KR20010067694A - How to Measure Winning Probability Information in Horse Racing and Racing, and Method and System for Providing the Information - Google Patents

Abstract

PURPOSE: A winning probability measurement system and method is provided to extract the winning probability of each horse or cycle in the horse race or the cycling race on a basis of past record data and variations of a current dividend size. CONSTITUTION: The method comprises steps of reading variation of a dividend size from a specific time, before starting the race, to a race finishing time(110), comparing the dividend size variation before the race starting with the winning probability according to the dividend size variation in the past(120), extracting the current winning probability of each horse or cycle based on the comparison result(130), mixing the extracted winning probability with the past record data(140), extracting a final optimal winning probability by mixing the mixed probability resulted from the step(140) with subjective analysis data of a specializer(150), and transmitting the final winning probability to members before the race starting(160).

Description

How to Measure Winning Probability Information in Horse Racing and Racing, and Method and System for Providing the Information {omitted}

The present invention provides a method and information for deriving a winning probability of each racehorse (or person) on the basis of changes in the historical record data and the dividend size that is currently changing in real time in a race for betting such as horse racing or racing. It relates to methods and systems.

A race that bets with horse racing (or racing) decides on the winning horse and bets on the horse. At this time, in predicting and deciding which horse will win, based on the horse's past race records, such as driving speed, record, weight, recent performance of the horse, etc. In consideration of the weight of the horseman riding a horse, achievement, and affinity with the horse, one or several horses will be selected for betting money. This analysis process is the same as the basic analysis which considers the financial status and marketability of individual companies in stock investment. The above analysis method is the most common method for betting on horse racing, but the day when the booklet, such as the horse racing prediction site, which is the basic data of the analysis is issued, is printed every Thursday. In other words, the race day is Saturday and Sunday, and printing is finished about two days ago. However, one error occurs here. It is a problem that only the information of a few days ago is analyzed without considering the variables that occur just before the race on the day of racing.

For example, in the case of stocks, the stock price does not move solely by financial information, and the stock price fluctuates according to the psychological state of investors on the day or the present time. Thus, psychological support and resistance are created, which represent the change in real time at the moment of trading. Horse racing is also consistent with the above example. When a bet on a horse selects a particular horse as a winning horse, a lot of people bet on the specific horse, the lower the dividend size, the smaller the relative dividend size increases. Eventually, people's expectations are reflected, and the indicator that reflects the information analyzed by many people in real time is the change in dividend size that changes with the passage of time just before the race. However, in the related art, only a few days ago, the state of the horse and the person or the past whole history are analyzed only, and there is a problem in that it does not reflect the dividend change, which is a relative psychological factor changing in real time.

An object of the present invention for solving the above problems is to use the basic analysis information, such as the history of the past horses or the state of horses and jockeys, and to measure the change in the dividend size from the current point of time to a point before the race The result of the winning probability is derived by comparing this with the statistical value of the winning probability according to the change in the dividend size. In addition, the information is processed at an efficient ratio with the basic analysis information (horses, people's state, state, etc.) and the information users are provided with real time information using mobile communication or wired communication. To provide information.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS In order to better understand the drawings cited in the detailed description of the invention, a brief description of each drawing is provided.

1 is a flowchart illustrating a method of measuring and providing information on winning probability information in a race and a race according to the present invention.

FIG. 2 is a diagram illustrating a method of measuring a correlation between a dividend size change and a probability of winning or running in the past of FIG. 1.

FIG. 3 is a diagram explaining the description of FIG. 2 in detail.

FIG. 4 is a view for explaining a method of comparing the past and present dividend size changes of FIG. 1 and deriving a result value.

5 is a view for explaining a method of mixing with the race record data of FIG.

6 is a diagram showing a system configuration and an information providing method of the present invention.

In order to achieve the above object, the present invention,

(a) measuring a real-time dividend size change that fluctuates over time; (b) comparing the winning probability according to the past dividend size change with the current dividend change; (c) deriving a probability of winning the current individual racehorse (or person) based on the comparison data; (d) mixing the resultant values with the game record data: (e) deriving a final winning probability; (f) It provides a method of measuring the probability of winning in horse racing and racing, and the method of providing the information comprising the step of transmitting the derived winning probability information to membership members subscribed to the service.

A computer that is networked with a computer such as a horse race (or a race association) to achieve the other object; A program that can compare real-time dividend size and make a winning prediction; A system is provided that includes providing information using a communication means such as wired or wireless.

The step (a) is characterized in that it reads the current real-time dividend size change in conjunction with a computer, such as a horse racing (or racing association) indicating the change in dividend size before the race starts.

Step (b) includes statistical values for calculating the correlation between the change in dividend size and the winning probability over the past period of time. In addition, the past statistics and the current real-time dividend size is characterized in that the comparison.

Step (c) is characterized in that it comprises deriving the winning probability of the individual horse (or person) in the current game based on the result of step (b).

Step (d) includes appropriately mixing subjective win probability values obtained by an expert, such as historical and pre-race conditions, such as race horses and jockeys, in an objective real-time winning probability statistics according to the change in the dividend size. It is characterized by.

The step (e) is characterized in that it derives the best winning probability result value close to reality as a result of the step (d).

In the step (f), the winning probability result value of the derived individual horse (or person) is transmitted to the membership member who subscribed to the service using voice or wireless communication means such as a mobile phone, a pager, a landline phone, and the Internet. Or transmitting in the form of text information or the like.

Hereinafter, the configuration and operation of the present invention will be described in detail with reference to the accompanying drawings.

1 is a flow chart illustrating a method of measuring information and providing a probability of winning information in horse racing and racing according to the present invention.

In racing or racing, the change in the dividend size is read from a specific point before the start of the race to a specific point just before the start of the race. (110)

For example, in the case of horse racing, a horse may be purchased for 30 minutes before the race starts by selecting a horse number desired by the user. From this point on, a dividend is displayed for each horse on the dashboard indicating the dividend of the racetrack. After that, depending on the amount of money users buy at the end of the horse, the dividend will continue to change until just before the race begins. That is, the more the user buys a bookmaker to pay for a particular horse 'A', the more the dividend of the 'A' specific horse decreases, and the dividend of a horse that takes relatively less money goes up.

For example, the dividend of the word 'A' was 50 times 30 minutes ago, but if the users continue to make money on the word 'A', the dividend of the word 'A' continues to fall. Thus, if the dividend fell five times three minutes before the race started, if the word 'A' came first in the race, the users would be paid five times as much money as the race. The dividend between 30 minutes and 3 minutes before the start of the game changed from 50 to 5 times. The process 110 is a process of reading in real time the change in the dividend size according to the change of time in connection with a computer such as horse racing (or racing association) in a network.

Before the start of the current race read in step 110, the change in the dividend size over time is compared with the winning probability according to the change in the dividend size over a certain period of time.

2 and 3 are diagrams showing a method of measuring a correlation between a change in dividend size over time and a probability of winning or semi-winning. Referring to Figures 2 and 3 will be described in detail the method for measuring the dividend size change of the 120 process.

210 of FIG. 2 shows each individual horse number, and 220-250 shows a dividend of the horses. A-1 of FIG. 2 shows the dividend state of horse 1, 10 minutes before the race time, and shows the current dividend 75 times. It fell to a payout of 70 times (A-2) nine minutes before the race, and changed to 65 times (A-3) seven minutes before the race and 30 times (A-4) three minutes before the race. That is, the dividend size was reduced by about 60% for a total of 7 minutes from A-1 to A-4.

Figure 3 is a graph showing the variation of the dividend size over time. Referring to the graph of FIG. 3, the dividend size drops sharply from 7 minutes before the start of the race. This is an indicator of the fact that seven minutes before the race time, many users are buying bookmakers who make money at the end of the first round.

If the horse wins when the dividend size is reduced by 60% for a total of 7 minutes as in the case of FIG. 2 through the process of FIGS. 2 and 3, the data is continuously accumulated as an example, and the dividend size according to the passage of time. Change and rate of change is the horse's chance of winning or running for runners. Also, if the dividend drops sharply a few minutes before the race time, what is the probability of winning or runner-up? It is the historical record data that makes a statistics, and accumulates this.

Through the comparison process of 120, the probability of winning the current individual race horse (or person) is derived.

4 is a diagram illustrating a method of comparing the past and present dividend size changes and a method of deriving a result value. Referring to FIG. 4, the winning probability according to the dividend size change according to the passage of time of the past one year is shown at 410. 410 in the figure is a database accumulating the number of various cases over the past year.

For example, comparing the number of cases accumulated in the database of 410 with the width of the dividend change 420 correlated with the current time generated in real time as shown in 430 of FIG. The result is -1. In other words, as in the case of B-1, B-4 causes the same change as in the case of B-1, so the current winning probability is estimated as 50% chance of winning the championship 60% like the case of B-1. You can make it.

Also, in deriving this value, the dividend change that occurred 6 minutes before the start of the race was a more serious change, weighting more than the change that occurred 10 minutes ago, resulting in a 50% reduction in dividend size like the 10 minutes ago. However, you can derive high winning or semi-final odds expectations, like B-3. In the case of B-3, it is a concept that adds a variable that a race or race is imminent just before the start of a race and the championship can be masked by important information or event. In fact, horse racing purchases are most active at the start of racing, so the weights can be given as above, which can give appropriate weights in the process of researching the probability.

By the above process, the winning probability value according to the change in the dividend size is mixed with the racing record data.

5 is a view for explaining a method of mixing with the race record data of the step 140. Referring to FIG. 5, 510 parts of the past record data related to the race are mixed with the winning probability 520 according to the change in the dividend size. 510 of FIG. 5 shows the average driving speed, weight, recent history, assistant professor's opinion, and relationship with the jockey of individual racehorses. It is the record data related to the past race.

The analytical data of 510 indicates a subjective tendency of large deviation depending on the person analyzing. Subjective analytical data of the expert and the winning odds of the dividend size change obtained by the process of 130 are mixed with each other at an appropriate ratio. In other words, the optimal winning probability result value is derived by mixing the subjective prediction and the prediction based on the objective statistics (150).

Information on the final winning or semi-final probability result value derived by the above process is transmitted to a membership member who has hoped to receive the information at a specific time before the race starts.

The transmitting method may be transmitted in the form of text or voice, Internet content, e-mail, etc. using wired or wireless communication means such as a mobile phone, the Internet, a telephone, a special terminal manufactured for the purpose.

The specific time point at which the information is transmitted may be set to be transmitted at the most optimal time zone by any information provider, such as 10 minutes before, 9 minutes before, 7 minutes before, etc. of the race.

6 shows a system configuration diagram of the present invention.

610 of FIG. 6 is a system for displaying dividends of horse racing or race associations. The system 610 and the winning prediction method of the present invention are programmed and interworked with a computer 620 such as a built-in server or a PC. The winning probability predicted by the flowchart of FIG. 1 is transmitted to a communication relay system of a telecommunication company such as Korea Telecom, and the transmitted information is transmitted to the user terminal by using a wireless communication means.

In addition, the computer 620 may transmit the winning prediction information to a website, an email, a telephone, or the like by using a wired communication means such as an internet network or a telephone line.

The drawings and specification are merely exemplary of the invention, which are used for the purpose of illustrating the invention only and are not intended to limit the scope of the invention as defined in the appended claims or claims. Therefore, those skilled in the art should understand that various modifications and equivalent other embodiments are possible from this. Therefore, the true technical protection scope of the present invention will be defined by the technical spirit of the appended claims.

According to the present invention has the following effects in betting on horse racing or racing.

First, a booklet, such as a horse racing essay, was published a few days before the race date, so it was important to detect the change in the dividend size that changes in real time and select the winner. By applying it as a variable, it can be an effective resource for reading the psychological indicators of horse racing bets and selecting the winners.

Second, in the case of horse racing or racing, the winner is often determined by the change in dividends just before the race, as expected by the comprehensive power analysis of horses and people. By calculating the odds and properly combining the subjective analysis of the current state according to the race record data, both important information will be considered immediately before the race. This makes it possible to predict optimal results.

Claims (11)

(a) measuring a real-time dividend size change that changes over time; (b) comparing the winning probability according to the change in the previous dividend size with the current dividend change; (c) deriving a probability of winning the current individual racehorse (or person) based on the comparison data; (d) mixing the resulting data with the match record data: (e) deriving a final winning probability; and (f) transmitting the derived winning probability information to the membership member subscribing to the service. A computer that is networked to read real-time dividend changes of the Horse Racing or Race Association; A program in which the method of predicting the championship is calculated by comparing the dividend change and the past record read in real time in the computer; And a communication relay system and a system linked with an internet network to transmit the predicted result using wired and wireless communication means. The method of claim 1, wherein step (a) comprises: A method for measuring the odds of winning in a race and a race, characterized by reading the current real-time dividend size change in conjunction with a computer such as a horse racing society (or a race association) indicating a change in the dividend size before the race starts. According to claim 1, wherein step (b), Comprising statistics that calculate the correlation between the change in the dividend size and the winning probability according to the change in the pre-race time in the past period, the horse racing characterized by comparing the past statistics with the current real-time dividend size change How to measure the probability of winning a race. The method of claim 1, wherein step (c) comprises: The method of measuring the probability of winning in a race and a race, characterized in that to derive the winning probability of the individual horse (or person) in the current game based on the result of the comparison process of the dividend change. The method of claim 1, wherein step (d) Horse racing, characterized in that the objective real-time winning probability statistics according to the dividend size change, appropriately mix (subjective) the subjective winning probability values analyzed by experts, such as historical and pre-race conditions such as race horses and jockeys, etc. How to measure the probability of winning a race. The method of claim 1, wherein step (e) A method of measuring a winning probability in racing and racing, comprising: appropriately mixing the objective real-time winning probability statistics with a subjective analysis result of an expert to derive the best winning probability result value close to reality. The method of claim 1, wherein step (f) comprises: And transmitting the resultant probability of winning the individual horse (or person) to a membership member who has subscribed to the service by using a wired or wireless communication means such as a mobile phone, a pager, a landline phone, and the Internet. How to provide information on the probability of winning horse racing and racing. The method of claim 7, wherein the mixing to derive the winning probability, And a service manager can change the mixing ratio arbitrarily according to the situation in order to increase the winning probability hit result. The method of claim 2, wherein the wired and wireless communication means, Winning probability information providing system, characterized in that it includes a landline, the Internet, a mobile phone, a pager, a special terminal designed for the purpose. According to claim 8, The information providing method, Method for providing the probability of winning information in a race and a race, characterized in that it comprises a form of providing information such as voice information, text information, content information on the website screen, email.