CN115034035A - Multi-pollutant cross-boundary transmission flux quantification integration technology and transmission channel identification method - Google Patents
Multi-pollutant cross-boundary transmission flux quantification integration technology and transmission channel identification method Download PDFInfo
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Abstract
本发明公开了一种多污染物跨界传输通量量化集成技术及传输通道识别方法;本发明采用立体观测和模型模拟相互印证的方法,针对不同的情形(定点、走航、跨边界等),定量揭示多种大气污染物的跨界传输规律,并实现传输量化模拟与观测结果的直接对比验证;进一步基于大气污染物跨界传输通量量化结果,识别目标区域大气污染的主要传输通道。本发明的有益效果在于,其能定量揭示城市与城市、区县与区县之间污染跨界传输规律,解决大气污染责任划分的难题。
The invention discloses a multi-pollutant transboundary transmission flux quantification integration technology and a transmission channel identification method; the invention adopts the method of mutual verification of stereoscopic observation and model simulation, aiming at different situations (fixed point, navigation, cross-border, etc.) Quantitatively reveal the transboundary transmission law of various air pollutants, and realize the direct comparison and verification of quantitative transmission simulation and observation results; further, based on the quantitative results of transboundary transmission flux of air pollutants, identify the main transmission channels of air pollution in the target area. The beneficial effect of the present invention lies in that it can quantitatively reveal the law of cross-border transmission of pollution between cities, districts and counties, and solve the problem of air pollution responsibility division.
Description
技术领域technical field
本发明涉及立体观测、模型模拟、多种污染物跨界传输通量量化计算以及大气污染传输通道识别等技术领域,更为具体来说,涉及多污染物跨界传输通量量化集成技术及传输通道识别方法。The invention relates to the technical fields of stereoscopic observation, model simulation, quantitative calculation of the transboundary transmission flux of various pollutants, identification of air pollution transmission channels, etc., and more specifically, relates to the multi-pollutant transboundary transmission flux quantification integration technology and transmission Channel identification method.
背景技术Background technique
近年来,大气环境污染整体上呈现出“多污染问题共存、多污染源叠加、多尺度关联、多过程耦合、多介质影响”的复合型特征。以PM2.5和O3污染为特征的区域复合型大气污染问题日益突出,引起了国内外研究学者的广泛关注。在大气环流的影响下,PM2.5传输距离远、影响范围广、跨界输送特征显著,会导致连片区域PM2.5浓度升高、灰霾及光化学污染频繁发生等重污染现象,对大气环境质量和能见度、气候变化、人体健康以及国民经济发展造成极大的威胁。多项研究表明,当前城市大气污染具有多尺度复合型污染特征,即先由单个污染源排放引起小尺度和局地污染,其次经过城市的点、线、面混合、污染扩散及化学转化过程,演变成城市尺度污染;在特定的地理环境下和一定的大气环流背景下,再通过跨城市、跨省份、跨区域等中远距离输送影响其他地区,最终演变成区域复合型污染。因此,如何解决各城市之间、省之间、区域之间存在的大气污染物跨界输送问题,定量识别污染物跨界传输规律,是有效改善区域空气质量、实现区域大气污染联防联控的当务之急。In recent years, atmospheric environmental pollution as a whole has shown a composite characteristic of "multiple pollution problems coexisting, multiple pollution sources superimposed, multi-scale correlation, multi-process coupling, and multi-media influence". The regional complex air pollution problem characterized by PM 2.5 and O 3 pollution has become increasingly prominent, which has attracted extensive attention of domestic and foreign researchers. Under the influence of atmospheric circulation, PM 2.5 has a long transmission distance, a wide range of influence, and significant cross-border transport characteristics, which will lead to heavy pollution phenomena such as increased PM 2.5 concentration in contiguous areas, frequent occurrence of haze and photochemical pollution, and adversely affect the quality of the atmospheric environment. and visibility, climate change, human health and national economic development pose a great threat. A number of studies have shown that the current urban air pollution has the characteristics of multi-scale complex pollution, that is, small-scale and local pollution is first caused by the emission of a single pollution source, and then it evolves through the city’s point, line, and surface mixing, pollution diffusion and chemical transformation processes. Urban-scale pollution; under a specific geographical environment and a certain atmospheric circulation background, it will affect other regions through medium- and long-distance transportation such as across cities, provinces, and regions, and eventually evolve into regional composite pollution. Therefore, how to solve the problem of cross-border transportation of air pollutants between cities, provinces and regions, and quantitatively identify the law of cross-border transmission of pollutants, is an effective way to improve regional air quality and achieve joint prevention and control of regional air pollution. top priority.
目前,广泛用于开展污染物空间来源解析研究的技术方法主要分为以下几种:后向轨迹模型、大气污染观测与数学统计法、空气质量模型法等。后向轨迹模型(HYSPLIT-4)能较为完整的模拟多种污染物输送扩散和沉降过程,被广泛应用于大气污染输送的研究当中。然而,后向轨迹模型没有考虑传输过程中污染物的化学反应过程,在模拟轨迹运行时对于传输距离的估算有较为明显的偏差,不能定量识别不同地区对目标地区的传输贡献。潜在源贡献因子法(PSCF)和浓度轨迹加权法(CWT)需要长期连续的观测,观测站点不能代表整个城市或区域,并且设定的临界值会带有明显的主观性。采用各种污染物监测设备,对区域多尺度大气污染物开展空间立体实时在线观测,利用观测资料获取污染物的空间分布和传输路径,可有效识别污染物在不同区域之间相互传输的规律与特征。常用的观测设备包括激光雷达立体观测、激光雷达走航观测、多轴差分吸收光谱在线监测系统 (MAX-DOAS)等。空气质量模型法综合利用大气污染源排放清单数据和模拟气象背景场数据,用三维数值法对气体、气溶胶等大气污染物在大气中的传输、化学转化、扩散以及沉降等过程进行模拟,可以定量估算不同区域污染源和多个排放源对受体点各种污染物浓度的贡献情况,是目前国内外学者研究多尺度污染传输问题应用最广泛、最重要的手段之一。目前,主流的空气质量模型有CMAQ、CAMx、WRF-Chem、NAQPMS等,基于上述模型,可模拟获取不同源区对受体点位、受体城市的污染贡献,建立近地面污染物跨区域、跨城市的传输贡献矩阵。然而,针对垂直方向上不同高度相邻区域与区域之间、相邻城市与城市之间、相邻区县与区县之间以及相邻道路与道路之间各类污染物的输送情况,如何定量计算相邻边界的跨界输送量,目前仍有待深入研究。同时,当前基于模型获取的各类污染物(如:空气动力学当量直径小于或等于2.5μm的大气颗粒物PM2.5、O3等)的传输贡献矩阵,可以定量模拟解析某一城市、某一区域对某一受体点位、某一城市、某一区域的污染传输贡献。但是,模型模拟具有一定的不确定性,与实际观测值会产生一定的偏差,当前传输量化方法多是针对模拟的污染物浓度进行验证,从而间接证明模拟获取的污染传输量化结果的准确性;而并不能通过传输监测数据直接对传输模拟数据进行直接验证。并且,基于污染物跨界传输通量识别污染传输通道的技术方法还尚未成熟。At present, the technical methods widely used in the research of spatial source analysis of pollutants are mainly divided into the following categories: backward trajectory model, atmospheric pollution observation and mathematical statistics method, air quality model method, etc. The backward trajectory model (HYSPLIT-4) can more completely simulate the transport, diffusion and deposition processes of various pollutants, and is widely used in the research of air pollution transport. However, the backward trajectory model does not consider the chemical reaction process of pollutants during the transport process, and the estimation of the transport distance has obvious deviations when the simulated trajectory runs, and cannot quantitatively identify the transport contribution of different regions to the target region. Potential Source Contribution Factor (PSCF) and Concentration Trajectory Weighting (CWT) require long-term continuous observations, observation sites cannot represent the entire city or region, and the set thresholds are obviously subjective. Using various pollutant monitoring equipment to carry out spatial three-dimensional real-time online observation of regional multi-scale atmospheric pollutants, and use the observation data to obtain the spatial distribution and transmission paths of pollutants, which can effectively identify the law and the mutual transmission of pollutants between different regions. feature. Commonly used observation equipment includes lidar stereo observation, lidar navigation observation, multi-axis differential absorption spectroscopy online monitoring system (MAX-DOAS) and so on. The air quality model method comprehensively uses the air pollution source emission inventory data and the simulated meteorological background field data, and uses the three-dimensional numerical method to simulate the transportation, chemical transformation, diffusion and deposition of air pollutants such as gases and aerosols in the atmosphere. Estimating the contribution of different regional pollution sources and multiple emission sources to the concentration of various pollutants at the receptor site is one of the most widely used and important methods for domestic and foreign scholars to study multi-scale pollution transmission problems. At present, the mainstream air quality models include CMAQ, CAMx, WRF-Chem, NAQPMS, etc. Based on the above models, the pollution contributions of different source regions to receptor sites and recipient cities can be simulated and obtained, and the cross-regional, Transmission contribution matrix across cities. However, for the transportation of various pollutants between adjacent areas with different heights in the vertical direction, between adjacent cities and cities, between adjacent districts and counties, and between adjacent roads and roads, how to Quantitative calculation of the transboundary transport volume of adjacent boundaries still needs to be further studied. At the same time, the current transmission contribution matrix of various pollutants (such as atmospheric particulate matter with aerodynamic equivalent diameter less than or equal to 2.5μm PM 2.5 , O 3 , etc.) obtained by the model can quantitatively simulate and analyze a certain city or a certain area. Contribution to pollution transmission at a receptor site, a city, or a region. However, the model simulation has certain uncertainty, and there will be a certain deviation from the actual observation value. Most of the current transmission quantification methods are to verify the simulated pollutant concentration, which indirectly proves the accuracy of the pollution transmission quantification results obtained by the simulation; However, it is not possible to directly verify the transmission simulation data by transmitting the monitoring data. Moreover, the technical method for identifying pollution transmission channels based on the transboundary transmission flux of pollutants is not yet mature.
发明内容SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION
针对现有技术的不足,本发明的目的在于提供一种多污染物跨界传输通量量化集成技术及传输通道识别方法,其对于解决相邻区域、相邻城市、相邻区县、相邻道路间跨界输送问题,准确揭示大气污染物跨界输送量化规律具有重要的意义。同时,也可以为解决相邻城市间大气污染相互传输与责任划分问题提供科技支撑。In view of the deficiencies of the prior art, the purpose of the present invention is to provide a multi-pollutant transboundary transmission flux quantification integration technology and a transmission channel identification method, which are useful for solving adjacent areas, adjacent cities, adjacent districts and counties, adjacent For the problem of cross-border transportation between roads, it is of great significance to accurately reveal the quantitative law of cross-border transportation of air pollutants. At the same time, it can also provide scientific and technological support for solving the problems of mutual transmission and responsibility division of air pollution between adjacent cities.
本发明的技术方案具体介绍如下。The technical solutions of the present invention are specifically introduced as follows.
本发明提供一种基于观测与模拟相互印证的多污染物跨界传输通量量化集成技术方法,其基于激光雷达定点观测与WRF-CAMx三维数值模型分别获得污染物的定点传输通量观测值和模拟值,进而通过对模拟结果验证的准确性进行分析,调整模型参数,以优化WRF-CAMx三维数值模型提高模型模拟准确性;其中:The invention provides a multi-pollutant transboundary transmission flux quantification integration technology method based on the mutual verification of observation and simulation, which obtains the fixed-point transmission flux observation value and Then, by analyzing the accuracy of the verification of the simulation results, adjust the model parameters to optimize the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model to improve the accuracy of the model simulation; among which:
激光雷达定点观测获取污染物的定点传输通量观测值时,其基于激光雷达与风廓线仪进行在线观测,将两台设备分别获得的大气污染物质量浓度立体分布结构与三维风场数据结合,得到观测站点不同高度的大气污染物传输通量的垂直分布;定点传输通量观测值为大气污染物的监测质量浓度和风矢量的乘积;When laser radar fixed-point observation obtains fixed-point transmission flux observations of pollutants, it is based on laser radar and wind profiler for online observation, and combines the three-dimensional distribution structure of atmospheric pollutant mass concentration obtained by the two devices with the three-dimensional wind field data. , the vertical distribution of the air pollutant transmission flux at different heights of the observation site is obtained; the observed value of the fixed point transmission flux is the product of the monitoring mass concentration of air pollutants and the wind vector;
利用WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟获取定点传输通量模拟值时,由于模式属于欧拉三维网格模式,因此将目标地区视为由多个网格构成的三维立体箱体,各个网格具有固定的三维空间坐标,分别提供研究区域内各个网格的气象要素与大气污染物浓度;为了获取每一网格同一离地高度处对应的风向、风速和大气污染物的浓度信息,方便与传输通量立体观测数据进行对比验证,将WRF和CAMx设置成相同的垂直层数和δ坐标参数,其中δ坐标参数是WRF气象模型中为了设置垂直方向上每一个垂直层高而定义的一种坐标参数,它的值域为[0-1],根据设定的δ坐标参数,WRF气象模型自动设置每一垂直层的高度;定点传输通量模拟值为污染物模拟质量浓度与模拟风矢量的乘积,其中污染物模拟质量浓度是通过CAMx空气质量模型模拟获取的,模拟风矢量包括风向和风速,是通过WRF气象模型模拟获取的。When the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model is used to obtain the simulated value of fixed-point transmission flux, since the mode belongs to the Euler three-dimensional grid mode, the target area is regarded as a three-dimensional box composed of multiple grids, and each grid has a fixed The three-dimensional spatial coordinates of the grid provide the meteorological elements and atmospheric pollutant concentrations of each grid in the study area. The WRF and CAMx are set to the same vertical layer number and delta coordinate parameter, where the delta coordinate parameter is a coordinate parameter defined in the WRF meteorological model to set the height of each vertical layer in the vertical direction. , its value range is [0-1]. According to the set δ coordinate parameters, the WRF meteorological model automatically sets the height of each vertical layer; the fixed-point transmission flux simulation value is the product of the simulated mass concentration of pollutants and the simulated wind vector. , where the simulated mass concentration of pollutants is obtained by simulating the CAMx air quality model, and the simulated wind vector, including wind direction and wind speed, is obtained by simulating the WRF meteorological model.
本发明中,基于激光雷达走航观测与WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟分别获得污染物的走航传输通量观测值和模拟值,进而通过对模拟结果验证的准确性进行分析,调整模型参数,以优化WRF-CAMx三维数值模型提高模型模拟准确性;其中:In the present invention, the observation value and simulation value of the pollutant's navigation transmission flux are obtained based on the laser radar navigation observation and the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model simulation, and then the model parameters are adjusted by analyzing the accuracy of the simulation result verification. To optimize the WRF-CAMx 3D numerical model to improve model simulation accuracy; where:
激光雷达走航观测获取污染物的走航传输通量观测值时,其基于激光雷达获取的闭环走航观测的大气污染物质量浓度的立体分布结果,结合三维风场信息和车辆行驶方位角与风向的夹角,即得到闭环监测路径上不同离地高度大气污染物传输通量的垂直分布;走航传输通量观测值计算公式如下:When lidar travel observation is used to obtain the observation value of the travel transmission flux of pollutants, it is based on the three-dimensional distribution results of the air pollutant mass concentration obtained by the closed-loop travel observation obtained by the lidar, combined with the three-dimensional wind field information and the azimuth angle of the vehicle. The included angle of the wind direction, that is, the vertical distribution of the air pollutant transmission flux at different heights above the ground on the closed-loop monitoring path; the calculation formula of the observation value of the navigation transmission flux is as follows:
Flux(z)=CP(z)×V(z)×sinθFlux(z) = CP(z)×V(z)×sinθ
式中:where:
Flux(z)——离地高度z处大气污染物的传输通量,单位:μg·m-2·s-1;Flux(z)——transmission flux of atmospheric pollutants at height z above ground, unit: μg·m -2 ·s -1 ;
CP(z)——离地高度z处大气污染物的质量浓度,单位:μg·m-2·s-1;C P (z)——mass concentration of air pollutants at height z above ground, unit: μg·m -2 ·s -1 ;
V(z)——离地高度z处的风速观测值,单位:m/s;V(z)——The observed wind speed at the height z above the ground, unit: m/s;
sinθ——GPS记录的车辆行驶方位角与风向的夹角;sinθ——the angle between the vehicle's azimuth and the wind direction recorded by GPS;
走航传输通量模拟值计算时,采用走航观测中关注的特定点位与WRF-CAMx模型模拟特定的网格点位通量模拟值进行对比验证,即此处走航传输通量模拟值为污染物模拟浓度与模拟风矢量的乘积。When calculating the simulated value of the navigation transmission flux, the specific points concerned in the navigation observation and the simulated value of the specific grid point flux simulated by the WRF-CAMx model are used for comparison and verification, that is, the simulated value of the navigation transmission flux here. is the product of the simulated concentration of the pollutant and the simulated wind vector.
本发明中,其基于高空气象-近地面污染物观测与WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟分别获得污染物的跨边界传输通量观测值和模拟值,进而通过对模拟结果验证的准确性进行分析,调整模型参数,以优化WRF-CAMx三维数值模型提高模型模拟准确性;In the present invention, the observation value and the simulated value of the transboundary transmission flux of the pollutant are obtained respectively based on the observation of high-altitude meteorology-near-ground pollutants and the simulation of the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model, and then the accuracy of the verification of the simulation results is analyzed, Adjust model parameters to optimize WRF-CAMx 3D numerical model to improve model simulation accuracy;
计算目标地区的大气污染物与周边相邻地区的跨边界传输通量观测值时,考虑目标地区与周边相邻地区的大气污染物监测浓度和风矢量观测值;对于大气污染物监测浓度来讲,通过假设的方法以点代面进行分析,假设通过近地面常规大气污染物监测设备在目标地区点位监测获取的近地面大气污染物浓度代表整个目标地区大气污染物的浓度,且垂直方向上污染浓度分布均匀,而相邻地区近地面的大气污染物浓度通过空气质量网站下载获取,同样作为每个相邻地区的整体浓度,且垂直方向浓度分布均匀;对于风矢量观测值来讲,假设目标地区与每个相邻地区接壤处的风矢量是一致的,也就是说,目标地区与每个相邻地区的风速和风向均采用基于目标地区架设的风廓线仪获取的风速和风向值;在此基础上,计算目标地区与每个相邻地区间的跨边界传输通量观测值;跨界传输通量观测值的计算公式如下:When calculating the air pollutants in the target area and the transboundary transmission flux observations in the surrounding areas, the air pollutant monitoring concentrations and wind vector observations in the target area and surrounding areas are considered; for air pollutant monitoring concentrations, Through the hypothetical method, the point is used to represent the surface. It is assumed that the concentration of air pollutants near the ground obtained through the monitoring of the conventional air pollutant monitoring equipment in the target area at the target area represents the concentration of air pollutants in the entire target area, and the pollution in the vertical direction The concentration distribution is uniform, and the concentration of air pollutants near the ground in adjacent areas is downloaded from the air quality website, which is also used as the overall concentration of each adjacent area, and the concentration distribution in the vertical direction is uniform; for wind vector observations, it is assumed that the target The wind vector at the border between the area and each adjacent area is consistent, that is to say, the wind speed and wind direction of the target area and each adjacent area are based on the wind speed and wind direction values obtained by the wind profiler set up in the target area; On this basis, the observed value of transboundary transmission flux between the target area and each adjacent area is calculated; the calculation formula of the observed value of transboundary transmission flux is as follows:
Fluxu=ΣhL·Hk·cup·u·8.64×10-8 Flux u = Σ h L · H k · c up · u · 8.64×10 -8
Fluxv=ΣhL·Hk·cup·v·8.64×10-8 Flux v = Σ h L · H k · c up · v · 8.64×10 -8
式中:Fluxu——东西方向上污染物的传输通量,单位:t/d;In the formula: Flux u - the transmission flux of pollutants in the east-west direction, unit: t/d;
Fluxv——南北方向上污染物的传输通量,单位:t/d;Flux v ——the transmission flux of pollutants in the north-south direction, unit: t/d;
h——风廓线仪观测的垂直最高层,单位:m;h——the vertical highest level observed by the wind profiler, unit: m;
L——两个相邻地区接触的边界线长度,单位:m;L——the length of the boundary line of the contact between two adjacent areas, unit: m;
Hk——风廓线仪垂直方向上的高度分辨率,单位:m;H k ——height resolution of the wind profiler in the vertical direction, unit: m;
Cup——处于上风向城市的大气污染物的质量浓度,单位:μg/m3;C up ——mass concentration of air pollutants in the upwind city, unit: μg/m 3 ;
u——东西方向上的风速,单位:m/s;u——wind speed in the east-west direction, unit: m/s;
v——南北方向上的风速,单位:m/s。v——wind speed in north-south direction, unit: m/s.
基于WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟多种大气污染物跨边界传输通量的方法如下:首先选取目标地区,按照行政边界线的方法划分大气污染跨边界传输的界线,确定与目标地区接壤的各个相邻地区,通过模型内的网格化划分,将模拟范围划分成不同的网格,用于模拟计算大气污染物污染跨界传输通量;The method of simulating the transboundary transmission flux of various air pollutants based on the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model is as follows: First, select the target area, divide the boundary of air pollution transboundary transmission according to the method of administrative boundary line, and determine each phase bordering the target area. In neighboring areas, the simulation range is divided into different grids through grid division in the model, which is used to simulate and calculate the transboundary transmission flux of air pollutant pollution;
将目标地区均视为由多个网格构成的三维立体箱体,选取箱体中某一垂直截面,计算截面上各个微元的流速、大气污染物浓度与面积的数量积,再对整个截面进行积分,即得到单位时间通过整个截面的大气污染物的质量;The target area is regarded as a three-dimensional box composed of multiple grids, a vertical section in the box is selected, the flow velocity of each micro-element on the section, the concentration of air pollutants and the quantitative product of the area are calculated, and then the entire section is calculated. Integrate to obtain the mass of air pollutants passing through the entire section per unit time;
WRF-CAMx模式属于欧拉三维网格模式,各个网格具有固定的三维空间坐标,分别提供研究区域内各个网格的气象要素与大气污染物浓度;此外,将WRF和CAMx设置成相同的垂直层数和δ坐标参数,目的是为了获取每一网格同一离地高度处对应的风向、风速和大气污染物浓度信息;综上,将需要计算截面按照WRF和CAMx模式内的网格划分方式进行离散化,利用两种模式的输出数据计算特定截面上大气污染物的跨边界传输通量,具体计算公式如下:The WRF-CAMx mode belongs to the Euler three-dimensional grid mode, each grid has fixed three-dimensional spatial coordinates, and provides the meteorological elements and atmospheric pollutant concentrations of each grid in the study area; in addition, the WRF and CAMx are set to the same vertical The number of layers and δ coordinate parameters are used to obtain the wind direction, wind speed and atmospheric pollutant concentration information corresponding to the same height above the ground for each grid. In summary, the calculation section will be calculated according to the grid division methods in the WRF and CAMx modes. For discretization, the output data of the two models are used to calculate the transboundary transport flux of air pollutants on a specific section. The specific calculation formula is as follows:
式中:Flux——大气污染物跨边界传输通量,单位:t/d;Where: Flux——transboundary flux of atmospheric pollutants, unit: t/d;
h——模型设置的垂直最高层,单位:m;h——the vertical highest level set by the model, unit: m;
l——两个毗邻区域的边界线,单位:m;l——Boundary line of two adjacent areas, unit: m;
L——模拟网格分辨率,单位:km;L——simulation grid resolution, unit: km;
Hk——模拟垂直层k与k+1之间的高度差;H k ——the height difference between the simulated vertical layer k and k+1;
c——大气污染物的质量浓度,单位:μg/m3;c——mass concentration of air pollutants, unit: μg/m 3 ;
v——风向与风速,单位:°和m/s;v——wind direction and wind speed, unit: ° and m/s;
n——通过垂直截面的法向量,无量纲;n——the normal vector passing through the vertical section, dimensionless;
基于跨边界传输通量计算公式,以大气污染物流入目标地区为正,流出目标地区为负,从单一箱体、边界线处同一离地高度多个箱体到垂直方向上所有箱体,分别计算不同离地高度处大气污染物流入通量、流出通量;净通量是指大气污染物流入与流出通量的矢量和累加,其中正值代表净流入通量,负值代表净流出通量。Based on the calculation formula of cross-boundary transmission flux, the inflow of air pollutants into the target area is positive, and the outflow of the target area is negative. From a single box, multiple boxes at the same ground height at the boundary line to all boxes in the vertical direction, Calculate the inflow and outflow fluxes of air pollutants at different heights above the ground; the net flux refers to the vector sum of the inflow and outflow fluxes of air pollutants, where positive values represent net inflow fluxes, and negative values represent net outflow fluxes quantity.
本发明中,WRF-CAMx三维数值模型中,WRF和CAMx的垂直层数均设置为28层。In the present invention, in the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model, the vertical layers of WRF and CAMx are both set to 28 layers.
本发明中,通过引入相关性系数COR,标准化平均偏差NMB和标准化平均误差NME统计指标,对污染物的传输通量观测值与模拟值进行对比验证,对模拟结果验证的准确性进行分析。In the present invention, by introducing the correlation coefficient COR, the standardized average deviation NMB and the standardized average error NME statistical index, the observation value of the pollutant transmission flux and the simulated value are compared and verified, and the accuracy of the verification of the simulation result is analyzed.
本发明还提供一种基于污染物跨边界传输通量识别污染传输通道的方法,包括如下步骤:The present invention also provides a method for identifying a pollution transmission channel based on the transboundary transmission flux of pollutants, comprising the following steps:
基于优化的WRF-CAMx三维数值模型,模拟得到研究区域内各个城市与周边毗邻的之间大气污染物的流入通量、流出通量和净通量,根据每个目标城市大气污染物流入与流出的方向,并将目标地区内所有的城市流入与流出方向进行梳理、整合,从而获取该区域内大气污染物整体的流入与流出方向,进而识别目标地区内的传输通道。Based on the optimized WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model, the inflow, outflow and net fluxes of air pollutants between each city in the study area and its surrounding areas are simulated. According to the inflow and outflow of air pollutants in each target city The inflow and outflow directions of all cities in the target area are sorted out and integrated, so as to obtain the overall inflow and outflow directions of air pollutants in the area, and then identify the transmission channels in the target area.
和现有技术相比,本发明的有益效果在于:Compared with the prior art, the beneficial effects of the present invention are:
(1)通过立体观测和模型模拟两类技术方法,面向不同情形下(定点、走航、跨边界)的多种污染物跨界传输定量的难题,准确揭示定点传输通量、走航传输通量和跨边界传输通量量化规律,识别区域、城市、区县、乡镇/街道之间的流入通量、流出通量和净通量的演变特征,解决多尺度(区域、城市、乡镇/街道)大气污染责任划分的难题。(1) Through the two technical methods of stereoscopic observation and model simulation, facing the quantitative problem of cross-border transmission of various pollutants in different situations (fixed-point, navigation, and cross-border), it can accurately reveal the fixed-point transmission flux, the navigation transmission flux Quantitative law of flux and transboundary transmission flux, identify the evolution characteristics of inflow flux, outflow flux and net flux among regions, cities, districts and counties, townships/streets, and solve multi-scale (regional, urban, township/street) ) the problem of division of responsibility for air pollution.
(2)采用立体观测与模型模拟相互印证的方法,将观测获取的定点传输通量、走航传输通量和跨边界传输通量与对应传输通量的模拟值进行对比验证,一方面突破了验证模拟准确性只依靠对气象参数和污染物浓度参数验证的局限性,实现了将传输量化的模拟结果与观测结果直接进行对比分析,确定模拟误差范围;另一方面还可以通过对比验证结果对模型进行优化校验,通过采用调整模型模拟参数、优化模拟方案以及完善大气污染源排放清单等多种方法,实现提高模型模拟准确性的目的。(2) Using the method of mutual verification between stereo observation and model simulation, the fixed-point transmission flux, navigation transmission flux and cross-boundary transmission flux obtained by observation were compared and verified with the simulated values of the corresponding transmission flux. To verify the accuracy of the simulation, it only depends on the limitations of the verification of meteorological parameters and pollutant concentration parameters, which realizes the direct comparison and analysis of the simulation results of the transmission quantification and the observation results, and determines the simulation error range; on the other hand, the comparison and verification results can also be used. The model is optimized and verified, and the purpose of improving the accuracy of the model simulation is achieved by adjusting the model simulation parameters, optimizing the simulation scheme, and improving the emission inventory of air pollution sources.
(3)基于多种大气污染物跨边界传输通量量化模拟,识别各种大气污染物在目标地区范围内每个跨边界的流入通量、流出通量和净通量,进而确定目标地区各种大气污染物的主要传输通道,为区域联防联控和重污染应急处理提供有效的科技支撑。(3) Based on the quantitative simulation of the transboundary transmission flux of various air pollutants, identify the inflow, outflow and net fluxes of various air pollutants in the target area for each transboundary, and then determine the various air pollutants in the target area. It is the main transmission channel of air pollutants, and provides effective scientific and technological support for regional joint prevention and control and emergency treatment of heavy pollution.
附图说明Description of drawings
图1为三维立体箱体示例。Figure 1 is an example of a three-dimensional box.
图2为PM2.5传输通量模拟值与观测值对比。Figure 2 shows the comparison between the simulated and observed values of PM 2.5 transmission flux.
图3为走航观测通量关键点位选取与PM2.5观测通量的垂直分布。Figure 3 shows the vertical distribution of the selection of key points of voyage observation flux and PM 2.5 observation flux.
图4为北京六环PM2.5走航模拟通量的垂直分布。Fig. 4 shows the vertical distribution of the simulated flux of PM 2.5 traveling in Beijing Sixth Ring Road.
图5为相邻地区间边界线识别示意。FIG. 5 is a schematic diagram of boundary line identification between adjacent regions.
图6为单位面积微元矢量示意。Figure 6 is a schematic diagram of a unit area micro-element vector.
图7为单个箱体垂直截面大气污染物流入通量与流出通量示意。Figure 7 is a schematic diagram of the inflow and outflow fluxes of atmospheric pollutants in the vertical section of a single box.
图8为离散化后的毗邻区域边界线处垂直截面示意。FIG. 8 is a schematic diagram of a vertical cross-section at the boundary line of the adjacent regions after discretization.
图9为顺义区与周边相邻区/市的地理位置分布。Figure 9 shows the geographical distribution of Shunyi District and its surrounding adjacent districts/cities.
图10为不同季节顺义与周边区县PM2.5净通量模拟值与观测值的垂直分布。Figure 10 shows the vertical distribution of simulated and observed PM 2.5 net fluxes in Shunyi and surrounding counties in different seasons.
图11为京津冀地区PM2.5污染主要传输通道。Figure 11 shows the main transmission channels of PM 2.5 pollution in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.
具体实施方式Detailed ways
下面结合附图和实施例对本发明的技术方案进行详细介绍。The technical solutions of the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments.
本发明基于WRF-CAMx模型建立了多污染物跨界传输通量量化集成技术及传输通道识别方法,实施例中主要以京津冀地区的PM2.5大气污染传输为例。除了京津冀区域和PM2.5污染物,本方法同样适用于其他任何一个区域以及其它的大气污染物(如O3、空气动力学当量直径小于或等于10μm的大气颗粒物PM10、CO、SO2、氮氧化物NOx以及挥发性有机物VOCs等)。The present invention establishes a multi-pollutant transboundary transmission flux quantification integration technology and a transmission channel identification method based on the WRF- CAMx model. In addition to the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and PM 2.5 pollutants, this method is also applicable to any other region and other atmospheric pollutants (such as O 3 , atmospheric particulate matter with aerodynamic equivalent diameter less than or equal to 10 μm PM 10 , CO, SO 2 ) , nitrogen oxides NOx and volatile organic compounds VOCs, etc.).
本发明基于气象雷达观测、激光雷达立体观测以及气象与空气质量模型(WRF-CAMx) 等技术手段,针对不同情形下的多污染物跨界传输,并引入相关性系数(COR)、标准化平均偏差(NMB)和标准化平均误差(NME)等3个统计指标对模拟值与观测值进行对比验证,旨在提供多污染物跨界传输通量量化集成技术及传输通道识别方法。其中多情形包括3种情形,详细如下:情形1:基于激光雷达定点观测与模型模拟相互印证的定点传输通量计算方法。情形2:基于激光雷达走航观测与模型模拟相互印证的走航传输通量计算方法。情形3:基于高空气象-污染物观测与模型模拟相互印证的跨边界传输通量计算方法。The present invention is based on meteorological radar observation, lidar stereoscopic observation, meteorological and air quality model (WRF-CAMx) and other technical means, aiming at the cross-border transmission of multiple pollutants in different situations, and introduces correlation coefficient (COR), standardized average deviation Three statistical indicators, such as (NMB) and normalized mean error (NME), were used to compare and verify the simulated value and the observed value, aiming to provide a quantitative integration technology of multi-pollutant transboundary transmission flux and a transmission channel identification method. Among them, many cases include three cases, the details are as follows: Case 1: The fixed-point transmission flux calculation method based on the mutual verification of lidar fixed-point observation and model simulation. Scenario 2: The calculation method of the navigation transmission flux based on the mutual verification of the Lidar navigation observation and the model simulation. Scenario 3: Based on the cross-boundary transport flux calculation method based on the mutual confirmation of upper-air meteorological-pollutant observations and model simulations.
WRF-CAMx模型是指气象模型WRF与空气质量模型CAMx构建的耦合三维数值模型,其中气象模型WRF可提供风矢量(风向和风速)的模拟值,空气质量模型CAMx可提供多种大气污染物的浓度。由于上述两种模型均为三维数值模型,因此可以模拟网格化目标地区垂直方向上不同高度的风矢量和大气污染物浓度值。为了获取每一网格同一离地高度处对应的风向、风速和大气污染物的浓度信息,方便与传输通量立体观测数据进行对比验证,将WRF和CAMx设置成相同的垂直层数(28层)和δ坐标参数,其中垂直层数是指将垂直方向上划分为不同的层数,每一个垂直层对应不同的高度,δ坐标参数是WRF气象模型中为了设置垂直方向上每一个垂直层高而定义的一种坐标参数,它的值域为[0-1],根据设定的δ坐标参数,WRF气象模型可以自动设置每一垂直层的高度。The WRF-CAMx model refers to the coupled three-dimensional numerical model constructed by the meteorological model WRF and the air quality model CAMx. The meteorological model WRF can provide the simulated values of wind vectors (wind direction and wind speed), and the air quality model CAMx can provide the simulation values of various air pollutants. concentration. Since the above two models are both three-dimensional numerical models, the wind vectors and atmospheric pollutant concentration values at different heights in the vertical direction of the gridded target area can be simulated. In order to obtain the wind direction, wind speed and concentration information of atmospheric pollutants corresponding to the same height above the ground of each grid, and to facilitate the comparison and verification with the stereoscopic observation data of transmission flux, the WRF and CAMx are set to the same vertical layer number (28 layers). ) and δ coordinate parameters, where the number of vertical layers refers to dividing the vertical direction into different layers, and each vertical layer corresponds to a different height. And a defined coordinate parameter, its value range is [0-1], according to the set delta coordinate parameter, the WRF meteorological model can automatically set the height of each vertical layer.
为评估基于模型获取的PM2.5跨界传输通量模拟结果的准确性,本专利引入相关性系数 (COR)、标准化平均偏差(NMB)和标准化平均误差(NME)等3个统计指标,计算公式如下:In order to evaluate the accuracy of the simulation results of PM 2.5 transboundary transmission flux obtained based on the model, this patent introduces 3 statistical indicators such as correlation coefficient (COR), normalized mean deviation (NMB) and normalized mean error (NME). as follows:
式中:Sim(i)和Obs(i)分别代表跨界传输通量(包括流入通量、流出通量及净通量)的模拟值与观测值,n代表样本数。where Sim (i) and Obs (i) represent the simulated and observed values of transboundary transmission fluxes (including inflow, outflow, and net flux), respectively, and n represents the number of samples.
情形1:基于激光雷达定点观测与模型模拟相互印证的定点传输通量计算方法。Case 1: The fixed-point transmission flux calculation method based on the mutual verification of lidar fixed-point observation and model simulation.
定点传输通量是指单位时间通过单位面积大气污染物的质量。The fixed-point transmission flux refers to the mass of air pollutants passing through a unit area per unit time.
其中,in,
(1)激光雷达定点观测获取污染物传输通量的原理是基于激光雷达与风廓线仪在线观测,将两台设备分别获得的大气污染物质量浓度立体分布结构与三维风场数据结合,就可得到观测站点不同高度的大气污染物传输通量的垂直分布。计算公式为污染物浓度与风速的乘积,即:(1) The principle of laser radar fixed-point observation to obtain pollutant transmission flux is based on the online observation of laser radar and wind profiler. The vertical distribution of the transport flux of atmospheric pollutants at different heights of the observation site can be obtained. The calculation formula is the product of pollutant concentration and wind speed, namely:
FLUXNSh=Cph×VNSh FLUX NSh =C ph ×V NSh
FLUXEWh=Cph×VEWh FLUX EWh =C ph ×V EWh
式中:where:
FLUXNSh——南北方向上离地高度h米大气污染物的定点传输通量观测值,单位为μg·m-2·s-1;当FLUXNSh为正值时,定义为大气污染物由南向北输入,当FLUXNSh为负值时,定义为大气污染物由北向南输出;FLUX NSh ——The observed value of the fixed-point transmission flux of air pollutants at a height of h meters above the ground in the north-south direction, the unit is μg·m -2 ·s -1 ; when FLUX NSh is a positive value, it is defined as the air pollutants from the south Input to the north, when FLUX NSh is negative, it is defined as the output of air pollutants from north to south;
FLUXEWh——东西方向上离地高度h米大气污染物的定点传输通量观测值,单位为μg·m-2·s-1;当FLUXEWh为正值时,定义为大气污染物由西向东输入,当FLUXEWh为负值时,定义为大气污染物由东向西输出;FLUX EWh ——the observed value of the fixed-point transmission flux of air pollutants at a height of h meters above the ground in the east-west direction, the unit is μg·m -2 ·s -1 ; when FLUX EWh is a positive value, it is defined as the air pollutants from the west East input, when FLUX EWh is negative, it is defined as the output of air pollutants from east to west;
CPh——离地高度h米处大气污染物(如O3、PM2.5等)的监测质量浓度,单位为μg/m3;C Ph - the monitored mass concentration of air pollutants (such as O 3 , PM 2.5 , etc.) at a height of h meters above the ground, in μg/m 3 ;
VNSh——离地高度h米处南北方向上的风矢量观测值,单位为m/s,当VNSh为正值时,表示风向为南风,当VNSh为负值时,表示风向为北风。V NSh ——The observed value of the wind vector in the north-south direction at the height of h meters above the ground, the unit is m/s. When V NSh is a positive value, it means that the wind direction is south wind, and when V NSh is a negative value, it means that the wind direction is north wind.
VEWh——离地高度h米处东西方向上的风矢量观测值,单位为m/s,当VEWh为正值时,表示风向为西风,当VEWh为负值时,表示风向为东风。V EWh ——The observed value of the wind vector in the east-west direction at a height of h meters above the ground, the unit is m/s. When V EWh is a positive value, it means that the wind direction is west wind, and when V EWh is a negative value, it means that the wind direction is east wind .
(2)WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟获取定点传输通量的原理是该模式属于欧拉三维网格模式,可将目标地区视为由多个网格构成的三维立体箱体(图1),各个网格具有固定的三维空间坐标,可以分别提供研究区域内各个网格的气象要素与大气污染物浓度。为了获取每一网格同一离地高度处对应的风向、风速和大气污染物的浓度信息,方便与传输通量立体观测数据进行对比验证,将WRF和CAMx设置成相同的垂直层数(28层)和δ参数,每一层对应的δ坐标分别为1.000,0.994,0.988,0.981,0.969,0.956,0.944,0.926,0.902,0.881,0.852,0.828,0.796,0.754,0.704,0.648,0.589,0.546,0.495,0.445,0.387,0.287,0.187,0.136, 0.091,0.061,0.020,0.000。表1给出了垂直方向上各δ坐标对应的高度。(2) The principle of WRF-CAMx 3D numerical model simulation to obtain fixed-point transmission flux is that the model belongs to the Euler 3D grid mode, and the target area can be regarded as a 3D box composed of multiple grids (Figure 1). Each grid has fixed three-dimensional spatial coordinates, which can provide the meteorological elements and atmospheric pollutant concentrations of each grid in the study area. In order to obtain the wind direction, wind speed and concentration information of atmospheric pollutants corresponding to the same height above the ground of each grid, and to facilitate the comparison and verification with the stereoscopic observation data of transmission flux, the WRF and CAMx are set to the same vertical layer number (28 layers). ) and delta parameters, the delta coordinates corresponding to each layer are 1.000, 0.994, 0.988, 0.981, 0.969, 0.956, 0.944, 0.926, 0.902, 0.881, 0.852, 0.828, 0.796, 0.754, 0.704, 0.648, 0.589, 0.546, 0.495, 0.445, 0.387, 0.287, 0.187, 0.136, 0.091, 0.061, 0.020, 0.000. Table 1 gives the height corresponding to each delta coordinate in the vertical direction.
表1垂直方向上各δ坐标与对应的高度Table 1 Each δ coordinate and corresponding height in the vertical direction
计算公式为污染物模拟浓度与模拟风速的乘积,即:The calculation formula is the product of the simulated concentration of pollutants and the simulated wind speed, namely:
FLUX'NSh=C'ph×vh FLUX' NSh =C' ph ×v h
FLUX'EWh=C'ph×uh FLUX' EWh = C' ph ×u h
式中:where:
FLUX’NSh——南北方向上离地高度h米大气污染物的定点传输通量模拟值,单位为μg·m-2·s-1;当FLUX’NSh为正值时,定义为大气污染物由南向北输入,当FLUX’NSh为负值时,定义为大气污染物由北向南输出;FLUX' NSh ——The simulated value of the fixed-point transmission flux of air pollutants at a height of h meters above the ground in the north-south direction, the unit is μg·m -2 ·s -1 ; when FLUX' NSh is a positive value, it is defined as air pollutants Input from south to north, when FLUX' NSh is negative, it is defined as the output of air pollutants from north to south;
FLUX’EWh——东西方向上离地高度h米大气污染物的定点传输通量模拟值,单位为μg·m-2·s-1;当FLUX’EWh为正值时,定义为大气污染物由西向东输入,当FLUX’EWh为负值时,定义为大气污染物由东向西输出;FLUX' EWh ——The fixed-point transmission flux simulation value of air pollutants at a height of h meters above the ground in the east-west direction, the unit is μg·m -2 ·s -1 ; when FLUX' EWh is a positive value, it is defined as air pollutants Input from west to east, when FLUX' EWh is negative, it is defined as the output of air pollutants from east to west;
C’Ph——离地高度h米处大气污染物(如O3、PM2.5等)的模拟质量浓度,单位为μg/m3;C' Ph — the simulated mass concentration of air pollutants (such as O 3 , PM 2.5 , etc.) at a height of h meters above the ground, in μg/m 3 ;
Vh——离地高度h米处南北方向上的风矢量模拟值,单位为m/s,当Vh为正值时,表示风向为南风,当Vh为负值时,表示风向为北风。V h ——The simulated value of wind vector in the north-south direction at the height of h meters above the ground, the unit is m/s. When V h is a positive value, it means that the wind direction is south wind, and when V h is a negative value, it means that the wind direction is north wind.
uh——离地高度h米处东西方向上的风矢量模拟值,单位为m/s,当uh为正值时,表示风向为西风,当uh为负值时,表示风向为东风。u h ——The simulated value of the wind vector in the east-west direction at a height of h meters above the ground, the unit is m/s. When u h is a positive value, it means that the wind direction is west wind, and when u h is a negative value, it means that the wind direction is east wind .
(3)下述示例1为2019年1月12日~15日基于激光雷达定点观测获取的传输通量结果,并与WRF-CAMx模型模拟结果进行对比验证(图2)。12日近地面PM2.5浓度达到此次重污染的极大值,定点传输通量的模拟值与观测值变化较为一致,相关性系数均在0.92以上, NMB值为-87.3%~24.1%,NME值为28.8%~87.3%。13日近地面PM2.5浓度有所降低,但仍保持较高的污染水平。与定点传输通量的模拟值相比,二者的相关性系数介于0.88~0.97之间,两种相对偏差指标值均有所降低,NMB和NME值范围分别为-19.3%~5.0%和 17.6%~32.2%。14日,模拟值与观测值在垂直方向上的演变趋势较为一致,NMB分别为 -20.4%和84.2%,NME分别为44.8%和84.2%。15日,PM2.5浓度降至较低水平,定点传输通量模拟值与观测值变化趋势较为一致,相关性系数均高于0.96,NMB和NME值范围分别为 -41.7%~-18.4%和19.5%~41.7%。综上所述,WRF-CAMx模拟系统可以较好的再现重污染期间PM2.5传输通量的演变特征。(3) The following example 1 is the transmission flux results obtained based on the fixed-point observation of lidar from January 12 to 15, 2019, and is compared and verified with the simulation results of the WRF-CAMx model (Figure 2). On the 12th, the PM 2.5 concentration near the ground reached the maximum value of this heavy pollution. The simulated value of the fixed-point transmission flux was consistent with the observed value, and the correlation coefficients were all above 0.92. The NMB value was -87.3% to 24.1%, and the NME The value ranges from 28.8% to 87.3%. On the 13th, the concentration of PM 2.5 near the ground decreased, but the pollution level remained high. Compared with the simulated value of fixed-point transmission flux, the correlation coefficient between the two is between 0.88 and 0.97, and the two relative deviation index values are reduced. 17.6%~32.2%. On the 14th, the evolution trend of the simulated value and the observed value in the vertical direction was relatively consistent, the NMB was -20.4% and 84.2%, and the NME was 44.8% and 84.2%, respectively. On the 15th, the concentration of PM 2.5 dropped to a lower level. The simulated value of fixed-point transmission flux was consistent with the observed value. The correlation coefficients were all higher than 0.96. The ranges of NMB and NME values were -41.7% to -18.4% and 19.5%, respectively. %~41.7%. In conclusion, the WRF-CAMx simulation system can well reproduce the evolution characteristics of PM 2.5 transmission flux during heavy pollution.
情形2:基于激光雷达走航观测与模型模拟相互印证的走航传输通量计算方法。Scenario 2: The calculation method of the navigation transmission flux based on the mutual verification of the Lidar navigation observation and the model simulation.
走航传输通量是指单位时间通过单位面积特定的垂直截面上大气污染物的质量。Navigational transmission flux refers to the mass of air pollutants passing through a specific vertical section per unit area per unit time.
其中,(1)激光雷达走航观测获取污染物传输通量的原理是基于激光雷达获取的闭环走航观测的大气污染物质量浓度的立体分布结果,结合三维风场信息和车辆行驶方位角与风向的夹角,即可得到闭环监测路径上不同离地高度大气污染物传输通量的垂直分布。计算公式如下:Among them, (1) the principle of obtaining pollutant transmission flux by lidar navigation observation is based on the three-dimensional distribution results of air pollutant mass concentration obtained by closed-loop navigation observation obtained by lidar, combined with three-dimensional wind field information and vehicle driving azimuth and The included angle of the wind direction can be used to obtain the vertical distribution of the transmission flux of atmospheric pollutants at different heights above the ground on the closed-loop monitoring path. Calculated as follows:
Flux(z)=CP(z)×V(z)×sinθFlux(z) = CP(z)×V(z)×sinθ
式中:where:
Flux(z)——离地高度z处大气污染物(如O3、PM2.5等)的走航传输通量,单位:μg·m-2·s-1;Flux(z)——the travel transmission flux of atmospheric pollutants (such as O 3 , PM 2.5 , etc.) at the height z above the ground, unit: μg·m -2 ·s -1 ;
CP(z)——离地高度z处大气污染物(如O3、PM2.5等)的质量浓度,单位:μg·m-2·s-1;C P (z)——mass concentration of air pollutants (such as O 3 , PM 2.5 , etc.) at height z above the ground, unit: μg·m -2 ·s -1 ;
V(z)——离地高度z处的风速观测值,单位:m/s;V(z)——The observed wind speed at the height z above the ground, unit: m/s;
sinθ——GPS记录的车辆行驶方位角与风向的夹角。sinθ——The angle between the vehicle's azimuth and the wind direction recorded by GPS.
(2)这里,由于激光雷达走航观测通量是一个闭环的立体观测值,因此,针对走航通量的这一情形验证,采用走航观测中关注的特定点位与WRF-CAMx模型模拟特定的网格点位通量模拟值进行对比验证,即此处传输通量模拟值计算方法与情形1一致,此处不再重复列出。(2) Here, since the lidar navigation observation flux is a closed-loop stereo observation value, therefore, for the verification of this situation of the navigation flux, the specific points concerned in the navigation observation and the WRF-CAMx model are used to simulate The simulation value of the flux at specific grid points is compared and verified, that is, the calculation method of the simulated value of the transmission flux here is the same as that of
(3)下述示例2为2016年10月14日北京六环环线上基于激光雷达走航观测获取的传输通量结果,并与WRF-CAMx模型模拟结果进行对比验证(图3-4)。与观测值相比,北六环模拟通量强度偏大,但二者表现出较好的一致性,相关性系数为0.91。模拟通量在整个垂直方向上各高度处强度均值范围是-10.0~-319.0μg·m-2·s-1,整体强度均值为 -118.3μg·m-2·s-1;模拟通量强度最高值也位于离地359m处,为-319.0μg·m-2·s-1;而离地611m以下和以上高度范围内强度均值分别-162.1μg·m-2·s-1和-59.8μg·m-2·s-1。基于东六环观测通量与模拟通量对比发现,二者垂直方向上的演变趋势相关性系数为0.82,模拟通量强度比观测值较高,平均强度范围是-6.0~-77.2μg·m-2·s-1,均值为-39.0μg·m-2·s-1,最高强度发生在离地359m高度处,而离地459m以下和以上高度范围内平均通量分别为-51.0μg·m-2·s-1和 -26.9μg·m-2·s-1,比观测通量较高。(3) The following example 2 is the transmission flux results obtained on the Beijing Sixth Ring Road on October 14, 2016 based on the laser radar voyage observation, and it is compared and verified with the simulation results of the WRF-CAMx model (Figure 3-4). Compared with the observed values, the simulated flux intensity of the North Sixth Ring Road is larger, but the two show good consistency, and the correlation coefficient is 0.91. The average intensity range of the simulated flux at each height in the vertical direction is -10.0~-319.0μg·m -2 ·s -1 , and the overall average intensity is -118.3μg·m -2 ·s -1 ; the simulated flux intensity The highest value is also located at 359m above the ground, which is -319.0μg·m -2 ·s -1 ; while the average intensity values in the range below and above 611m above the ground are -162.1μg·m -2 ·s -1 and -59.8μg respectively. ·m -2 ·s -1 . Based on the comparison between the observed flux and the simulated flux in the East Sixth Ring Road, it is found that the correlation coefficient of the evolution trend of the two in the vertical direction is 0.82, the simulated flux intensity is higher than the observed value, and the average intensity range is -6.0~-77.2μg m -2 ·s -1 , the mean value is -39.0μg·m -2 ·s -1 , the highest intensity occurs at a height of 359m above the ground, and the average flux below and above 459m above the ground is -51.0μg· m -2 ·s -1 and -26.9 μg·m -2 ·s -1 , which are higher than the observed fluxes.
情形3:基于高空气象-近地面污染物观测与模型模拟相互印证的跨边界传输通量计算方法。Scenario 3: Based on upper-air meteorology-near-surface pollutant observations and model simulations, cross-boundary transmission flux calculation methods are mutually confirmed.
跨边界传输通量是指在特定时间内通过某一垂直截面上大气污染物的质量。Transboundary flux refers to the mass of air pollutants passing through a vertical section in a specific time.
(1)基于某一点位风廓线仪和近地面常规大气污染物监测设备,可以获取该点位风矢量的垂直分布和近地面常规大气污染物的质量浓度,缺少垂直方向上污染物的浓度分布。针对此种情况,若计算目标地区的大气污染物与周边相邻地区的跨边界传输通量,可以通过假设的方法以点代面进行分析,即假设该点位监测获取的近地面大气污染物浓度可以代表整个目标地区大气污染物的浓度,且垂直方向上污染浓度分布均匀;而相邻地区近地面的大气污染物浓度可以通过空气质量网站下载获取,同样作为每个相邻地区的整体浓度,且垂直方向浓度分布均匀。另外,基于风廓线仪获取的风矢量垂直数据可以假设目标地区与周边相邻地区接壤处的风矢量,且空间分布均匀,即目标地区与相邻地区的风矢量值均采用该点的风矢量值,从而计算目标地区与每个相邻地区间的跨边界传输通量。跨边界传输通量计算公式如下:(1) Based on the wind profiler at a certain point and the monitoring equipment for conventional air pollutants near the ground, the vertical distribution of the wind vector at the point and the mass concentration of conventional air pollutants near the ground can be obtained, and the concentration of pollutants in the vertical direction is lacking. distributed. In view of this situation, if the air pollutants in the target area and the transboundary transmission fluxes of the surrounding areas are calculated, the analysis can be carried out by means of a hypothetical method, that is, it is assumed that the near-surface air pollutants obtained by monitoring at this point can be analyzed. The concentration can represent the concentration of air pollutants in the entire target area, and the pollution concentration is evenly distributed in the vertical direction; and the air pollutant concentration near the ground in adjacent areas can be downloaded from the air quality website, which is also used as the overall concentration of each adjacent area. , and the vertical concentration distribution is uniform. In addition, based on the vertical data of the wind vector obtained by the wind profiler, it can be assumed that the wind vector at the border between the target area and the surrounding adjacent areas is evenly distributed in space, that is, the wind vector values of the target area and adjacent areas are all based on the wind at this point. Vector values to calculate the cross-border transmission flux between the target area and each adjacent area. The formula for calculating the cross-border transmission flux is as follows:
Fluxu=∑hL·Hk·cup·u·8.64×10-8 Flux u =∑ h L·H k ·c up ·u·8.64×10 -8
Fluxv=∑hL·Hk·cup·v·8.64×10-8 Flux v =∑ h L·H k ·c up ·v·8.64×10 -8
式中:Fluxu——东西方向上污染物的跨边界传输通量,单位:t/d;In the formula: Flux u — the transboundary transmission flux of pollutants in the east-west direction, unit: t/d;
Fluxv——南北方向上污染物的跨边界传输通量,单位:t/d;Flux v ——the transboundary transmission flux of pollutants in the north-south direction, unit: t/d;
h——风廓线仪观测的垂直最高层,单位:m;h——the vertical highest level observed by the wind profiler, unit: m;
L——两个相邻地区接触的边界线长度,单位:m;L——the length of the boundary line of the contact between two adjacent areas, unit: m;
Hk——风廓线仪垂直方向上的高度分辨率,单位:m;H k ——height resolution of the wind profiler in the vertical direction, unit: m;
Cup——处于上风向城市的大气污染物的质量浓度,单位:μg/m3;C up ——mass concentration of air pollutants in the upwind city, unit: μg/m 3 ;
u——东西方向上的风速,单位:m/s;u——wind speed in the east-west direction, unit: m/s;
v——南北方向上的风速,单位:m/s。v——wind speed in north-south direction, unit: m/s.
(2)基于WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟大气污染物跨边界传输通量的方法,首先选取目标地区,按照我国行政边界线的方法划分大气污染物跨边界传输的界线,确定与目标地区接壤的各个毗邻地区,地区边界线设定与原理(图5)。其中紫色曲线代表地区A与地区B的行政边界线,通过模型内的网格区域划分,将模拟范围划分成不同的网格,其中红线代表模型中地区A与地区B的边界线,用于模拟计算大气污染物污染跨边界传输通量。(2) The method of simulating the transboundary transmission flux of air pollutants based on the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model, firstly select the target area, divide the boundary of transboundary transmission of air pollutants according to the method of my country's administrative boundary, and determine the boundary of the air pollutants bordering the target area. Each adjacent area, the setting and principle of regional boundary line (Figure 5). The purple curve represents the administrative boundary line between area A and area B, and the simulation range is divided into different grids by dividing the grid area in the model. The red line represents the boundary line between area A and area B in the model, which is used for simulation Calculation of transboundary fluxes of air pollutant pollution.
将目标地区均视为由多个网格构成的三维立体箱体,图6为箱体中某一垂直截面的单位面积微元矢量,其中V代表通过该面积微元的流体流速,n代表该面积微元的法向量,c 代表该面积微元处的大气污染物的质量浓度。计算截面上各个微元的流速、大气污染物浓度与面积的数量积,再对整个截面进行积分,即得到单位时间通过整个截面的大气污染物的质量。The target area is regarded as a three-dimensional three-dimensional box composed of multiple grids. Figure 6 shows the unit area micro-element vector of a vertical section in the box, where V represents the fluid flow rate passing through the area micro-element, and n represents the The normal vector of the area element, c represents the mass concentration of air pollutants at the area element. Calculate the flow velocity of each micro-element on the cross-section, the quantity product of the concentration of air pollutants and the area, and then integrate the entire cross-section to obtain the mass of air pollutants passing through the entire cross-section per unit time.
WRF-CAMx模式属于欧拉三维网格模式,各个网格具有固定的三维空间坐标,可以分别提供研究区域内各个网格的气象要素与大气污染物浓度。此外,将WRF和CAMx设置成相同的垂直层数(28层)和δ参数,目的是为了获取每一网格同一离地高度处对应的风向、风速和大气污染物浓度信息。综上,本研究将需要计算截面按照WRF和CAMx模式内的网格划分方式进行离散化,利用两种模式的输出数据计算特定截面上大气污染物的跨边界传输通量,具体计算公式如下:The WRF-CAMx model belongs to the Euler three-dimensional grid mode, and each grid has fixed three-dimensional spatial coordinates, which can provide the meteorological elements and atmospheric pollutant concentrations of each grid in the study area. In addition, the WRF and CAMx are set to the same vertical layer number (28 layers) and delta parameters, in order to obtain the corresponding wind direction, wind speed and atmospheric pollutant concentration information at the same height above the ground for each grid. To sum up, this study will need to discretize the calculated section according to the grid division method in the WRF and CAMx modes, and use the output data of the two modes to calculate the transboundary transport flux of air pollutants on a specific section. The specific calculation formula is as follows:
式中:Flux——大气污染物的跨边界传输通量,单位:t/d;Where: Flux——transboundary flux of air pollutants, unit: t/d;
h——模型设置的垂直最高层,单位:m;h——the vertical highest level set by the model, unit: m;
l——两个毗邻区域的边界线,单位:m;l——Boundary line of two adjacent areas, unit: m;
L——模拟网格分辨率,单位:km;L——simulation grid resolution, unit: km;
Hk——模拟垂直层k与k+1之间的高度差;H k ——the height difference between the simulated vertical layer k and k+1;
c——大气污染物(如O3、PM2.5)的质量浓度,单位:μg/m3;c——mass concentration of air pollutants (such as O 3 , PM 2.5 ), unit: μg/m 3 ;
v——风向与风速,单位:°和m/s;v——wind direction and wind speed, unit: ° and m/s;
n——通过垂直截面的法向量,无量纲。n - the normal vector through the vertical section, dimensionless.
基于上述跨边界传输通量计算公式,以大气污染物流入目标地区为正,流出目标地区为负,从单一箱体、边界线处同一离地高度多个箱体到垂直方向上所有箱体,分别计算不同离地高度处大气污染物流入通量、流出通量。净通量是指大气污染物流入与流出通量的矢量和累加,其中正值代表净流入通量,负值代表净流出通量。Based on the above cross-boundary transmission flux calculation formula, the inflow of air pollutants into the target area is positive, and the outflow of the target area is negative, from a single box, multiple boxes at the same ground height at the boundary line to all boxes in the vertical direction, The inflow and outflow fluxes of atmospheric pollutants at different heights above the ground were calculated respectively. Net flux refers to the vector sum of the inflow and outflow fluxes of atmospheric pollutants, where positive values represent net inflow fluxes and negative values represent net outflow fluxes.
图7为单个箱体垂直截面处PM2.5流入通量与流出通量示意。Figure 7 is a schematic diagram of the PM 2.5 inflow and outflow flux at the vertical section of a single box.
图8为离散化后毗邻区域边界线处的垂直截面示意。FIG. 8 is a schematic diagram of a vertical section at the boundary line of adjacent regions after discretization.
(3)下述示例3为以北京市顺义区作为目标地区,将与其接壤的市辖区/市按照行政边界划分为7部分,依次为怀柔区、密云区、平谷区、昌平区、通州区、朝阳区以及廊坊市北部地区(图9),基于风廓线仪对北京市首都机场进行风场常规观测,获取了首都机场站点垂直方向上风场(风速和风向)随着不同海拔高度的变化情况,并将首都机场观测到的风廓线数据代表顺义区的风场变化情况。同时,本研究基于北京市和廊坊市环境监测站污染物浓度统计数据,获取了顺义周边7个接壤区/市的PM2.5小时浓度值,并假设离地1300m 高度内PM2.5浓度与近地面浓度相同,计算PM2.5跨区/市传输通量的观测值。另外,基于 WRF-CAMx模式,提取模型中垂直方向上10层以下(距离地面约1300m)顺义区与周边7 个区/市边界线处的风场与PM2.5浓度信息,计算PM2.5跨区/市传输通量的模拟值。最后,将 PM2.5传输通量的观测值与模拟值进行对比分析,验证WRF-CAMx模型模拟的准确性。(3) The following example 3 is to take Shunyi District of Beijing as the target area, and divide the municipal districts/cities bordering it into 7 parts according to the administrative boundaries, which are Huairou District, Miyun District, Pinggu District, Changping District, Tongzhou District, Chaoyang District and the northern part of Langfang City (Fig. 9), based on the wind profiler, routinely observed the wind field of Beijing Capital Airport, and obtained the vertical wind field (wind speed and direction) of the Capital Airport station. Changes with different altitudes , and the wind profile data observed at the Capital Airport represent the wind field changes in Shunyi District. At the same time, based on the statistical data of pollutant concentration in the environmental monitoring stations of Beijing and Langfang City, this study obtained the PM 2.5 hourly concentration values of 7 bordering districts/cities around Shunyi, and assumed that the PM 2.5 concentration and the near-ground concentration within a height of 1300m above the ground Similarly, the observed values of PM 2.5 trans-regional/city transport fluxes were calculated. In addition, based on the WRF-CAMx model, the wind field and PM 2.5 concentration information at the boundary line of Shunyi District and the surrounding 7 districts/cities below the 10th floor in the vertical direction (about 1300m from the ground) are extracted, and the PM 2.5 cross-district/city information is calculated. Simulated value of city transmission flux. Finally, the observed and simulated values of PM 2.5 transmission flux were compared and analyzed to verify the accuracy of the WRF-CAMx model simulation.
图10为不同季节代表月(1月、4月、7月、10月)顺义与周边地区PM2.5净通量模拟值与观测值的垂直分布。其中流入通量为正值,代表周边区/市对顺义区输入PM2.5,流出通量为负值,代表顺义区向周边区/市输出PM2.5;净通量为流入与流出通量的矢量和,正值代表净流入,表明周边区/市对顺义区输入PM2.5的量高于来自顺义区输出量,负值代表净流出,表明顺义区对周边区/市输出PM2.5的量高于来自周边的输入量。结果表明:PM2.5流入、流出与净通量的模拟值与观测值的相关性系数范围分别是0.48~0.92、0.71~0.96和 0.49~0.98,NMB值范围是6.0%~69.1%、-71.7%~54.5%和-50.0%~76.2%,NME范围是10.6%~85.5%、18.7%~71.7%和21.3%~79.2%。造成NMB和NME误差相对较高的原因是本研究假设的1300m内PM2.5垂直方向各网格观测点浓度相同,与PM2.5浓度的实际分布会有所差距,但总体来讲,PM2.5通量的模拟值与观测值较为一致,说明WRF-CAMx模式模拟可用于研究顺义与周边区县的PM2.5跨边界传输通量。尤其是1月、4月、7月和10月在400m以下PM2.5总净通量模拟值分别为-28.99t/d、27.04t/d、13.50t/d、-37.76t/d,观测值分别为 -24.32t/d、16.41t/d、7.89t/d、-29.20t/d;在400m以上PM2.5总净通量模拟值分别为-125.13t/d、 87.71t/d、14.71t/d、-236.22t/d,观测值分别为-87.46t/d、64.49t/d、23.20t/d、-166.09t/d,净通量的模拟值与观测值在垂直方向上变化基本一致。总体来看,总净通量的模拟值普遍高于观测值(7月除外),这可能与风速的模拟值偏高有关;400m以下和400m以上二者的相对误差范围分别为19.2%~71.1%和-36.6%~43.1%,在可接受范围之内,说明该 WRF-CAMx模式可用于进一步开展跨城市、跨省/区域的传输通量的模拟研究。Figure 10 shows the vertical distribution of simulated and observed PM 2.5 net fluxes in Shunyi and surrounding areas in representative months of different seasons (January, April, July, October). The inflow flux is a positive value, which means that the surrounding area/city inputs PM 2.5 to Shunyi District, and the outflow flux is a negative value, which means that the Shunyi District outputs PM 2.5 to the surrounding area/city; the net flux is the vector of inflow and outflow fluxes and, positive values represent net inflow, indicating that the amount of PM 2.5 input from the surrounding area/city to Shunyi District is higher than the output from Shunyi District, and negative values represent net outflow, indicating that the amount of PM 2.5 output from Shunyi District to the surrounding area/city is higher than Input from the surrounding. The results show that the correlation coefficients between the simulated and observed values of PM 2.5 inflow, outflow and net flux range from 0.48 to 0.92, 0.71 to 0.96 and 0.49 to 0.98, respectively, and the range of NMB values is 6.0% to 69.1% and -71.7%. ~54.5% and -50.0% to 76.2%, the NME ranges were 10.6% to 85.5%, 18.7% to 71.7% and 21.3% to 79.2%. The reason for the relatively high errors of NMB and NME is that the concentration of PM 2.5 at each grid observation point in the vertical direction within 1300m assumed in this study is the same, which will be different from the actual distribution of PM 2.5 concentration, but in general, the PM 2.5 flux The simulated and observed values are relatively consistent, indicating that the WRF-CAMx model simulation can be used to study the PM 2.5 transboundary fluxes in Shunyi and surrounding counties. Especially in January, April, July and October, the simulated values of the total net flux of PM 2.5 below 400m were -28.99t/d, 27.04t/d, 13.50t/d, and -37.76t/d, respectively. are -24.32t/d, 16.41t/d, 7.89t/d, -29.20t/d respectively; the simulated values of the total net flux of PM 2.5 above 400m are -125.13t/d, 87.71t/d, 14.71t, respectively /d, -236.22t/d, and the observed values are -87.46t/d, 64.49t/d, 23.20t/d, and -166.09t/d, respectively. The simulated and observed values of the net flux change in the vertical direction. Consistent. Overall, the simulated value of the total net flux is generally higher than the observed value (except in July), which may be related to the high simulated value of wind speed; the relative error ranges of below 400m and above 400m are 19.2%~71.1 % and -36.6% to 43.1%, which are within the acceptable range, indicating that the WRF-CAMx model can be used to further simulate the transmission flux across cities and provinces/regions.
本发明还提供了基于污染物跨界传输通量识别污染传输通道的方法,包括如下步骤:The present invention also provides a method for identifying a pollution transmission channel based on the transboundary transmission flux of pollutants, comprising the following steps:
基于WRF-CAMx三维数值模型,可模拟得到研究区域内各个城市与周边毗邻的之间大气污染物的流入通量、流出通量和净通量,根据每个目标城市大气污染物流入与流出的方向,并将目标地区内所有的城市流入与流出方向进行梳理、整合,从而获取该区域内大气污染物整体的流入与流出方向,进而识别目标地区内的传输通道。Based on the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model, the inflow, outflow and net fluxes of air pollutants between each city in the study area and its surrounding areas can be simulated. According to the inflow and outflow of air pollutants in each target city The inflow and outflow directions of all cities in the target area are sorted out and integrated, so as to obtain the overall inflow and outflow directions of air pollutants in the area, and then identify the transmission channels in the target area.
以京津冀地区为例,基于WRF-CAMx三维数值模型模拟,对京津冀区域内的典型城市 (北京、天津、石家庄、唐山)以及京津冀整体区域与周边省市的PM2.5跨界传输通量进行模拟计算,识别城市与城市之间、京津冀区域与周边省市之间的传输方向,其中“↘,↗,→,和↖”分别代表西北到东南、西南到东北、西到东、东南到西北(表2)。识别出了京津冀地区1月、4月、7月和10月PM2.5污染主要传输通道(图11)。Taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region as an example, based on the WRF-CAMx three-dimensional numerical model simulation, the PM 2.5 cross-border of typical cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region (Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Tangshan) and the overall region of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and surrounding provinces and cities was analyzed. The transmission flux is simulated and calculated to identify the transmission direction between cities and between the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and surrounding provinces and cities, where "↘, ↗, →, and ↖" represent northwest to southeast, southwest to northeast, west respectively to east, southeast to northwest (Table 2). The main transmission channels of PM 2.5 pollution in January, April, July and October in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region were identified (Fig. 11).
表2 2016年1月、4月、7月、10月各城市和区域的传输路径和主要方向Table 2 Transmission paths and main directions of cities and regions in January, April, July, and October 2016
以上,本发明基于气象观测、激光雷达立体观测以及三维数值模拟技术,面向多种污染物、不同情形,建立了定点传输通量、走航传输通量以及跨界传输通量的计算方法,并实现立体观测与模型模拟获取的通量量化结果的对比验证;本发明基于大气污染物跨区县、跨城市、跨区域的跨界传输通量量化结果,建立了大气污染物主要传输通道识别方法。Above, based on meteorological observation, lidar stereo observation and three-dimensional numerical simulation technology, the present invention has established calculation methods for fixed-point transmission flux, navigational transmission flux and cross-border transmission flux for various pollutants and different situations, and Comparing and verifying the flux quantification results obtained by stereo observation and model simulation; the present invention establishes a method for identifying the main transmission channels of air pollutants based on the flux quantification results of cross-regional, cross-city and cross-regional transmission of air pollutants .
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