TWI737432B - Method of estimating frequency nadir after the loss of one generator in the power system - Google Patents
Method of estimating frequency nadir after the loss of one generator in the power system Download PDFInfo
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本發明係關於一種評估電力系統的供電狀態技術,尤指一種電力系統的最低頻率值預測方法。 The invention relates to a technology for evaluating the power supply status of a power system, in particular to a method for predicting the lowest frequency value of the power system.
當電力系統中的發電機組跳機,該電力系統所供應之電力會減少,造成電力供需不平衡,此時市電頻率也相應降低,若市電頻率低於一低頻卸載臨界值,即必須卸載,影響供電戶數。 When the generator set in the power system trips, the power supplied by the power system will be reduced, resulting in an imbalance between power supply and demand. At this time, the frequency of the mains power is also reduced accordingly. If the frequency of the mains is lower than a low-frequency unloading threshold, it must be unloaded. Number of power supply households.
請參閱圖3所示,為電力系統中的發電機組跳機時典型的頻率響應圖,圖中A點代表標稱頻率(60Hz),即正常電力供應下的頻率,一旦發電機組跳機導致供給負荷的發電短缺,系統頻率會隨之下降;此時,發電機組的慣性頻率響應與初級頻率響應的一部分(即調速器響應)將試圖阻止頻率衰減,因此系統頻率會掉到圖中C點最低頻率後再拉回到B點的穩定頻率。由圖中可知,由標稱頻率A點至最低頻率C點即為此一發電機組的頻率最大偏差值。 Please refer to Figure 3, which is a typical frequency response diagram when the generator set in the power system trips. Point A in the figure represents the nominal frequency (60Hz), which is the frequency under normal power supply. Once the generator set trips, the supply When the load is short of power generation, the system frequency will drop accordingly; at this time, the inertial frequency response of the generator set and part of the primary frequency response (that is, the governor response) will try to prevent the frequency attenuation, so the system frequency will drop to point C in the figure. Pull back to the stable frequency at point B after the lowest frequency. It can be seen from the figure that from the nominal frequency point A to the lowest frequency point C is the maximum deviation value of the frequency of this generator set.
傳統發電機組為電力系統提供慣性,若電力系統具較大慣性,則相較於具較小慣性的電力系統,在相同供需不平衡量下,具較大慣性的電力系統發生的頻率最大偏差較小。 Traditional generator sets provide inertia for the power system. If the power system has a larger inertia, compared to a power system with a smaller inertia, the power system with a larger inertia will have a smaller maximum frequency deviation under the same imbalance between supply and demand. .
然而,隨著電力系統併入再生能源(例如:太陽能、風力發電)後,當再生能源滲透率提高,對市電頻率控制影響會變大。由於再生能源透過電力電子設備的去耦合,太陽能與最新的風力渦輪機技術不能為電力系統提供慣性,造成電力系統於輕載時段當有大量太陽能與風力發電時的系統淨負載降低,由再生能源取代傳統發電機組,導致系統慣性變小;因此,當發生發電機組跳機時比較可能發生較大的頻率偏差;誠如圖4所示,呈現較大頻率偏差的電力系統所提供離峰負載的在線發電機數量較少並包含了較高的太陽能、風力發電,導致電力系統中的系統慣性更小,當電力系統跳機時,阻止系統頻率下降的能力減低,不僅其最低頻率(59.519Hz<59.58Hz)更低,且更快速地達到其最低頻率。 However, as the power system incorporates renewable energy sources (such as solar and wind power), when the penetration rate of renewable energy increases, the impact on the frequency control of the utility power will become greater. Due to the decoupling of renewable energy through power electronic equipment, solar energy and the latest wind turbine technology cannot provide inertia for the power system, resulting in a reduction in the net load of the power system when there is a large amount of solar and wind power generation during light load periods, and it is replaced by renewable energy The traditional generator set causes the inertia of the system to become smaller; therefore, when the generator set trips, a larger frequency deviation is more likely to occur; as shown in Figure 4, the online off-peak load provided by the power system with a larger frequency deviation is more likely to occur. The number of generators is small and contains high solar and wind power generation, resulting in a smaller system inertia in the power system. When the power system trips, the ability to prevent the system frequency from falling is reduced, not only its lowest frequency (59.519Hz<59.58) Hz) is lower and reaches its lowest frequency more quickly.
是以,隨著再生能源供電比例逐漸增加,更容易在發電機組跳機後造成低頻卸載,故有必要進一步提出應對機制。 Therefore, as the proportion of renewable energy power supply gradually increases, it is easier to cause low-frequency unloading after the generator set trips, so it is necessary to further propose a response mechanism.
有鑑於上述目前電力系統併入再生能源後,當發生電機組跳機事件時,可能造成低頻卸載的問題,本發明主要發明目的係提供一種電力系統發生跳機事件後的最低頻率值預測方法。 In view of the above-mentioned current power system incorporating renewable energy, when a generator trip event occurs, the problem of low frequency unloading may occur. The main purpose of the present invention is to provide a method for predicting the lowest frequency value after a power system trip event occurs.
欲達上述目的所使用的主要技術手段係令該電力系統發生跳機事件後的最低頻率值預測方法包含以下步驟:(a)收集一電力系統的發電機組跳機時的多筆跳機數據;(b)依據該些跳機數據,決定該電力系統發生跳機事件後的頻率最大偏差值與跳機佔比之間的一關係線; (c)藉由該關係線找出目前電力系統的其中一發電機組的一跳機佔比所對應的一預估的頻率最大偏差值;以及(d)以一標稱頻率及該頻率最大偏差值,計算目前電力系統的發電機組跳機後的最低頻率值。 The main technical means used to achieve the above purpose is to make the lowest frequency value prediction method after a trip event of the power system occurs. The method includes the following steps: (a) Collect multiple trip data when the generator set of a power system trips; (b) Based on the trip data, determine a relationship line between the maximum frequency deviation after a trip event in the power system and the proportion of trips; (c) Use the relationship line to find out an estimated maximum frequency deviation corresponding to the proportion of a trip of one of the generator sets in the current power system; and (d) Use a nominal frequency and the maximum deviation of the frequency Value, calculate the lowest frequency value after the generator set tripping of the current power system.
本發明將發電系統的發電機組曾經發生的跳機數據予以收集,再依據該些數據決定該電力系統頻率最大偏差值與跳機佔比的一關係線,藉由該關係線找到目前電力系統的其中一發電機組的一跳機佔比所對應的頻率最大偏差值,與標稱頻率進行計算而獲得目前電力系統跳機後的最低頻率值;如此,即可依據此一最低頻率調度發電機組的開機數量或輸出大小,讓跳機事件發生後發電系統的最低頻率值維持高於系統低頻卸載臨界值,以避免當真實跳機事件發生時,負載不卸載,確保電力系統供電可靠度。 The present invention collects the trip data of the generator set of the power generation system, and then determines a relationship line between the maximum deviation value of the power system frequency and the trip ratio based on the data, and finds the current power system through the relationship line The maximum frequency deviation value corresponding to the proportion of a trip of a generator set is calculated with the nominal frequency to obtain the lowest frequency value after the current power system trips; in this way, the generator set can be dispatched based on this lowest frequency The number of power-on or output size keeps the lowest frequency value of the power generation system higher than the low-frequency unloading critical value of the system after a trip event occurs, so as to avoid unloading the load when a real trip event occurs, ensuring the reliability of the power supply of the power system.
圖1:本發明電力系統發生跳機事件後的最低頻率值預測方法的一流程圖。 Figure 1: A flow chart of the method for predicting the lowest frequency value after a trip event occurs in the power system of the present invention.
圖2A:本發明的一系統頻率最大偏差值與跳機佔比的一關係圖。 Fig. 2A: A diagram of the relationship between the maximum deviation of the system frequency and the proportion of machine trips according to the present invention.
圖2B:本發明的另一系統頻率最大偏差值與跳機佔比的一關係圖。 Fig. 2B: A diagram of the relationship between the maximum frequency deviation of another system of the present invention and the percentage of machine trips.
圖2C:圖2A及圖2C的一關係線比較圖。 Fig. 2C: A comparison diagram of a relationship line of Fig. 2A and Fig. 2C.
圖3:現有發電機組跳機時的一典型頻率響應圖。 Figure 3: A typical frequency response diagram of an existing generator set when it trips.
圖4:現有具不同總負載量情況下發生跳機事件後的一頻率響應圖。 Figure 4: Existing frequency response diagram after a trip event occurs with different total loads.
以下本發明配合圖式詳加說明技術內容,並提供實際數據驗證本發明的電力系統發生跳機事件後的最低頻率值預測方法的有效性。 In the following, the present invention cooperates with the drawings to explain the technical content in detail, and provides actual data to verify the effectiveness of the method for predicting the lowest frequency value after a trip event of the power system of the present invention.
首先請參閱圖1所示,係為本發明電力系統發生跳機事件後的最低頻率值預測方法的流程圖,其包含有以下步驟(a)至(d)。 First, please refer to FIG. 1, which is a flowchart of the method for predicting the lowest frequency value after a trip event occurs in the power system of the present invention, which includes the following steps (a) to (d).
於步驟(a)中,收集一發電機組跳機時的多筆跳機數據;於本實施例,該跳機數據包含有:跳機量(功率)、總負載量(功率)及頻率最大偏差值;其中該跳機量係指該發電機組跳機時所損失的發電量。 In step (a), collect multiple trip data when a generator set trips; in this embodiment, the trip data includes: trip amount (power), total load (power), and maximum frequency deviation Value; where the amount of tripping refers to the amount of power lost when the generator set trips.
於步驟(b)中,依據步驟(a)所收集到的該些跳機數據,決定一電力系統的頻率最大偏差值與跳機佔比之間的一關係線;其中該跳機佔比係為該跳機量佔總負載量的比例;於本實施例中,該關係線係以迴歸分析該些跳機數據而得,如圖2A所示,圖中各點代表跳機數據(跳機佔比與系統頻率最大偏差值關係),其中各筆數據事件發生時再生能源發電量合計超過300MW,經過迴歸分析計算後得出圖中的關係線;同時如圖2B所示,也收集跳機事件發生時再生能源發電量低於300MW的跳機數據,由圖2A及圖2B的關係線可知,該關係線呈一線性直線,當跳機佔比較大時,系統頻率最大偏差值也較大,故跳機佔比與系統頻率最大偏差值之間存在高度相關性。再請參閱圖2C所示,以相同的跳機佔比來看,圖2A關係線的系統頻率變化幅度較圖2B關係線的系統頻率變化幅度來得大,例如如跳機佔比3%在圖2A關係線所對應的頻率偏差為-0.5063Hz,而在圖2B關係線上所對應的頻率偏差為-0.457Hz,故可證明再生能源發電增加會導致的系統慣性下降。 In step (b), according to the trip data collected in step (a), a relationship line between the maximum frequency deviation of a power system and the trip ratio is determined; wherein the trip ratio is Is the ratio of the tripping amount to the total load; in this embodiment, the relationship line is obtained by regression analysis of the tripping data, as shown in Figure 2A, each point in the figure represents the tripping data (jumping The relationship between the proportion and the maximum deviation of the system frequency), where the total amount of renewable energy generation when each data event occurs exceeds 300MW. After regression analysis and calculation, the relationship line in the figure is obtained; at the same time, as shown in Figure 2B, the number of trips is also collected The trip data of renewable energy power generation less than 300MW at the time of the event can be seen from the relationship line in Figure 2A and Figure 2B. The relationship line is a linear straight line. When the trip is relatively large, the maximum deviation of the system frequency is also large. , So there is a high correlation between the proportion of tripping and the maximum deviation of the system frequency. Please refer to Figure 2C again. From the perspective of the same percentage of trips, the system frequency change amplitude of the relationship line in Figure 2A is larger than the system frequency change amplitude of the relationship line in Figure 2B. The frequency deviation corresponding to the 2A relationship line is -0.5063Hz, and the frequency deviation corresponding to the relationship line in Figure 2B is -0.457Hz, so it can be proved that the increase in renewable energy power generation will cause the system inertia to drop.
於步驟(c)中,取得目前電力系統的一跳機佔比,並依據目前的跳機佔比自該關係線上找出對應的一預估的頻率最大偏差值。 In step (c), a percentage of the current power system trips is obtained, and a corresponding estimated maximum frequency deviation value is found from the relationship line based on the current percentage of trips.
於步驟(d)中,以一標稱頻率及該頻率最大偏差值,計算目前電力系統跳機後的最低頻率值。如下表所示,表中多筆跳機數據有實際的跳機後電力系統最低頻率,與依據步驟(c)及(d)預測出各筆跳機數據的最低頻率,表中最右欄即是實際跳機後電力系統最低頻率與預測最低頻率的誤差值,誤差值相當的低,代表本發明取得跳機佔比後,可精準預估其最低頻率;於本實施例,該標稱頻率為60Hz。舉例來說,若目前電力系統所併入的再生能源發電量大於300MW,當該發電機組發生跳機,且跳機佔比為4%,則對照圖2C的關係線L1後,該發電機組的頻率最大偏差值為-0.67,以標稱頻率60Hz為基準,將標稱頻率60Hz與該頻率最大偏差值相加,即可得預測的最低頻率為59.33Hz(60+(-0.67)=59.33)。 In step (d), a nominal frequency and the maximum deviation value of the frequency are used to calculate the lowest frequency value after the current power system trips. As shown in the following table, the multiple trip data in the table have the lowest frequency of the actual power system after tripping, and the lowest frequency of each trip data predicted according to steps (c) and (d). The rightmost column in the table is It is the error value between the lowest frequency of the power system after the actual trip and the predicted lowest frequency. The error value is quite low, which means that the present invention can accurately estimate the lowest frequency after obtaining the percentage of the trip; in this embodiment, the nominal frequency It is 60Hz. For example, if the current generation capacity of renewable energy incorporated in the power system is greater than 300MW, when the generator set trips, and the trip accounted for 4%, then after comparing the relationship line L1 in Figure 2C, the generator set’s The maximum frequency deviation value is -0.67, based on the nominal frequency 60Hz, and the nominal frequency 60Hz is added to the maximum frequency deviation value, and the predicted minimum frequency is 59.33Hz (60+(-0.67)=59.33) .
由於再生能源的滲透率逐年提升,本發明為了保持預估發生跳機事件後電力系統最低頻率的精準度,上述步驟(a)設定一收集週期,若本次收集週期結束,再收集下一收集週期內發生的跳機數據,更新該些跳機數據;因此依據收集週期來收集跳機數據,可定期更新步驟(b)的關係線,讓之後可預測精準的對應最低頻率。 As the penetration rate of renewable energy is increasing year by year, in order to maintain the accuracy of predicting the lowest frequency of the power system after a trip event, the above step (a) sets a collection period. If the current collection period ends, then collect the next collection. The trip data that occurs in the cycle are updated; therefore, the trip data is collected according to the collection period, and the relationship line of step (b) can be updated regularly, so that the lowest frequency can be accurately and accurately corresponded afterwards.
由上述說明可知,本發明依據多年的跳機事件的資料收集、觀察及分析,找出發電機組跳機後的跳機佔比與系統頻率最大偏差值之間存在高度相關性,因此透過收集及分析發電機組近期跳機數據,產生跳機佔比與系統頻率最大偏差值的迴歸關係線,供後續預估如發生發電機組跳機時的系統最低頻率;如此,本發明預估的最低頻率可讓電力系統調度操作人員更直接地了解潛在的頻率偏差,確保在再生能源高滲透率情境下之系統運轉調度安全,避免因跳機事件觸動低頻卸載電驛,影響用戶用電,提升供電品質;例如,系統調度操作人員可以根據預估發生跳機事件後電力系統的最低頻率,來調度額外的機組,讓發電機組在正常操作中提供足夠的慣性支持,當跳機後電力系統可從高頻率偏差中恢復。 It can be seen from the above description that the present invention, based on data collection, observation and analysis of trip events over many years, finds that there is a high correlation between the proportion of trips after the generator set trips and the maximum deviation of the system frequency. Therefore, through collection and Analyze the recent trip data of the generator set to generate a regression relationship line between the proportion of trips and the maximum deviation of the system frequency for subsequent estimation of the lowest system frequency when the generator set trips; in this way, the lowest frequency estimated by the present invention can be Allow power system dispatch operators to more directly understand potential frequency deviations, ensure the safety of system operation and dispatch in the context of high renewable energy penetration, and avoid tripping events that trigger low-frequency unloading relays, affecting users' power consumption, and improving power supply quality; For example, system dispatch operators can dispatch additional units based on the estimated minimum frequency of the power system after a trip event, so that the generator set can provide sufficient inertial support during normal operation. Recovery in deviation.
此外,本發明的預估的發生跳機事件後電力系統最低頻率的結果也可以評估系統所需的調頻備轉容量是否足夠,確保系統在遭遇大擾動事件時之供電穩定,不會影響到用戶之用電。 In addition, the estimated result of the lowest frequency of the power system after a trip event of the present invention can also assess whether the required frequency modulation backup capacity of the system is sufficient, and ensure that the system is stable in power supply when encountering a large disturbance event, and will not affect users. It uses electricity.
再者,本發明的預估的發生跳機事件後電力系統最低頻率的結果也做為系統調度操作人員的離線學習工具。 Furthermore, the estimated result of the lowest frequency of the power system after the occurrence of a trip event in the present invention is also used as an offline learning tool for system dispatch operators.
綜上所述,現有電力系統在再生能源參透率增加下,發電機組於跳機後可阻止系統頻率衰減的能力下降,導致跳機事件觸動低頻卸載電驛事件發生,嚴重影響用戶用電提升供電品質;因此,本發明電力系統發生跳機事件後的最低頻率值預測方法,針對發電機組跳機後電力統最低頻率的預估,讓系統調度員依據此一跳機後系統最低頻率來調度發電機組,讓系統跳機後的最低頻率值維持高於電力系統低頻卸載臨界值,確保電力系統供電可靠度。 To sum up, with the increase in the penetration rate of renewable energy in the existing power system, the ability of the generator set to prevent the attenuation of the system frequency after the trip is reduced, which causes the trip event to trigger the occurrence of the low-frequency unloading relay event, which seriously affects the user's power consumption and improvement of power supply. Quality; therefore, the method for predicting the lowest frequency value after a trip event occurs in the power system of the present invention is aimed at estimating the lowest frequency of the power system after the generator set trips, allowing the system dispatcher to dispatch power generation based on the lowest frequency of the system after the trip The unit keeps the lowest frequency value after the system tripping higher than the low-frequency unloading critical value of the power system to ensure the reliability of the power supply of the power system.
以上所述僅是本發明的實施例而已,並非對本發明做任何形式上的限制,雖然本發明已以實施例揭露如上,然而並非用以限定本發明,任何所屬技術領域中具有通常知識者,在不脫離本發明技術方案的範圍內,當可利用上述揭示的技術內容作出些許更動或修飾為等同變化的等效實施例,但凡是未脫離本發明技術方案的內容,依據本發明的技術實質對以上實施例所作的任何簡單修改、等同變化與修飾,均仍屬於本發明技術方案的範圍內。 The above are only the embodiments of the present invention and do not limit the present invention in any form. Although the present invention has been disclosed in the above embodiments, it is not intended to limit the present invention. Anyone with ordinary knowledge in the relevant technical field, Without departing from the scope of the technical solution of the present invention, when the technical content disclosed above can be used to make slight changes or modification into equivalent embodiments with equivalent changes, but any content that does not depart from the technical solution of the present invention is based on the technical essence of the present invention Any simple modifications, equivalent changes and modifications made to the above embodiments still fall within the scope of the technical solution of the present invention.
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CN101895121A (en) * | 2010-06-08 | 2010-11-24 | 国网电力科学研究院 | Low-frequency and low-voltage load-reducing control method based on multi-agent technology |
CN104333005A (en) * | 2014-08-18 | 2015-02-04 | 西南交通大学 | Electrical-power-system post-disturbance frequency dynamic-state prediction method based on support vector regression |
CN107910879A (en) * | 2017-11-10 | 2018-04-13 | 大连理工大学 | A kind of active frequency response events control strategy |
TW201834346A (en) * | 2016-11-30 | 2018-09-16 | 英商迅應科技有限公司 | Determining a characteristic of an inertial contribution to an electric power grid |
CN108631301A (en) * | 2018-05-11 | 2018-10-09 | 大连理工大学 | A kind of safety margin division methods considering a variety of fast frequency resource responses |
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CN101895121A (en) * | 2010-06-08 | 2010-11-24 | 国网电力科学研究院 | Low-frequency and low-voltage load-reducing control method based on multi-agent technology |
CN104333005A (en) * | 2014-08-18 | 2015-02-04 | 西南交通大学 | Electrical-power-system post-disturbance frequency dynamic-state prediction method based on support vector regression |
TW201834346A (en) * | 2016-11-30 | 2018-09-16 | 英商迅應科技有限公司 | Determining a characteristic of an inertial contribution to an electric power grid |
CN107910879A (en) * | 2017-11-10 | 2018-04-13 | 大连理工大学 | A kind of active frequency response events control strategy |
CN108631301A (en) * | 2018-05-11 | 2018-10-09 | 大连理工大学 | A kind of safety margin division methods considering a variety of fast frequency resource responses |
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