS 46 may enable a more efficientsmart grid system 10 having a higher ROI and lower costs. - A
column 136 labeled “Benefit” may be used to uniquely identify each offering (e.g., row) of thefirst suite 134 by providing, for example, a unique identifier (ID) for each row. Acolumn 138 labeled “Included” may be used to denote whether an individual offering (e.g., row) is used as part of the analysis. That is, the user may toggle individual offerings on by placing a “True” as the cell value or off by placing a “False” as the cell value. Acolumn 140 labeled “Description” may be used to provide the description of each individual offering. A column 142 labeled “Benefit” may be used to enter any economic benefit or revenue associated with the offering. A column 144 labeled “Rollout” may be used to input a desired month (e.g., 1 through 12) when the offering would be provided or “rolled out” to thecustomers 32 and/or 34. - A column 146 labeled “Cost” may be used to input an economic cost associated with the offering, if any. A
column 148 labeled “Recurring” may contain the value “True” if the cost is a recurring or ongoing cost, and the value “False” if the cost is a one-time cost. Acolumn 150 labeled “Category” may be used to describe a technology category for the offering. As illustrated,AMI 30,OMS 36,GIS 40,CIS 42, andIVR 44 technology categories are shown incolumn 150. Other technology categories may include components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, and/or components of thegrid 28 shown inFIG. 1 . “Prepay” technology categories are also provided as input, which relate to the pre-payment of utility bills, as described above. Likewise, “System” technology categories are additionally provided incolumn 150, related to thesmart grid 10 system as a whole.Columns 152, 154, and 156 labeled “E”, “W”, and “G”, respectively, may be used to denote if the offering is related to electricity (E), water (W), and/or Gas (G). - By providing the user with the
screen view 132 that enables the data input of offerings from any one or more manufacturers or service providers, the first suite ofofferings 134 may be compared to a second suite of offerings, for example, a second suite of offerings provided by a manufacturer, such as General Electric Co., of Schenectady, N.Y. It is to be understood that, while in the contemplated embodiment the second suite of offerings is provided by a single manufacturer, in other embodiments the second suite of offerings may be provided by one or more manufacturers or service providers. In one embodiment, the second suite of offerings may be provided in an input form or tab, such as the tab as depicted inFIG. 4 . -
FIG. 4 is ascreen view 158 of an embodiment of a tab or input form 160 labeled “SGaaS” of the infrastructuredata gathering tool 48. In the depicted embodiment, the tab 160 may be used to collect data related to a second suite of offerings 162 (e.g., Smart Grid as a Service [SGaaS] offerings), including hardware, software, and/or service offerings from a single manufacturer. Although the presently contemplated embodiment of the tab 160 includes the second suite ofofferings 162 from the single manufacturer or service provider, other embodiments may include additional tabs having other suites of offerings, including suites of offerings from a combination of manufacturers or service providers. - As in
FIG. 3 , the suite ofofferings 162 includes a multitude of rows (e.g., offerings) capturing information related to various technology categories (e.g., components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, components of thegrid 28, theAMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or the IVR 44). For a more efficient comparison between the first suite ofofferings 134 shown inFIG. 3 and the second suite ofofferings 162 shown inFIG. 4 , thescreen view 158 includescolumns FIG. 3 . Accordingly, the user may switch betweentabs 130 and 160 to compare and contrast between the first suite ofofferings 134 and the second suite ofofferings 162. Indeed, thetabs 130 and 160 contain the same category or type of information in a similar arrangement, so that an offering-by-offering comparison between two suites ofofferings worksheet tab 186 may be provided, as described in more detail below with respect toFIG. 5 , that may enable a more efficient analysis ofsmart grid system 10 components, including comparison between the two or more suites ofofferings -
FIG. 5 is ascreen view 188 of an embodiment of the worksheet form ortab 186 labeled “Worksheet” enabling the economic analysis of thesmart grid system 10 and/or comparison between the first suite ofofferings 134 shown inFIG. 3 and the second suite ofofferings 162 shown inFIG. 4 . Thescreen view 188 includes linking features that “link” or otherwise enable the retrieval and use of data from thetabs tabs screen view 188 may thus process data from thetabs smart grid system 10. For example, thescreen view 188 includes a market pricing forcertain applications column 190 based on retrieving the number of electric, water, andgas endpoints 84, 98, and 112 fromtab 54 shown inFIG. 2 . An integration factor may be entered by the user intocolumn 192. The integration factor may be related to the integration of installation ofsmart grid system 10 components (e.g., components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, components of thegrid 28, theAMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or the IVR 44). Themarket pricing column 190 may be multiplied by theintegration factor column 192 to arrive at a cost withintegration column 194. - A cost per
meter column 196 may be used derive the meter costs with integration for each endpoint or meter. For example, the cost withintegration column 192 may be divided by a total number ofendpoints 198 to compute the cost permeter column 196. A annual support rate orpercentage 200 column may then capture a support percentage provided to customers of each type of technology category (e.g., components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, components of thegrid 28, theAMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or the IVR 44). Based on the annual supportrate percentage column 200, an annual support per meter permonth column 202 may be calculated. More specifically the annual support per meter permonth column 202 may be calculated by multiplying the cost withintegration column 194 with the annualsupport rate percentage 200 column, and then dividing by 12 months, and again dividing by the total number ofendpoints 198. Additionally, the cost permeter column 196 may be added to the annual support per meter permonth column 202 to derive a total permeter investment column 204. The total permeter investment column 204 may then be multiplied by the number ofendpoints 198 to arrive at atotal investment column 206. By providing for the collection of data and the derivation ofcolumns screen view 188 may enable a more efficient analysis and display of cost and revenue data for thesmart grid system 10. - Additionally, a
total technology cost 208 may be computed based on the sum of the market pricing forcertain applications column 190. Likewise, a total cost withintegration 210 may be derived based on the sum of the cost withintegration column 210. A cost of refreshingcurrent technology 212 with thesmart grid system 10 components may also be derived. For example, apercent refreshment rate 214 may be applied to thetotal technology cost 208 to compute the cost of refreshingcurrent technology 212. The cost of refreshingcurrent technology 212 may then be used to compute atechnology refreshment cost 216 spread over a certain time period (e.g., 1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 10 years). A technology total cost of ownership (TCO) 218 may also be computed as a sum of thetechnology refreshment cost 216 and the total cost withintegration 194. The TCO cost 218 may then be divided by the total number ofendpoints 198 to arrive at a TCO permeter cost 220. Likewise, a technology refreshment cost permeter occurrence 222 may be derived by dividing thetechnology refreshment cost 212 with the total number ofendpoints 198. - An annual cost of
technology support labor 224 may be provided, useful in collecting the labor cost associated with customer support related to the first suite ofofferings 134. In one embodiment, in the second suite ofofferings 162, this may be a benefit, since the labor costs may be included as one of the rows of the second suite ofofferings 162. A personnel count 226 may be multiplied to the labor cost 224 to derive atotal labor cost 228. A cost of labor avoided per month permeter 230, for example, avoided by using the second suite ofofferings 162, may then be derived by dividing thetotal labor cost 228 by 12 months, and then dividing again by the total number ofendpoints 198. A TCO per meter permonth 232 may then by calculated by adding the permeter cost 220 to the cost of labor avoided per month permeter 230. Multiplying the TCO per meter permonth 232 by the total number ofendpoints 198 may then compute a TCO permonth 234. By deriving the revenues and costs described with respect toFIG. 5 , a comprehensive economic analysis may be provided. -
FIG. 6 is ascreen view 236 of an embodiment the worksheet form ortab 186 enabling a derivation of various benefits associated with the first and the second suite ofofferings FIGS. 3 and 4 , respectively. In the depicted example, the averageelectric bill 86 shown inFIG. 2 may be displayed by thescreen view 236, along with the monthly disconnect rate (MDR) 90. A total number of meters disconnected permonth 238 may then be derived, for example, by multiplying themonthly disconnect rate 90 with the total number of electric endpoints 84 shown inFIG. 2 . A prepayMDR reduction percent 240 may then be collected from the user. Accordingly, aMDR reduction 242 based on theMDR reduction percent 90 may be derived, for example, by multiplying the total number of meters disconnected permonth 238 with the prepayMDR reduction percent 240. A revenue improvement or benefit per meter permonth 244 may then be calculated by subtracting theMDR reduction 242 from the total number of meters disconnected permonth 238, multiplying by the averageelectric bill 86, and dividing by the total number of electric endpoints 84. Likewise, a total monthly revenue forelectric service 246 may be computed, by multiplying the averageelectric bill 86 with the total number of electric endpoints 84. Similar benefits may be computed for gas endpoints and water endpoints. - Other benefits, such as avoidance of truck rolls per meter per
month 248 may be calculated. Truck rolls may be avoided, for example, because prepayment of utility services may lower the MDR. The truck roll (TR) cost 250 may be multiplied by an avoided TRmonthly occurrence 252 to arrive at a monthly TR costsavoidance 254. The avoidance of truck rolls per meter permonth 248 may then be calculated by dividing the monthly TR costsavoidance 254 by the total number of electric endpoints 84. Other benefits may also be calculated, such as a percent prevention of move in/move outs permonth benefit 256. The percent prevention of move in/move outs permonth 256 may be calculated by multiplying a cost peroccurrence 258 with a number of move in/move outs prevented 260, and then dividing by the total number of electric endpoints 84. Benefits may also include theft prevention benefits. For example, prepayment of electricity would reduce or eliminate a theft caught by prepayloss 262 incurred by the theft of electricity. Aloss prevention benefit 264 assuming ⅓ of theloss 262 is prevented by prepaying may then be calculated by multiplying the theft caught by prepayloss 262 with the total monthlyelectric service revenue 246, and then dividing by 3. The divisor (e.g., 3) may be chosen based on a theft rate prevented by prepayment, and may be other rates (e.g., 1, 2, 4, 5). Higher prevention rates may lead to lower divisors, and vice versa. A per metertheft prevention benefit 266 may then be derived by dividing theloss prevention benefit 264 with the total number of electric endpoints 84. - Economic benefits from the use of technologies such as the components of the
plants grid 24 components,grid 26 components,grid 28 components,AMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or theIVR 44 may also be estimated by the user. For example, the user may enter an estimatedtechnology benefit percentage 268 for a technology category (e.g., components of thecontrol center 14, components of theplants grid 24, components of thegrid 26, components of thegrid 28, theAMI 30, theOMS 36, theDMS 38, theGIS 40, theCIS 42, and/or the IVR 44). Thisestimate 268 may be used for deriving other calculations, including a total AMImeter reading benefit 270, which may be multiplied by the total number of electric endpoints 84 to arrive at a total AMI benefit permonth 272. Other benefits include an employee health and serviceaccident avoidance benefit 274 and a theft caught bymeter tampering benefit 276. A total AMImeter reading benefit 278 may also be provided, suitable for deriving the total benefit of using AMI meter readings. - Benefits may also be grouped. For example, a total prepay benefit per meter per
month 280 may be additively grouped by adding thebenefits smart grid system 10, thescreen view 236 enables an in-depth economic analysis of the impact of implementation of thesmart grid system 10. Additionally, theeconomic modeling tool 50 may be provided, to further enable an economic analysis of thesmart grid system 10 components, as described in more detail with respect toFIG. 7 below. -
FIG. 7 is ascreen view 282 depicting an embodiment of theeconomic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46. In the depicted embodiment, theeconomic modeling tool 50 is implemented by using a computer-executable spreadsheet. In other embodiments, theeconomic modeling tool 50 may be implemented as a web-based system or in any other form executable by a computing device (e.g., laptop, workstation, table, cell phone). Theeconomic modeling tool 50 may include a legal tab 284, aninput tab 286, aresults tab 288, a model tab 290, andrevision history tab 292. In the depicted legal tab 284, abutton 294 may be provided to contractually bind the user to usage terms 296 of using theeconomic modeling tool 50. By actuating thebutton 294, the user contractually agrees to the usage terms 296. Otherwise, the user may actuate abutton 298 and exit theeconomic modeling tool 50. In one embodiment, actuating thebutton 294 may then activate theinput tab 286, as depicted inFIG. 8 . The model tab 290 may include a computer executable economic model, as described in more detail below with respect toFIG. 13 . Therevision history tab 292 may include a log of programming revisions or version histories of theeconomic modeling tool 50. -
FIG. 8 is ascreen view 300 on an embodiment of theinput tab 286 of theeconomic modeling tool 50. In the depicted embodiment, anedit inputs button 302, animport data button 304, and a view resultsbutton 306 are provided. In one embodiment, activating theimport data button 304 enables the loading of data gathered by using thedata gathering tool 48 described above with respect toFIGS. 2-6 . In one example, all of the data gathered by thedata gathering tool 48 may be imported into theeconomic modeling tool 50. In another example, a subset of the data from thedata gathering tool 48, such as data fromtabs FIGS. 2-6 , may be imported into theeconomic modeling tool 50. The data may then be displayed onto acolumn 308 of thescreen view 300. By separating the data gathering activities from the modeling activities, the GIQAAS system 46 reduces or eliminates any erroneous manipulation of the economic model shown inFIG. 13 by the data gathering team. Actuating theedit inputs button 302 may then activate a data editing dialog box as described in more detail below with respect toFIG. 9 . -
FIG. 9 depicts an embodiment of a dialog box 310 that may be activated by actuating thebutton 302 shown inFIG. 8 . The dialog box 310 may enable the entry and/or editing of data, including all the data imported into theeconomic modeling tool 50. For example, acontract assumptions tab 312 may be used to select and edit data imported from thetab 54 andscreen view 52 shown inFIG. 2 . Likewise, a cap expenditures (capex)tab 314 may be used to select and edit data imported from thetab 130 and screen view 132 (e.g., data related to the first suite of offerings 134) shown inFIG. 3 . Additionally, a smart grid as a service (SGaas)tab 316 may be used to select and edit data imported from the tab 160 and screen view 158 (e.g., data related to the second suite of offerings 162) shown inFIG. 4 . By enabling the entry and/or editing of data, including imported data, the dialog box 310 may enable a more efficient data editing. For example, rather than editing the data in thedata gathering tool 48, and then re-importing the edited data, the user may activate the dialog box 310 and edit the data directly in adata editing section 318. After the data has been edited, a save &exit button 320 may be used to save the data and return to thescreen view 300 shown inFIG. 8 . If data editing is to be cancelled, a discard &exit button 322 may be used to return to thescreen view 300 without saving the edited data. A restore defaultsbutton 324 is also provided, which may automatically enter default values for all the data in thedata editing section 318. -
FIG. 10 is ascreen view 326 of an embodiment of the results form ortab 288 of theeconomic modeling tool 50. As mentioned above, theresults tab 288 may be activated by actuating the view resultsbutton 306 of thescreen view 300 shown inFIG. 8 . In the depicted embodiment, the results derived by using an economic model, such as the economic model shown inFIG. 13 , may be derived and presented. For example, a net utility revenue table 328 may be derived and presented, suitable for comparing net revenue streams (e.g., profit minus costs). In the illustratedscreen view 326, a firstnet revenue column 330 is depicted side-by-side with a secondnet revenue column 332 and a thirdnet revenue column 334. Atimeline column 335 is also provided, depicting yearly data. In one embodiment, the firstnet revenue column 330 is representative of revenue for theutility 12 with no new capital costs. That is, the firstnet revenue column 330 does not include costs associated with acquiring infrastructure, such assmart grid system 10 components. The secondnet revenue column 332 includes revenue minus costs based on acquiring the first suite ofofferings 134 described above with respect toFIG. 3 . Likewise, the thirdnet revenue column 334 includes revenue minus costs based on acquiring the second suite ofofferings 162 described above with respect toFIG. 4 . As mentioned above, each of thenet revenue columns FIG. 13 . By presenting thecolumns suites - The
screen view 326 also includes afirst cost column 336 and asecond cost column 338. In one embodiment, thefirst cost column 326 corresponds to capitalization costs incurred by purchasing or leasing the first suite ofofferings 134. Likewise, thesecond cost column 338 corresponds to capitalization costs incurred by purchasing or leasing the second suite ofofferings 162. In the depicted embodiment, the data incolumns column row 340. By deriving and displayingcolumns total values 340, theeconomic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46 may more efficiently enable a comparison of revenue, including yearly net revenue, of purchasing the first or the second suite ofofferings offerings screen view 326 may present a summary of certain data in ascreen section 342, for example, data imported by using thedata gathering tool 48. The summary of the data shown inscreen section 342 may provide for an overview of certain values used throughout the economic calculations. - The depicted
screen view 326 also provides a cumulative (e.g., gross) set of revenue calculations. For example, a cumulative utility revenue table 344 may be derived and presented, suitable for comparing cumulative revenue streams. In the illustrated embodiment, a first cumulative revenue column 346 is depicted side-by-side with a secondcumulative revenue column 348 and a thirdcumulative revenue column 350. Each of thecumulative columns columns timeline column 352 is also provided, depicting yearly data. In one embodiment, the first cumulative revenue column 346 is representative of the cumulative revenue of theutility 12, with no new capital costs. That is, the first cumulative revenue column 346 does not include costs associated with acquiring infrastructure, such assmart grid system 10 components. The secondcumulative revenue column 348 includes cumulative revenue minus costs based on acquiring the first suite ofofferings 134 described above with respect toFIG. 3 . Likewise, the thirdcumulative revenue column 350 includes cumulative revenue minus costs based on acquiring the second suite ofofferings 162 described above with respect toFIG. 4 . Each of thecumulative revenue columns FIG. 13 . - The
screen view 326 also includes a firstcumulative cost column 354 and a secondcumulative cost column 356. In one embodiment, the firstcumulative cost column 354 corresponds to cumulative capitalization costs incurred by purchasing the first suite ofofferings 134. Likewise, the secondcumulative cost column 356 corresponds to cumulative capitalization costs incurred by purchasing the second suite ofofferings 162. A total for eachcolumn row 358. In the depicted embodiment, the data incolumns columns economic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46 may more efficiently enable a comparison of revenue, including yearly cumulative revenue, of purchasing the first and the second suite ofofferings - Additionally, the
screen view 326 may present a total of net revenue without capitalization costs 360, a total net revenue withcapitalization costs 362 based on purchasing the first suite ofofferings 134, and a total net revenue withcapitalization costs 364 based on purchasing the second suite ofofferings 162. Likewise, a first net cumulative differential (NCD) 366 may be derived by subtracting the total net revenue withcapitalization costs 362 based on purchasing the first suite ofofferings 134 from the total of net revenue without capitalization costs 360. Asecond NCD 368 may also be derived by subtracting the total net revenue withcapitalization costs 364 based on purchasing the second suite ofofferings 162 from the total of net revenue without capitalization costs 360. Similarly, athird NCD 370 may be computed by subtracting the total net revenue withcapitalization costs 364 based on purchasing the second suite ofofferings 162 from the total net revenue withcapitalization costs 362 based on purchasing the first suite ofofferings 134. In this way, the first, second andthird NCDs FIGS. 11 and 12 . -
FIG. 11 is ascreen view 372 of an embodiment of agraph 374 provided by theeconomic modeling tool 50 of the GIQAAS system 46. Thegraph 374 provides for a line graph presentation of thecolumns FIG. 10 . That is,line 376 may be representative of the data in column 346,line 378 may be representative of data incolumn 348, andline 380 may be representative of data incolumn 350. By representing thecolumns lines graph 374 may provide for an intuitive visual presentation of the economic differences between thesuites FIG. 12 . -
FIG. 12 is illustrative of ascreen view 382 of an embodiment of agraph 384 provided by theeconomic modeling tool 50. In the illustrated embodiment, thegraph 384 provides for a bar chart presentation of the data incolumns FIG. 10 . For example, bars 386 may be representative of the data in column 346,bars 388 may be representative of data incolumn 348, and bars 390 may be representative of data incolumn 350. By representing thecolumns bars graph 384 may provide for an intuitive visual presentation of the economic differences between thesuites screen view 326 ofFIG. 10 may be presented in any number of graphs and charts, including line graphs, bar graphs, and pie charts. It is to be noted that, in one embodiment, that all of the screens and charts depicted inFIGS. 2-12 are included in the GIQAAS system 46. Indeed, the GIQAAS system 46 may include all of the elements and associated descriptions related toFIGS. 2-12 . - As mentioned above, an economic model may be used to derive the calculations depicted in
FIGS. 10 , 11, and 12.FIG. 13 shows an embodiment of aneconomic model 400 useful in providing for the aforementioned economic calculations, including costs, revenues, and ROI. Theeconomic model 400 may include instructions or computer code executable by a computing devices such as a desktop, a laptop, a tablet, and a cell phone. In the depicted embodiment, aninflation forecast model 402 may be used to forecast projected inflation. In one example, a Federal Reserve inflation model, such as a rational expectations model of inflation available from the United States Federal Reserve, Washington D.C., may be used for themodel 402. Theinflation forecast model 402 may be used jointly with anoperating costs model 404 to calculate projected monthly costs (block 406). Theoperating cost model 404 may be derived by using activity based costing (ABC), constructive cost models (COCOMO), operational cost calculators, cost estimation models, cost driver models, engineering cost models, and/or microeconomic cost models. Amonthly revenue model 408 may be combined with a customer defaultsmodel 410 and afinance charges model 412 to calculate a net “as-is” monthly revenue (block 414) based on derived monthly costs 416. - For example, the
monthly revenues model 408 may forecast monthly revenues based on historical analysis (e.g., statistical analysis) of revenue streams, monetization of services models, and/or bottom-up revenue forecasting. The customer defaultsmodel 410 may use statistical techniques such as linear regression, non-linear regression, data mining, actuarial forecasting, curve forecasting (e.g., Bell curve, Gaussian distribution curves, non-Gaussian distribution curves) to derive a number of customers defaults. The finance chargesmodel 412 may use banking finance rates,utility 12 finance rates, flat interest rates, and progressive interest rates to derive charges related to financing services and operations. Themodels monthly costs 416 to calculate the net “as-is” monthly revenue (block 414). In the depicted embodiment, the “as-is” revenue does not include costs associated with the first or the second suites ofofferings -
User inputs 418 may be captured, for example, by thedata gathering tool 48, and used to calculate a first suite of offerings revenue (block 420). In one embodiment, themodels user inputs 418 and calculate the first suite of offerings revenue (block 420) based on the first suite ofofferings 134 shown inFIG. 3 . Likewise, themodels user inputs 418 to calculate a second suite of offerings revenue (block 422) based on the second suite ofofferings 162 shown inFIG. 4 . Theblocks revenue cases 424, e.g., revenues related to the first suite ofofferings 134, the second suite ofofferings 162, and “as-is” revenues. Therevenue cases 424 may then be presented for comparison and further analysis, as described above with respect toFIGS. 8-12 . -
FIG. 14 is illustrative of an embodiment of aprocess 426 that may use thedata gathering tool 48, theeconomic modeling tool 50, and theeconomic model 400 to compare the first suite ofofferings 134 with the second suite ofofferings 162. Theprocess 426 may include instructions or computer code executable by a computing device such as a desktop, a laptop, a tablet, and a cell phone. In the depicted embodiment, the user may use thedata gathering tool 48 to collect costs and benefits data (block 428), as described above. The collected data may then be imported (block 430), for example, into theeconomic modeling tool 50 by using theimport data button 304 shown inFIG. 8 . The imported data may then be modified by the user to reflect desired case studies (block 432). That is, the user may edit the data as described above with respect to the dialog box 310 described inFIG. 9 to adequately provide for desired inputs (e.g., costs and benefits) related to the first and the second suite ofofferings economic model 400 may then be executed to produce economic results (block 434), as described above with respect toFIG. 13 . The user may then review and analyze the model results (block 436). For example, the user may compare and contrast the benefits, costs and ROI associated with the first and second suite ofofferings FIGS. 10 , 11, and 12. If desired, alternate case studies or analysis may be performed (block 438). Data may be gathered again (block 428) and the blocks of theprocess 400 may be followed to provide for new results. By comparing and contrasting various inputs, the first and the second suite ofofferings smart grid system 10. - Technical effects of the invention include a grid intelligence quotient as a service (GIQAAS) system enabling the collection and analysis of inputs related to infrastructure, such as smart grid infrastructure, to more efficiently design the smart grid infrastructure. An infrastructure data gathering is provided, suitable for use by a user, enabling the collection of infrastructure data. The user may enter, for example, cost and benefits data related to various components and technologies included in a first and a second suite of infrastructure offerings. An economic modeling system having an economic model may then be provided to analyze the first and the second suite of infrastructure offerings. The separation between the economic modeling and the data collection minimizes or eliminates any erroneous manipulation of the economic model by the data gathering team. Indeed, the infrastructure data gathering system may be emailed to an end user having little or no knowledge of economic modeling techniques. By comparing and contrasting the first suite of offerings with the second suite of offerings, the user may efficiently compare costs and benefits related to the suites of offerings.
- This written description uses examples to disclose the invention, including the best mode, and also to enable any person skilled in the art to practice the invention, including making and using any devices or systems and performing any incorporated methods. The patentable scope of the invention is defined by the claims, and may include other examples that occur to those skilled in the art. Such other examples are intended to be within the scope of the claims if they have structural elements that do not differ from the literal language of the claims, or if they include equivalent structural elements with insubstantial differences from the literal language of the claims.
Claims (20)
1. A system for analyzing infrastructure, comprising:
a Software as a Service (SaaS) system comprising:
a smart grid asset gathering system having a first input form configured to collect an economic data related to the smart grid asset; and
an economic modeling system configured to import the economic data and derive an economic analysis based on the economic data, wherein the SaaS system is configured to provide the infrastructure data gathering system to a first user for collection of the economic data, and to provide the economic modeling system to a second user for derivation of the economic analysis.
2. The system of claim 1 , wherein the infrastructure comprises a smart grid system infrastructure, and the first user comprises a purchaser of smart grid system infrastructure, a lessee of smart grid infrastructure, or a combination thereof, and the second user comprises a seller of smart grid system infrastructure, a lessor of smart grid infrastructure, or a combination thereof
3. The system of claim 2 , wherein the smart grid system infrastructure comprises at least one of an advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), an outage management system (OMS), a distribution management system (DMS), a geographic information system (GIS), a customer information system (CIS), an interactive voice response (IVR) system, a power plant component, a gas processing plant component, a water processing plant component, an electrical distribution grid component, a water distribution grid component, a gas distribution grid component, or a utility control center component, or a combination thereof.
4. The system of claim 3 , wherein the infrastructure data gathering system comprises a second input form configured to collect second inputs related to a first suite of offerings, and a third input form configured to collect third inputs related to a second suite of offerings, and wherein the first input form is configured to collect first inputs related to at least one of residential customers, or commercial customers, or a combination thereof.
5. The system of claim 4 , wherein the first inputs comprise at least one of a cost per truck roll, a reconnect charge, a carry cost of post-pay, a bad debt, an inflation, a discount rate, an electric endpoint input, or a gas endpoint input, a water endpoint input, or a combination thereof.
6. The system of claim 4 , wherein the second and the third inputs comprise cost and benefit inputs related to at least one of the advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), the outage management system (OMS), the distribution management system (DMS), the geographic information system (GIS), the customer information system (CIS), the interactive voice response (IVR) system, the power plant component, the gas plant component, the water plant component, the electrical distribution grid component, or the water distribution grid component, the gas distribution grid component, or a combination thereof.
7. The system of claim 4 , wherein the second suite of offerings is provided by a single manufacturer.
8. The system of claim 1 , wherein the economic modeling system comprises an economic model configured to process the economic data to derive the economic analysis, and wherein the economic model comprises at least one of an inflation forecast model, an operating cost model, a monthly revenue model, or a customer defaults model, a finance charges model, or a combination thereof.
9. The system of claim 8 , wherein the economic analysis comprises a comparison between a first cost and a first benefit related to a first suite of infrastructure offerings, and a second cost and a second benefit related to a second suite of infrastructure offerings.
10. The system of claim 1 , comprising a first spreadsheet having the infrastructure data gathering system and a second spreadsheet having the economic modeling system, or a first website having the infrastructure data gathering system and a second website having the economic modeling system, or a first software system having the infrastructure data gathering system and a second software system having the economic modeling system, or a combination thereof.
11. A non-transitory machine readable media, comprising:
instructions configured to collect an economic data from a first user related to a smart grid infrastructure;
instructions configured to import the economic data;
instructions configured to derive an economic analysis based on the economic data; and
instructions configured to present the economic analysis to a second user, wherein the economic analysis comprises an economic comparison between a first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings and a second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings.
12. The non-transitory machine readable media of claim 11 , wherein the instructions configured to collect the economic data from the first user comprise instructions configured to collect first inputs related to at least one of residential customers, or commercial customers, or a combination thereof, second inputs related to the first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings, and third inputs related to the second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings, and the first user comprises a smart grid infrastructure purchaser, a smart grid infrastructure lessee, or a combination thereof.
13. The non-transitory machine readable media of claim 12 , wherein the instructions configured to collect the first inputs related to at least one of residential customers, or commercial customers, or a combination thereof, comprise instructions configured to collect at least one of a cost per truck roll, a reconnect charge, a carry cost of post-pay, a bad debt, an inflation, a discount rate, an electric endpoint input, a gas endpoint input, or a water endpoint input, or a combination thereof.
14. The non-transitory machine readable media of claim 12 , wherein the instructions configured to collect the second inputs and the third inputs comprise instructions configured to collect at least one of an advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) input, an outage management system (OMS), a distribution management system (DMS), a geographic information system (GIS), a customer information system (CIS), an interactive voice response (IVR) system, a power plant component, a gas plant component, a water plant component, an electrical distribution grid component, a water distribution grid component, or a gas distribution grid component, or a combination thereof.
15. The non-transitory machine readable media of claim 11 , wherein the instructions configured to derive the economic analysis based on the economic data comprise instructions configured to use an economic model to process the economic data to derive the economic analysis, wherein the economic model comprises at least one of an inflation forecast model, an operating cost model, a monthly revenue model, a customer defaults model, or a finance charges model, or a combination thereof.
16. The non-transitory machine readable media of claim 11 , wherein the instructions configured to present the economic analysis to the second user comprise instructions configured to display a first column of economic data related to the first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings and a second column of economic data related to the second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings, and a graph configured to visually graph the first column and the second column of economic data, and the second user comprises a smart grid infrastructure seller, a smart grid infrastructure lessor, or a combination thereof.
17. A method comprising:
calculating a monthly cost by using an inflation forecast model configured to derive an inflation and an infrastructure operating cost model configured to derive a smart grid infrastructure operating cost;
calculating an as-is net monthly revenue by using the monthly cost, a monthly revenue model configured to derive an operating monthly revenue, a customer defaults model configured to derive a customer default cost, and a finance charges model configured to derive a financing cost;
calculating a first net monthly revenue by using first inputs related to a first suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings;
calculating a second net monthly revenue by using second inputs related to a second suite of smart grid infrastructure offerings; and
presenting the as-is, first, and second monthly revenues for comparison.
18. The method of claim 17 , wherein the first inputs are used by the inflation forecast model, the operating costs model, the monthly revenues model, the customer defaults model, the finance charges model, or a combination thereof, to calculate the first net monthly revenue.
19. The method of claim 17 , wherein the second inputs are used by the inflation forecast model, the operating costs model, the monthly revenues model, the customer defaults model, the finance charges model, or a combination thereof, to calculate the second net monthly revenue.
20. The method of claim 17 , wherein the first and the second inputs comprise cost and benefit inputs related to at least one of an advanced metering infrastructure (AMI), an outage management system (OMS), a distribution management system (DMS), a geographic information system (GIS), a customer information system (CIS), an interactive voice response (IVR) system, a power plant component, a gas plant component, a water plant component, an electrical distribution grid component, a water distribution grid component, or a gas distribution grid component, or a combination thereof.
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